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The Nightly Updates are sent out Sunday Evening to Thursday Evening for the following  day's trading session. To view our Nightly Updates, click here.

 

This publication's primary focus is trading the index futures ($ES_F) and ($NQ_F). However, you can also use my nightly updates to trade the following ETF's (SPY), (QQQQ), (SDS), (QID), (DIA), (VIXY), and (DOG)
 

May 16, 2013 Market Action

 
Today we opened at right at initial support and 
bounced to the initial resistance. That level 
was rejected and a move down to support again followed
After a few pokes above resistance the market
could not make it through and we went sideways during
the lunch hour. Another attempt to break the initial
resistance failed and the market came down through
initial support and finally down to the second support
level. 

As you can see the market had trouble at resistance
levels today and offered some good opportunities for 
trading.  Check out the chart below and see how
well the market respects the levels listed in the nightly
update.

 

INTRADAY LOG

 

16 May 2013 09:30 am
Good morning. 53 area pivotal early per last night. If They run up to 57 should be sold

16 May 2013 09:35 am
The run-up stalled out 63 area needs to hold on a pullback or high and for a bit

16 May 2013 09:40 am
64.50-64 needs to hold on pullback from 55.50 area, if no pullback plan 57

16 May 2013 09:42 am
Bounce from 54.75, One more push higher should be sold into,

16 May 2013 09:47 am
Would need to break 54 to turn things down, can get to the 57 area

16 May 2013 09:49 am
66.25 could be it on the upside especially if 64 is broken. If there is another push higher, then that should be sold into

16 May 2013 09:58 am
Push through 57, should hold around 56.75-56.25 two stays in strong uptrend. Everything has found a base, so now the ES should stay over 64.50-64. Will be key the rest of the morning

16 May 2013 10:03 am
Break of 56.75 area on housing number star reversal down to 64 area, another bounce towards 56 that stalls is a short

16 May 2013 10:08 am
Could bounce off of 51.50 area, should stop around 55.25 at the highest if going back down again. If no bounce then down towards 49-48

16 May 2013 10:10 am
A bounce attempt from 50.75 new low, 53.75-54.50 should be good bounce resistance is going to be another push for lower

16 May 2013 10:18 am
Bounce made it to 54.75 and should sell off from there, a break under 63 will need to reverse right back up to avoid retest of low

16 May 2013 10:20 am
No retest of the low but a bounce from 62.25 instead, and a move above 64.50 Nice to hold on a dip or still can go back towards the low. If taken out then 56-56.75 area resistance

16 May 2013 10:28 am
The next bounce should set up a shorting opportunity if they don't break down through 63.75. At first. Two-sided action but character changing, more eager sellers into strength

16 May 2013 10:30 am
Just look to sell bounces for now, this thing is going to break pretty hard from here or out for one more push higher

16 May 2013 10:33 am
52.50 tested three times and able to bounce but if this cannot get above 65.50 and hold that will be broken

16 May 2013 10:38 am
That number is 55.50. If that succeeded/held there could be a bit more upside before pulling back again

16 May 2013 10:41 am
With this being choppy two-sided action just looked to short the bounces towards the top side if stall and cover/buy on a pullback unless 52.50-52 broken. Back in 10 minutes

16 May 2013 10:51 am
53-52.25 tested 5 times and a break that doesn't look we reverse up needed to put pressure on. Pattern is also a bit of a rising wedge, so should be key area.A new low likely is broken

16 May 2013 11:03 am
56-56.50 has been hard to get through, if cleared and held there can be one more push higher maybe make a token higher high. 54.50 area needs to hold to get that push higher

16 May 2013 11:19 am
Rally just reversed from 58.75, and if that is not taken out then a double top could be left on my charts. 56.50 area should hold to get another push higher

16 May 2013 11:23 am
Looks like we could have a short-term double top in place by breaking 57-56.50. Needs to rally off of 56 with gusto, but still likely sold on a test of 59-60 if reached

16 May 2013 11:30 am
So for 55.75 the pullback low, this bounce attempt should be sold into their 56 is broken and not turned right back up it's on its way to 54.50 possibly 52.50 key area

16 May 2013 11:37 am
58 could be a bounce high, especially if the next pullback breaks under 56.75-56.25 area

16 May 2013 11:40 am
Looks like 59-60 area could be tested on this move, but it won't stick unless there is some piling on shorts squeezed

16 May 2013 11:44 am
More rejection from just under 59, I think sellers are in charge at the moment as long as that's not broken, down to around 56.75 should hold foregoing lower towards 56 or further

16 May 2013 11:52 am
Very choppy uptrend off of the low with higher highs and higher lows made. Could test 59-60 area if 56.50 doesn't break.

16 May 2013 11:59 am
If this goes down below 56.50, would need to turn right back up. Otherwise, a high around noon-12:30 PM like yesterday. And 11 point pullback off the high probably not likely though

16 May 2013 12:04 pm
The next pop up can be sold into, even if snap back from 56.50 area, should have a high in place for a while. A third test of 58.50 probably not going to happen soon

16 May 2013 12:16 pm
57 could be pivotal up here, needs to be pushed above and held on a dip if there's going to be a try for 59-60. Holding under keeps the door open for another push lower. NQ leaving a bit

16 May 2013 12:24 pm
Pop-up to 57.25 turned right back down, 55.50 the pullback lows will for but can still go to the 53-52.50 area if this stays under 57

16 May 2013 12:35 pm
Stand under 56-56.50 keeps some pressure on to at least test 54.50 and maybe down to that 52.50 area that is key

16 May 2013 12:44 pm
This can break the downtrend if they push over 55.75 and can stay up there, then could go for 57-58 again for or that lower

16 May 2013 12:51 pm
Looks like 54.50 pretty good support, but if no bounce with gusto is going to break and head towards 52.50.I'll be back after about 15 minute lunch break unless something unusual happens.

16 May 2013 01:09 pm
Pop up did not stick, but so for 55-54.75 has been holding. Strengthen not going to stick and if/when broken, then they go down to 52.50 or lower

16 May 2013 01:14 pm
There might be a bounce attempt to the NQ can keep pushing higher, but likely sold into again.

16 May 2013 01:21 pm
52.50 should be in the cards on the slate down, just be short on any kind of bounces under 59-60

16 May 2013 01:30 pm
Stalling out and normally would get a bounce. But need to happen very soon with gusto. But if 54.50 is broken and doesn't get turned around just under this low it should slide towards 52.50

16 May 2013 01:44 pm
A middle of the range double bottom at 54.75 finally getting some push and could go for 66.50 then pullback, might not get that far

16 May 2013 01:51 pm
That was supposed to be 56.50, not 66.50. Anyway 56.25 was rejected and breaking/holding over 56.50 needed to get a run to the high. Market does not look strong enough to pull that off, but won't rule it out if 56.50 broken and a small dip is held

16 May 2013 01:52 pm
Just a reversal off of that high area again, we have a double top and place and this stays under some pressure as long as it holds under 56.50 area

16 May 2013 02:03 pm
A tough market to figure out, but still is a good bid on the pullbacks, so look for 55.75-55.54 support on a dip for one more push higher from there

16 May 2013 02:17 pm
Pullback held just above 55.75 and made it to 58 so far, should run into selling at 58, but if that isn't sold then 89.50-60 possible

16 May 2013 02:20 pm
I need to step away for about 10-15 minutes. It looks like 57-56.50 needs to give another bounce to avoid rolling over.

16 May 2013 02:40 pm
Run up to 58 and going sideways again, has to stay over 66.25 area or could roll over. NQ could lead, it just came off a new high a bit ago

16 May 2013 02:41 pm
That should be it as long as 56.50 not exceeded handheld, a short up here

16 May 2013 02:46 pm
This 54.50-54 area Is key here or going to 52.50 area

16 May 2013 02:48 pm
Resistance at 55.50-56, should not get back above 56.75 on any bounce attempt. If it does, would need to turn right back down to continue the toppy action

16 May 2013 02:52 pm
55.50-56 sold, that area should be good resistance on bounce if going lower towards 52.50 before ending pullback. If 56.50-57 area is taken out and not sold into market stronger than I thought

16 May 2013 02:58 pm
Still have 52.50 area for target, 53 was reached but that might not be fit for the downside yet. A bounce is going to fail in the market knows it

16 May 2013 03:00 pm
52.50 reached, Watch 54.25 for bounce resistance, that's about as far as a bounce should go to keep steady downtrend intact

16 May 2013 03:03 pm
3 PM countertrend move likely not going to take out the 54.25 area. Will be lucky to get over 54.50 and stick

16 May 2013 03:08 pm
52.50 target slice support is holding for now. If 52.50 cannot hold, this continues down to the 51.50-50.75 zone. Would need to fail around 54-54.50 and turned back down

16 May 2013 03:12 pm
A pretty feeble bounce starting at 3 PM, 52.50 has held and that is all that is good with the market at the moment. That should be broken but after a bounce that fails again

16 May 2013 03:20 pm
Looking for the 50.50 level and if that doesn't hold then 49-48.50. 52-52.50 area bounce resistance

16 May 2013 03:22 pm
Even a bounce from down here would be sold into, careful as this could slip to 49-48.50 easily

16 May 2013 03:27 pm
The market was in good shape there would be a good buying coming in from the 48.50 lo, not the case. Good head for a 44.50 area If broken. 52-52.50 bounce resistance, late break if not taken out

16 May 2013 03:29 pm
Hope you had a good day. I will catch you tomorrow some time around the open. Enjoy the rest of your day!

 

 

May 15, 2013 Market Action

 
Today we opened at support and after the market was able to hold
above it for some time it was a clue that the market might go higher
A push through the initial resistance area fueled a rally right up 
to the last fixed resistance area mentioned last night. There were a 
few good opportunities to get long on that rally and make some points.
A retest of the 1654 area failed and the market broke down which gave 
us an opportunity to get short down to the 1650 area where the market
bounced and moved up into the close.

Great trading today around the s/r areas. There were some classic "ebook"
setups which if you had been trained to see them could have made you
some profit.  Check out the ebook and get on board to making some $$.

 

INTRADAY LOG

 

15 May 2013 09:20 am
Good morning. I don't think we get the same kind of day with a good rally, pullback is due. If they get back up to the 48-48.50 area there will be sellers waiting.

15 May 2013 09:21 am
At a rally off of 42.50 area but doubt that the move will stick.

15 May 2013 09:27 am
Acts like there are buyers around 42.50 also, has to bounce from there to have a chance to have a little run up that probably fails under 46

15 May 2013 09:32 am
44.50 area Needs held on a pullback from 46 area

15 May 2013 09:35 am
45.50-45 area needs to hold now to keep pushing higher towards 48

15 May 2013 09:40 am
45.50 held and delayed pop-up to 47 that could not hold, a break of 45.50 will need to turn right back up or the trend changes to down

15 May 2013 09:44 am
47-47.50 has been rejected three times and unless that's taken out/held pullback to 44.50 area needs to hold/bounce or down towards 42.50 possible

15 May 2013 09:49 am
44.25 was touched and quickly turned around, need to hold there or will have a breakdown t-tests 42.50-42

15 May 2013 09:54 am
Temporary bottom at 44.25, a move to the 47 area should be rejected, if not then can go a bit further to 48.50 and then come back down.

15 May 2013 10:04 am
47 push through/held and 48.50 area should be sold into, but if pushed through then to 49.50

15 May 2013 10:09 am
Stalling just above 47, To turn the trend 47 would need to break and not turn right back up,

15 May 2013 10:11 am
So far 48 stop the move and 47 was broken, should be hard to get over the 48 area and hold, 45.50 small support on this pullback

15 May 2013 10:22 am
Pullback held 45.75 bounced to test 48 high. 45.50 key support on pullback to keep uptrend intact and not go back to 44 or 42.50

15 May 2013 10:30 am
Pullbacks have been holding 46-45.50, but pop-ups being sold into

15 May 2013 10:33 am
Need to get above 48, and hold, or could be topping out up here. 46-45.50 need to hold or there could be a decent pullback.

15 May 2013 10:34 am
Should go up and take out 48.75 hi from yesterday before some pullback if this is a another rally that's going to stick without a decent selloff/pullback

15 May 2013 10:44 am
The ES just missed yesterdays 48.75 hi my one tick at 48.50, should be a top but could still bounce from 45.50/must

15 May 2013 10:47 am
A bounce from here should fail around 47-47.50 area is going lower. Damage done only on a break/hold under 46-45.50 -- looks pivotal

15 May 2013 10:56 am
47-47.50 was taken out and now should see 48.75 some pullback after that possible

15 May 2013 10:58 am
77.50-77 needs to hold as support on a dip in turn back up from there if the upside is going to continue and not be another failure up here

15 May 2013 11:04 am
As long as 48.50 holds on a pullback the upside is going to continue. This move getting parabolic but could get to 53 maybe after some pullback

15 May 2013 11:16 am
Almost to the 53 "resistance" which should be a little bit of trouble anyhow, has to stay over 50.75 area to keep pushing higher

15 May 2013 11:22 am
Just a heads up, I will be away today from around 12:15 PM until around 1:15 PM. I will update before leaving and as soon as I return. At the moment as long as 51.50 holds can still get to 53.50-54 "resistance"

15 May 2013 11:26 am
Bit of a bearish pattern, 50.75 area needs to get a bounce or could be traced back towards 48.50

15 May 2013 11:31 am
51.25 pullback low so far and trying to bounce, if cannot take out 53 then down towards 48.50

15 May 2013 11:45 am
53.50-54 zone mats but stays strong above 52.50 for now. 51.25-50.75 a key area if 52.50 broken/held

15 May 2013 11:53 am
A market still in a buying frenzy, it's not a sure until there is some sort of reversal. Pullbacks should be bought and then sold out on a pop-up until things change.

15 May 2013 12:00 pm
PC browser issue, will be back in 10 minutes or so

15 May 2013 12:14 pm
My apologies, the market is still in a buying frenzy but there could be a little trouble around 58. If not then up to the 60 area

15 May 2013 12:19 pm
Backing off a bit from 57.50 area, if this breaks down it should hold 55 area to stay strong. It broken than it might get toppy. But no damage done unless broken, and then 51.50-51 strong support

15 May 2013 12:19 pm
I need to be a way for about an hour, I will update as soon as I return

15 May 2013 01:08 pm
The ES turn down from the last resistance listed for today. This needs to bounce from 56 area to continue strong, if it does not than things are changing

15 May 2013 01:13 pm
If there is a high in place at 49.75, then this bounce should stop around 58.75 at the highest it appears. 57 can be a transition area if broken/held

15 May 2013 01:18 pm
A pop-up stopper that 58, that is a resistance that needs clear to attempt test of the high, if unable to hold 57 area on this move than 54.25-53.75 next

15 May 2013 01:27 pm
Holding under 57 keeps downside intact with 64.50 just above support at 63.75 area. 57-57.50 should not be exceeded/held if going lower

15 May 2013 01:37 pm
Should back off from 57 area if coming back down and going to break 54.50

15 May 2013 01:43 pm
Needs to bounce from 54.50 back above 57 to get anything going on upside, 53.75 still some support just under 54.50. Next update in 5-10 minutes

15 May 2013 01:54 pm
The market has tired out and balances should be sold into a peer the rest of the day, or at least for now. 57 and important above, market is bearish on there that for now

15 May 2013 01:59 pm
The NQ is almost on its low, the ES has some support at 53-52.50 and could bounce but if so it will fail

15 May 2013 02:00 pm
54.50-55 now resistance on a small bounce and won't be surprised if we go for the 48.50. If that's not able to hold

15 May 2013 02:11 pm
The 53-52.50 area was able to hold so far, that they don't bounce back above 54 and hold then this could go back to the 48.50 area

15 May 2013 02:16 pm
Pressure still on under 54 at the moment. 52.50 holding but need a push above 54 to avoid breaking down towards 51.25 area or lower

15 May 2013 02:18 pm
Amazing that the fix was up 5% on market near its high and now up less than 1% on the way down, complacent market. 48.50 area would be key support, breakout area this morning on the ES

15 May 2013 02:25 pm
There is a small support at 49.50, but the key area looks like 48.50 area still. A bounce to the 52.50 area should fail if this is going to come back down and break towards 48.50. NQ those in continuing

15 May 2013 02:30 pm
Should fail at/under 52.50-53 to keep the downtrend intact. Otherwise could be starting a rally back towards 55 or higher if broken by much

15 May 2013 02:32 pm
53 reached so 51.50 would need to be broken and not turn right back up, this can go for the 54 level next and then 55.50

15 May 2013 02:40 pm
Broke under 51.50, 53 new resistance turned this down and that needs to be cleared to take pressure off for a bit end of the day

15 May 2013 02:44 pm
48.50 area is in the cards, and could even retest the 44 area and make a reversal day out of this

15 May 2013 02:47 pm
The fact that this gave up without any sort of news, and overall action especially coming back to 48.50 makes a top for a bit. Don't expect a bounce to stick this afternoon

15 May 2013 02:51 pm
Buying at the 48.75 hi from yesterday, that area will need to hold and probably will but we will see. If broken and not turned right back up, retest 44.50, a key area before the 43-42.50 area which should be major today

15 May 2013 02:56 pm
A quick turn up from 48.50, that should be important low for now, need to push above 53.50-54 on this leg up, should be resistance around there

15 May 2013 03:03 pm
The only way I think we get a bounce visit there are a bunch of shorts that start to cover but would need to get through 52.50-53 Resistance at least or could still see the 44.50 area

15 May 2013 03:10 pm
The fourth test of 49-48.50 giving a bounce that should have trouble at 52.50-53, not a whole not higher unless going back up to possibly the 65.50 area

15 May 2013 03:20 pm
The pop over 54 stalled out and not able to stick on balances now, we could have a decent top in place, late needs to hold above 51 area to avoid 48.50

15 May 2013 03:23 pm
looks like 54.50 will not be taken out. But if it is then can top out around 55.50. Possibly 57, but don't see that area holding if reached. Time to favor selling strength in my opinion

15 May 2013 03:24 pm
Don't expect 48.50 to be broken either. Not good if it best. Have a good rest of your day, I will see you tomorrow morning but shortly after the open so read the nightly update.

15 May 2013 03:36 pm
Almost to the 55.50 area, that that's not sold then they could possibly go for the 57 area but doubtful. If 53-52.50 broken, trend could change

 

 

May 14, 2013 Market Action

 

INTRADAY LOG

 

14 May 2013 09:24 am
Good morning. 32.50 first resistance to clear, probably won't stick if it is cleared. However first decent pullback should hold 28 area or things changing

14 May 2013 09:28 am
Just because its 17 Tuesday rallies in a row doesn't mean anything other than four news but that street should be snapped at some time since it goes back to 1949

14 May 2013 09:33 am
32.50 area needs to hold, not go back under there and stay for very long, if that happens 36.50

14 May 2013 09:38 am
Look for a turned to come from around 36.50-37.50 if one more push higher, should be some selling it going to be some pullback early

14 May 2013 09:41 am
37 reached, no real rejection but watch 35-34.25 area for the maximum pullback support, shouldn't go further or a hike could be in place

14 May 2013 09:51 am
pullback to 35.50, just over 35 support. That will need to be broken to get a reversal of some sort. Watch 38 area for a turn

14 May 2013 09:56 am
Held at the 37 first high, could be pivotal if broken could top,

14 May 2013 10:00 am
If there's going to be a turn, it should come in the first ~30-45 minutes. No sign of one yet. Need to break 37 and hold under that area on bounce attempt

14 May 2013 10:07 am
37 still like level to hold, has been grinding higher towards 40, that can only change if a break under 37 not turn right back up

14 May 2013 10:09 am
Only way to get "resistance" at new highs is using pivot formulas/measured moves/symmetry. I have one number at 39.75 and then about 5 points higher. 39.75 should be good resistance

14 May 2013 10:14 am
39.75 was rejected on its first test. The 38.25-37.75 is key support and trend stays up unless that's broken

14 May 2013 10:16 am
Would normally expect a reaction around 40 here, but a bit of a buying frenzy going on and pullbacks will be bought

14 May 2013 10:21 am
The ES has held the 18 EMA almost the whole way up and it lines up with other support around 39.50 area, should hold/bounce from there is still very strong and not peeking

14 May 2013 10:24 am
90.50 broken by half a point, not much, but if no new high than 38.25-37.75 would be next in 39 broken

14 May 2013 10:30 am
For now as long as the 40 area holds on a pullback up trend will stay intact

14 May 2013 10:37 am
A poll that needs to hold 41.50 to keep strong uptrend or go to the 40.25 area if broken and not turn right back up. A buying frenzy, pulled Lex should not go for

14 May 2013 10:54 am
44.50 reach, It's going to keep grinding higher until something breaks the uptrend, for now as long as 43-42.50 is held uptrend soundly intact

14 May 2013 10:54 am
44.50 reach, It's going to keep grinding higher until something breaks the uptrend, for now as long as 43-42.50 is held uptrend soundly intact

14 May 2013 11:02 am
43.50 is trend up support now. There is nothing up here but a pivot resistance number at 45.75

14 May 2013 11:03 am
44 area now trend up support, a break and hold under that area could start some pullback

14 May 2013 11:07 am
So for 44 has held Next pop up will be sold into. That 45.75 level likely being used by other traders,

14 May 2013 11:17 am
The move up is a parabolic move on a smaller scale, should see a bit more pullback and 42 area should hold

14 May 2013 11:30 am
NQ trading above 3000 for the first time since after 2000 dot-come bubble burst if I recall correctly, don't have yearly chart in front of me but some déjà vu. No damage done unless 43 broken/held under

14 May 2013 11:42 am
Could be double top, but will need to break back below 44.50 and hold under that on a pop up for this to back off about 3 points

14 May 2013 11:54 am
Spiked high and the first sign of good selling off of the 46.50 level. 43 area is key support, also symmetry at that level, must stay above their two continue strong, maybe retest high

14 May 2013 11:58 am
Per usual, buying came in when the pullback stalled out and would expect longs to be quick to exit not wanting to get trapped at or near a high

14 May 2013 12:11 pm
Needs to be more than just a 2.50 point pullback, need to fall more than 3.75 points off of a high to break trend up action it appears. So dips are bias for continued moves higher

14 May 2013 12:23 pm
I had Resistance on the NQ at 3004.50-3006.00 and that was just rejected, but it would need to take out 2999. EDS has support at 46 to bounce from that still really strong

14 May 2013 12:26 pm
Keep an eye on the NQ at 2999, a break under that that doesn't reverse, could help put some pressure on the ES has it looks much like the Dow so far

14 May 2013 12:31 pm
Should be a balance from 45, oh wise down to the 44 area which is key support at the moment. 46.50 or a bit higher resistance

14 May 2013 12:40 pm
A bounce from 44.75, should hold that if the markets going to stay strong or else could see decent pullback. If a better bounce 46.50-47 could stop this

14 May 2013 12:49 pm
46 has turned Resistance, Last pullback 2.50 points also, market acting a bit toppy but decent reversal until 44-43.50 broken/not quickly bounced back. NQ has been easier training vehicle

14 May 2013 12:52 pm
I need to be away for about 30 minutes, 46 not cleared son this could break down to the 43.50 level and if they break down 40.50-39. NQ still better/easier on the short side. Back in about 30 minutes or so

14 May 2013 01:15 pm
If 43.75 is broken on this move down then things could change from pullbacks bouncing two bounces being sold, we have one so far and a breakdown could mean a balance won't stick and start a second leg now

14 May 2013 01:19 pm
44.50 able to hold, that keeps trend up alive, they could still go as far as 43.75 before a possible break of trend up action

14 May 2013 01:25 pm
NQ made a double bottom at 2995 and on a decent run, that 2995 needs broken if everything is to get in sync on downside. That could lead ES by a bit. 44.50-43.75 important supports still

14 May 2013 01:47 pm
The NQ is help keeping the ES moving higher. Need a push over 46.50 on ES and 3001 on the NQ to get another push higher, if that doesn't happen soon we get some more pullback but hold 45 if strong

14 May 2013 01:52 pm
Looks like a hype to sell against, or get short up here as we should begin a decent pullback

14 May 2013 01:54 pm
Could be a bounce from 44-43.75, if not then things are breaking down and a bounce of any kind under 46.50 sold into

14 May 2013 01:58 pm
43.25 was so low around 11 AM where market stalled before punching up to new highs, they bounce from their should make it past 45 at best to continue moving lower, NQ easier on sure side

14 May 2013 02:02 pm
Bounce sale that 44.25 and if no double bottom than 42 is the next and that is an important area before going down to the 40.50-40 area or maybe a bit lower

14 May 2013 02:06 pm
If there is a bounce from 42.50 it needs to be powerful but will likely fail at or under 45. If 42.50 is broken by much then down to the 40 area

14 May 2013 02:09 pm
Bounced just messed 45 and pulled right back, needs to get back above that level and stick to get another attempt on the upside and not fail on this bounce like the NQ is trying to

14 May 2013 02:18 pm
The bounce reach 45 and backed off, would need a push above that and stick on the next push higher to get a test of the high, though it is still vulnerable

14 May 2013 02:22 pm
The NQ in worse shape having broken under 2995 and failed there on a bounce, the ES will need to break under 42.50-42 to try getting downside momentum. The NQ still better short

14 May 2013 02:31 pm
The pullback to 42.75 quickly turned up and getting a better bounce, that 42.50 turning into key support that needs to hold this afternoon to avoid late pullback

14 May 2013 02:46 pm
If they push higher one more time, they will need to gun through the 46.50 area if the Dow is going to break a triple top and run higher. 44 small support than 42.50

14 May 2013 02:52 pm
46-46.50 is an important resistance if a bounce again, but may not get to that area if this breaks 42.50. The NQ still a good short under 2995

14 May 2013 02:53 pm
Could bounce from here, but likely not going to stick as the market finally feels a bit uncomfortable up at higher levels

14 May 2013 03:03 pm
42.50 quickly reverse, that is still key support end of day. Still see 46.50 as important resistance to push through

14 May 2013 03:12 pm
If 44-43.50 can hold and get a bounce, could get a move towards 46.50 or thereabouts

14 May 2013 03:17 pm
Market has been relentless on the buy side, any kind of decent pullback from up here would be bought. This could end the day inside of this range. If not, a late day pullback death cannot get over 46.50

14 May 2013 03:23 pm
I'm sure some folks got long on the open just because it is a Tuesday, we would expect them to try covering, but not if this holds above 44

14 May 2013 03:37 pm
Back to the high, should hold up and could go higher as long as 45.50 holds on a pullback. If it doesn't and 44.50 breaks also, then it doesn't close so well, but 45.50 should hold

14 May 2013 03:40 pm
If 48 is cleanly taken out then the 1650 area could get a test. Below are some late day profit-taking from token hire high that's probably not significant and go to for

14 May 2013 03:41 pm
Have a good rest of your day. I will catch you tomorrow sometime around the open

 

May 13, 2013 Market Action

 
Today the market poked under the initial support and quickly turned
up making its way to the first resistance area. A small pullback from
there to test the initial support area was bought and a run through
the first resistance made its way to the second level at 1633.00. Some
profit taking there brought the market back down to the 1630.00 level
where a small bounce failed and a break of the 1630 was followed by some 
sideways action.

There we some decent moves today around the support and resistance 
numbers again. You can see from the chart below how the market
acted around the lines that I had drawn in before the open.

 



INTRADAY LOG

 

13 May 2013 09:28 am
Good morning. It's looking like 27.50-28 area early resistance, if there is a break under 26 and hold pressure should be on to 22 overnight low areas

13 May 2013 09:36 am
26 held and gave a bounce, there are three different ways of seeing support there so needs to hold on first pullback which should start from around 28

13 May 2013 09:37 am
If not 28 area then could run up and tag 29-29.50 then back off

13 May 2013 09:44 am
27 has been holding but strength sold into, and should be shorted on any bounces now

13 May 2013 09:46 am
They would need to take out 27.50 to take some pressure off, as 26 broken in held under on this move it opens the 24.50 area then 22

13 May 2013 09:50 am
This could get to the 27.50 area holding 26, but if that is rejected and then 26 taken out we could get quick move lower

13 May 2013 09:52 am
24.50 and then 22 areas for some support, 26.50-27 area resistance

13 May 2013 09:56 am
Bounce from 24.25 reached 25.75, should stay under 25.50-26 if a bounce attempt but should go for 22 and then the key around 20

13 May 2013 10:00 am
This is about as far as a bounce should go if going to head back down to the 22 area

13 May 2013 10:04 am
Double bottom attempt sold at 25.50 resistance but should be buyers on another pullback to that area or market should go to the 22.50-21.50

13 May 2013 10:09 am
Pullback turned up from 24 and has to hold the 25.50-25 area on pullback to keep from rolling over again. 27.50-28 resistance to clear/hold

13 May 2013 10:17 am
The token higher high was sold, pullback must hold 26.75 to keep uptrend from turning back down

13 May 2013 10:21 am
They'll have to break back below 27.50 to put pressure on, this should have a hard time holding above 30-30.50 if that resistance is cleared

13 May 2013 10:27 am
This shouldn't go back to 26 if there is going to be an attempt to get through the 29 area and may be higher

13 May 2013 10:33 am
This will have a chance to push through towards 29.50-30 only if 27.50 area is held, that could be where they move to the 30 area

13 May 2013 10:37 am
Rejected at 29.50 so for and needs to keep grinding higher holding 28 area at lowest to get to 30-30.50

13 May 2013 10:39 am
That 30 area should be sold if the market is going to have another pullback and not be trend up off of the first 30 minute low

13 May 2013 11:20 am
My apologies my browser crash and took a while to get set back up. This should still have trouble at 30-30.50 and can sell against that but no damage done early unless 97 area broken and not a good bounce back

13 May 2013 11:23 am
27.50-26.50 needs to hold to not break down,

13 May 2013 11:29 am
The ES reached 26.50 and bounce back, that is as far as a pullback should go and still have a shot at 1630. This move should be sold into also

13 May 2013 11:33 am
A pullback should hold around 28.50 is going to push higher and try for 30 area

13 May 2013 11:38 am
Pullback held at 28.75 and made it to the 30-30.50 area which should be sold if going to have another pullback, 28.50 good support but if broken 27 most important

13 May 2013 11:49 am
30-29.50 needs to hold for this to continue higher and the 33 area is next if 30-29.50 not held on a pullback

13 May 2013 11:55 am
30.50 should be bought on a dip to keep up site going to or through 32.25-from last week, or this could be a high for a bit

13 May 2013 12:03 pm
So far 31 has been holding, if going to attempt pushing through 32.25 that area 31-30.50 needs to hold. Could start downturn if broken

13 May 2013 12:08 pm
A new high and no sign of backing off from buyers yet, watch 33 area for that, should be hard to get over 33 and hold unless very strong. 31.50 shouldn't be broken if staying very strong

13 May 2013 12:16 pm
Just tiny pullbacks and pushing higher so far since coming off 26.50 new support. Would need to break back down under 32-31.50 to dent the upside at the moment. 30 area key support now

13 May 2013 12:21 pm
Watched 33-33.50 for sellers if reached. Should be hard to get through that area unless market on its way to possibly 36 area. 32

13 May 2013 12:24 pm
A bit of a breakout to the upside and as long as 32.25 area holds uptrend stays intact. The stronger NQ 2984.50 key there

13 May 2013 12:27 pm
32.25 broken through and that should mean a top in place for a while, at least the action has changed a pullback should hold 30.50 unless turning week and breaking down

13 May 2013 12:33 pm
Taking a 15 minute lunch break. Can pullback to the 31-30 area before bounce attempt.

13 May 2013 12:54 pm
30.50 almost reached and should bounce from there or market is back in some trouble again from not able to hold higher prices. 32 resistance is still weak

13 May 2013 01:09 pm
Holding the 31.75 level on the ES keeping this away from trouble at the moment. Needs to hold 30.50, doesn't look like upside will be easy. A break of 30.50 likely means breaking down

13 May 2013 01:20 pm
Finally a breakout of that tiny range and should go for the 33.25 area again

13 May 2013 01:21 pm
31.75-31.50 should be support now. If those are broken through then things could change

13 May 2013 01:24 pm
Came right back down from 32.50 and is trying to hold 31.50, another pop up should be sold whether 31.50 holds or not

13 May 2013 01:27 pm
The NQ looks like a top more than the ES and is leading lower, better vehicle on the short side for now, another pop up on the ES should be sold but bigger breakdown only on break up 30.50 does

13 May 2013 01:37 pm
So far the breakdown able to bounce from the 30 level, 30-29.75 pre-11:05 AM high area also along with 60 EMA on 5 minute chart, breaking this area this or damage

13 May 2013 01:42 pm
30.75 would need cleared and able to hold, not be rejected, to take some pressure off the ES which is headed for 28.50-27.50 on this leg

13 May 2013 01:50 pm
A bounce must come from if we are going to get one, 38.50-37.50, must hold or reverse there or still in a good downtrend. 29.75-30.50 pivotal resistance

13 May 2013 01:58 pm
Needs to take out 29.75 30.50 on this bounce attempt, so far backed off 29.75 so could remain weak and break 28.50, and if so 27.50 must hold

13 May 2013 02:04 pm
Drop to 28.25 quickly reversed back up, should be a good low in place now as long as 28 area holds. Now must get above 30.50 and not come right back down. 29-28.75 area needs held

13 May 2013 02:14 pm
Not sure if this market wants to break out or break down, but looks like better odds on downside. Choppy but stating under 30 area is bearish and bearish unless/ until broken and able to hold

13 May 2013 02:18 pm
ES stuck in that strange. Currently, 28.50-28 has to to hold on the downside, or can be decent pullback to test 26.50 or lower. Has to stay under 30 area for that to have a chance

13 May 2013 02:36 pm
As long as 28 is held a poll backs should be bought for now, 30 area should be good support on a dip and then if held can make another move higher

13 May 2013 02:38 pm
32.50-33.25 the last 2 highs, a move above those is needed to get a move up possibly get some momentum

13 May 2013 02:46 pm
It looks like to have 30-29.75 area needs held to have a chance to make a push to or through the 32.50-33.25 area

13 May 2013 02:59 pm
Holding 30 so on its way to 32.50-33.25 very possible before pullback or just rally through that area

13 May 2013 03:05 pm
The market is now acting more toppy, the bounced stop under 32.50 and that should be key resistance to get through. Not liking NQ action either

13 May 2013 03:07 pm
Should be sold if another pop up towards 31.50-32 stalls out. Needs to hold above 30.50 or can reverse or at least put some pressure on for a bit

13 May 2013 03:12 pm
Back down to the 28 area and this must hold or 26.50 would be the next support on the way down. Could have 22 area insight for tomorrow

13 May 2013 03:16 pm
The only way the state can end well is that there is a reversal from either 28 right here, or down to 26.50 and then turn up with some gusto

13 May 2013 03:17 pm
They moved back to 30-30.50 area needs to be pushed through, not rejected there, or another push lower coming

13 May 2013 03:27 pm
28.50-28 will be key to hold above end of the day to avoid selling pressure, 26.50 would be the first mini support

13 May 2013 03:28 pm
If 28 is held in a push over 30 is also held, there is a chance of a late day run up, don't see that being able to hold even if attempted. The resistance would be 32.50-33.25

13 May 2013 03:34 pm
Bulls have won the end of the day battles lately so as long as 28 holds the market will avoid trouble end of the day. Just expect sellers at higher levels, 31.75-32.50 resistance, if exceeded then a new high not impossible but probably not held

13 May 2013 03:35 pm
Have a good rest of your day, we will see if Tuesday makes 18 updates in a row tomorrow

13 May 2013 03:36 pm
That would be 18 straight up days, not updates. I will catch you in the morning shortly after stocks open if nothing abnormal overnight

 

 

May 10, 2013 Market Action

 
The market opened up just under the 1625 area and managed to break through. What looked like a hold above the 1626 area was rejected near the 1629.50 area and the market broke down below the 1626.25 area. A test of that level gave us a good opportunity to get short for a move down to the 1620.00 support level. The market then bounce from the 1620.00 area up back to the 1626.00 level and went sideways for a while before running up to the 1629.50 area at the close.

You can see now the market respects the support and resistance lines through out the day. There were some decent opportunities for trades today even though  we had a mostly sideways day.

 

 

INTRADAY LOG

 

10 May 2013 09:20 am
Good morning. 25-24.75 was tagged for times since 7:30 AM and that should be important before the 20 level

10 May 2013 09:26 am
There's going to be selling into strength today, don't expect a rally to stick unless there is a good selloff into the afternoon.

10 May 2013 09:31 am
26-26.50 sold and should be good resistance, in trouble unless broken and held

10 May 2013 09:33 am
Bernanke speaking now, 26-26 150 area still key. A break 24 would need to hold on the downside

10 May 2013 09:40 am
27.50 high should be a top but if not then another pop-up to the 28 area should be sold into. If there is another break of 25 they could go for the low

10 May 2013 09:45 am
Bounces are not going to stick that for now 23-22.50 is important or that 20. Resistance at 25-25.50 area

10 May 2013 09:52 am
Pop up to 25.50 new support gave a pullback to 24 so far and if that's broken me to turn right up or getting some momentum

10 May 2013 09:56 am
25.50 was new RESISTANCE not support, the 24 level was broken and quickly turned up, a break under 23-22.50 needed to break down

10 May 2013 09:58 am
The market hasn't liked it up here this last trip but for now a pullback from 26.50-27 should hold around 25 and turn it right back up to continue this move

10 May 2013 10:02 am
29.50 resistance should be hard to get above and hold, could pullback towards 26.50 and then bounced

10 May 2013 10:04 am
The area would be 27.50-27 on a pullback if broken then 26 could be pivotal

10 May 2013 10:07 am
Pullback held 27.75, Potential for a double top at 29-29.50 area is rejected on this move

10 May 2013 10:10 am
A good spot to short around 29.50 second resistance, should be hard to get above and hold. 26.50 should be pivotal support, if broken then uptrend in danger

10 May 2013 10:14 am
Trying to hold 26.50, has by 1 tick so far, if broken then we could have a high in for a while and go back down towards 23.50, was little double bottom there also

10 May 2013 10:18 am
Back to the resistance at 29-29.50, market remains a vulnerable under that area. Should be hard to break and hold

10 May 2013 10:23 am
Back down to the 26.50-26 support, if broken then 25 would be next and could go for the lows

10 May 2013 10:32 am
Small support that 24-23.50 area and must hold there or continue dropping towards 22. Bounce resistance 26-26.75

10 May 2013 10:40 am
21.25 new low. This is not a good-looking pattern and a bounce will fail, 24.50 good resistance, if no turn there then 26 area strong

10 May 2013 10:46 am
24.50 reached and if not a drop from there then could possibly get to 26

10 May 2013 10:50 am
A pretty good turn up from 22.25, that should hold it going to avoid a breakdown. If 24.50 cleared then 26 area next

10 May 2013 10:57 am
Still cannot get above 24.50, another drop down to the 22.50 area should get good right back up again as something holding it up down there

10 May 2013 11:01 am
If the market rolls over from here then we will likely break yesterday's low before a bounce.

10 May 2013 11:08 am
Extended to the 26-26.50 area, if exceeded in no pullback, 27.50 next. No danger of a breakdown unless 23.50 broken for now.

10 May 2013 11:15 am
Tiny double top at 26.25-26 which is resistance, 27.50 if pushed through with some gusto. a break under 24.50 can get this looking toppy instead of decent uptrend

10 May 2013 11:21 am
Went to 22.25 and turned up but not with much gusto, NQ could lead lower

10 May 2013 11:26 am
If 23.50 is broken and then turn right back up. Sold into and still has pressure on. There has been buying on the pullbacks, just have a hard time that resistance areas

10 May 2013 11:34 am
27.50 just reached in a pullback should hold 26 to keep up trend from turning down.

10 May 2013 11:35 am
27.50 could be a bounce high, however if 26 holds in the ES turns back up then there may be one more push towards 29 area that fails

10 May 2013 11:44 am
No sign of stopping at 26 and they continued to 25 so far and likely back towards 23.50 if they bounce cannot take out 26-26.50 ounce resistance

10 May 2013 11:50 am
Market has basically gone sideways but sellers are in charge and it appears. Once again, bounces should not be able to stick, so look for another pop-up to sell and to.

10 May 2013 11:55 am
If this doesn't turn up from 22 stone then going for 20 and maybe the 18 area before a turn back up of some sort. A bounce here has resistance at 24.50-25

10 May 2013 12:03 pm
ES matched its early low that 21.25 right at noon, if there's going to be another decent bounce of several points it needs to hold there and push above 23, otherwise 20 area

10 May 2013 12:05 pm
I have a feeling this is going to take out 20 and go for a chain or maybe a little bit lower sometimes

10 May 2013 12:07 pm
If there's another decent bounce look to sell that as unable to hold meetings and has a downside bias today

10 May 2013 12:22 pm
Definitely need to retrain for a software. I will check for errors from now on but takes extra time getting info to you. Need a move over 23/hold or test 20 area. 3 lows there, bounce needs gusto if push above 23

10 May 2013 12:32 pm
Still seems to be buyers just below, but stalling out and wouldn't be surprised to see another pullback if this stays under 23.75 much longer

10 May 2013 12:36 pm
Two bounces of 6.25 points and that would take the ES back to the 26.50 level which was initial resistance and has been pivotal on number of times.

10 May 2013 12:38 pm
They probably are not going to get that far unless it's a pop-up and that likely not going to stick. Has to hold 23 right now or can break down

10 May 2013 12:45 pm
Bounce from 22.50 should push over 24 and stick if going to reach the 26.50 area on this leg up. 22 area key support

10 May 2013 12:48 pm
Another 1.75 points to go if point you reach 26.50. I don't think it's going to come 25 is going to be hard to get through/hold and sell bounce against that

10 May 2013 12:50 pm
22.50-22 area is support, a bounce keeps chance of 26.50 alive. If broken there can be a retest of the low again.

10 May 2013 12:54 pm
Needs to push through 25, another failure up here could be bad news for a break lower. I will be back with an update after 15 needs to push through 25 minute break

10 May 2013 01:00 pm
A break back under 22.50 needs to come right back up. This would begin to roll over if it is broken and they tell out to right back up. That's been happening quite a bit

10 May 2013 01:02 pm
If this can continue and push through 25 the ES could reach 26-26.50 area and pull back from there. 23 should hold that worst now if going to get there

10 May 2013 01:09 pm
Should hold 24 at the lowest of going to keep going to the 26.50 area

10 May 2013 01:11 pm
The market is going to avoid trouble as long as 23-22.50 area holds this afternoon.

10 May 2013 01:25 pm
So far 24 held on the pullback and should be making an attempt at 26.50 on this move if .2 get their

10 May 2013 01:29 pm
If the ES gets to 26-26 150 it should be sold into and pull back to 25.50 or so, if still strong them will say over 24.50

10 May 2013 01:36 pm
26.50 was tagged and the ES quickly backed away and if 25 is broken and that turned right back up that can be a bounce high for another decent sized pullback

10 May 2013 01:40 pm
So far 24.75 is the pullback low and have high in place at 26.50 target/resistance and 23 area so she on move lower

10 May 2013 01:46 pm
24.50 is as far as pullback supposed to go if still strong, and doesn't appear getting over 26.50 and holding is doable. But expect another pop to fail

10 May 2013 01:58 pm
Quickly turned back from 26, will need to keep going lower and break that 24.50 area to break down some

10 May 2013 02:01 pm
Be a seller on a bounce, a high at 26.50 and then 26 rejected and 24.50 broken by 1 tick. A chance to test 25.50 or a bit higher unless broken

10 May 2013 02:03 pm
I am going to be cutting out early today, around 2:30 PM, my apologies. I will leave some instructions to anything concrete before leaving. Right now sellers and control under 25.50

10 May 2013 02:10 pm
25.50 was cut right through and a retest of 26.50, look to buy a pullback as long as it holds around the 25 area. 27.50 upside

10 May 2013 02:14 pm
If this is going to continue strong and eventually tried for the 29.50 resistance area that was rejected earlier, then shouldn't go under 25.50 on a pullback the way it looks. May not get there, 27.50 good resistance in the way

10 May 2013 02:19 pm
If there is another bounce from up here, it will definitely be sold into. If we are going to get back to the 27 area than 25 needs to hold at worst it appears

10 May 2013 02:27 pm
25 is the pullback low and turned up and test of 27-27.50 should be sold into

10 May 2013 02:32 pm
I will stay a bit longer to see if we can get to 27-27.50 for a reaction of some sort, then will be calling it a day/week. Needs to get up there soon and back away a bit,

10 May 2013 02:34 pm
There could be about a 1.50-2.00 point pullback and that should be as far as one goes to the uptrend is going to stay intact.

10 May 2013 02:39 pm
Needs to break the double top at 27 now and then 2750 from earlier to get anything going on the upside. I hope you have a nice weekend and a happy Mother's Day.

 

 

May 9th 2013 Market Action

 
The two sided action today gave us some real nice opportunities for trading. We had a nice run down after the stall in the morning and then a nice reversal to take out the high. But the best opportunity came in late in the day where we had a classic last trapped trade setup for a nice short that took the market down about 10 points. I have showed the area of the trade on the chart. You too can be profiting from these moves. I teach these setups in my ebook and other courses. Don't miss out and pick up a copy of the ebook and you will receive 2 weeks free to the nightly support and resistance newsletter.

 

 

INTRADAY LOG

09 May 2013 09:25 am
Good morning. Bouncers not able to stick today. This is going to be vulnerable unless 30 is broken/held.

09 May 2013 09:29 am
If that's broken over then comes back down. A decent pullback probably snapped right back also, 22.50 looks to be very important. 26.50-26 first support, minor.

09 May 2013 09:33 am
Yesterday's high touch again and rejected and a drop under 27.75 hits downside

09 May 2013 09:33 am
Another pop up will be sold into,

09 May 2013 09:39 am
Bounce from 27.25 rejected 29.25 for the third day, this must stay over basically 27.50 or could break down. Forget over 29.50 and not reverse. A short under 29.50

09 May 2013 09:39 am
Or wait for the breakdown and then sell the first bounce

09 May 2013 09:42 am
Pushed over 29.50 and will need to hold over 30, not pushover and come back down, 28 area needs to hold at the lowest right now

09 May 2013 09:46 am
28 held and got a pop up that needs to get above 30 and hold up there

09 May 2013 09:49 am
This is a short on bounces under 29.50-30 area, support at 27 then 26 area, then 22.50

09 May 2013 09:52 am
A 3 point drop to a new low, 27 held in that area needs broken to do some damage to the charts this morning

09 May 2013 09:55 am
If just a small pullback or run up from 28 area could get short squeeze and take this over 30 for some pullback

09 May 2013 09:58 am
28.50 held so far and shouldn't go much further if it's going to make another push higher to the new high

09 May 2013 10:00 am
Against the trend A short under 29.75

09 May 2013 10:02 am
28 and then 27 are key levels here

09 May 2013 10:07 am
Top star in and any bounce from here will be sold into, this can go for 22.50 if the 26 area is cut through

09 May 2013 10:11 am
Decent dip little double bottom. If 27 doesn't turn this back on a bounce than 28

09 May 2013 10:13 am
This will stay under pressure under 27 but shouldn't go too much further before bouncing back, 25-24.50 at the lowest unless going for yesterdays late low around 22.50

09 May 2013 10:17 am
27 turned a bounce back a second time. Looks like 26 has to hold or a low will be broken through, instead of popping up from here.

09 May 2013 10:19 am
If no bounce over 27 then the market headed lower possibly towards 22.50 if it gets momentum

09 May 2013 10:22 am
Bounces are not going to stick, 24.25 next level to break and hold if going to the 22.50 area

09 May 2013 10:33 am
A push above 25.25 could start a little run-up. The 27 area could be pivotal on bounce attempt is reached,

09 May 2013 10:39 am
So far bounce to 26.50, pullback should hold 25.25 at worst to keep this upside intact

09 May 2013 10:41 am
This miss Resistance on the bounce and pullback to 26.25 a low slow for, they turn up from here needed to get rally going and not break down for new lows

09 May 2013 10:43 am
That was a pullback to 25.25, not 26.25. That 25.25 level must hold or breaking down again

09 May 2013 10:51 am
Stall out just under 27 and should pullback and break 25.25 if going to have another decent pullback

09 May 2013 10:55 am
Need to break under 25 and not get back over 25.75-26 at highest to keep pushing lower towards 24 or low

09 May 2013 10:58 am
25 was reached in a bounce to 26.75 was sold and can go a bit lower but doesn't look like a lower low is in the cards just yet. 24.50 should hold

09 May 2013 10:59 am
If there is going to be another bounce even if just a small one

09 May 2013 11:04 am
24.50 was held in getting another push higher, this should continue a bit longer even if after a small pullback in try getting through 27

09 May 2013 11:12 am
The only way this keeps going it is pushing through 27 and then holding on a small pullback to attempt test of the high, has to hold 25.50 and pushed through 27 with momentum

09 May 2013 11:17 am
27 low around 9:50 AM, at 10:15 AM it was a bounce high before drop to the low, and tested three times up here, and must be acceded to avoid more downside

09 May 2013 11:21 am
24.50 the bottom of this area needs to get a bounce started, if not then 23.75 below can break 22.50 could get a visit

09 May 2013 11:28 am
24.75 held and backed up to test 27 area, if it's going to push through it should own this time

09 May 2013 11:32 am
A pullback should be 1.25-1.75 points at most and then bounce back again the way this is acting. 26.50 is a small support

09 May 2013 11:38 am
If no bounce from here then back down towards 25-24.50

09 May 2013 11:40 am
Upside could be a pop up towards 28 area then pull back again. Wouldn't overstay that area

09 May 2013 11:52 am
Upside lost its luster here, pressure on below 20 7S that area looks to be pivotal

09 May 2013 11:55 am
Should be buyers around 25.75, if not there then 25 area needs to hold and turn this back up, or a breakdown under way

09 May 2013 11:58 am
NOTE: I'm going to be away for about an hour starting around 12:15 PM. I will update as soon as I read turn.

09 May 2013 12:00 pm
Right here it looks like a pullback is going to be bought and could make it over 28 as long as 26 area holds

09 May 2013 12:05 pm
Similar to yesterday this time with 27.50 acting as the strong resistance. Should have a break lower from 27.50. Needs to be cleared/held on a dip to breakout higher

09 May 2013 12:07 pm
26-25.50 needs to get a bounce or they can begin to get hit a bit harder towards 24.50 area

09 May 2013 12:21 pm
26 broken as 27.50 is afternoon high at least for quite a while and if 24.50 gives a bounce look for resistance around this 26 area that was just broken

09 May 2013 12:24 pm
Reached the 24.50, bounce resistance around 26-26.50 and shouldn't be taken out unless market going to try to break out over 27.50

09 May 2013 12:26 pm
I will be back around 1:15 PM or thereabouts. I will update as soon as I am back

09 May 2013 12:45 pm
Another rejection of 27.50 area, this pullback needs to hold 26 at the lowest if going to attempt a push through

09 May 2013 01:02 pm
A pullback to the 27.50-27 area should be bought if it goes back there. A move over 29.50-30 Resistance would need to hold or could be reversal there

09 May 2013 01:08 pm
New highs on the Dow and the NQ but not the ES so far. This has to stay above 28.50-28 area Tuesday in a strong uptrend

09 May 2013 01:15 pm
The way this is acting if 29-28.50 hold this can grind higher through 30. If that area is broken and not turn right back up, can go down to the 27.50 area

09 May 2013 01:19 pm
If 30 is broken, next levels are around 33 and then well up there at 38. Not going to see that. 28.50 support now

09 May 2013 01:29 pm
Appears to have run out of steam after touching 30, 29 area needs to hold war can go for 28 and maybe lower if picking up momentum and not just a dip

09 May 2013 01:31 pm
29.25 area now a key support that should hold, there it is a chance of turning down from 30.50 but if not then 33 next

09 May 2013 01:36 pm
A pullback will hold at 30-29.50 prior resistance to keep this pushing higher towards 33.

09 May 2013 01:44 pm
So far holding 30.50, that can turn into a key level on a pullback now on the way to the 33 area

09 May 2013 01:47 pm
still in a buying frenzy with all the dips being bought, and 30.50-30 should be defended now to keep this strong uptrend going. 32.50-33 area can be sold into if reached

09 May 2013 01:57 pm
Need to bounce their from 30.50, but the next bounce probably sold into around 32.50-33 has reached. If 30.50 broken 29 needs to hold

09 May 2013 01:59 pm
Haygood bounced back off of 30.50, it's a buying frenzy so careful on the short side until a change of trend. 30.50 still a key support that's potentially pivotal

09 May 2013 02:07 pm
Double top in place even though still holding 30.50-30.00 area, and another bounce should be sold into

09 May 2013 02:16 pm
30.50 broken and now resistance on this bounce, needs to get back above that and hold. A break under 29 would need to quickly reverse or reversal possible

09 May 2013 02:22 pm
30.50 held on the bounce, keeps the pressure on for more downside unless broken and held and 27.50 would be key below

09 May 2013 02:30 pm
29.50-30 area was Resistance on the way up and acting as strong support on pullback there, this little buying frenzy continues as long as that holds the rest of the day. If broken things could change

09 May 2013 02:33 pm
30 should be quickly reverse if going to make another push higher towards 32 and not fail. NQ leading lower or now

09 May 2013 02:37 pm
Pretty steady break to the 29 level so far and now needs to turn up quickly or headed towards 27.50 on this leg down

09 May 2013 02:41 pm
Topping may take another day, or its already in and the market headed another towards 1618 possible sometime tomorrow especially if a close under 27-26 area

09 May 2013 02:42 pm
26.50-26.25 is where the buying came in with gusto right around 12:50 PM, one reason that key

09 May 2013 02:49 pm
Turning kind of ugly and the early lows around 24.50 would be next and that would need to hold

09 May 2013 02:53 pm
If no reversal from 24.50 backup through 26 area, probably going for the 22.50 area from yesterday and possibly a bit lower as this doesn't look very good at the moment

09 May 2013 02:55 pm
Turned out from 24.25 and needs to push through 26 and hold to put a dent in downtrend for a bit

09 May 2013 02:57 pm
This is a top or is topping if happens to be revisited which is doubtful, market should be going towards the 1618 area or a bit lower than that before they bounce, if not today then tomorrow

09 May 2013 03:04 pm
Selling started around 2:32 PM and ended at 3:02 PM so far. Bounce has resistance at 24 area to clear/hold to take pressure off

09 May 2013 03:08 pm
This can get back to the 25 area but should have some trouble there if going to have another pullback this afternoon

09 May 2013 03:14 pm
Stalling at the 24.50-25 that was Spike down support earlier in the day, needs cleared to try going higher and not roll over

09 May 2013 03:17 pm
Could have the low and high of the day in

09 May 2013 03:24 pm
24 area needs to hold as support to keep uptrending going in the last 30 minutes, if not held then could go back towards 22 and possibly test low but not real likely given recent action

09 May 2013 03:29 pm
Odds are better that some pullback would be bought unless the market is going to have a couple of days on the downside. Watch the 26-26.50 end on the day, those were the most power on the upside started today. 31 on top, a ways up there

09 May 2013 03:29 pm
Have a good rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow but shortly after the open

 

May 8, 2013 Market Action

 
Today the market opened just above initial support and a quick poke underneath was quickly rejected. That was the clue that we might see higher prices. The market moved up past the initial resistance and continued higher busting through the second resistance level at 1625.25. A small pullback held the old resistance now support and the market made a run for the 1628.00 resistance level. Another test of the 1625.25 support followed and the buyers came in againt o test the high. That was followed by some sideway action and the market came down to break the support at 1625 and test the 1622.25 area where the buyers came in again to take the market past the high for the day. On the chart I have outlined the best trading opportunities based on

what I cover in my ebook.

 

 

 

INTRADAY LOG

08 May 2013 09:25 am
Good morning. Don't expect today to be on the other 8-10 point rally. Should have two-sided action and bounces not able to hold. 1615.50-1615 key support

08 May 2013 09:31 am
20.50 needs cleared and held or going to test

08 May 2013 09:33 am
20.50 sold on a second bounce, need to stay over 19 or can put pressure on

08 May 2013 09:41 am
First pullback not very far yet, small buying at 18.50, 19.50-20 support now resistance that needs cleared/held on pullback -- not sold into

08 May 2013 09:45 am
Needs to hold around 20-19.50 to continue higher. Much further than that would roll thinks over

08 May 2013 09:50 am
If 20 area isn't held down a drop to 19 area would need to hold or the market can get hit pretty hard. Holding 20-19.50 can keep up trend

08 May 2013 09:54 am
A little dip down to 1620 turned right back up and at yesterday's high, if 20.50 area holds then 23-24 possible

08 May 2013 09:58 am
ES turn down from 21.75-22.25, but as long as 21 holds still can go for the 23-24 area than reverse/pullback of some sort.

08 May 2013 10:04 am
A pullback should be small and hold around 22.50-22 area to continue pushing higher,

08 May 2013 10:08 am
Topping out and needs a strong bounce, not feeble bounce attempt from 22 or a bounce that follows will be sold into

08 May 2013 10:10 am
Pullback held just over 22 so far, they've moved up to 1624-25 should be about as far as this goes for a while

08 May 2013 10:18 am
24 was rejected but buyers came in on a small dip. A break of 22 needed to change that trend

08 May 2013 10:21 am
If the ES gets back to 1624 area expects on selling, has broken 22 area which is key, but upside extended and little left to go

08 May 2013 10:24 am
At least before a decent pullback of some sort. Too straight up for this to be a trend day again and not have some decent countertrend action

08 May 2013 10:33 am
The ES hasn't been able to hold over 24 more than a millisecond, should be decent pullback if not exceeded/held soon. 23 needs help or breaking

08 May 2013 10:37 am
This is relentless, another pullback should hold 24-23.50 to continue strong uptrend. If broken then dynamics could change.

08 May 2013 10:40 am
24.50 prior why

08 May 2013 10:42 am
1624.50 prior why is now a minor support and should hold of going to stay in a buying frenzy. 1624-1623.50 must hold or things change

08 May 2013 10:51 am
24.50 was held for about 10 minutes and pop up to 1625.75, that was promptly sold and now 1625-1624.50 will need to hold to keep buying frenzy

08 May 2013 10:53 am
The new highs are not holding, if another push higher from 25, look for that to be sold and could be start of decent drop from up here when this trend breaks

08 May 2013 10:58 am
This should be about it for this rally. If no bounce from 25-24.50 then has rolled over and go for 22.50 key area

08 May 2013 11:00 am
24.50 likely will be broken but even if a bounce from that area that will not hold, but set up a short again

08 May 2013 11:07 am
So far 24.50 able to hold and give a bounce but not going too far, if that is broken then the next support would be down around 22.50.

08 May 2013 11:09 am
If there is one more run up to take out 26 it would likely stop around the 27.50-28.50.

08 May 2013 11:17 am
As long as 25.50 area is held above the ES should go another 1-2 to the 27.50-28.50 area and maybe a little bit more

08 May 2013 11:21 am
New high rejected like all but one has done today, but no reversal of trend unless a break/hold under 25.50, especially 24.50. 27.50-28.50 possible otherwise before a pullback, if just the small one

08 May 2013 11:41 am
Market still wants to push higher, no dent in the up side yet until 1625.75-1626 prior high

08 May 2013 11:48 am
If they stall here and break 26-25.75 area, could begin decent pullback. The NQ turning down would help get that going

08 May 2013 11:53 am
45 minutes in a 1 point range on the ES, after a straight up run. Needs to hold 25.75

08 May 2013 12:00 pm
Popped outside of the range at last, needs to stay above 26.50 area to keep upside going

08 May 2013 12:20 pm
27.50-28.50 area reached in the market acting tired up here, doesn't mean there will be buyers at lower levels however. This can go down to test 26 at worst Tuesday in decent shape

08 May 2013 12:27 pm
The NQ had a spike up in quick turn back now, and the ES is struggling, they short trade for a scalp and possibly more with better entry on pop up

08 May 2013 12:33 pm
If they bounce from the 24 point. Look for resistance around 26.25-26.75 at best

08 May 2013 12:51 pm
24.50 was able to hold and now the 25-24.50 area should be an important support to hold, so far bounce made it to 26.50 resistance, IF broken/held through, could test the high

08 May 2013 01:00 pm
Bounce back to resistance not real enthusiastic but needs to bounce from 25-24.50 at worst or downtrend would begin

08 May 2013 01:07 pm
As long as 26.25 holds on a dip this uptrend stays intact to make a slightly higher high

08 May 2013 01:13 pm
Tested the high and pullback held 26.50 so for, it stays bullish unless that's broken and not turned up quickly

08 May 2013 01:24 pm
At a fixed resistance that has stopped market last time. A pullback should hold 26 area to keep the market in a strong position

08 May 2013 01:29 pm
With double top in place the 26 probably more important, if broken then 25-24.50 should be key support. .

08 May 2013 01:31 pm
If that support holes and dull top is broken through then the ES could try for the 30 area or thereabouts

08 May 2013 01:34 pm
Pullback stalled at 26.50 support in popped up one point so far, new highs have been quickly turned back. If this one is not it's going to 30 area

08 May 2013 01:42 pm
Triple top now at 27.50, and almost 216 on pullback. If no bounce there then chances are ES is headed back to the 25-24 area before a decent bounce is still strong

08 May 2013 01:48 pm
Could bounce there but likely not going to stick, as has failed at 27.50 tested three times afternoon

08 May 2013 01:59 pm
If no sign of a turn from 25-24.50 as there should be, then market changing character and 22.50-22 area would be next

08 May 2013 02:20 pm
The pullback low was made at 2 PM but having a bit of trouble getting a bounce going. As to get above 26.50. And not turn right back down to get another run up. 25-24.50 area key support rest of the afternoon

08 May 2013 02:28 pm
This could bounce a bit more but I am not interested in the long side so much, pop-ups being sold into and a break of 25 by much could bring quick drop

08 May 2013 02:35 pm
This should be going to at least a 22.50 area and down to the 19-18 area not out of the picture if nothing happens around 22

08 May 2013 02:42 pm
Pressure is still on holding under 24.50 which was support, if that is taken out than a bounce towards 25.50-26 COULD occur and that should be sold into

08 May 2013 02:43 pm
22.50-22 area still a target/support below and then the 18.50 area

08 May 2013 02:47 pm
Almost to the 22.50-20 area, if not able to bounce with gusto and to get above 24.50, this is still likely going for the 18.50 area

08 May 2013 02:48 pm
22.50 target met and held,

08 May 2013 02:49 pm
Needs to get above 24.50 and not turn right back down to get out of trouble for a bit

08 May 2013 02:55 pm
Selling out of picked up pace from the 26 level. If 24.50 is pushed above look for resistance around that area, that lower high likely sold since 27.50 rejected 4 different times

08 May 2013 03:03 pm
If there is going to be another drop it should come soon and from under 25 it appears

08 May 2013 03:06 pm
If they poke above that 25 level, then 26 should be sold if we. 27.50 is huge, tested on 5 different occasions today

08 May 2013 03:10 pm
Need to see 26 rejected or show some reversal, 24.50 area support again that needs broken to get anything going on downside

08 May 2013 03:13 pm
26 rejected and should be a bounce high if going to have some pullback in the last hour

08 May 2013 03:14 pm
If that's cleared and held than 27.50 key for the day, 5 times tested and 5 times rejected today -- so far

08 May 2013 03:20 pm
27.50 is a key area up here, rejected five times so far. Can go for 30 if they exceeded and not turned right back down

08 May 2013 03:22 pm
Looks like this will be okay at the end of the day as long as the 26-25.50 area holds on a pullback from up here. If they come back down and close under that, it would look bearish

08 May 2013 03:28 pm
26.75 area is trend/ pullback support at the moment and needs to hold their work could head back towards 25 area before closing, instead of ending strong

08 May 2013 03:31 pm
Have a good rest of your day. Why will "see" you here tomorrow sometime around the open.

 

 

May 7, 2013 Market Action

 
Today the market opened up just above our first resistance area. It came down to tag it and made a run for the second resistance area. Selling hit the market there and a strong push down thru the 1615.00 area to the 1612 support zone. Buying came in at the initial support and the market busted through the 1615 resistance. A test of the 1615 resistance now support followed, which was a good place to get long for a move back up to the 1620 area. The market ended up breaking the next resistance at 1620 and then it turned to support and a test there was another spot to get long for a couple of points. Check out the chart below and notice where the arrows point to the way the market reacted to the support and resistance levels. Knowing the levels is one thing , and trading around the levels is another. The ebook shows you the setups I use to trade around the levels. Pick up a copy today.

INTRADAY LOG

07 May 2013 09:20 am
Once the ES got back above 1612 area and held the pressure was off. And open up here would be a gap on the daily chart and should drop to 1615 and that needs broken/held for some sort of pull back

07 May 2013 09:22 am
Overbought could get a bit more overbought so going to be careful fighting the trend and momentum. But there should be some selling

07 May 2013 09:25 am
One early pop up stalls/reverses and if not from this "pivot resistance" at 1616.33 then not much higher

07 May 2013 09:28 am
Also the market has decided that from now on every Tuesday will be an up day. Ha ha. I don't think bounces will have it easy holding anyhow

07 May 2013 09:36 am
The gap at 15.25 was touched and this bounce should stop below 1619 on this first push higher

07 May 2013 09:39 am
1616.50 will be the first important support on a pullback from

07 May 2013 09:42 am
If this does punch up to the 19.25-20 area it should be reversed or we have buying frenzy going

07 May 2013 09:43 am
That should be a top just under 19 and especially if 16.50 doesn't hold. If another run up then that zone should get tested

07 May 2013 09:48 am
Pullbacks held at 17 and pop up 17-16.50, that will be pivotal and must hold things change. 19-20 should be hard to get through/hold

07 May 2013 09:52 am
19 reached so far, 17.50 should be important on pullback

07 May 2013 09:56 am
17.50 needs to give a strong bounce or a high could be confirmed and market begin rolling over.

07 May 2013 09:59 am
So far 17.75 able to hold, no turn to the downside unless that is broken and not quickly turned back up

07 May 2013 10:03 am
That 19.50 is still right in "resistance" zone given by one method for "resistance", a break of 18-17.50 would begin reversal process

07 May 2013 10:04 am
Top is in for now and if 17-16.50 doesn't give a bounce than down to 15 or lower

07 May 2013 10:08 am
The NQ was hit pretty good and could lead this lower, it could get hit harder if the doll begins to weaken. 1617.50-1680 area resistance

07 May 2013 10:12 am
A break back under 1615 is going to make this look kind of bad and go for the 1613.75 level or lower

07 May 2013 10:14 am
1612.50-1612 area would be next. Resistance around 1615.50-1616.25

07 May 2013 10:17 am
1613.75 broken by one tick and turned up, can give a bounce back towards 15.50 16 area but should fail if going lower

07 May 2013 10:19 am
1612 should be in the cards and if no bounce there were just a tiny one that fails there can be another air pocket towards 1608

07 May 2013 10:21 am
Now this is more like what I was expecting. 1612 easily reached, steady selling since 10 AM high. Should have low in for bounce to 15 area which should be key

07 May 2013 10:30 am
A bounce to 1615.25 stalling out, needs A move above 15 that holds could give a push towards 16.50-17

07 May 2013 10:31 am
14 is a small support and if a bounce from their then we can see one more little pop to the upside. If broken then they slide down towards 12 or lower

07 May 2013 10:36 am
14 held as the first decent pullback continues a bit higher from the 1612 area. Resistance that 16.50-17, and 14 area key support now before the low

07 May 2013 10:41 am
16.50-17 area reached. needs to push through held. Up trend breaks if 15 area unable to hold on pullback from 16.50

07 May 2013 10:41 am
Next update in about 10 minutes or so

07 May 2013 10:53 am
1617 was reached in the grind higher and this can continue unless 15 point. Broken and not turned right back up

07 May 2013 10:54 am
Another bounce should be sold into

07 May 2013 10:56 am
So far the pullback support held and bouncing button 82 pushed through 17 and stick, not turn right back down

07 May 2013 10:59 am
The ES has rolled over in the 15th 15 area is key on this pullback, if no bounce from that area then could test/break below

07 May 2013 11:07 am
The ES bounced off of 15.25 and made it back to 1617 and the backing off a bit again. Still need to break 1615 to get this turned back down

07 May 2013 11:20 am
This is stair stepping higher the way that these grinding rallies have gone lately. If 16 area not held, a high will be in but if held and this continues grinding higher could retest high

07 May 2013 11:26 am
A hold over 17.75 needed or could start breaking down. They move over 17.75 could bring in more buying to test high

07 May 2013 11:30 am
17.75 to tell to get through. This pattern leaves the market vulnerable for another decent pullback but needs to break 16 at least to get downside going.

07 May 2013 11:41 am
Pullback held right 1616.25, so no damage done yet to this choppy uptrend off of the low. Holding 16 area key support for now, to continue grind higher

07 May 2013 11:53 am
Turned up from 15.75 but still will have pressure on unless the 17.25-17.75 area Gets pushed through

07 May 2013 11:57 am
A bounce from the 15 support but not very strong and market stays under pressure under 16.50, or 217.50-17.75 especially,

07 May 2013 12:05 pm
Not expecting this bounce to break/ hold 17.75, but market is acting better and can bounce back up if 16 holds

07 May 2013 12:08 pm
Well, as long as 16.75 holds this can push through 17.75 and maybe go for a test of 19 or so, not state out there for very long

07 May 2013 12:17 pm
1617.75 was pushed through what should have trouble holding, if they drop to 16.50 area Would need to bounce right back or market headed to 15 began

07 May 2013 12:32 pm
The NQ rolling over of the more than the ES and could lead the way lower, ES needs to stay over 17 area or break towards 15 again

07 May 2013 12:39 pm
Almost 25 minutes in this trading range. 18 on top and 17 on bottom. 18 was an earlier also. They push above 18 and can hold

07 May 2013 12:41 pm
That breakout occurred just after I pressed the send button, in any case 17.75 mile support that shouldn't be broken to continue higher. 17.25 key support

07 May 2013 12:46 pm
19.25-20.00 was rejected early and that is being retested and a pullback should go no further than 17.75 Tuesday in decent uptrend

07 May 2013 12:51 pm
18 held this back while trading and that one point range for about 30 minutes, that should hold as support to keep uptrend intact for now

07 May 2013 12:59 pm
Made it to 1620 so far, pullback should hold 19-18.50 or uptrend will be interrupted. The next resistance around 23 area if 20 happens to be exceeded/held on the dip

07 May 2013 01:03 pm
20 was sold and that will be hard to get through and hold, look for pullback to 18.50 area to turn up to this is going to stay strong

07 May 2013 01:08 pm
Now it's 1819 area that needs to hold two continues from, the tips have been around one point since starting this last move from 15

07 May 2013 01:12 pm
The trend up action double top just under 20 and that should be a top for a while, but NQ weaker and better on shorts the ES better on long trades

07 May 2013 01:14 pm
19-18.50 needs to give quick bounce back up on the ES or that will begin to roll over a bit

07 May 2013 01:16 pm
An uptrend, so as long as that support holds it should be bid back up. Must hold on one more test

07 May 2013 01:24 pm
Some selling off of token higher high, another pop up will be sold into also, needs to bounce from 19 or could have some trouble and potentially reverse

07 May 2013 01:26 pm
18-17.50 area will be next important area on the downside if a pullback that's not just ~1.50 points. Otherwise another try at the high possible

07 May 2013 01:33 pm
Another pullback should turn up from 19 area, to stay in a strong trend up move. Selloff lasted 20 minutes and was pretty normal 7.25 points and back up again

07 May 2013 01:37 pm
Should be a trend to be the way this is acting, but we will see around the 23 area if reached. Support now around 20.25-19.75 area, shouldn't break that

07 May 2013 01:44 pm
This can work its way towards the 1622.75-1623.25 area if a hold about 20.25.

07 May 2013 01:45 pm
That should be key to this strong uptrend, should stay over 1620 as resistance turned support

07 May 2013 01:46 pm
Next update in about 10 minute break.

07 May 2013 01:51 pm
Might be running out of steam and pullback towards 20.25 and would need to bounce right back from that area or continue on lower

07 May 2013 02:00 pm
If they hold under 21 there is a chance of a breakdown to at least 20 and then that must hold and bounce back or we can have a deeper pullback. But

07 May 2013 02:02 pm
If 21.50 is reached and 21 can hold on a dip, then upside can reestablish itself and go for 23 area

07 May 2013 02:08 pm
It looks like just by pullbacks above 20.50-20.00 for now, that is the key support that should hold to keep upside intact and trend up mode.

07 May 2013 02:09 pm
If that area is broken instead, especially not getting over 21.50, then things can be changing and pullback for 15 minutes or so

07 May 2013 02:20 pm
The NQ had its high early at 2956.75, that along with 1623 on the ES would be a good resistance if reached. May not get there at no bounce from 20.50 over 21.50

07 May 2013 02:24 pm
20.50 holding so for, 21-21.50 area should be sold on a pop up if going to have some selling. If that area exceeded then 23 still possible

07 May 2013 02:30 pm
The NQ having some trouble as is the A break of 20.50 that doesn't reverse right back up means decent pullback towards 18 area possible

07 May 2013 02:37 pm
Could be a bounce attempt, but it not much gusto it will be right back down and head towards at least 19 maybe lower that that

07 May 2013 02:39 pm
20.50 prior support now resistance on a bounce, the 2949.50 area on the NQ.

07 May 2013 02:57 pm
There could be a move above 21.50 if this can stay up 20.25 at the lowest, as to spurring higher from there if there's going to be another move higher

07 May 2013 02:58 pm
The move just started and should make a token hire by at the least before pulling back

07 May 2013 03:02 pm
Token higher high made, should see some pullback but still continued uptrend as long as 20.50 area is filled

07 May 2013 03:15 pm
20.75 then 21 able to hold and should try to grind higher, just would look for new high to be sold, not sure about closing direction but it hasn't been basically trend up

07 May 2013 03:15 pm
And as long as stair step higher continues uptrend stays intact. 21-20.75 area should hold as support work could be some late pullback or selling into strength and least

07 May 2013 03:21 pm
This basically turned up move will have some early selling tomorrow maybe some lawyer to this morning being at new high territory,

07 May 2013 03:26 pm
Pullback held at 20.75 so no breakdown, NQ weaker. Could go either way, but buyers in charge holding 20.75. If broken and not turn back up then could drop down to 19 or thereabouts

07 May 2013 03:27 pm
Have a good day and I will see you here tomorrow a little bit after stocks open unless something unusual overnight

 

 

May 6, 2013 Market Action

 
Today the market opened up right at the 1612 resistance area and quickly came down. It didn't quite make it to the 1608 area and ran back up to break through the 1612 resistance. A higher low followed which propelled the market to new highs for the day and then holding above the 1612 area. That was the clue we were going higher still and it setup a nice long opportunity for at least 2-3 points. Support and Resistance trading has worked in the past and will continue to work in the future. It is how I trade and I can show you how. Pick up a copy of the ebook and get two weeks free to the support and resistance numbers so you can trade like a pro as well.

INTRADAY LOG

06 May 2013 09:28 am
Good morning. I'd be careful jumping in long up here, there's going to be a decent pullback soon. If 1608.50-1608 broken and doesn't turn up

06 May 2013 09:29 am
Things will be changing. But looking for some profit-taking, indicators close to extremes and near selling territory

06 May 2013 09:34 am
This can keep its underlying bid unless a pullback to 1610 doesn't bounce right back

06 May 2013 09:35 am
If it's going to get sold early than 1612 should turn it down and break through 10.50

06 May 2013 09:39 am
12.25 was sold but not in place unless 1610.50 broken-another push would put it through 1614

06 May 2013 09:41 am
Quick pop up to 12 and turned back down, that might be it for now on the upside and 1609. Next

06 May 2013 09:45 am
A bounce from 1609.75 should have trouble around 1611.50 if going to have another pullback to test break 1609-1608 area

06 May 2013 09:52 am
1609.50 able to hold so for, there could be another push higher -- that fails -- as long as that is held. A break would mean 1608 area next

06 May 2013 09:53 am
10.50 should be a pivotal resistance that would need to be broken/held on a dip to try to get upside going

06 May 2013 10:00 am
1609.25 reached and holding on 2 attempts, could pop up to 1611 or a bit higher then pull back again at the lowest not in place

06 May 2013 10:07 am
The ES popped up to 1611 and then a dip to 1610 was bid right back up, low area around 1610-1609.50 shouldn't be broken if the market is going to stay strong

06 May 2013 10:14 am
Stalling out just under 1612 but need to break 1611 to attempt reversal

06 May 2013 10:19 am
It's going to be hard to get above 12.50 and hold up there. Could be one more bounce from 1611 but likely not stay over 1612.50. 1610 would be next to break down

06 May 2013 10:27 am
ES made it to 1612.75 but couldn't stay there and pull back to 1611.50, that area key support on another dip. Would need to break/hold under 1611.50

06 May 2013 10:28 am
To break the uptrend for now. 1614 area next resistance

06 May 2013 10:32 am
If the market internals closed the day where they are now, it will put internal gauges into sell territory. This bounce looking tired here

06 May 2013 10:34 am
More of a choppy grind higher with sellers around new high, the 12-11.50 area needs to hold on the next pullback to keep upside intact. Thats key. 14.25 next above

06 May 2013 10:40 am
Test of high sold again. But still going to need to break 1612 area and not turn right back up to top out up here. Cash indices topping

06 May 2013 10:44 am
12-11.50 area reached, Needs to come back up with gusto, 1610.50 key below. 14.25 area would be sold

06 May 2013 10:51 am
New support that 1612-1611.50 broken through, 1612.50 resistance on a pop-up, 1610.50 is a key area must hold or go for 1408 possible

06 May 2013 10:56 am
With indicators currently in sell territory, and will be that the market close up here. Can bounce from lower, but favoring short side for now

06 May 2013 11:00 am
Should go for 1608.50-1608 before decent bounce attempt. The key resistance on a bounce 1611.25-1611.75 area

06 May 2013 11:11 am
Would need to get back above 1610.50 and holds above that level, then a little bounce could occur but not stick. Pressure on under 10.50

06 May 2013 11:17 am
10.50 will need to hold to get to 1611.50-1612.25 area, transition area from earlier, should have selling there if going lower

06 May 2013 11:28 am
Going to be a two-sided day, 1610.50 broken/held and a nudge higher to 1611.50-1612.25 area sold into. That is key resistance still and 1610.50 support, that looks key to this move breaking down again

06 May 2013 11:33 am
Must hold 1610-1609.50, if not then 1608.50 or lower before a bounce of some sort

06 May 2013 11:37 am
If they pop up again from this support it will be another shorting opportunity. Should have trouble holding over 1612 if broken

06 May 2013 11:47 am
Market keeps getting buyers on pokes just under 1610, a narrow range today but as trends not damaged long as 1609.75-1609.25 holds

06 May 2013 11:51 am
12.50-13.50 should be sold into, and then pullback must hold around 1611.50-1611 at the lowest if a pullback from that area

06 May 2013 11:58 am
Likely going to test the high or go for the 1614.25 high from Friday. If that's not taken out it will be an inside day, but probably will get tested as market acting strong

06 May 2013 12:00 pm
At the moment anyhow. A narrow range day still and should be selling if they move to 1614 and stall/reject that area. 1612 needs held

06 May 2013 12:22 pm
Just missed getting to 1614 & came in, pull back needs to bounce from 1612.50 or getting week and next bounce will fail

06 May 2013 12:37 pm
1612.50 is: and shouldn't go much further or well drop towards 11.50 or so. As long as 1610 holds the move is just a pullback. 1614.75-1614.25 still needs broken/held to attempt more than just two-sided action

06 May 2013 12:41 pm
Next update after about 15 break

06 May 2013 12:54 pm
It has been slow trading in a narrow range but since 1612-1612.50 broken and able to hold, that is going to keep market out of trouble as long as that holds

06 May 2013 01:02 pm
Okay, top of the range tested and sold down to 1612.75. Trying to hold, if broken and not turned right back up then could go to 1611 or lower

06 May 2013 01:14 pm
So for 1612.50 continues to hold. If broken and not turned right back to it could get a little momentum and fall to 1611 possibly 1610 area around the low. 14.25 if a pop higher, lower odds, would be sold

06 May 2013 01:23 pm
Market still in decent shape as long as 1612.50-1612 able to hold. Needs to get a push above 14 pretty soon if this is to have a chance to extend upside a bit,

06 May 2013 01:30 pm
1612.50 held twice and 1613.75-1614 sold 3 times. A breakout should be to the upside but likely have trouble holding.

06 May 2013 01:34 pm
1614.25 get a test and then a bit of pullback ~3-4 ticks

06 May 2013 01:35 pm
13.75-13.50 area from where the breakout started needs to hold as support now to keep up side from reversing

06 May 2013 01:39 pm
1613.75 reached so far and should go much further if going back up to test the high. A test should be sold

06 May 2013 01:46 pm
Still holding 13.75 but if broken then back towards 12.75 which is key area now

06 May 2013 01:56 pm
1613.75 held and ES tested its high, there is no "real" resistance in all time high ground, only a couple of other ways to get numbers

06 May 2013 01:57 pm
1616 is one, but that should be hard to get through and stay up there today. If not then 1618

06 May 2013 01:59 pm
1614.25 should be good support on a pullback now, should I go much further or getting a bit weaker than should be

06 May 2013 02:06 pm
1614.25 able to hold so for butt if broken the next pop-up will be sold into, 1613.75 and then 1612.50-1612 and of the day

06 May 2013 02:11 pm
All of the pullbacks have been holding at the new support areas and grinding higher, last pullback at 1614.25 made it to 1615 and looking a bit tired up here, 1614.25 area needs to hold to avoid potential reversal/pullback

06 May 2013 02:12 pm
This could make it to a token hire why and then come back down again, 1616 should be good resistance have reached

06 May 2013 02:27 pm
This will be the third day in a row for the markets and there could be a bit more to go on the upside, but tomorrow my stuff will mostly negate the long side. But for now market okay as long as 1625-1613.75 area holds

06 May 2013 02:30 pm
Might keep an eye on the NQ for a shorting opportunity, a pretty good pullback from its high should be sold on next bounce

06 May 2013 02:33 pm
The NQ should have resistance around 2952.50 on a bounce attempt, should not get above 2953.50 and hold today. ES stalled at 1615.25 that needs to push through from above 1614.25

06 May 2013 02:42 pm
Stole it 1614.50 area so could make another push on the upside but probably not hold up there, that's to be seen.

06 May 2013 02:46 pm
The NQ failed on a bounce to 2952, if that breaks 2650 then could pull the ES lower with it. It just broke 1614.50, 1614.75 ounce resistance if going lower

06 May 2013 02:47 pm
Could be the start of a pullback that's more than just a few points on the ES. Look for shorting opportunity on another pop up. If 14 area can't hold 12.50 area next and that is a key support this afternoon

06 May 2013 02:55 pm
Tiny ranges with ES trying its best to hold what should be support, if 1614-1613.75 area and can retest high if held

06 May 2013 02:56 pm
broken and not turn right back up, then heads towards 1612.50. should hold there or shorter-term intraday trends begin rolling over

06 May 2013 03:06 pm
1614.50 has a been bounced resistance and should head towards 1612.50 area and maybe further unless broken and held, selloff likely underway for now

06 May 2013 03:13 pm
1614.50 still needs to be cleared to take pressure off and get ES back into an uptrend or can go to the 1612.50 or lower

06 May 2013 03:15 pm
It was back and forth early and then kind of a trend to move until topping out at 1615.25 4 different times. Market will have work to put together good rally, only a move back above 1614.50, not reject that area

06 May 2013 03:21 pm
Still should go to 1612.50 area and maybe lower given status of internal indicators

06 May 2013 03:22 pm
1612.50 area just missed so far, should still try for that area one more time. 1614 area is bounced resistance

06 May 2013 03:25 pm
Even if a good bounce from 1612.50-1612 area, it will be "sell the bounces" tomorrow especially with a poor close

06 May 2013 03:31 pm
At the end of the day the ES is going to need to stay above 1612.50 to avoid damage. They move about 1613.50 needed to take some pressure off, 1614 for a better bounce

06 May 2013 03:34 pm
It looks safe at the moment but if 1612.50 area is broken then they go down to the 1610-1609.50 lo area, key under 1612.

06 May 2013 03:35 pm
Have a good rest of your day. Tomorrow should be an important one, so be sure to read the update and I will see you sometime around the open

06 May 2013 07:57 pm
A bounce should be sold overnight, pressure is on the late buyers up here are stuck under 1612 area, 1609.50 and then more important 1608 should hold to avoid some short-term damage

06 May 2013 08:08 pm
1603.50 could also be in the cards if if this this lasts more than a few hours, especially Tomorrow during RTH hours -- or overnight if it gets active and 1609.50 and 1608 are broken, target/support, then 1603.50 in case sizable overnight drop

 

May 2, 2013 Market Action

 
Today the market opened up at the 1583.00 area and although it poked below it was able to come back hold above of it for about 30 min. That was the clue that we may see some bullish action and sure enough the market made a run to the next resistance area t 1589.50 in what was a trend change from yesterdays bearish action. The the market was able to bust through the 1589.50 area and ran up to the 1592.50 area where a pull back that held above the 1589.00 area gave a good opportunity for a long trade that was good for about 3 points. Great opportunities again today trading around the support and resistance numbers published in the nightly newsletter. If you have not subscribed don't miss out any longer and get the ebook and the two

weeks free of real time numbers.

 

 

INTRADAY LOG

02 May 2013 09:25 am
Good morning. It looks like last night's update explains the early support there at 80-79 area, if they hold over 84

02 May 2013 09:29 am
Should get short covering from lower levels. And if they somehow rally to 88-89 area again should be selling

02 May 2013 09:39 am
Has to hold 83.50-83 bounce from failing

02 May 2013 09:43 am
If they break down through 83 and don't turn right back up then 81 could be seen next. NQ very strong start, should lead a pullback

02 May 2013 09:50 am
A dip to 82.50 was turned right back up, having trouble getting through 85 so if that's not broken and 83 is, could start drop. 85 needs cleared/held next

02 May 2013 09:53 am
For now this is a short under 85

02 May 2013 10:04 am
82.25 pullback low to 85.50 double top for now, needs to bounce from 82 area or is in some trouble. Next pop up sold into

02 May 2013 10:06 am
So far 82.75 was held and turned up, could have fast break if that area broken. 85.50 needs cleared, still a short

02 May 2013 10:11 am
Stuck between 82.50 and 85.50, no damage done unless 82.50 broken, could see 88 if just a tiny pullback off token new high

02 May 2013 10:16 am
88-88.75 area should be sold, but only back to 86 area if going to stay in a good uptrend. If that's broken, a hike could be in for a while

02 May 2013 10:28 am
Pullback held just over 86 and 87.75 reached, not coming off hard just yet and needs to break 86-85.50 to turn back down

02 May 2013 10:31 am
Stalling out up here at resistance, token higher high sold, if there is going to be a reversal it should come from here and take out 86-85.50 soon

02 May 2013 10:35 am
The ES pulled back to 86.50 and bounced right back, there is good buying on small pullbacks with the NQ leading this run up. 86.50 area key, 90.50 next above 88.75

02 May 2013 10:37 am
This should be key area for all 3 averages, 88-88.75 on ES, 14,780 on the Dow cash and 2894 on the NQ are all key resistance areas

02 May 2013 10:40 am
That can be a top if 86.50-86 broken through. Or especially drop towards 85.50, and then fail around 87 on a bounce back

02 May 2013 10:49 am
86-85.50 could get a bounce but not be able to stick and make another push lower.

02 May 2013 10:59 am
A bounce from 86.25, 87.75 has not been held for a very long, so that needs pushed above and not turned right back down to keep this run up going. 86-85.50 key support

02 May 2013 11:11 am
86 has been holding on dips and should now try for 90.50 and maybe 93

02 May 2013 11:15 am
90.50 reached and now 89.50 is a small rollback support that should hold, 93 area would be next

02 May 2013 11:21 am
We have a strong move higher going, if going to be some pullback it will need to reject 92.50-93.50 area. And drop more than 2.50 points. If no rejection then 96.50-97.50 if breakout sticks

02 May 2013 11:33 am
92.50 sold twice but needs to break under 90.50-90 to dent upside. 91.50 should hold if going to push higher and not test that zone

02 May 2013 11:39 am
Pull back from 92.50 needs to bounce from 90.50-90.00 area or it could be in to roll over

02 May 2013 11:47 am
The pullback held at 90.75 so far, keeps up trend intact, though there should be hard to get through 93 and stick unless pushed through with gusto

02 May 2013 11:48 am
Just a heads up: I will be away from roughly 12:15 PM until 1:15 PM, and will update as soon as I return

02 May 2013 11:56 am
Strong trend day going and the new support holding on pullbacks, the ES backed away from 93, but no change in less 90.50-90 broken

02 May 2013 12:04 pm
Trend days can have countertrend when around noon, and 9050 might have been a high for a while, if no bounce from 92, especially 90.50-90

02 May 2013 12:09 pm
This is going to have trouble holding over 93 so a retest of the high likely sold. Pull back to 90.50 would be 3 points off the high and begin potential breakdown

02 May 2013 01:15 pm
After the last update the ES pulled back to 90.25 support, and bounce back to 92.75 so far, and now a number of highs at 92.25-93.50 area,

02 May 2013 01:16 pm
The market has come quite a ways off its low, so still should have trouble breaking/holding 93 area. If I'm wrong, and that's exceeded/held

02 May 2013 01:17 pm
Then they could get a squeeze up towards 96.50-97.50 area

02 May 2013 01:20 pm
For now if 93 area rejected, instead of broken through, pullback should hold 91.50 to continue to be very strong. 90.50-90 area is a key support

02 May 2013 01:26 pm
The way this is acting over the last few minutes, could get through 93-93.50, as long as pullback does not take out 92.25-92. 96.50 97.50

02 May 2013 01:27 pm
Poke up to new high at 74 was sold but can go back up there if 92.50 area is able to turn market back up

02 May 2013 01:39 pm
The last pullback held 92.50 and a bounce to 94.25 new high sold, a failed breakout if this would break 92 and not bounce back strong

02 May 2013 01:52 pm
Upside stalling out and wouldn't be surprised to see pullback to 91.50 maybe 90.8 area,

02 May 2013 01:52 pm
Would need to break 92.50 to get the move of going.

02 May 2013 02:00 pm
Holding 92.50, likely sellers at the high or just above, a pullback from new high should be about 2 points. If more than that then trend up may be over

02 May 2013 02:08 pm
Another pop up from here is a shorting opportunity, the NQ losing some luster also. It has been steadily up but door open for decent pullback

02 May 2013 02:15 pm
A bounce from 92 back to 93.50 should be sold if this is topping out up here. It will need pushed through with gusto to go for 96.50

02 May 2013 02:21 pm
93.25 reached so far and shouldn't go much further before they dip. Would be careful on short side, trend update with tiny pullbacks better to buy low

02 May 2013 02:23 pm
If they take out 92 area, should bounce back but probably not a huge bounce, would be breaking intraday dynamics and bounce should fail again

02 May 2013 02:35 pm
92 has turned into a key area and market stays bullish as long as buyers hold that area, 91.50 at the lowest.

02 May 2013 02:37 pm
Watch 93 area on a pullback for support, 96.50-97.50 the next "resistance" if new high not instantly sold

02 May 2013 02:41 pm
Needs a quick bounce from 93-92.75, however the new highs poking over 94 have been instantly sold and need a push above 94 to hold up there

02 May 2013 02:48 pm
93 was bought and keeps the market from potential break lower. They move over 94 needs to hold, but likely will have trouble. 93 should hold or can head under 92

02 May 2013 02:57 pm
If there is one more pop up, look for that to be sold, three times to 94 or just above came right back down, market has been strong but

02 May 2013 02:59 pm
that barrier needs pushed over and held up there in the last hour to have a chance to test 96.50-97.50, doubting that

02 May 2013 03:02 pm
A test of 96.50 would equate to around 1600 on the cash index. That is not far above and should not get above that/hold today anyhow

02 May 2013 03:06 pm
93.50 rejected on the last bounce, buyers may begin backing off and take out 90.50-90, that is a major area for the end of the day

02 May 2013 03:19 pm
Bounce from 91.75 stopped at 93.25, so far, 93.50-94 area should be pivotal in the last hour, drop back to 91.50 or lower if not exceeded/held

02 May 2013 03:23 pm
93.50-94 zone was spoken to in reverse and now can go back towards 92 area and needs to reverse their or 90.50 area possible before bounce attempt

02 May 2013 03:26 pm
That is going to be key/pivotal resistance the rest of the afternoon. Only if 94 pushed above, and hold on tiny pullback, can bring move to 96.50

02 May 2013 03:27 pm
Have a good rest of your day. I will catch you tomorrow probably a little bit after the open unless a big early move
 

 

May 1, 2013 Market Action

 
The market opened up at the 1588 level listed as support but since we opened below that level it turns into resistance. The level was quickly rejected as the market fell to the 1583.00 support level. The market bounced from there to test the 1588 level which setup a short opportunity. The market then fell again breaking the 1583 level this time and then on a feeble bounce another shorting opportunity came in the form of one of the setups taught in my ebook called the slinky. The short there was good too the 1579 support level for about 4 points. Later yet another shorting opportunity came after the bounce from 1579 which ended up breaching the low for a weak close on the day. Don't miss out on these moves. Today there were some good setups which could have easily made about 10 points on ES.

 

INTRADAY LOG

01 May 2013 11:02 am
The ES went down to test the 1583 support at 10:15 AM and again 10 minutes later and turned up, transition to uptrend clearing 85.50 and holding

01 May 2013 11:02 am
The 88 area should be pivotal for resistance here, if cleared/held then uptrend could go further. 86-85.50 important support to hold on pullback

01 May 2013 11:10 am
86.50 held on pullback and that is important area to hold to try to push through 88, if they run up there must get through with gusto, not reject

01 May 2013 11:16 am
Per usual of late, market made a low and the first hour and turned around and has gone trend up, there is a 2 PM Fed release, but ok above 86.50 for now

01 May 2013 11:18 am
Those will need to turn up from above 86.50 here and then get back above 88 and hold. Will be a temporary high otherwise

01 May 2013 11:27 am
86.25 and 86.00 were early lows before dropping to 82.75 low and then after tagging 86.50 around 10:45 AM, a 1 pt dip and 86.50 broken/held since

01 May 2013 11:29 am
So that 86.50 area should be key support up here on pullback from 88 area. Needs clear/held next to keep this pushing higher

01 May 2013 11:38 am
AE should hold us back now even if a bounce from 86.25. Hurley shouldn't get that far. 85 next support

01 May 2013 11:53 am
Drop down to just under 85 and turned back up. Another drop under 85.75 needs to bounce right back up or could break 84.50 and go back to test 83-82.

01 May 2013 12:11 pm
Bounce failed just under 88 again and turned down, that area should be pivotal and is currently a short on bounce under that, will likely be bought around 85, but 83 if broken

01 May 2013 12:19 pm
Yet another trading range, there has been decent buying on dips so far, but not able to stick over 88. This move would need to get through 88/hold

01 May 2013 12:42 pm
This was a short on a bounce and the ES made it to 87.00 and stalled at 86.75. pullback reached 85.50 so far and needs to break under 85.50 soon to put pressure on

01 May 2013 12:50 pm
Still is more than an hour before the Fed announcement, 88 areas still pivotal resistance if a decent bounce comes from 86-85.50 area

01 May 2013 12:59 pm
85.50 area is bounced resistance to clear to take some pressure off, the 84-83 area has been in play early and 83 area key on this move down, if short

01 May 2013 01:01 pm
Cover part and trail stop on the rest. 85-85.50 as bounce resistance and should be sold if still week

01 May 2013 01:04 pm
There could be a bounce from this zone, but if it doesn't and breaks instead it could be a fast one

01 May 2013 01:10 pm
Look for a bounce from 81, 83.50 Resistance should fail

01 May 2013 01:13 pm
If going back down to lower low 83-83.50 area should be sold. If 81.25 does not hold, then the 79.50& 78.50 area Could be in the cards

01 May 2013 01:17 pm
82.75 bounce high so far, If there is a push higher from 82, a move over 83.50 area needed to take some pressure off.

01 May 2013 01:24 pm
81.25 low turning into good support. 82.50-83.50 prior support turning into pivotal resistance, would need to get back above 83.50 and hold 82.50 at lowest.

01 May 2013 01:40 pm
1583.50 area was sold on the bounce and back down to the low, if not turned up quickly then going to the 79.50-78.50 area before bounce attempt

01 May 2013 01:42 pm
Fed release in about 20 minutes, and although it hasn't happened in quite some time, the tendency for a trend day is a reversal after the release.

01 May 2013 01:46 pm
79.50 was reached and could bounce, But still to change this the 82.50-83.50 area needs to be exceeded and then held around 82.50 on a pullback.

01 May 2013 01:49 pm
79.50 reached, could bounce. The 81.25-82 area should be resistance on a bounce attempt if markets still weak. Fed release in about 11 months

01 May 2013 02:02 pm
Rejected 83.50 area, pullback phase to hold 81 or going to token lower low before bottoming

01 May 2013 02:10 pm
84.50 a bounce I so far, just below the breakdown area from earlier. A pullback from 84.50-85 likely. Then 82-81.50 at the lowest to keep upside going and not go far test the low.

01 May 2013 02:16 pm
The ES fell to 81.00 and bounced, took out 82-81.50. That should get one more test if no push above 54.50-85 resistance

01 May 2013 02:22 pm
If can hold 83.50-82.50 area on pullback the uptrend stays intact. If broken 81 should hold.

01 May 2013 02:30 pm
86 area Acting as resistance, needs to bounce from 83.50-82.50 area or a bounce that follows should be sold into

01 May 2013 02:42 pm
82.25 pullback low so far, if broken for a bounce will fail at or under 86.25 bounce high. Small resistance 84.25 five and 84.75

01 May 2013 02:45 pm
Not expecting huge move up from here even though holding support, this bounce should tell that one more push lower, then the shorts cover and bounce follows

01 May 2013 02:52 pm
A move above 84 that doesn't turn right back down could run a couple more points before stopping, this 81.75 key support

01 May 2013 02:56 pm
Without 84 and rallied 1 extra point, Looks like 83.25& 82.75 area important support if a pullback, then 81.50

01 May 2013 03:06 pm
My areas are off this afternoon, I think we have short coming in for cover on the pullbacks and get a quick bounce that is unable to stick.

01 May 2013 03:07 pm
Needs to get above the 85 area and not turn back down to get out of potential trouble in the last hour, but look for potential reversal from tests of low

01 May 2013 03:09 pm
If the 81.50 area has broken through. That will be key support end of the day. A drop to 79.50-78.50 should get turned back up

01 May 2013 03:17 pm
Could scalp a long trade from that support but should be pretty good resistance around 81.50- 82. It's risky because could just keep going towards 73 area

01 May 2013 03:21 pm
Would be surprised to see a late day rally, it is not going to be able to hold the waves is acting and will probably get follow-through tomorrow

01 May 2013 03:26 pm
This should see 74-73 before completing downside, or getting decent bounce I can't stick. Could see some short covering

01 May 2013 03:29 pm
This should not have a strong run-up in the last 30 minutes, should drift lower and maybe get to the 74-73 area if this action continues. 80.50 area Resistance

01 May 2013 03:31 pm
Have a great rest of your day. Tonight's update will be just a quick comment along with the numbers due to having family here

 

April 30, 2013 Market Action

 
The market opened up at the initial support and quickly traded below heading down to the 1582 support area The buyers came in there after a second test and a move to the 1588 area was underway. A small stall there and the market was able to push through. That setup for a long opportunity as the market came back down to test the 1588 area for a move up to the next resistance level at 1592. A rejection of that area was followed by a test of the 1588 support and after some sideways action the market just poked over the 1592.50 resistance area at the close. I marked the highest probability trade of the day on t the chart. Which turned out to be a resistance turned support area. 

 

 

INTRADAY LOG

30 Apr 2013 09:28 am
Good morning. Econ data morning, not much different from last night update. Needs to rally from the open and get over 89/hold, but Econ data

30 Apr 2013 09:29 am
Going for 16th consecutive up Tuesday

30 Apr 2013 09:34 am
That might be early high at 88.50, 88-89 area needs cleared and held

30 Apr 2013 09:39 am
Must be more shorts in the market than folks think, help holding this up on the early pullbacks lately. 89 sold, no damage unless 88 broken/held

30 Apr 2013 09:43 am
They need to get over 89/hold. There is more Econ data top of the hour, market is in some trouble as long as 89 not broken/held on pullback. 87 minor

30 Apr 2013 09:44 am
83-82 area should get tested if bounce fails around 86.50-87 and breaks 85

30 Apr 2013 09:51 am
87 bounce resistance sold, another decent drop from their should make for a buying opportunity for at least a ~2 point scalp

30 Apr 2013 09:54 am
83-82 area needs to hold and turn up, but bounces should be sold into a top can be in place

30 Apr 2013 09:59 am
83.25 low so far before the number is short at least cover par

30 Apr 2013 10:03 am
Should be going to the 79 area before any bounce attempt even if we get one there it will most likely fail

30 Apr 2013 10:07 am
There is small bounce resistance at 83, staying under that keep the pressure on. If exceeded that 84.75 area looks key

30 Apr 2013 10:15 am
83 pushed above, this doesn't have much gusto to go very far, a move over 84.75 needed to take the pressure off

30 Apr 2013 10:17 am
Pullback needs to stay above 82.75-82.50 if there's going to be a push through 84.75 and maybe a bit higher,

30 Apr 2013 10:23 am
Has to push above 84.75, not stall out under that level, or going to roll over again

30 Apr 2013 10:29 am
The bounce stopped at 84.25, 2 ticks under new 84.75 resistance, and that is key to clear/hold to attempt giving out of trouble. If low broken 79.50-78.50

30 Apr 2013 10:33 am
Test of low held by one tick, should hold but if not then down to 79-78. A move to 84.75 or a bit higher to get things turn up

30 Apr 2013 10:40 am
58.75 reached, pullback should hold 84 area to keep up trend.

30 Apr 2013 10:45 am
86.50 area is poor selling came in earlier, a pullback should hold around 84.75 area or could start another decent drop

30 Apr 2013 10:51 am
Pushing higher from 85 point., 84.75 is he/transition support that needs held on a dip to keep uptrend intact, 88.58-89 resistance

30 Apr 2013 10:58 am
Just under 88-89 area and the ES needs to hold 85.50 at worst or uptrend in danger here

30 Apr 2013 11:04 am
86.25 pullback low so far, but tiny double top at 87.50, just under the 88-89 he resistance zone up here. Gets toppy if no bounce from 86.25 area

30 Apr 2013 11:07 am
Going sideways but holding support, has been giving moves higher, no damage done unless 86.25 broken for now

30 Apr 2013 11:11 am
88.00 level reached, that resistance and could get reaction. Needs to stay above 87 area now to continue grind higher and not turn toppy

30 Apr 2013 11:27 am
The ES broke 87 and trying to bounce back, needs to hold 86.50 area to keep up side grinding higher, if broken or a decent pullback to test 84.75

30 Apr 2013 11:35 am
88 finally pushed through, 88-87.50 area Now support to continue crying higher, 86 very important up here

30 Apr 2013 11:43 am
90.75 is first resistance, then the 92-93 area. Has to stay above 88.50 or there is a dent in the up side momentum. 86.50 should be strong support if reached on pullback

30 Apr 2013 11:50 am
90.75 area could be tough to get through and hold. 89 needs held to continue grinding higher and not reverse

30 Apr 2013 11:54 am
90.75 reached pretty easy, if that doesn't stop the move up then 92-93 area next. 89.50 trend up support. Next update in about 10 minutes

30 Apr 2013 12:04 pm
90.75 stopped the upside, 89.50 broken, another pop up should be sold into for an afternoon pullback of some sort

30 Apr 2013 12:18 pm
The move up to 90.25 was sold on the break of 89.75, that should be bounce resistance, afternoon pullback in gear 84.75 a major area on pullback

30 Apr 2013 12:23 pm
88 area should be pivotal up here, if the market is going to make new highs than probably would need a good bounce from there. If broken/held then 86.50 man 84.75 key

30 Apr 2013 12:38 pm
The NQ is quite a bit stronger than the ES today, so just keeping that on your radar screen our 2824.75 has been good resistance. 89.50 on the ES now. 86.50 next support

30 Apr 2013 12:47 pm
Pullback held 88.25, that's an important support and pivotal area the rest of the day. That would need to be broken/held on bounce to change things

30 Apr 2013 12:56 pm
A new high and not instantly sold back down, a pullback should 90-89.50 to keep good uptrend and head towards 92.50-93.50

30 Apr 2013 01:08 pm
The ES backed off from 92.00 but was just a tiny 1.25 point move. That 90.50 level is strong up trend support and should hold if going to push to/through 92.50-93.50

30 Apr 2013 01:10 pm
If you have been buying pullbacks around support on the way up, suggest exit at/near that resistance zone

30 Apr 2013 01:13 pm
90.75 prior high acting as support and 90.75-90.50 does not get pushed back up thru then 92.50-93.50 in the card still

30 Apr 2013 01:26 pm
This has been going sideways between 90.75 prior resistance/new trend support and 92 on top, should get into 92.50-93.50 area if 90.75 holds

30 Apr 2013 01:35 pm
Unable to get through 92 and may need to pull back a bit more towards 89.50 at the lowest. That should give a bounce if reached. If not held

30 Apr 2013 01:37 pm
Then 88.50-88 area should be a key support on a decent pullback. That will not be seen today if the market is going to remain strong

30 Apr 2013 01:48 pm
Should stay above 91 to keep on pushing through 92 this time and continue a bit higher before pullback

30 Apr 2013 01:53 pm
There has been pretty good buying pressure since coming off 10:30 AM low, this test needs to finally push through, 90.50 important support now

30 Apr 2013 01:59 pm
Not much rejection at token higher high, looks like 91.50 needs held. If no turn up from there, 90 area an important support to avoid retest of 88

30 Apr 2013 02:04 pm
Market kind of acting like ES leery of 92-93, at least looks like a tough area to get above and stay up there. If 90 doesn't hold than 88 area. No new law

30 Apr 2013 02:08 pm
If 89.50 breaks there could be a bounce but some dynamics would change and bounce would be a shorting opportunity especially near 91

30 Apr 2013 02:15 pm
88.75 Low on the drop from 92, if the market is weak then the 90-90.50 area should be hard to get through/hold

30 Apr 2013 02:16 pm
If that is not exceeded and 88 area broken through its on its way to test 85.50-84.75 area.

30 Apr 2013 02:27 pm
Should be able to reach 91 area at least, unless weak and going to take out 88 area

30 Apr 2013 02:28 pm
If there is a failure to get through 90.50-91, and they break up 88 more likely. If 91 has exceeded, then pullback likely will hold

30 Apr 2013 02:29 pm
Need to be the way for 10 minutes my apologies

30 Apr 2013 02:40 pm
I'm not sure how much upside possible but another test of 88.50 held and as long as 89.50 area holds this can move back up, that might be key to hold them 88.50 is going to

30 Apr 2013 02:52 pm
Most all-out at 91 so far, a drop to 90 level needs to bounce right back or could retest 80.50-80 area before a bounce

30 Apr 2013 02:54 pm
That's 88.50-88.00, not 80.50. Sorry for that. If broken a bounce sold into

30 Apr 2013 03:00 pm
90.25 was touched and 91.25 tested. Has to stay over 90 or will be going for 88.50-88 area again.

30 Apr 2013 03:03 pm
Tops are tricky and it has been up at the highs today, not sure how much more upside before decent pullback

30 Apr 2013 03:04 pm
88.50 area tested around noon and again late afternoon and another test needs to turn right up or go down to the 86.25 area at least

30 Apr 2013 03:17 pm
Holding over 89-88.50 area necessary to and on a good note. Should hold but if not then down towards 86.25. Watch 91 for reasons on pop

30 Apr 2013 03:18 pm
I will not be here until sometime around noon tomorrow due to an appointment in the morning, I will update ASAP when I return

30 Apr 2013 03:19 pm
Have a good rest of your afternoon. I will catch you tomorrow when I am back hopefully before noon.

 

April 29, 2013 Market Action

 
Today the market opened up above the initial resistance at 1578.50 and into the 1582. A hold above the 1578.50 level was a clue that the market was more bullish then bearish. The market then made its way to the 1588 area and stalled for about an hour before breaking out. A retest of that level was bought and a run to the 1592.50 resistance level followed. The market backed off from there back down to the 1588 area where a bounce failed and set up a good shorting opportunity. The nightly updated numbers continue to frame the market well and provide at least 2-3 opportunities to make some decent trades. Don't miss out on these great trades. Sign up today for the nightly newsletter and get the ebook to learn how to trade around these levels.

 

INTRADAY LOG

29 Apr 2013 09:22 am
Good morning. Gap up open at 9:30 AM open is above 81.50. If not held then 78

29 Apr 2013 09:33 am
81.25 held so far but likely sold at 83-84 area

29 Apr 2013 09:35 am
Pressure on as long as hold under 82 area down to 78 area or lower

29 Apr 2013 09:43 am
Could have a low for a bounce to 82 area that should be important on a bounce.

29 Apr 2013 09:49 am
would need to get back above 82 and not turn right back down to avoid deeper pullback, 78 then 76.50-76 would be a key support

29 Apr 2013 09:53 am
If 82-82.50 stops a bounce, it is just pulling back unless 81-80.50 area broken.

29 Apr 2013 10:02 am
82.50 was sold on first test but pull back reversed up from 81.25. 82.75 sold second test. If that is broken/held things change

29 Apr 2013 10:08 am
Strong push above 82.75 came from 81.75 level, thats now to support rest of the morning. 88-89 would be next, strong R there if reached. 84 S

29 Apr 2013 10:14 am
Stalling out just under 86 and pullback needs to bounce from 84 or action begins to look toppy

29 Apr 2013 10:18 am
Potential for reversal at 86

29 Apr 2013 10:24 am
If 84.50-84 doesn't hold and uptrend broken, a quick pullback to 83-82 could happen. Strong market though unless that area broken

29 Apr 2013 10:31 am
88-89 could still be in the cards, that should be key resistance if high not in. Need to stay up 85.50 to stay strong. 83-82 key now

29 Apr 2013 10:46 am
The dip held right at 85.50 so far, move is stuck between that and 87.00 and should push through towards 88-89 unless 85.50 broken

29 Apr 2013 10:56 am
Higher highs sold into, so far 88 was just missed and a pullback shouldn't break 86.50, if it is then 85.50 area key up here

29 Apr 2013 11:00 am
Basically trend up move after first 15 minutes. Pullbacks 1.25-1.75 points then push higher. Makes 85.50 more important symmetry would break

29 Apr 2013 11:05 am
if they do bounce from 85.50, market turned from 1 tick under a big resistance and should be sold to another pop up

29 Apr 2013 11:15 am
So far the pullback from 87.75 held at 85.50, if broken then high is in or a while, 87 area tiny resistance then 80-89. 83 support if break

29 Apr 2013 11:24 am
Holding 85.50 to make one more push higher, but should have trouble around 87 if not going to make a new high and the breakdown under 85.50

29 Apr 2013 11:36 am
Bounce from 85.50 up to 67.75 so 40 Holden 86.25 on dip and if broken than 85.50 danger of breaking also.

29 Apr 2013 11:45 am
85.50 new support was bought again on the dip, that area is key to hold around noon or could begin trend change. A push over 87 could start small squeeze

29 Apr 2013 12:08 pm
88-89 reached, can pullback but no sign of top yet 87.50 good support

29 Apr 2013 12:13 pm
87.50-87 S, NEEDS HE;D NOW, 85.50 GOOD S. 92-94 AREA NEXT R / MAJOR. BACK IN 10-15 MIN

29 Apr 2013 12:38 pm
as long as 89-88.50 holds on a pullback this is capable of reaching 92.50-93.5 area

29 Apr 2013 12:43 pm
We had a small gap up open today and gap days often times turned into trend days, and all pullbacks are gentle and small before higher again

29 Apr 2013 12:54 pm
Should continue into the 2 PM timeframe unless the uptrend is broken. If 89.75 on able to hold then 88 area key/transition area should be pivotal

29 Apr 2013 01:00 pm
If there is a bounce back to the 89.50-90 area and stops, it should set up another push on the down side. This reaction different than others

29 Apr 2013 01:06 pm
So far pullback is holding just above the 88 area that is pivotal up here, it will take break/hold under that to attempt reversing

29 Apr 2013 01:18 pm
This can and back towards the 85.50 area to continued weakness breaks through 88.50 area, and the NQ stays weak also taking out 2565

29 Apr 2013 01:27 pm
So far the ES trying to hold 88.50-88 zone, but has been unable to get back above 89.50 and stay there. 88 area appears critical support

29 Apr 2013 01:31 pm
If this stays over 88.50, no damage done and could get a little bounce on move over 89.75. If 88.50-88 broken 85.50 area next

29 Apr 2013 01:43 pm
Now 89.50 area should hold to keep grinding higher to take out 91, and maybe test 92.50-93.50

29 Apr 2013 01:48 pm
Should stay above 90.25-90 to keep up trend intact and moving towards 92.50-93.50 on this move

29 Apr 2013 01:53 pm
Biggest pullbacks 2.25 points before pushing higher, 87.75 to 85.50 new S and 2.25 points from 91.00 to 88.75, another new high. More than that

29 Apr 2013 01:55 pm
Would change dynamics, and then open the door to test 88.50-88 which would be just below. As long as 90.50 holds can go to 92.50-93.50 on this move

29 Apr 2013 01:58 pm
Trend day almost to the 92.50-93.50 five 2 PM timeframe. Could be tiny shakeout at that area, but not go too far.

29 Apr 2013 02:11 pm
90.50 held above and managing towards 92.50-93.50 which should give a reaction of some sort, if broken, should be no more than 2.25 point dip

29 Apr 2013 02:18 pm
Not a huge reversal but just missed the 92.50-93.50 zone by just 1 tick. If another push that reaches that zone likely sold, 90 is important area

29 Apr 2013 02:27 pm
So far just 1.75 point pullback and stalled and then back up. This move needs to take out 92.50-93.50

29 Apr 2013 02:29 pm
And not turn right back now. If it doesn't get there, or does but a pullback breaks 90, then a high could be in

29 Apr 2013 02:44 pm
Market keeps this same rhythm of pushing higher than sideways for a rest, then push higher again as long as 90.50, 90 at worst, holds on pullback

29 Apr 2013 02:47 pm
But expect some selling if 92.50-93.50 reached and the move stalls or shows rejection of that area. Has been holding 20 EMA on 5-minute chart, 90.75 currently

29 Apr 2013 02:52 pm
Need to see good bounce start from that 90.75-90.50-90 area to keep this going end of the day

29 Apr 2013 03:02 pm
Market is trying to make a late day decision after spinning its wheels just under reset all time high at 93 on ES thing session, if

29 Apr 2013 03:03 pm
If the 90.50-90.00 area broken and not turned right back up, then bounces likely sold late day, the NQ could lead

29 Apr 2013 03:06 pm
Another failure up here could be bad news, 90.50-90 area tested and even a bounce not going to stick it appears, 88 key

29 Apr 2013 03:10 pm
88.50-88 is the key area and of that day, ounce resistance around 90 but market will not be so bullish that that is broken especially on close

29 Apr 2013 03:12 pm
Could bounce from the support, but market is timid by even hesitating and under pressure under 90 as that needs cleared on bounce

29 Apr 2013 03:15 pm
And all day rally that gives up with an hour to go normally sign of trouble. Hasn't broken 88 yet, but pressure on, a bounce will be sold

29 Apr 2013 03:20 pm
If this is going to break lower again than it should from under 90, at least not get above and hold that level

29 Apr 2013 03:21 pm
A break under 88 could start a drop to 85, if that momentum than 83 area. And the day resistance still the same.

29 Apr 2013 03:22 pm
Have a good rest of your day and I will catch you tomorrow morning.

 

April 26, 2013 Market Action

 
Today the market opened up and gyrated above and below the 1578 level but failed to get over initial resistance at 1583.00. Finally after a break of the 1578 level the bears held that ground and after a few test of the now resistance area the market dropped down to our 1572 support area. There were at least 5 points there to profit from on the move down. Again once support is broken and then held it sets up a short setup. That was the best trade of the day and it also goes with the basic principle of following the trend. The trend was definitely down after the decent sell off yesterday in the afternoon session. The numbers in the nightly update continue to frame the market I've been doing this for almost 30 years and the strategy has not changed much and will not the future. I can show you how to come up with these numbers and how to trade around them. check out the chart below

 

INTRADAY LOG

26 Apr 2013 09:28 am
Go by the nightly update in the early going. 78 is key early, then 76.50. And 82 area If they run up should not stick

26 Apr 2013 09:36 am
That's a top for now, especially a break of 78 that doesn't snap right back

26 Apr 2013 09:37 am
If they pop up one more time, 80.50 area needs to be held, should be sold up their and then come down fast for one more push lower

26 Apr 2013 09:43 am
Down to the 76.50 area giving short cover about to start. 38.50 should be good resistance now

26 Apr 2013 09:53 am
78.50 was sold down to 77 on the first test, a little double bottom at 76.50. They pop up to 80 area will need to have gusto and not stall

26 Apr 2013 09:53 am
Econ data in about one minute

26 Apr 2013 09:58 am
Watch 82.50-83 for his assistance, 80-79.50 needs to hold on a pullback

26 Apr 2013 10:02 am
Just missing 82.50-83, so for, a pullback needs to hold around 80 and turned back up to have a chance to get all intraday trends back up

26 Apr 2013 10:05 am
80.50 held so far. But stalling while the NQ dropping hard off its high, this might be another high up here 78.50 pivotal

26 Apr 2013 10:08 am
Can bounce from 78.50 but a bounce is going to fail, good shorting opportunity if one more push higher. Holding under 82 negative

26 Apr 2013 10:15 am
Test of the low getting a bounce, 78-78.50 should be pivotal resistance. Another pop-up also will be sold

26 Apr 2013 10:18 am
73 area should be in the cards before there is a decent bounce attempt, new low bought but they hold under 78 then 73 likely

26 Apr 2013 10:24 am
74.75 could be a low for a while, still watch 78.15 area for good resistance on a bounce.

26 Apr 2013 10:33 am
78 sold in pulling back again, a break of 76 and not quickly reverse up would put pressure on toward 73 then mounts.

26 Apr 2013 10:36 am
This is going to give a double bottom or a higher low and then try for 78 again or maybe a bit higher

26 Apr 2013 10:40 am
If 78 area is exceeding, then a pop up to 78.75-79.50 possible but pull back from there.

26 Apr 2013 10:47 am
Market has been churning sideways but stays bearish under 78-78.50, if that area exceeded/held, then 80.50

26 Apr 2013 10:52 am
Could be bounce attempt from 75 area but staying under 78 keeps pressure on to test 73-72.50 and maybe lower

26 Apr 2013 11:10 am
Better double bottom in place 74.50, but need to take out 78 to break down trends

26 Apr 2013 11:27 am
78 reached and rejected, but not 78 was sold but not wanting to break down by holding at 76. Must hold now or new low. 2834 same as 78 on ES for R

26 Apr 2013 11:31 am
Both 78 on ES and 2834 on the NQ need cleared to attempt taking some pressure off. Can still go for 73

26 Apr 2013 11:38 am
Even a decent bounce sold into aggressively, still 73 area to go for. Keep an eye on the Dow cash, and sank with ES

26 Apr 2013 11:52 am
Almost to the 73-72.50 support, if no turn then 68 area would be next. 75-75.50 resistance

26 Apr 2013 12:05 pm
73-72.50 zone was reached in some decent buying/short covering just came in at noon Eastern, a low should be in place for a bit. 75-75.50 R

26 Apr 2013 12:13 pm
Pullback from 75 held at 73.50 and must hold that to have a chance to push higher one more time and not break 72.50 support

26 Apr 2013 12:20 pm
As long as 75 has held below the pressure stays on to retest the low and possibly a break toward 68 this afternoon

26 Apr 2013 12:28 pm
There will need to be a quick turn backup from 73.25 at the lowest or the low will be tested/broken. The ES spent very little time below that

26 Apr 2013 12:38 pm
The ES touched 73.50 and turned up, needs to push above 75 and not turn right back down. Doesn't act like that will happen. 77-78 area IF it does

26 Apr 2013 12:48 pm
ES broke 73.50 by 1 tick twice and turned right back up, but only one 1.25 point bounce sold into. Still must get through 75

26 Apr 2013 12:50 pm
Currently looks safe holding 73.50 but if broken.

26 Apr 2013 12:53 pm
The ES backed away from 75, still needs to get above and hold that. 77-78 if broken/held. Next update after taking a 10-15 minute break

26 Apr 2013 01:07 pm
If no bounce from 74.50 then bounce high probably in, don't expect bounce to go far, should be one more decent pullback as long as 77-78 not exceeded

26 Apr 2013 01:11 pm
Look for rejection around 77-78 area. 74.50 is pivotal now

26 Apr 2013 01:17 pm
Market active in the first 30 minutes then topped and steady drop lower to 73-72.50 support at noon. Things change some @ 12:50 PM,

26 Apr 2013 01:20 pm
No pullback to 74.75 was important support, transition area for now. This can reverse at/near 77-78, but no breakdown unless 74.50 broken

26 Apr 2013 01:30 pm
Run up made it to 78.25 resistance, that will be a high if this breaks back to test 76.50-76 area and not bounce back. That is trend support now

26 Apr 2013 01:36 pm
78 touched and rejected again, a short up here for a pullback to 76.50 maybe a good bit lower

26 Apr 2013 01:47 pm
The pullback held right at 76.75 and then turned up again. 77-76.50 key support on a pullback now. 80.50 area resistance next

26 Apr 2013 02:03 pm
Hasn't held over 78.50 resistance for very long, a drop to 77-76.50 can happen if that's not exceeded/held soon

26 Apr 2013 02:11 pm
Double top in place and break of 77.50 properly leads to test/break of 76.50 area. 77.50 key support for this trend

26 Apr 2013 02:34 pm
76.75 key area held so for an thin trading with about half normal bid/ask size about 2 ticks above/below current price. 78.50 needs push above/held

26 Apr 2013 02:36 pm
For the market to get another move on the upside and avoid deeper drop from here. 75 area would be next

26 Apr 2013 02:47 pm
76.75 held for a third time and made it to 78 so far, that area needs to hold or could have late shakeout.

26 Apr 2013 03:00 pm
77.75 on the ES needs to hold to have a blast our run-up

26 Apr 2013 03:03 pm
There was a tiny double top at 78 before breaking about that, then two pullbacks held at 77.75. If broken then things could change

26 Apr 2013 03:06 pm
80.50 good resistance on this, if that is broken through them the 82 area.

26 Apr 2013 03:11 pm
A pullback should hold 79.50-79 area if the uptrend is going to stay intact

26 Apr 2013 03:23 pm
The ES reached 80.75 and backed away, retest of 80.50 sold. 79 needs held on pullback if there is one more pop up coming

26 Apr 2013 03:28 pm
Market will end on a good note unless there is a break below 79.50-79 that doesn't get turned right back up. That's trend support and has been holding

26 Apr 2013 03:30 pm
Watch the 82 area For a potential turn. But still no damage done holding 79.50. If broken, then bounced that follows sold into

26 Apr 2013 03:30 pm
Have a great weekend! I will catch you on Monday morning

26 Apr 2013 03:51 pm
Double top and if this goes back under 78.50 then we can see further downside towards 77.50 and then 76.50, close under that means weaker market than expected

 

April 25, 2013 Market Action

Today the market opened a bit higher and after a slight pullback we had a run up through the 1583 area on the ES. As I stated in the nightly update last night and I quote "A quick move over 1580 could bring in a bit more buying and test the 1583 area on the ES. That should be sold if the market can overcome bearish odds and get that far. If there's no rejection of that area, then it's a stronger day than expected for sure and the 1588 area would be all that is in the way of testing the 1593.00 current day session high" As you can see from the chart above, we had a good move over 1583.00 and so we were expecting a stronger day and when we came back to test the 1583 area again it setup a perfect opportunity to get long and hold it to the 1588 area which was the next resistance. That area later turned into resistance again after it was broken when the 1588 area was rejected on the second test. Once you understand how to read the market using the support and resistance techniques I use things become much more clear on how to trade. Imagine if you had that information last night, you could have easily made 5 points today on that trade alone. The market respects the s/r zones daily and in combination with the setups outlined in my ebook and DVD series you have an arsenal to extract money from the market on a daily basis. All it takes is some dedication and a bit of work to learn the setups

and techniques. Click on the chart below to enlarge.

 

 

 

INTRA-DAY LOG

 

25 Apr 2013 09:24 am
It doesn't look like the market is going to get sold off very hard today. A decent pullback likely bought as it has been. However, its going

25 Apr 2013 09:26 am
To have trouble getting above the 82.50-83.50 area and staying up there if reached. A drop down to 76 area, that needs to hold

25 Apr 2013 09:33 am
ES needs to get over 79.50 and hold

25 Apr 2013 09:36 am
Holding 78 and can pop up from there but probably not stick

25 Apr 2013 09:41 am
78 held in giving bounce but needs to push through 80.50 and not turn right back down, otherwise going to reverse mirror 10 AM

25 Apr 2013 09:44 am
Short up here a top should be in at 80.50 for now

25 Apr 2013 09:47 am
A break down to 76.50-76 area possible and then 78-79 would be new bounce resistance in a downtrend. 79-79.50 area key in here

25 Apr 2013 09:50 am
76.50 reached and bounce should have resistance at 78.50-70 9F going lower

25 Apr 2013 09:56 am
The move down to 76.50 giving a bounce back to test high, pull back needs to hold 78.50-78 and turned back up, or reversal could occur

25 Apr 2013 10:00 am
78.50 needs held to avoid topping for now, that should be pivotal. Same with 2842 area on NQ

25 Apr 2013 10:07 am
The NQ has been stuck under its 2847.50 resistance since the first run up 10 minutes into trading, the ES opposite, almost to 82 R

25 Apr 2013 10:10 am
They should get in sync pretty soon. The ES resistance at 82.75-83.50 is a major area up here, only 88 in the way of re-test all-time high

25 Apr 2013 10:12 am
Pullback needs to bounce from 80.50-80, the NQ needs to reverse up from 2841-2840 or can break up trend

25 Apr 2013 10:18 am
A bounce from 80.50 back to the high did not stick. If 80.50-80 is held, buyers still in control to move to 82.50-83.50 before potential turn

25 Apr 2013 10:22 am
82.50 reached, not aggressive selling, just buyers backing away for a dip the way things have been going. A break of 80.50 needed to reverse

25 Apr 2013 10:28 am
82.75-83.50 resistance zone poked over, pullback should hold 82.50 area to continue many melts up

25 Apr 2013 10:35 am
Pullbacks have been tiny on the way up, 1.50 points or less then back up, stalling after breaking 83.50 R, 83 needs held to avoid shakeout

25 Apr 2013 10:38 am
Back in about 10 minutes

25 Apr 2013 10:47 am
A buying frenzy but should be tougher going from here unless work going back to 93 high today. 84-83.50 Beta held or it breaks trend

25 Apr 2013 10:51 am
84.25 pullback low so far, 85.50-86 can be tested next. But if broken 82.25 would be next. 80.50 area major today now

25 Apr 2013 10:53 am
Pop up to 85.75, new highs sold and then pullback. Has to hold 84.50-84 area to keep grinding higher

25 Apr 2013 10:56 am
18 EMA on one minute chart good dynamic trend support on the way up at 84.50 also, they break/hold under that, decent pullback

25 Apr 2013 11:07 am
Still is a buying frenzy with tiny pullbacks, certainly not what I was expecting. Look for new highs to be sold, tips ~1.50 pts need held

25 Apr 2013 11:09 am
Chart looking toppy, at least flattening out, they move under 84.50-84 could start change of trend

25 Apr 2013 11:19 am
84 was reached and bounce back, needs to hold if going to attempt test/break of 86 area

25 Apr 2013 11:24 am
Likely going to be some sort of pullback on a break, down to 83.25 or even back to 82.25-81.75 area.

25 Apr 2013 11:35 am
Another pop up from 84, that area key support up here. Getting above 86 and holding not likely, would be sold back down 1.00-1.50 points

25 Apr 2013 11:49 am
That should be it for the bounce, NQ can lead this down it has been more toppy and weak

25 Apr 2013 11:51 am
Another bounce will be sold into, double top also. A short against 85.50-86 zone which is key resistance

25 Apr 2013 12:12 pm
That 83.25 support as far as pullback can go, so far. This bounce should not take out 86 but could get close if 84 can hold

25 Apr 2013 12:18 pm
84.75 bounce high easily rejected, still a short up here, would take a move over 85 that sticks to get a breakout, doesn't look likely

25 Apr 2013 12:21 pm
Needs to be a quick run up from test of 83.25-83, and take out 85 to avoid pullback towards 82 possibly 80.50 area

25 Apr 2013 12:28 pm
The token lower low at 83.00 had a sizable bid at that price. Needs to get over 84 and hold to attempt more upside

25 Apr 2013 12:41 pm
A pullback towards 83.75 should hold if market going to stay strong and push through 85. Just 3 point range since 11 AM high, only good for scalps

25 Apr 2013 12:49 pm
This could get moving towards 88 if not another double top attempt. Maybe pullback from a test so high, but market bullish since reversal 76.50

25 Apr 2013 12:59 pm
Slow grind back to test the high but no change of trend unless they break under 84.50 for now

25 Apr 2013 01:04 pm
Back away from 86, but can keep on pushing higher if 84.50 is held. However if that is taken out there might be a little bit of pressure put on

25 Apr 2013 01:07 pm
If a break of 84.50, then things could be changing a bit. 83 key support. 10-15 minute lunch break.

25 Apr 2013 01:25 pm
Hard now as long as 86 holes this can continue and 88-88.50 is next and last resistance before 93 high

25 Apr 2013 01:29 pm
This has been a bit of a buying frenzy with only a rest going sideways, 86-85.50 was top of range and needs to hold as support on pullback

25 Apr 2013 01:39 pm
So far 88 just missed, if 86 area doesn't give a bounce, 84 area the key support than.Stairstep higher would break, also would be false breakout

25 Apr 2013 01:51 pm
So far holding 86 on pullback, keeps the door open for another push higher as long as 86-85.50 holds on a dip

25 Apr 2013 01:53 pm
If that area is broken through, then things could change but basically trend up with tiny pullbacks since turning up at 76.50

25 Apr 2013 02:03 pm
88 reached, and the new high met with 1 point dip and then buying coming back in. Now a break under 86-85.50 would be more important.

25 Apr 2013 02:09 pm
Buying frenzy continues as long as 86-85.50 is held on a pullback. If 88 broken look for pullback to be about 1.00-1.50 points then push higher to continue this work things may change

25 Apr 2013 02:14 pm
Should bounce from around 87, if a pullback breaks 86-85.50 this afternoon, then a chance of a high in place. Some damage done if broken

25 Apr 2013 02:20 pm
A change in sentiment, should be sellers and to another pop-up -- 86-85.50 key support, must bounce there or breaking down 82.50

25 Apr 2013 02:29 pm
I think the market losing a little of its "no fear up here" attitude, 86 held so far but a bounce should not take out 88 and hold unless going thru 93

25 Apr 2013 02:35 pm
A bounce should stop around 86.50-87 FAI is in and this is going for 83 area

25 Apr 2013 02:47 pm
Bounce failed at 86.25, not the strongest move on the upside today, needs to hold around 83 or could take a bit of a spill port 80.50

25 Apr 2013 02:51 pm
If the ES closes a day around under 83, that will be negative short-term, 85.50 is bounce resistance now

25 Apr 2013 02:55 pm
83-82.50 area is the key support down here, and then 80.50-85th broken. Needs to get above 85.52 he raced down trend and resistance for now

25 Apr 2013 02:57 pm
82 reached, a push under that could take them down to 80.50 83.75-84.25 ounce resistance

25 Apr 2013 02:59 pm
A three o'clock low, at least a temporary one, possible here a good rally could go as far as 85 but shouldn't go much further

25 Apr 2013 03:13 pm
78.75 a logical support, if that can hold them a chance of getting back to the 82.50 area possible, should be resistance around there

25 Apr 2013 03:22 pm
We get the GDP before the open and given this action that first started at 2:15 PM-2:20 PM a complete psychological change, 88 just 5 pts

25 Apr 2013 03:24 pm
Under the 93 high, and a downturn can make a 1-2-3 type of top on daily. If a close under 76.50, ugly pattern

25 Apr 2013 03:26 pm
In the last 30 minutes the 82-83 area should be important resistance. Bounce high was at 81.75, thats also prior support area.

25 Apr 2013 03:27 pm
78 yesterday's high area, If 78 isn't held, 76.50 would be the keys support below there especially on the close.

25 Apr 2013 03:38 pm
A pullback needs to bounce from 79.50 at lowest -- 82.50-83 area Should be key on this bounce and end of day

25 Apr 2013 03:41 pm
Almost 282.50, If 82.50 is rejected, a pullback should stop above 80 if going to end the day on a decent note.

25 Apr 2013 03:43 pm
82 was sold, Have a good grasp of the afternoon. I will catch you in the morning

25 Apr 2013 03:46 pm
Keep an eye on the 80 area on a pullback, if not held then the day may not go out on a good note. = = Catch you in the morning, take care

 

April 24, 2013 Market Action

 
As stated in last's night's update, my internal indicators were overbought and giving sell signals. So, I favored the short side today. The best opportunity was when the early rally stalled at the 1576.75-1577.50 resistance zone. Have a look at the chart below and see how nicely the market respected the levels from last nights update, provided to all real time members. Click chart to enlarge.

 

INTRADAY LOG

24 Apr 2013 09:28 am
Market extremely overbought, sell signals for today at least. I will be trading from the short side unless something sets up the lower levels

24 Apr 2013 09:38 am
76.75-77.50 area sold, needs broken above and hold. 75.50 minor support needs broken. 72.50-71.75 initial support defended on the open, major

24 Apr 2013 09:42 am
They hold under 76 keep the pressure on, 72.50-72.00 very important if reached, some damage done if broken and not reversed up quickly

24 Apr 2013 09:47 am
Drop from 77 down to 73.75. The NQ is keeping the ES up, as the Dow is down eight points still. That divergence won't last all day. 77.50 needs broken

24 Apr 2013 10:00 am
77 held this down twice so far, 74 small support, a break of 72.50-72 that's not quickly reversed needed to break up trend.

24 Apr 2013 10:03 am
If another reversal from 77 area comes down and break 74 then pressure should be on

24 Apr 2013 10:04 am
76.75-77 area sold three times, obviously a key area this morning and vulnerable under that. NQ now backing off also

24 Apr 2013 10:08 am
Should have early and place, if not then not much more upside if 77 broken. 72.50-72 need to hold or trend broken also

24 Apr 2013 10:12 am
72.50-72 support held so far. Even a bounce not going to save this the way it looks, it would be sold into, 74-75 bounce resistance

24 Apr 2013 10:19 am
73.50-74.25 area should be good Resistance if going back down to test or break the low. If taken out, then they pull back maybe bought

24 Apr 2013 10:27 am
Double bottom on the NQ, that needs to hold, or the market could get hit with more selling down towards 68 at least. 73.50-74.25 Resistance

24 Apr 2013 10:33 am
Should pull back as soon as upside stalls out. 73 needs to hold to avoid another push lower

24 Apr 2013 10:40 am
It's going to be a two-sided day, and looks like 75 could be pivotal. This pullback needs to bounce from 73 and take out 75 with gusto

24 Apr 2013 10:45 am
73.50 pullback low, that will need to be broken to reestablish downtrend,

24 Apr 2013 10:46 am
Though there should be sellers at higher prices, 77-77.50 still a key resistance

24 Apr 2013 10:55 am
75 broken and held on a dip, should be selling on this bounce, but trend stays up unless 75 broken. Need NQ to break 2822 and not reverse up

24 Apr 2013 11:00 am
If the market is going to hold together and not go back to the lows or lower, then this area around 74.50 and 2622 on the NQ need held

24 Apr 2013 11:04 am
76.75-77.50 area was sold again after bouncing from 74.50, and if that is broken then a move towards a low possible

24 Apr 2013 11:13 am
Can get a bounce on a retest level low or a bit higher, but that should also fail and if so 68 area before a decent bounce

24 Apr 2013 11:18 am
We have down, up, down, and a bounce in gear. It should fail under 75 if making another push lower and not retest 77. NQ leading

24 Apr 2013 11:29 am
The ES turned down from 74.75 but the NQ barely budged, can go for another run-up towards 76 as long as 73 holds

24 Apr 2013 11:36 am
Needs to turn up from 74 with some gusto to get back to the 76.50-77 area

24 Apr 2013 11:42 am
Market not liking it up here so far and overbought along with other sell signals should make selling bounces easier. 72.50 key here

24 Apr 2013 11:49 am
The way this pattern looks, last pullback to 73.50 along with 14,690 on the Dow cash, should/must hold on pullback to keep up trend

24 Apr 2013 11:52 am
Just a heads up, I will be away from around 12:15 PM until a little bit after 1 PM this afternoon. = Need bounce from 75 to keep up trend going

24 Apr 2013 12:00 pm
74.75 was reached and turned up, needs a move above 76.50-77 high area, not likely and if so should not hold

24 Apr 2013 12:07 pm
14,690 on the Dow cash, 74 on the ES, and 2823 on the NQ all need broken to get a move to lower. Holding those keeps mkt out of trouble for now

24 Apr 2013 12:13 pm
It's the Dow that still doesn't look good but the NQ has been acting well in holding the ES up with it. The Dow about to break, NQ

24 Apr 2013 12:14 pm
NQ needs to break 2823 to start to dent its upside. It bottomed right at 2816 support this morning

24 Apr 2013 12:17 pm
Market not going to get far on the upside no matter what happens with current pattern, so favor shorting bounces that stall out.

24 Apr 2013 12:17 pm
I will be back around 1:15 PM

24 Apr 2013 01:08 pm
Market still is range bound trading mostly between 76 and 72.50, with the pokes above and below being reversed. A dip needs hold 73.25

24 Apr 2013 01:17 pm
The NQ leading the ES higher, the Dow lagging. As long as 74.25 holds 76 area possible and then pullback

24 Apr 2013 01:22 pm
Watch the 74.50-74 area on the ES and maybe more important 2827-2826 on the NQ for support, needs held or trend can reverse

24 Apr 2013 01:31 pm
Bounce up just under 76, but 74.50 and around 2827-2826 on the NQ support that needs to hold on this pullback to get one more move higher

24 Apr 2013 01:39 pm
77 possible as long as 75 is held. If 77 is taken out and not turned right back down, 80.50, then reversal likely

24 Apr 2013 01:42 pm
A rejection of 66.25, still being sold at top of this range for the day, 74.50 needs to hold or back down towards 72

24 Apr 2013 01:52 pm
Indicators just giving 2 sided action, and split market w/ S&P500 up 1.51, NDX flat, Dow down 20. Market currently avoids trouble holding 75-74.50

24 Apr 2013 01:53 pm
For a pop up towards 76.50-77 that should be sold into if going to stay range bound

24 Apr 2013 02:01 pm
The Dow barely hanging in right here but attempt to hold, ES must go a long and pop up over 76 soon

24 Apr 2013 02:04 pm
This moved up from 74.75 and just above 2828 on the NQ. Both should be an important up here. Market can push higher holding those.Not if broken

24 Apr 2013 02:06 pm
They move over 77 could mean a move up towards 80.50 possibly, but needs to push above and not turn right back down again. 74.75 n 2828 NQ key S

24 Apr 2013 02:18 pm
Odds were that today would be sideways/down, and they not over yet, but now the Dow is strengthening and ES holding on the pullbacks so far

24 Apr 2013 02:20 pm
And can continue towards 80.50 if they move can stick over 77, or small pullback after getting through

24 Apr 2013 02:26 pm
The NQ has pretty much been the leader no matter which way the Dow is going today, 2832.50 the first support and 2828 key area there. 77 Rejected so 75.75

24 Apr 2013 02:28 pm
Needs to get a bounce on pullback to 1575.75 two have a chance to pop up through 77. Otherwise can go back to 74.50 or lower

24 Apr 2013 02:38 pm
Stuck at 77 area, a pullback needs to hold 76.25, market has been bought most of the day and could see 79 and maybe 80.50 if this continues

24 Apr 2013 02:43 pm
77.50 broken by one tick so far, but no breakdown unless 76.50-76 broken. If that happens a bounce could occur but not a new high

24 Apr 2013 02:48 pm
76.50 held on pullback and bounce back to 77.50, losing some gas and could break it down a bit if 76.50 area broken and not turn right back up

24 Apr 2013 02:53 pm
If the NQ drops under 2835, that should go for the 2832 area which could be key for the whole market. 2828 would be transition area down

24 Apr 2013 02:57 pm
Internals are good enough today to keep indicators at extreme and in sell territory, topping tomorrow. A pullback should hold 77 area

24 Apr 2013 03:02 pm
If going to stay strong then 77.50 should hold and make a move over 79. If not then 76.50-76 key support end of the day

24 Apr 2013 03:13 pm
78.50 might be it for this bounce the way this is acting, must come up from 76.25. Will be a short on a bounce

24 Apr 2013 03:14 pm
A test of the high will set up a shorting opportunity for a swing trade, at least 50% position and see tomorrow early

24 Apr 2013 03:17 pm
77.25 Resistance, then back to test the high death that is taken out/held.

24 Apr 2013 03:25 pm
Other than a scalp, would avoid the long side and just focus on shorts on bounces as upside limited at best. If top not today than tomorrow

24 Apr 2013 03:29 pm
A bounce from here should have difficulty around the 77 area if going to keep some selling pressure on end of day

24 Apr 2013 03:30 pm
Watch 74.75-74 for important support on this pullback, a break of that would not be good for tomorrow

24 Apr 2013 03:30 pm
Have a good rest of your day and I will see you here tomorrow morning

 

 

April 23, 2013 Market Action

 
Today we had a good setup right after the open. As you can see from the chart the market broke resistance and held it on a pullback. That was the setup to go long and it is just one of the many setups I teach in my e-book and DVD set. You can see how later in the day the market again tested that support area and bounced again. Click on the chart below to enlarge.  I had noted the area that set up for a nice long trade this morning.

 

 

INTRADAY LOG

23 Apr 2013 09:23 am
I have an appointment at 10 AM this morning, it shouldn't last more than 20 minutes. As for the market the first pullback should be bought.

23 Apr 2013 09:29 am
68 area should be sold if reached in the first 20 minutes and and then stall around there. 62-61 needs held to keep good uptrend. Should get

23 Apr 2013 09:30 am
A high put in today or tomorrow at the latest

23 Apr 2013 09:33 am
66.75 should be hard to clear and hold up here, if it is than 68 gets tested. 64 will need to hold or go right to 62-61 area

23 Apr 2013 09:43 am
68 Poke through, has to hold 66.75-66 area to keep up trend and not reverse

23 Apr 2013 09:48 am
A move back under 68-67.50 could begin to turn this

23 Apr 2013 09:49 am
But unless broken and held under the trend stays up and 70.50 could be next, possibly 72

23 Apr 2013 09:52 am
I will be away until 10:15-10:20 AM. Strong day but should be a turn in the first 40 minutes, and are already 20 minutes in

23 Apr 2013 10:20 am
The ES pulled back from 70.50 and made a little double bottom at 67.25 before a retest now and could see 72 area before a reaction

23 Apr 2013 10:25 am
70 muscle or can go back towards 67 area

23 Apr 2013 10:30 am
70.25 held on the dip, bounced to test resistance. As long as 70 area holds on a dip in the market stays strong

23 Apr 2013 10:36 am
Buyers backing away up at 72 resistance area, but a move under 70 needed to put pressure on an have a high in

23 Apr 2013 10:38 am
70.50 held on the pullback and another test of 72, this is a trend day so far and no damage done unless break of 70 is not quickly reversed

23 Apr 2013 10:49 am
The market trying to nudge higher, expect new highs to be sold, but still bounce from 71-70.50 key support

23 Apr 2013 10:59 am
Pop up off of 70.50, not sticking, this can begin to roll over if 70.50 broken, a bounce that follows likely sold into

23 Apr 2013 11:04 am
70.50 continues to hold, 72 area holding but trend a day stays intact as long as that area not broken and held below.

23 Apr 2013 11:13 am
70.50 held on the pullback but Looks like a high should be in place. Especially NQ so look for pullback from up here

23 Apr 2013 11:24 am
Better balance than anticipated. May not be a whole lot more upside but this keeps inching higher as long as 70.50 area held

23 Apr 2013 11:39 am
To keep this nudging higher the pullback from 74 needs to hold around 72.50 or can get to a spot where pop-ups are sold

23 Apr 2013 11:45 am
So far 70.75 a pullback low from 74 high, need to hold up here to keep inching higher or a retest of 71-70.50

23 Apr 2013 11:48 am
That is supposed to say 72.75 pullback low, just over 72.50 trend up support. Needs to stay over that area on pullback from 74 area again

23 Apr 2013 11:54 am
72.75 able to hold still and keep this inching higher. That will need to be broken/held to change trend which has been up with tiny pullbacks

23 Apr 2013 12:11 pm
Market getting top-heavy, Pullbacks have been small, about 1.50 points than pop back up. If there is a break under 72.50, things may change.

23 Apr 2013 12:18 pm
A push above 74 should be sold, then pullback towards 73 or so

23 Apr 2013 12:27 pm
The 75 level is the last until getting to 77.50-78.50 which is a strong zone for this rally off of the recent low

23 Apr 2013 12:30 pm
Watch the 73.75 area for pullback support if this is going to stay in very strong uptrend. 72.50 if that 74-73.75 not held

23 Apr 2013 12:36 pm
Pullback to 73.75 area should give a bounce back to keep good uptrend going. 72.50 should not be broken now or reversing

23 Apr 2013 12:50 pm
Top should be in as this is different than other moves, 75 should be sold against. 73.75 good resistance on bounce

23 Apr 2013 12:51 pm
Internal gauges will be in sell territory unless the market somehow for what ever reason breaks apart. Top in or will be tomorrow

23 Apr 2013 12:58 pm
Could bounce from 1 tick under 72.50 so far, 70.50 area next. But not get far. 74 area good bounce resistance

23 Apr 2013 01:08 pm
ES needs to get over 73.75-74, NQ over 2835. Grind higher has gone away.

23 Apr 2013 01:08 pm
Big break, 72-72.50 area resistance

23 Apr 2013 01:12 pm
14.50 points bounce off the low at 57. 72 area the key resistance here

23 Apr 2013 01:14 pm
Not sure what the diet was about. 73.75-74.25 key resistance appear around 2832 on the NQ

23 Apr 2013 01:20 pm
72 key area again and has to stay over that or could roll over again, though not as fast

23 Apr 2013 01:28 pm
The ES and NQ both rolled over a bit, the 74-75 area needs to be pushed through, 2835-2836 on the NQ

23 Apr 2013 01:40 pm
This will be under some pressure to stay under 72.50. Needs to push about that with some gusto. Headed lower unless exceeded soon

23 Apr 2013 01:54 pm
The 70.50 level is key support on a pullback. If this was still strong and not close to topping, then 74-75 should be pushed through.

23 Apr 2013 02:04 pm
72 should be about as far as a pullback should go for now to keep up trend from reversing. The thing is, going to be hard getting to 74-75

23 Apr 2013 02:12 pm
Keep an eye on the NQ as it has been acting weaker than the ES and currently at a support. Could pull ES under 72

23 Apr 2013 02:20 pm
ES broke 72 and almost 70.50, another breakdown if not held Bounces still will be sold especially NQ,

23 Apr 2013 02:29 pm
Indicators in sell mode so look to be short something on bounces for a decent sized pullback from up here

23 Apr 2013 02:31 pm
71 area not transition area to the downside, 68 and then 63 on downside.

23 Apr 2013 02:35 pm
70-70.50 area resistance if going back to test 67.50 oh or lower.

23 Apr 2013 02:38 pm
70.25 bounce high so far, if not cleared/held then back down to 67.50 or lower.

23 Apr 2013 02:40 pm
Would need to push under 69 from this area pretty soon, or could go back to 72 area before pullback

23 Apr 2013 02:41 pm
Trade from the shortsighted under 70.50 for now, that would need exceeded/held

23 Apr 2013 02:51 pm
It looks like 69 area going to be an important to stay above. If broken pressure on the downside.

23 Apr 2013 03:03 pm
A bit under the weather this afternoon, going to cut early. Thin needs to stay over 70.50-70 area or this uptrend will break. 73-73.50 Max

23 Apr 2013 03:06 pm
Have a good rest of your day. I will catch you tomorrow sometime around the open

 

Market Action April 22, 2013

Today many of the s/r areas came in to play. We had a classic sell setup right at the open with a gap into a fixed resistance area. This a setup that I teach in my e-book and in the instructional DVD set. Don't miss out on these opportunities get a copy of the ebook and sign up for the real time service and get these numbers in your inbox before the market opens.

INTRADAY LOG

22 Apr 2013 09:30 am
Good morning. Already the ES had a pullback to the 50.50 area and run up to 54 area. 50.50 key if dropped from 54 will open

22 Apr 2013 09:34 am
Firstly some pullback should be bought, a gap up open and normally should see the gap filled at some point today, but 57-58

22 Apr 2013 09:35 am
Could be tested at the highest going back down there or below. This higher open should reverse and first 20 minutes.

22 Apr 2013 09:38 am
Gap filled that 50.75, that area has two hold or market top and for a while, bounces won't stick

22 Apr 2013 09:43 am
Bounce resistance at 51.50-52.50 should be cleared/held if going much lower, existing home sales top of the hour

22 Apr 2013 09:49 am
51.25 was sold down to 48.75 token lower low, 51.50-52.50 still needs exceeded and held, not turned right back down

22 Apr 2013 09:54 am
Bounce from just over 47 support is a trend support, 60 EMA and tested 5 times now including Friday afternoon. Should hold or trouble

22 Apr 2013 09:59 am
51.50-52.50 still needs to be cleared/held to get something going on upside avoid another pullback

22 Apr 2013 10:02 am
Econ data not good downturn from 51.25 makes that transition resistance, market bearish unless cleared/held, 44-43

22 Apr 2013 10:05 am
47 still needs broken and held below to break this down towards 44. This bounce must get back over 51.50 or going to see that area

22 Apr 2013 10:13 am
44-43 could give a bounce, but not to get too far watch 48 for some resistance

22 Apr 2013 10:17 am
Stalling out after reaching 44 support area, 48 area resistance on this bounce, should be sold if still a week and not a bottom in

22 Apr 2013 10:20 am
47.25 rejected on last pop up and if 45 not broken and market rollover, then pop up to 47.50-48 should be an important. Must be clear

22 Apr 2013 10:25 am
7 point drop then 4 point bounce than 7 point drop and so for 3 point bounce. A break of 44-43 would be bad news unless quickly turned back up

22 Apr 2013 10:30 am
44-43 area holding, still need move over 47.50.

22 Apr 2013 10:30 am
If the 44-43 area is held under, then 40 area would be seen

22 Apr 2013 10:36 am
43 was touched and quickly bounced 2.75 points, back down again. Need to bounce more than 4 point to change downside symmetry

22 Apr 2013 10:41 am
Should be a low and place for a bit, 44 area should hold on a dip if going higher

22 Apr 2013 10:43 am
Should be a reaction around 46.75.2 see a pullback towards 44 area or lower. Getting over that is key this morning

22 Apr 2013 10:48 am
44.50 little pullback low, 47.75 reached so far and can go higher as long as 46.25 not broken

22 Apr 2013 10:56 am
47 held on this last tiny dip, stalling out. Need to stay over that or began to roll over again to test 44 and maybe lower. 50 area R

22 Apr 2013 11:02 am
Bounce failed at 48.50 on ES and 2786 on the NQ, they moved back under 46 area should put pressure on no quick bounce

22 Apr 2013 11:11 am
Pullback held at 46.50, bounce is not strong yet, should be selling into another pop-up if that holds. If broken in test the low possible

22 Apr 2013 11:23 am
46.50 broken and bouncing a bit but ES needs to get over 48 and hold and NQ above 2786/hold. Buyers at lower levels,sellers been just above

22 Apr 2013 11:25 am
Following the Dow this morning. Next update in about 10 minutes

22 Apr 2013 11:35 am
As long as 47 area holds this can work towards the 50 area. If 46.51 and the uptrend will be broken

22 Apr 2013 11:46 am
50 was reached and now a pullback will need to bounce from 49-48.50 or uptrend could turn.

22 Apr 2013 11:54 am
48.75 held on the dip and a bounce back to 50 sold again. For now no damage done as long as 48.50 not broken

22 Apr 2013 12:00 pm
52 area is resistance up here and needs to stay above 50.50-50.00 to keep pushing higher. If 52 is no problem than 54 next

22 Apr 2013 12:08 pm
50.75 held on the last dip and 52 is reached, 54 area should be in the cards for this to continue. 50.50-50.00 is still S

22 Apr 2013 12:14 pm
53.50 high so far and needs to stay over 51.75 at worst it looks to push higher again

22 Apr 2013 12:25 pm
So for 51.75 held on pullback from just under 54 resistance. Trend can change if broken and doesn't bounce right back up

22 Apr 2013 12:31 pm
12.50 points down and 10.75 points back up so far. 52 touched and bounced, need to stay above 52 to push higher through 54 to test high possibly

22 Apr 2013 12:32 pm
Next update after 10 minute break for lunch

22 Apr 2013 12:41 pm
ES is testing high and should back off towards 53.50-52.50 and hold there if going to make another push higher possibly see 58

22 Apr 2013 12:52 pm
In just over 1 hour PS drops 12.50 points from 55.25 to 1 tick under 44-43 strong support, then grinding 12.75 to token higher high. Pulling back towards 53.50-53

22 Apr 2013 12:55 pm
Pullback needs to bounce from 43 with gusto. At least get above 54.50 and not turn right back down again, small resistance there,

22 Apr 2013 01:01 pm
Buyers will come in at lower levels but this a better short than long on a pop up keeping an eye on the NQ also around 2795

22 Apr 2013 01:10 pm
The ES has pulled back a bit too far to make a good run to break double top, it's still a better short and 52 needs held or 50 next before bounce

22 Apr 2013 01:12 pm
Will need a break above 54-54.50 resistance and not turn right back down as a bounce attempt. If failure there 52 will be transition level

22 Apr 2013 01:18 pm
52 tested, but need to push above 53.50 again and hold that level to get turned back up however or 50 area still likely before bounce attempt,

22 Apr 2013 01:19 pm
If 52 is broken and there is a drop down towards the 50 area than 52 area would be new resistance to clear/hold to attempt a rally

22 Apr 2013 01:26 pm
Not a press about this from 52, the shortsighted still better up at these levels for now

22 Apr 2013 01:35 pm
Bounce from 52.25 stop just under 54 so far. Another pop up needs to hold over 54 not quickly reversed down

22 Apr 2013 01:42 pm
Pop to 54.50 sold, they move under 53 and especially 52 should put pressure on. A break of 52 would start reversal

22 Apr 2013 01:48 pm
A quick move up on dip to 53.25, another test of the high. For now as long as 54 holds there can be one more move higher

22 Apr 2013 01:54 pm
Three times the ES backed away from 55.25-55.50, the NQ has a double top around 2800, those should be hard to get through and hold. IF 53

22 Apr 2013 01:57 pm
Is broken we may not get another pop-up, but go down to/through 52 to see if that can turn a around. So for it is holding no real damage done yet

22 Apr 2013 02:04 pm
If they are able to hold 53 area and break through 55.50 then not impossible to see 58 tested today. A move above 55.50-55 would need to hold

22 Apr 2013 02:06 pm
Market is being bought on all of the pullbacks even though going sideways between 55.50 and 52. It's going to take a break under 53-52

22 Apr 2013 02:15 pm
Seller is up here again not able to hold over 55 for even one minute so far, should have a breakout soon if there's going to be one

22 Apr 2013 02:16 pm
58 is the resistance to go for. 55.50 support now

22 Apr 2013 02:22 pm
58 area about to be tested and 56.50 now small support and 55.50-55.00 is a key support on a pullback that should hold to stay strong

22 Apr 2013 02:27 pm
Holding above 58 needed to keep strong uptrend, 56.50 if broken. Resistance at 60.50 man 62-63 area not impossible if broken

22 Apr 2013 02:35 pm
58.25 pullback low so far, hold that to stay and strong uptrend and push above 60. 56.50 if they break of 58 not turned right back up

22 Apr 2013 02:44 pm
60.50 was reached and rejected, but still an uptrend and needs to bounce from 59-58.50 or a high and for a while

22 Apr 2013 02:51 pm
Must bounce from 58 area prior Resistance, if that reverses around 59-59.50 then another drop towards 56.50 before bounce

22 Apr 2013 02:57 pm
They bounced to 59.50 so far, was sold and could head for 56.50 on a break of 58. A decent pullback due before there can be another run that's sustainable

22 Apr 2013 03:08 pm
59.50 bounce high was sold to 58.25, if broken than 56.50 area could be seen before bounce attempt. 55.50-55 area worst-case to stay strong

22 Apr 2013 03:14 pm
Should hold 57.75 to and the day well, going to 55.15-55 area would be too far and break symmetry today. So that last pullback low needs held

22 Apr 2013 03:19 pm
There shouldn't be much more upside before there is a decent pullback, whether 57.75 holds or not, 1562.50-1563.25 will be maxed upside, may not be seen

22 Apr 2013 03:22 pm
Unless the day ends up strong and close above 59 area. Or hold above 58 and make another token higher high

22 Apr 2013 03:29 pm
59.50 area sold a second time, but can still get short covering unless 58 broken/held end on the day

22 Apr 2013 03:30 pm
My internal gauges close to some territory, would not be a buyer up here another bounce will be sold in two

22 Apr 2013 03:34 pm
If we get a bit more upside with decent internals (advancing/declining issues on NYSE, up/down volume) tomorrow they can be close to

22 Apr 2013 03:35 pm
Across-the-board extremes and thus number of sell signals. We will be looking for decent pullback from this if it all sets up

22 Apr 2013 03:36 pm
59.50 sold for the third time, that needs to be cleared/held to and strong and not break 58 area and of the day

22 Apr 2013 03:37 pm
Have a good rest of your day, catch you tomorrow shortly after stocks open most likely

 

Market Action for Friday April 19th

 
Today the market dipped below resistance turned support and came back to test the 1544 area. Putting in a higher low the 1544 was eventually broken and held and when the market came back to test that level it created a great buying opportunity for a run up to the 1549.50 area resistance area. Don't miss out these opportunities which area available almost every day. You can get these levels the night before the market opens and be ready for trading with the tools that a real professional uses to make consistent money from the market. Check out the chart below with the levels outlined and see how the market acts around the support and resistance levels giving you the opportunity to make great trades.(click on chart to enlarge)

 

 

INTRA-DAY  LOG

 

19 Apr 2013 09:27 am
If no turnaround from 38.50 then 33 area. Looks like another pop up gets sold into, especially a stall around the 43-44 area this morning

19 Apr 2013 09:30 am
38.50 likely going to be an important support. The NQ dropping while ES rallied

19 Apr 2013 09:36 am
38.25 was bought but bounces going to have trouble holding, 42 and 44.50 resistance if another pop from above the low

19 Apr 2013 09:43 am
Another push higher to 42.75 sold into, 43-44 area pivotal on top and have 40.50 not held then couldn't go back to 38 area

19 Apr 2013 09:51 am
Can bounce from 38 but needs to get above 40.50 and not turn right back down to put a dent in downside momentum

19 Apr 2013 09:59 am
high for the morning likely is in place and would need to get above 39.25 area and hold to attempt turning, bounces sold when upside stalls

19 Apr 2013 10:02 am
The NQ is not in sync with ES or Dow, after pre-open drop has been stronger. Should lead for a while longer, 43-44 good resistance to sell

19 Apr 2013 10:05 am
A pullback to hold around 40.50 to make a new high, hold 39 to avoid another top

19 Apr 2013 10:06 am
43-44 should be sold into but no damage done to uptrend unless 40.50 broken

19 Apr 2013 10:12 am
Poked over 44 and came back down, need to go back under 43 and not turn up and take out the high. 40.50 for support than 39.50

19 Apr 2013 10:21 am
Stalling but holding 43 pivotal area, if 42.50 area broken and not turn right back up a high in for a while

19 Apr 2013 10:40 am
The ES rollover from just above 44 down to 40.25, 43.75 reached on bounce. 44 needs broken/then hold on pullback.

19 Apr 2013 10:46 am
Another pullback needs to hold 42 area and turn back up to going to stay in up sloping channel, not able to hold over 44 negative

19 Apr 2013 10:50 am
So far pullback turned up from 41.75, but no gusto on this bounce attempt and likely going to push lower. 44 would need held

19 Apr 2013 10:57 am
A little trading range, still buyers come in on pullbacks. Another pullback should hold over 41-40 area and possibly test 47.50-48 if breakout

19 Apr 2013 11:08 am
43 area Should be pivotal support on a pullback, this still can get to 47.50-48.50 area before pulling back

19 Apr 2013 11:16 am
Can still keep pushing towards 49.50-50.50 as long as 45 area holds, that is trend of support at the moment

19 Apr 2013 11:19 am
49 reached so far, that area should be hard to get through and hold. Pull back must bounce from 46.50 to stay strong, or 45 possible, update and 10 minutes

19 Apr 2013 11:39 am
For now as long as 47.50 area holds uptrend stays intact, but still think 50.50 hard to break and stay up there.

19 Apr 2013 11:44 am
1549.50-1550.50 on the ES and the 2781.50-2783.00 zone on the NQ both strong resistance, if going to get another pullback 45-44.50 key S

19 Apr 2013 12:04 pm
The ES tested the 49.50-50.50 area 3 times, all sold, 47 area Some support but short at/near resistance

19 Apr 2013 12:10 pm
47.50-47 trying to hold, and important area up here. If broken 44.75 area key support on a deeper pullback

19 Apr 2013 12:22 pm
Pressure stays on now under 47.50-48 area. That needs cleared/held to attempt getting turned back up and not dropping to 45 or lower

19 Apr 2013 12:32 pm
47.50 was sold and that should be as far as bounce goes unless market turning back up to test 50 area

19 Apr 2013 12:39 pm
Did not take out 57.50 yet but 46 held 3 times. If that isn't held then found to 45-44.25 area which should be important

19 Apr 2013 12:46 pm
That's 47.50 not 57.50. The 44.25 area would be next on a drop. I'll be back after 10-15 minutes break

19 Apr 2013 12:50 pm
It's 44.25-43.25 area for target/support. 46-46.50 area will be new resistance on a bounce to keep the downtrend intact

19 Apr 2013 12:51 pm
45.50 pullback low so far. Now taking short break

19 Apr 2013 01:04 pm
46.25 new resistance area sold on the pop up, a double bottom at 44.50 so needs to hold/bounce with some gusto, otherwise 43 area

19 Apr 2013 01:07 pm
the NQ could be better shorting vehicle as it's been weaker off of the top. That has resistance at 2768 then 2771

19 Apr 2013 01:15 pm
This could reach 46-46.50 again, if broken then this pullback low will be key support if another pullback

19 Apr 2013 01:28 pm
47.50 is still resistance up here, or a pullback that holds 45.50 can give another pop-up and maybe take that out

19 Apr 2013 01:32 pm
47.75 sold into, 46 area support now and that should hold if going to have a chance to break through that resistance. On the downside,

19 Apr 2013 01:33 pm
The 44 area was the first hour bounce high and was resistance for quite a while until breaking out, that is a transition area and must hold

19 Apr 2013 01:36 pm
So far 46 held so a chance to get through 48 area, if that not rejected a test of the high is possible

19 Apr 2013 01:51 pm
Market acting top-heavy at 47-47.50 again, a short on another pop up as 44 possible again. If 47.50 pushed through than 50 should be reversed

19 Apr 2013 01:59 pm
That should be it for the upside, a break under 46 should lead to another drop towards 44 and maybe lower, especially if picks up momentum

19 Apr 2013 02:09 pm
2.50 point range for about 30 minutes poked above on the upside, 49.50-50.50 should be sold if reached. 47 needs help to get there. 46 support

19 Apr 2013 02:13 pm
A pullback from 48.75 needs to bounce from 47.50-47 with some gusto to make another run to the upside to test 50 area. If that's not held 46 still key

19 Apr 2013 02:22 pm
49 was touched, just shy of the key resistance,if 47.50-47 does not hold, then a break of 46 possible and if that occurs can be quick to drop

19 Apr 2013 02:30 pm
47.50 holding and almost to the 50 resistance. Double top possible. Will need to hold 47.75, 1:30 PM high and then held there, or transition back down

19 Apr 2013 02:36 pm
49.50 was just messed and a quick pullback, it's a short up there with a pretty tight stop above the top of resistance zone

19 Apr 2013 02:38 pm
Could be a pop up from 47.50 if the move stalls but not break/hold 49.50-50.50 area

19 Apr 2013 02:39 pm
This could turn into a good-sized move if keeps pushing and 46 unable to hold so hang with this is short, 48.50 area bounce resistance max

19 Apr 2013 02:42 pm
Currently a double top in place at resistance, so that needs respected. Market does still have decent buying on pullbacks, but not going to stick

19 Apr 2013 02:44 pm
If short lock-in partial profit on test of 46 area and can trail stop on remainder down towards 44-43 may be lower

19 Apr 2013 03:01 pm
47.50 current resistance and if that is not taken out this is headed to test 44 or lower end of day possibly sharp drop if momentum picks up

19 Apr 2013 03:07 pm
Some buying/short covering on tests of 45.25, that needs to hold end of the day to avoid a breakdown to the 1 PM low areas or lower

19 Apr 2013 03:09 pm
If 47.50-48 is not rejected then another move to the high would be possible. But 48 should be strong end of the day

19 Apr 2013 03:19 pm
under pressure under 47.50. A break under 45.50 area should mean 44-43.25 area. If 47.50 push thru not rejection 49.50-50.50 possible

19 Apr 2013 03:24 pm
Have a great weekend.Should have an active Monday, read the weekend update I will catch you a bit after stocks open unless something unusual

 

 

Market Action for Thursday - April 18, 2013

 
Today the market opened up at the 1548 zone and quickly came down to the 1452.00 area where we got a small bounce that failed and the support zone was broken. We came down to test the 1538 area where we bounced at made a run for the 1548 level again After some sideways action we finally broke through the 1538 zone and made it down to the 1532 area where we bounced again to test the 1538 zone support now turned resistance. The market backed off from there testing the 1532 area again. Having these zones in your trading arsenal should be an important part of your game plan. Along with the intraday support and resistance areas it greatly increases your chances of being profitable in this market. Click on the chart below to enlarge.

 

 

 

INTRA-DAY  LOG

 

18 Apr 2013 09:32 am
Needs to push over 49.50-50.50 and stick.

18 Apr 2013 09:33 am
Per last night's update a good short, unless broken and held its still in choppy sideways down to 43-42.50

18 Apr 2013 09:42 am
7 point drop to 42.50 and now has resistance around 45.50-46.25 on 1 minute chart

18 Apr 2013 09:50 am
47 should be key area, 2 breakdowns from that area this morning, needs cleared to get short covering towards 50 area otherwise going under 42.50

18 Apr 2013 09:52 am
The ES dropped from resistance to support and bounce didn't stick, unless 47 cleared market stays bearish mode and can break 42.50

18 Apr 2013 09:56 am
44.50 would needs pushed above and not turn right back down from there to attempt a bottom.

18 Apr 2013 10:02 am
42 areas turned resistance and almost to the 38.50 area, Econ data normally taken as reason to rally. Doubt it

18 Apr 2013 10:03 am
The 33.75-32.75 area could be in the cards, would need to bounce there or possible bigger trouble.

18 Apr 2013 10:08 am
38.50-39.50 area resistance, these broken to dent downside momentum and go for 34-33 area next.

18 Apr 2013 10:10 am
38 acted as resistance to retest low, Lucent momentum on downside and could start a pop up if 38 broken/held

18 Apr 2013 10:14 am
40.75 area resistance on this pop up.

18 Apr 2013 10:22 am
40.75 was missed by just a few ticks and back down again, another pullback must hold 36.75 or could still see 33.50

18 Apr 2013 10:23 am
would stay with selling bounces that stall out for now. A break could mean 33 area

18 Apr 2013 10:31 am
35.75 was touched for a third time and then started back up, that area should hold, 38.75 area minor support. 42.50 area resistance

18 Apr 2013 10:45 am
The 42.50-43 area probably going to be pivotal today. If that is exceeded/held on dip, could run up to 47-48 again. It is not and 40 breaks

18 Apr 2013 10:48 am
Then could revisit the low and maybe drop to the 33.75-32.75 area. Bounce just stopped at 42.75, now must hold 40 on pullback for potential push higher

18 Apr 2013 10:52 am
Breakout might be a fake out, but as long as 42.50 area holds at worst this stays in rally mode to 47.50-48.50 area

18 Apr 2013 10:57 am
47.50-48.50. It just missed by 1 tick, 44 support, is broken then 42 key support to avoid another breakdown

18 Apr 2013 11:05 am
There could be a bounce from 42.50, but rejecting 47.58 negative and a bounce should be sold into

18 Apr 2013 11:08 am
There is pressure on under 44.75, if 42 area broken than 40 should be tested at least. Back in about 10 minutes

18 Apr 2013 11:20 am
Getting some bounces but having trouble sticking. A bounce from 43.50 needed or could begin breaking down towards 42 or lower

18 Apr 2013 11:23 am
A bounce from 43.50 reached 45 and couldn't stick there, 43.50 broken so pressure on towards 42 or lower under 45 for now

18 Apr 2013 11:32 am
A drop down to 41.25 so far, deeper pullbacks have been bid back up also today but don't hold. 43.50 could be pivotal R in this area

18 Apr 2013 11:45 am
43.50 not pushed through and a choppy grind lower should continue to test the low along with NQ

18 Apr 2013 11:47 am
40.50 area resistance on a bounce from 37.25 Spike Low

18 Apr 2013 11:54 am
Bounce stopped 1 tick under 40 and back down to the 3775 low. Need a move back above 40 and hold up there to attempt turnaround

18 Apr 2013 12:09 pm
41 was reached and turned right back down. Not able to stay over 40 for long so far. Needs to stay over old 38 area or 35 possible

18 Apr 2013 12:18 pm
Sideways action since 11:45 AM between 37 and 41.25. Unable to hold over 40 very long, so far though 38 has been support, and must hold or 35

18 Apr 2013 12:28 pm
The ES turned up quickly from 37.75,, should hold that area this afternoon to avoid potential breakdown. 41 top of range needs cleared now

18 Apr 2013 12:39 pm
Lots of movement between 37 and 41, has lasted nearly an hour, and eventual breakout should get momentum and run several points at least

18 Apr 2013 12:47 pm
It is one of 39.50 is held it's going to push towards 42.50-43 area or maybe higher and then see a pullback

18 Apr 2013 12:56 pm
Almost to 42.50-43 area. Pullback from their should stay above 40.50 to keep good uptrend and not reverse/top out again

18 Apr 2013 01:01 pm
52.50 the bounce high and sold down to 41.00, three tests of 52 sold. Good resistance at 42.50, they move under 40.50 must hold

18 Apr 2013 01:04 pm
The ES broke out of the range it had for an hour and is trying to hold 41 which was top of the range, must hold to have chance of push thru 42.50

18 Apr 2013 01:05 pm
Just happened, could pullback from a bit higher up around 45, but should hold 42-41.50 at lowest

18 Apr 2013 01:10 pm
41.50 was reached and give a bounce back to 43 so far, a test of 44.50 area that stalls or shows some rejection should be sold then bid up again possibly

18 Apr 2013 01:14 pm
44.50 just missed and pretty good selling at 43.50 and just above. Must bounce from 42-41.54 is breaking down and headed to 40.50 maybe 38 area

18 Apr 2013 01:23 pm
The ES dropped down to 40.50 and then turned back up. Looks like 42-42.50 area needs pushed above to get squeezed higher.

18 Apr 2013 01:33 pm
The bounce to 42-42.50 sold into, so far, pressure on if 40.50 broken and not turn right back up.

18 Apr 2013 01:38 pm
Should chopped its way back up towards 42 area if going to avoid decent pullback. If reverses their could start one on break of 40

18 Apr 2013 01:45 pm
Bounce to 41.50 was sold into, market and downtrend under 41.50-42 and needs to push above and hold to get bounce attempt, 38 or lower otherwise

18 Apr 2013 01:53 pm
Drop to 38.25 was quickly turned up, that is a key support still. Another drop to that area needs to do the same quick turn around, or 35

18 Apr 2013 01:58 pm
40-40.50 area is the key bounce resistance and its bearish under that for now on bounces down to 38 area. 35 possible holding under 40 area

18 Apr 2013 02:01 pm
Stays under pressure under 40-40.50 even though there could be buyers around 38 covering shorts likely. Next update in 10 minutes

18 Apr 2013 02:14 pm
Almost to a low of the day and might be a bounce there but good resistance to 38.50 now. If that not cleared and held above then lower low after this pop fails

18 Apr 2013 02:17 pm
Looking for 33.75-32.75 area if they break

18 Apr 2013 02:25 pm
33.75 lo was quickly turned back up. That is important support zone down there. If that area not held, then this could go for the

18 Apr 2013 02:27 pm
Could go down to the 1527-1525 zone next. Though likely not today. 35 has to hold or going back down. 38-38.50 resistance

18 Apr 2013 02:39 pm
Pretty decent bounce from 33.75 major support area, but good volatility today so hard to call a bottom. 38-38.50 pushed thru or pressure on

18 Apr 2013 02:48 pm
The bounce just stalled out and rolled over again, this bounce if there is one should not stick either, 37.50 key on upside now.

18 Apr 2013 02:55 pm
Could be a bounce, but a high was made in the first 5 minutes and the way this is acting wouldn't be surprised to see the selloff late

18 Apr 2013 02:55 pm
Have had mostly last hour buying, market doing some damage and a come back won't be easy

18 Apr 2013 03:02 pm
A break and hold back above 33.75 prior support needed to take some pressure off for a bit, 37.50 area still a key resistance to better bounce

18 Apr 2013 03:09 pm
Mounts started with an hour left, too early for one to stick. Another drop needs to turn right up from 32.25 area to avoid 28.50 possibly

18 Apr 2013 03:13 pm
As bad as the internals are, should we have one more bad day tomorrow I'll get oversold extremes on internal gauges. Right now 33.75 area must hold

18 Apr 2013 03:15 pm
That 33.75 will be key end of the day. I hope you had a good trading day. I will catch you tomorrow shortly after stocks open

 

 

 

Market Action for Wednesday - April 17, 2013

 
Today the market gaped down gapped down and made its way to the 1553.50 support zone and made a little bounce. The market finally broke thru that level and bounced from the 1549 area the next support area where a small bounce was made but was expected to fail given the break of the support area above. I then gave the 1538 level as the next resistance on the intra day updates message to all our real time subscribers. The market proceeded to bounce from there and made its way up to the old support now resistance area at 1549 which was a lid for the rest of the day. Having these levels available to you before the market opens will really give you the edge you need to navigate through the day. Coupled with the setups found in my e-book, "Read The Greed", you have a powerful method for profiting in any market condition. (Click on the chart to enlarge)

 

 

INTRA-DAY  LOG

 

17 Apr 2013 09:28 am
Good morning. Volatility picking up, this should be a day where bounces do not stick. They need to get back over 63 area and hold. Bearish under

17 Apr 2013 09:37 am
58-58.50 support turned resistance and reached 53.50 support, could bounce towards 56 but likely not go much further. Must hold that level

17 Apr 2013 09:42 am
Bounce stopped at 55.75 and new low at 52.25 so far, trend resistance at 54.75 area that needs cleared to attempt turn

17 Apr 2013 09:45 am
Could be a low at 52 for a bit, and 54.75-55.50 could be tested/taken out before some backing off again

17 Apr 2013 09:50 am
55 area now support on a pullback, should hold the way this is acting. 52.25 pivotal level

17 Apr 2013 09:54 am
58 area rejected on bounce and pullback bounced off 52.25, but would need to see move over 58 sick to get out of trouble

17 Apr 2013 10:02 am
Bounce from 55 failed at 57, and back down to 54, needs to get over 58 with gusto

17 Apr 2013 10:07 am
Double bottom attempt but still breaking down unless there is a move above 56 and not turn right back down.

17 Apr 2013 10:14 am
Holding under 54 area keeps pressure on and 49-48 area can be in the cards

17 Apr 2013 10:19 am
ES would need to get above 54 and hold on a dip to attempt a better bounce, 2798 on NQ. Should see 48 area

17 Apr 2013 10:25 am
A bounce from 49 level, this needs to get above 52 and then have just a small pullback or back down to test the low

17 Apr 2013 10:33 am
52.50 was reached but stalled and turned back down. Still need a strong push above 52 and stick to get out of downtrend and avoid new lows

17 Apr 2013 10:41 am
48 finally reached, a tiny double bottom on the NQ. Could bounce a bit but still down trend unless 52 exceeded

17 Apr 2013 10:48 am
Tiny bounce followed by hard drop to 45.50 low. 49 Resistance, 43-42 big support area

17 Apr 2013 10:58 am
Just tiny bounces without gusto which is so for indicative of trend down action and should continue until decent bounce more than ~2 ES pts

17 Apr 2013 11:00 am
If the 43-42 area is cut through, then it could go another 4 points or so to the 38.58 area

17 Apr 2013 11:03 am
42.50 low from Monday. 45.50 area is bounce and trend resistance. 48 area key resistance if a decent bounce.

17 Apr 2013 11:08 am
The bounce stopped at 44.75, looking for 38.50 area and maybe lower

17 Apr 2013 11:11 am
40.50 Low so for. If you have the e-book though 1 minute chart setup a good guide most of the way down, resistance 43.75 area now

17 Apr 2013 11:14 am
Should be a decent bounce if 1 more pullback, if low not in already. Would fit with an 11:30 AM bottom if that occurs

17 Apr 2013 11:15 am
43.75 bounce high so far so there is still a chance of going to a lower low around 38.50 and then put together a decent bounce, possible

17 Apr 2013 11:17 am
next update will be in about 10 minutes or so. 43.75 could be pivotal if broken

17 Apr 2013 11:40 am
This should try getting through 47, if it can't a pullback should hold 45 if going to keep this up trend

17 Apr 2013 11:54 am
A couple decent bounces not able to stick, but buyers around 44 area. Needs to hold 44 if another pullback. Or could go for the 42 area again

17 Apr 2013 11:59 am
A bearish pattern holding under 47 area, 44.25 pullback low so for, a breakup that should send towards 42.50 area

17 Apr 2013 12:04 pm
Bounce reverse at 46 and that should be a high before going to 42.50 area Or lower

17 Apr 2013 12:12 pm
42.75 was reached and came off of that pretty quick, but now needs to get it above 44 and hold above it to attempt a bounce and not drop further

17 Apr 2013 12:18 pm
The break of 42 brought in more selling to test the low, 53 area resistance with going back down to test 38.50

17 Apr 2013 12:27 pm
39.50 the low so far, just a bit above the keys support. A retest or slightly lower low around 38.50 should get reversed, but trend stays down

17 Apr 2013 12:31 pm
38.50 reached. Unless they move back above 42-42.50 and then can hold on a dip. That will take some work

17 Apr 2013 12:34 pm
That should be at least a temporary low, could get a seven point bounce if like the last one. 42-42.50 area needs cleared/held or no go

17 Apr 2013 12:43 pm
42.25 was reached but not a strong pullback yet as it looks like 40.25 needs broken to roll over again

17 Apr 2013 12:50 pm
If this happens to push under 38.50, and cannot get turned back up, then it can get hairy and drop another ~5 points towards 34-33 area

17 Apr 2013 12:51 pm
It's still trending down day as long as 42 area not broken/held. That is needed to get a change of trend if only temporary

17 Apr 2013 12:54 pm
Good bids off of the low, some large to what we saw at the top. Sellers backing off/covering on tests of low. 42-42.50 area still key

17 Apr 2013 12:58 pm
It looks like we have a pretty good bottom and at least for a while, look for pullback to be a buyer, thou Resistance at 43-44

17 Apr 2013 01:04 pm
Able to hold 42 on dip, can get to 44.50 may be higher. if 42 broken then back towards 40 area

17 Apr 2013 01:08 pm
A pullback from 44.50, needs to hold 42 or could be more than just a pullback and test 40.50. 46.50-47 area next resistance

17 Apr 2013 01:11 pm
Need to be away 10 minutes and will update when back.

17 Apr 2013 01:32 pm
. The ES was able to hold 42.25 and bounce, class pullback held 43.50 and bounced, this likely sold a bit higher up or later in the day but

17 Apr 2013 01:33 pm
Stays bullish up towards 47-48 area, possible. 43.50 needs held or bounce that follows than likely sold into

17 Apr 2013 01:42 pm
43.75 bid back up and the 47-48 target/resistance has been reached, they pull back should hold over 45.50 to stay strong

17 Apr 2013 01:47 pm
49 downsized so for was the low around 12:15 AM and traded under since. Also 60 EMA on 5 minute chart at 49. That should be important on upside, 46.50 support

17 Apr 2013 01:51 pm
49.25 sold second time. 46.50 must hold or can break down a bit and test 44 area. If they take out 49 could possibly go to 52-53

17 Apr 2013 01:54 pm
So far 46.50 has held but you get a move up going quickly that has good momentum or can still go down towards 44 again.

17 Apr 2013 02:04 pm
The drop stopped at 45.00 so far, It's that 47.25 area that needs pushed above and held, sellers are back in control unless that's exceeded

17 Apr 2013 02:15 pm
48.25 was reached and quickly pulled back, kind of stock at the moment but if 46 can hold a chance to make a move back up. That should be pivotal support

17 Apr 2013 02:28 pm
46 area finally bought, then quickly ran out of steam on tests of 49 area. If that 49 area is cleared then 52 could be seen quickly

17 Apr 2013 02:33 pm
IF that happens and not reversed, would need to hold around 49 then and turn up to keep upside going. Currently pressure unless 49 cleared

17 Apr 2013 02:37 pm
ES has been stuck in a 4.25 point range, with double top at 49.25 at the moment. Pressure on under 48.50 for now and break of 45 puts pressure on

17 Apr 2013 02:41 pm
Should be some short covering near the bottom of this range. But if 46 broken than 45 could be sliced through next and keep pushing of the lower before reversal attempt

17 Apr 2013 02:45 pm
Push for the 43-42 area giving small bounce, resistance around 45.75-46.25 area and probably shouldn't be broken if going much lower

17 Apr 2013 02:49 pm
45 point that he was reached so far and knowing lower if that's all there is to a bounce attempt

17 Apr 2013 03:05 pm
The 43-42 area able to hold, that will be key support in the last hour. This could to test 48 before a pullback. If 48 is cleared

17 Apr 2013 03:06 pm
Good eventually get a squeeze towards 52 area. 46.50 shouldn't be broken to do that

17 Apr 2013 03:09 pm
Choppy moves making it hard to stay in position very long, appears buyers do not want them around the 48-49 area, but looking for cover 43-42. Can go

17 Apr 2013 03:12 pm
Can go back to 45 have won more pullback, and would need a turn their to get some short covering. IF finally breaks 49.25, 52 possible on squeeze

17 Apr 2013 03:18 pm
48-47.50 needs to hold on a dip to keep squeeze towards 52. If broken, then 46 area would be a key/pivotal support on pullback end of the day

17 Apr 2013 03:21 pm
48-47.50 area tested and is not able to hold this goes down towards 46. 50 area good resistance, 52 not likely

17 Apr 2013 03:25 pm
To keep this from late day drop, 47 needs held. I doubt they close very strong. Don't see 52 being reached.

17 Apr 2013 03:27 pm
Have a good rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow a little bit after the open

17 Apr 2013 03:33 pm
Would be short something as the market likely to retest 38 and maybe 33 area before over

17 Apr 2013 03:34 pm
A close under 46. Today would make charts look more bearish short-term

17 Apr 2013 03:36 pm
43.50-42.50 area will be key if another push lower. It looks like 46.50-47 is pivotal late. That's about it take care
 

 

 

Market Action for Tuesday - April 16, 2013

 
Below is a chart of the ES for April 16, 2013. I have drawn in the S/R lines that were published last night in the market update I send out real times subscribers. As you can see from the chart the low of the day came in at a Res area turned support. You can see how the market then ran up to the the 1562 area and stalled out there which was a resistance area listed. Once we broke up thru that area it acted as support as the market ran up to the next resistance area published at 1588-1588.50 where it formed a double top and came back down to test the 1562 area again where it bounced eventually taking out the 1568 area. Once the market turned into a trend up mode I am expecting the resistance areas to be broken and then turn into support for the market. Exactly how it happened today. Imaging if you had these levels up on your chart before the market opens!!! (Click on the chart to enlarge)

 

 

 

 

INTRA-DAY LOG

 

16 Apr 2013 09:23 am
Good morning. This should be a somewhat volatile two-sided day. Squeezing shorts early, first pullback needs to hold 54.50 area

16 Apr 2013 09:24 am
I will be away for about an hour early afternoon. But will be back before the beige book at 2 PM

16 Apr 2013 09:26 am
This big of open should see these pullbacks start in the first 20 minutes or so

16 Apr 2013 09:28 am
58.50 area will need to be held if pushed over up here on the open. They shouldn't get over 63 and hold

16 Apr 2013 09:34 am
high is in for a bit and if not then the token higher high will be sold

16 Apr 2013 09:35 am
For a test of the 55 area. Keep an eye on the NQ also it needs to keep pushing lower through 2805

16 Apr 2013 09:36 am
Those areas should give a decent bounce to reach

16 Apr 2013 09:38 am
That rally of 57 happened fast. There should be a pullback from under 63 if there's going to be one in the first 20 minutes or so

16 Apr 2013 09:44 am
59.25 will need to hold to keep uptrend intact and try for 63 area which is key, that needs broken/held to get in strong position

16 Apr 2013 09:46 am
Top should be in for a bit, if no bounce from 58.50 then back down towards 57 area and possibly towards 55 or lower

16 Apr 2013 09:53 am
Yes going to rally to test 63 area then need to get through 60 and not reverse. Currently sellers into the early strength

16 Apr 2013 09:56 am
60 sold again. Now a break under 58 and 2807 on the NQ is needed to turn this down.

16 Apr 2013 09:59 am
ES currently between 60 and 57, and need a break of that range to stick. Stays okay unless 57 broken for now

16 Apr 2013 10:06 am
Fullback turned up from 58 again. He still needs to break/hold over 60 and the NQ takeout 2810 and hold up there

16 Apr 2013 10:12 am
If there is going to be a move up to the 63 area it has to hold around 60 and push through to new highs soon here, or else reversal

16 Apr 2013 10:12 am
63 was reached at 1 PM yesterday and went sideways for almost an hour with 63.25 top of the range. It was rejected on bounce ~1:50 PM. THAT

16 Apr 2013 10:13 am
is the major area today and just above, if broken then the Bulls back in charge. Bearish under

16 Apr 2013 10:19 am
61.25 was touched and turned right back down for a reversal back to 58 area, a bounce will be sold so looking for 55-54 on this move or lower

16 Apr 2013 10:24 am
The NQ tested 2805-2804 area for the third time, keep an eye on that to keep the market from breaking down or helping it roll over. 58.50 R

16 Apr 2013 10:32 am
The NQ made a bottom and the rally helped the ES. That needs to get above 60 and hold gap NQ above 2815 or it has tops. Next update in 10 minutes

16 Apr 2013 10:47 am
55 reached, They bounce back to the 57. Should be sold if this is going to continue lower

16 Apr 2013 10:57 am
54.50-54 was a resistance coming into today and now looks to be important to hold. If broken then could see 50 and maybe 48 area. 57 still R

16 Apr 2013 11:01 am
This can keep going to test 58.50-59.25, 56.50 area should not be broken to keep uptrend intact

16 Apr 2013 11:09 am
56.25 was reached and turned back up, needs to get back above 58.50-59.25 and not turn right back down on this bounce attempt

16 Apr 2013 11:14 am
58.50 using just tiny pullback, as long as 57 holds the stays out of trouble and could test 60-61 area. Also keep an eye on 2815 on NQ

16 Apr 2013 11:17 am
60.75 reached so for, a pullback needs to hold around 58.50 at the worst to have a chance to go for the 63 key area

16 Apr 2013 11:26 am
Not many sellers at new high, yet. A hold over 60 needed to keep up trend intact and not pull back to the 58 area

16 Apr 2013 11:30 am
We have had two sided action in a fairly narrow range. 60 holdings so a chance to test 63 area. That is key to get above and hold on this move

16 Apr 2013 11:44 am
63 was reached, no sign of reversal, would need to go back below 60.75-60.25 area and not get turned right back up again. A push above 63

16 Apr 2013 11:45 am
That sticks could start a run-up that goes for the 65 area and possibly as far as key area at around 68-68.50

16 Apr 2013 11:56 am
65 was reached and now needs to stay above 63 at the lowest to keep up trend intact

16 Apr 2013 12:00 pm
This has been greatly higher but looks to be losing some strength, but no reversal of was 63 area broken for now

16 Apr 2013 12:05 pm
Noontime top in place it appears, market higher to end buyers backing off and should see a little breakdown

16 Apr 2013 12:12 pm
So for the pullback held 63.50 and turned up. That is going to be pivotal it appears. If broken and not turned right back up, then they drop

16 Apr 2013 12:14 pm
I need to be away for just about an hour. Keep an eye on 63, another bounce will fail if that is taken out. 61 support. Back in a bit

16 Apr 2013 12:59 pm
Holding 63 cup the market strong enough to rally to the 68-69 area. This is a key resistance on this rally back

16 Apr 2013 01:00 pm
Support right around 66.50-66 area going to stay in a good trend up mode and attempt push through 68.58 area

16 Apr 2013 01:10 pm
This move running out of steam after reaching 68, but just a tiny pullback so far. Should fall 2+ points then turn back up to stay bullish

16 Apr 2013 01:14 pm
If they pop up and test/reject the high, that should set up a pullback or reaction at least. Might be better on the NQ

16 Apr 2013 01:20 pm
Pop up was sold in two, it has been turned up from 54.50 support until going sideways at 63. That can be tested if 66 broken and not turn up

16 Apr 2013 01:24 pm
Sideways moves have been breaking out on the upside, but 68-68.50 strong resistance obviously. 66.50-66 needs broken soon

16 Apr 2013 01:37 pm
68.50 was tested and rejected, need to hold 66 area or bounce right back if broken,or area reversal of trend that could go back to 63

16 Apr 2013 01:45 pm
Could bounce a bit here but not stick above 67 area if heading lower

16 Apr 2013 01:56 pm
Bounces being sold now, saying under 67 will keep some pressure on for lower prices. 63 will be key if reached. Could it be fast drop if broken

16 Apr 2013 02:09 pm
There was rejection off of 68.50, a 3 point pullback held. A move back up to 68-68.50 would need to be plowed through, not rejected again

16 Apr 2013 02:11 pm
Sellers up here and 68-68.50 likely not going to be seen again for a while

16 Apr 2013 02:11 pm
It's a short down to 63 and could break lower if that doesn't hold

16 Apr 2013 02:15 pm
Should get one more push lower fifth bounce stays under 66-66.50 area, the 64-63 area support especially 63

16 Apr 2013 02:20 pm
A lower low at 64.25 so far, needs to get over 66 to break down side momentum and not go to the 63 area

16 Apr 2013 02:25 pm
64-63 was able to hold, but after this 2:20 PM bounce runs out of steam we should get one more pullback, we will see it that can hold 63

16 Apr 2013 02:28 pm
The bounce stopped at 65.50 and on its way to 63, where should be a bounce attempt. If not then they quit moved down towards 58.58-58 area again

16 Apr 2013 02:35 pm
63.50 is about as close as that should go or there will be a breakdown, may be choppy, but could go to 58 area if not held. A move over 65

16 Apr 2013 02:36 pm
Is needed to take some pressure off. Would need to hold that on a dip to turn up

16 Apr 2013 02:43 pm
63.50 was touched 3 times and bid back up, the 60 EMA on 5 minute chart there also for bigger trend support. Must hold, 58.50 possible if not.

16 Apr 2013 02:51 pm
65-64.50 should hold on a dip if going higher and going to stay over 63 in the last hour

16 Apr 2013 02:57 pm
Market not liking it up here, if another pop-up it will be sold into. Should 63 break this afternoon, 58 and maybe 56 on quick drop

16 Apr 2013 03:01 pm
Top of the hour bounce attempt, 64-64.58 area should not be exceeded by much if coming back down towards 58.50 area

16 Apr 2013 03:10 pm
64-64.50 resistance hard to get through so far, needs to get through that and hold that area to avoid more selling,

16 Apr 2013 03:14 pm
Could and with a late day pullback if no break/hold over 64.50. Market vulnerable unless held

16 Apr 2013 03:18 pm
For now it looks like holding 64-63 likely end of day. Mood has changed again, a pullback should be bought or wait till tomorrow

16 Apr 2013 03:20 pm
64 area support made so. I need to leave just a few minutes early today. I will catch you tomorrow shortly after stocks open
 

 

 

Market Action for Monday-April 15, 2013  

 
Below is a chart of the trading activity today. I have inserted lines at the support/resistance areas that were available to the real time subscribers. As you can see knowing these levels in advance can be a great guide for your day trading. Today was a down trend day so we were expecting the support areas to fail and act as resistance and that is exactly what happened today.

(Click on the chart to enlarge)

 

 

INTRA-DAY LOG

 

15 Apr 2013 09:26 am
To be more than just retesting 75, could bounce from there but should see 72.50-71.50 today or tomorrow

15 Apr 2013 09:27 am
Today most likely. Main target is the 68 area, that should be important support area

15 Apr 2013 09:33 am
Bounce from 74 need to get above 76 and not turn right back down to take some pressure off for a while

15 Apr 2013 09:40 am
Bounce from 74 up to 76.75 so far, 75.50 news to hold on a dip and get above 77.50-78 Resistance next

15 Apr 2013 09:44 am
77.50-78 is a key resistance still, this can break down to 72.50-71.50 if not pushed above/held. Some housing data top of the hour

15 Apr 2013 09:50 am
If short consider cover part at 72.50-71.50 zone, look for 68.50 area next. resistance around 74-74.50

15 Apr 2013 09:52 am
Still want to be seller into bounces unless dynamics change. Bounces should have hard time holding

15 Apr 2013 09:57 am
A bottom that support so far. 74.50 could be pivotal resistance. Some Econ data in a few minutes

15 Apr 2013 10:02 am
Good resistance 76-77 area. That would need to be taken out and then held on pullback to get into bullish mode. It is a short

15 Apr 2013 10:04 am
Though could be a bounce from a retest, some short covering from down there possible. If not then 68.50 area

15 Apr 2013 10:09 am
At least need to get above 72.75-73.50 and not turn right back down attempt to take some pressure off. Likely sold into

15 Apr 2013 10:15 am
If 73.50 broken could go as far as 74.50 it just a countertrend bounce. 72 pivotal support

15 Apr 2013 10:20 am
74.25 reached on bounce from 72.25, that is the key area, that holds or one more push down occurring. Next update in 10 minutes

15 Apr 2013 10:32 am
74 area pivotal and bearish unless cleared and held

15 Apr 2013 10:38 am
72.50 needs to hold on pullback to have a chance to push higher, if not could go back to the low. 74.50 cleared, pressure could be off a while

15 Apr 2013 10:46 am
This shouldn't go too far past 76 and then another pullback, but need to hold around 74-73.50 to keep the uptrend from breaking

15 Apr 2013 10:53 am
Unable to clear 76, they bounce back from 74-73.50 area should not take out 75 and stick if this is headed back down

15 Apr 2013 11:01 am
quick drop to 73.25 turn right back up, that is the more important area below, must hold. This has been stuck around 75, needs taken out soon

15 Apr 2013 11:15 am
Should be heading to the low if this holds under 72.50 area

15 Apr 2013 11:23 am
A pullback should hold 71.50 if going to have another bounce attempt. Some resistance around 73.75-74.25 if so. Otherwise 68.50 area possible

15 Apr 2013 11:30 am
ES has been holding 71 and if this can get back above 73.75 than a decent bounce could start. Otherwise could retest or break 71

15 Apr 2013 11:32 am
States bearish under 72.50-73 area

15 Apr 2013 11:32 am
68.50 area should get a test if they hold under that resistance and break through triple bottom at 71

15 Apr 2013 11:36 am
getting short covering pop-ups when the downside stalls, and then strength gets sold into on somewhat decent bounce attempt, 74 then 76 R

15 Apr 2013 11:39 am
73.50-72.75 area should be pivotal support on a pullback now and can stay range bound and not break 71 1F held

15 Apr 2013 11:47 am
Bounces just cannot stick, the pullbacks have been bought when things calm down but buyers don't want to be holding very long

15 Apr 2013 11:49 am
72.75-73.50 should not be seen if going to take out 71-70.25 area on this move down

15 Apr 2013 11:50 am
68.50 should be reached on a move under 71 area

15 Apr 2013 11:54 am
68 has good cluster of support numbers in that area. Needs to bounce their or a tell that the market weaker than expected

15 Apr 2013 11:56 am
Careful trying to pick a bottom, even a bounce from 68 it won't go too far before another drop, 64-63 possible

15 Apr 2013 11:59 am
Can bounce from 66.50 area, 69.00-69.75 trend resistance on bounce attempt, and then 71 area.

15 Apr 2013 12:03 pm
It's going for the 64-63 area and should see a reaction from there I would think, looks like 68.50-69 now pivotal/trend resistance

15 Apr 2013 12:12 pm
Needs a push above 68-68.50 /hold on a small pullback to the attempt bounced towards 71-72. That's a good resistance

15 Apr 2013 12:25 pm
Staying under 69 on the mounds and this can still go for 64-63 if no double bottom

15 Apr 2013 12:34 pm
68.50 area is going to be few resistance on any bounce from here. Double bottom attempt, but 64 possible unless 68.50 cleared/held

15 Apr 2013 12:37 pm
64-63 area reached, if bounce from here Watch 65-65.50 area for trend resistance now

15 Apr 2013 12:41 pm
This is acting like a trend day and not expecting bounces to stick. We have 68.50 prior key support as key resistance, could bounce from 63

15 Apr 2013 12:43 pm
Market stays and bearish mode though as long as theres no break above 68.50-69

15 Apr 2013 12:50 pm
65.50-66 area resistance if a better bounce. could see 58.50-58 area if this breaks 62 by a bit and not turn right back up

15 Apr 2013 12:59 pm
58.75 low just 1 tick above 58.50-58 support. If that's broken it keeps going towards 56-55. Getting above 62-63 resistance

15 Apr 2013 01:05 pm
That 58 area could be a low for a push of a 63 not rejected. Otherwise still vulnerable to retest or make new lows

15 Apr 2013 01:11 pm
The ES was down 18 points from todays high in about 23 points from Fridays close at 58.75. If that area is broken this afternoon, doing some damage

15 Apr 2013 01:13 pm
If there is a better bounce back, likely will be sold into. I think we will see these prices again even if decent bounce

15 Apr 2013 01:18 pm
63.25 bounce high, that needs cleared with some gusto to get out of trouble or headed back to the low area

15 Apr 2013 01:31 pm
Still stuck around 63 it looks, but not much more downside with buyers down below. Looks like 61.50 needs to be bid back up to not roll over

15 Apr 2013 01:35 pm
For now the key area is 63-63.50, that needs pushed above/held to take some pressure off. Still a trend that day otherwise.

15 Apr 2013 01:36 pm
If exceeded, 65 then 68.50 the key resistance. That likely won't be reached, but could be a good short if it is and stalled out. 15 minute break

15 Apr 2013 01:50 pm
60.50 held twice on pullbacks. Could start decent bounce in 63 cleared/held but not be able to stick. Shouldn't reach 68.50

15 Apr 2013 01:58 pm
Just stay with shorts under 62.50 area for now, unless there is a breakout, that bottom should get a retest. Minor resistance 61.50

15 Apr 2013 02:04 pm
Retest made, pressure stays on under 59.50-64 now down towards 56 area next. 52.50-52 area Major blow

15 Apr 2013 02:08 pm
Not quite to 56, resistance at 58.50-59.25 area on a bounce should be sold if reached soon. Still trend down day

15 Apr 2013 02:15 pm
58.75 was sold on the bounce and down to token lower low at 56.50. Still in downtrend under 58.75

15 Apr 2013 02:20 pm
56 was reached, a little gusto on the bounce, need a push over 58.50 area and stick to dent downside momentum for the moment. Still downtrend

15 Apr 2013 02:22 pm
The only thing bullish is the buying came in right on time 2:20 PM. 56 they must hold level now or Tumble towards 52.50

15 Apr 2013 02:25 pm
Barely popped through 58.50, needs to pop up from 57.75 four back towards the low is possible instead of bounce back

15 Apr 2013 02:33 pm
Triple bottoms could be broken like triple tops on the way up, but if they break/hold over 58.50 could get little run up. 62.50-63 key if bounce

15 Apr 2013 02:39 pm
60.75 if not another failure at 59.25 area. 57 needs to hold or load gets tested/broken

15 Apr 2013 02:44 pm
60.75 as possible, but expect a quick pullback from there if reached. Back to 59.50 area at least

15 Apr 2013 02:49 pm
63 should give a pullback, or 66 area next been 68.50

15 Apr 2013 02:52 pm
The market has had a good selloff, even a late day rally probably not going to change current dynamics where bounces are sold into

15 Apr 2013 02:54 pm
There will need to be a break and hold above 63 which is a good cluster of resistance and prior support. 61.50 needs held to potentially push higher

15 Apr 2013 03:01 pm
Market getting ugly with strong selling into last bounce, continue use 63 area for key resistance-58 could be pivotal and 52 area next support

15 Apr 2013 03:01 pm
That's a big one, then were going to the mid-1540s if no bounce there

15 Apr 2013 03:04 pm
The area is actually 53.50-52.50, my lines were off a bit. So the low at a major area for today, should be resistance at 59.50 area

15 Apr 2013 03:09 pm
58.50 prior support sold as resistance on the last pop up. And they dropped down to 52.50 bottom of key area reversed the backup.

15 Apr 2013 03:10 pm
Not to be a buyer down there even if a bounce, this could hit an air pocket and dropped another 4-6 points the way it's acting

15 Apr 2013 03:18 pm
52 area sufficiently tested, and should hold or be bought on a retest end of day. If not than 48 area will be next. 59.25 then 63 R to clear

15 Apr 2013 03:19 pm
Have a good rest of your day. I will catch you tomorrow shortly after the open

 

 

Friday-April 12, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

12 Apr 2013 09:26 am
This is not just a pullback and then a rally all day. Indicators won't be as overbought, but should have enough downside to put them in neutral

12 Apr 2013 09:27 am
Could be a bounce in the first 20-30 minutes but not likely going to hold.

12 Apr 2013 09:35 am
First pop up sold into, 82 area could give a pop if not then 79-78

12 Apr 2013 09:40 am
Bounce from 82.25. 86-86.50 resistance if 83.50 holds. Consumer sentiment at 9:55 AM

12 Apr 2013 09:46 am
83.25 reached on pullback from 84.75 double top, as long as pullback holds 83 no breakdown. But should be not much more upside

12 Apr 2013 09:47 am
86.50 area resistance, a pullback needs to bounce from 84 area

12 Apr 2013 09:49 am
86.50 area rejected, It will take a break back below 84.50 and not turn right back up to dent the upside at the moment

12 Apr 2013 09:53 am
Number in just a few minutes. 86.50 resistance needs cleared/held or breaking back down again

12 Apr 2013 09:57 am
84.75 should not be cleared/held. Key area and then 86.50 retest if taken out. Around 80-79 area key support

12 Apr 2013 10:01 am
The bounces are selling opportunities, early high made about 20 minutes in, 79 area likely.

12 Apr 2013 10:05 am
Watch 80-79 for a support area on another push lower, or work that way if there's feeble bounce. 83.25, if cleared could pop up

12 Apr 2013 10:09 am
80.50 was bid right back up, they move over 83.25 is needed to hold, or can pull back again

12 Apr 2013 10:14 am
84.50 area could be a turning point area, 82.50 area needs to hold on pullback

12 Apr 2013 10:21 am
Two bounces of about 4 points on the ES. Should test 79.50 as long as holds under 82.50

12 Apr 2013 10:32 am
If 80.75 is going to hold as a low, then 83 needs taken out/held on a dip. It's choppy, small support 81.50 should hold or they keep going through 80.50

12 Apr 2013 10:36 am
Still holding under 83, 5 pokes to 81-80.75 held so far, should be broken through to 79 area

12 Apr 2013 10:41 am
Another pop up will be a shorting opportunity, even if it's a bounce from 79 area. A 2 point bounces likely sold, 3.50-4.00 point bounce max

12 Apr 2013 10:46 am
79.25 reached so far, some short covering possible. This pattern is bearish, 76-75 next. 80.25 resistance

12 Apr 2013 10:52 am
75.50 support/target was reached, a good morning for the short side. 79.50 area resistance. Needs broken to dent downside momentum

12 Apr 2013 10:55 am
In an out for the next 15-20 minutes, a retest of the low must bounce immediately or 72.50-71.50 a major area not listed last night.

12 Apr 2013 11:15 am
A bit of a double bottom, but should stay under 79 to keep good downtrend intact for now. 76.25 is small support. If 79 broken then some

12 Apr 2013 11:16 am
Pressure would be off for a bit. Would need to get back above 80.50/hold not reverse if there is a move above 79

12 Apr 2013 11:24 am
So far 79 reached and rejected a bit. Stays bearish under 79

12 Apr 2013 11:35 am
Barely poked over 79, but was decent buying around 77 keeping the ES from breaking back down again. That is now 78, key pullback support

12 Apr 2013 11:38 am
79-79.25 sold for a third time, and that's resistance also, so should drop from here or thanks change for a while

12 Apr 2013 11:47 am
There was buying at 77 around 11:28 AM, this push needs to take out 79 and then hold 78.50 area on a dip

12 Apr 2013 11:55 am
80.50 area some resistance, but market okay for now as long as 79 is held on a pullback

12 Apr 2013 12:10 pm
Pullback held at 79.25 and bounced back to 80.50. A bit more on the upside likely. If 82.50-84 area reach and stalls, look for pullback there

12 Apr 2013 12:15 pm
That might be all there is left for this bounce as the last pop up made a double top at prior support now resistance, would need taken out

12 Apr 2013 12:36 pm
Pullback to 78.50 giving a bounce attempt. To get into a somewhat strong position, ES needs to push over 80.50 and hold around there on a dip.

12 Apr 2013 12:38 pm
That will be hard to pull off, should not get back above that area and be able to hold. But just in case. ES needs to stay over 79.50 area

12 Apr 2013 12:41 pm
For now gaining strength, as long as 80-79.50 area holds market remains an uptrend

12 Apr 2013 12:52 pm
That 79.50 is as far as a pullback should go or a high will be in poor early afternoon, 82.50 next resistance

12 Apr 2013 12:53 pm
Back in about 10 minutes or so

12 Apr 2013 01:10 pm
82.50 had a pullback on the first test but held 82 and up to 84 area where market broke earlier. 82.50 support now on a pullback

12 Apr 2013 01:16 pm
If they bounce up again and stop around 83 it's a short, that should be a bounce high in place, at the least strong resistance around 84

12 Apr 2013 01:46 pm
80.50 pretty good support, if that is broken then the market could break pretty hard late in the day. 82.50 is a bounce resistance, 84 key

12 Apr 2013 01:54 pm
82.50 was reached and rejected for a shorting opportunity. A break of 80.50 area can go for 77.50 may be quickly

12 Apr 2013 01:56 pm
Any kind of bounce will be sold into, market should be down hard a few days given internals reach extremes for first time in months

12 Apr 2013 02:03 pm
A battle between 82.50 and 80 areas. A push over 82.50 needed to get squeeze towards 84-84.50. 86 area Key IF exceeded

12 Apr 2013 02:05 pm
A break of 80 area can open the door for a drop back down to 75.50-75 zone, was/is major for today.If unable to hold 72.50-71.50 should/must

12 Apr 2013 02:10 pm
FYI:am planning to make some changes to the service. If there is something simple to add that would be helpful email Mike@TradeStalker.com

12 Apr 2013 02:12 pm
Cannot promise a reply but will definitely read comments and see if things can be implemented without adding extra work/time currently

12 Apr 2013 02:15 pm
Range inside of a range, 82 resistance and 81 support, it's the 80.50-80 area that is a transition area and would like to see that broken for

12 Apr 2013 02:16 pm
Four confirmed downtrend underway. Can pop up a bit further, but not likely going to stick at higher prices. Should be selling into strength

12 Apr 2013 02:30 pm
80.50 area resistance now on a bounce

12 Apr 2013 02:39 pm
79.25 able to hold and bounce back to 80.50, if that is cleared/held then 82 could be in the cards before pullback attempt

12 Apr 2013 02:49 pm
Needs to bounce from 80.25-80.002 ovoid potential breakdown. Making lower highs and 81.50 needs cleared now to take pressure off

12 Apr 2013 02:54 pm
Between now and Monday expecting 75 to at least get a retest and really should breakthrough that unless the market remained very strong

12 Apr 2013 02:57 pm
Just in 18 point drop from top to bottom, and should be 24 points at least, and that would be 69 area where breakout occurred.

12 Apr 2013 03:12 pm
As long as 80.50 is held there can be a bit of short covering but shouldn't take out 82.50/hold unless going to close strong towards 84

12 Apr 2013 03:18 pm
81.25 should be pivotal in a pullback from just over 82.50

12 Apr 2013 03:31 pm
81.25 able to hold on the pullbacks so far. That will still be pivotal in the last 30 minutes. They pop up to the 84 area and sold into

12 Apr 2013 03:33 pm
Have a great weekend! Should be a good Monday for some good-sized moves. I will catch you around the open. Take care

 

 

Thursday-April 11, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

11 Apr 2013 09:24 am
Mostly will be trading from the short side today. Internals reached overbought for first time in 2+ months

11 Apr 2013 09:29 am
A bounce from 82 is possible but will be sold into. But they break/hold then this turns

11 Apr 2013 09:37 am
Per last nights update the pressure stays on under 84. 83.75 high so far. They break the 82 should mean 79-78 at least

11 Apr 2013 09:49 am
Just the little pop-ups were sticking until reversing out from 81. 82.50-82 is key, should not be broken if going to make another push higher

11 Apr 2013 09:51 am
Just a little higher at 86.50-87.50 area is where the key area is in should be tested before a reversal attempt

11 Apr 2013 09:52 am
Needs to stay above 84-83.50 area on a dip to keep a strong uptrend for now

11 Apr 2013 09:58 am
84.50-84 and needs to hold to it to 86.50-87.50. If thats reached and rejected it can start a decent pullback. It may be already starting

11 Apr 2013 10:01 am
84-83.50 tested, A pop-up should be sold into, especially the NQ.

11 Apr 2013 10:05 am
86.50-87.50 just a missed sofar. That is potential reversal area, the 84-83.50 is now key support the rest of the morning.

11 Apr 2013 10:13 am
87 reached so far. It will take a move back below 85.50-85 S that doesn't turn right back up to put any pressure on for pullback/drop

11 Apr 2013 10:18 am
Resistance rejected, a retest would be a short also.

11 Apr 2013 10:30 am
87.00 was sold down to 84.75 where turned back up. At resistance, but 84.50 yesterdays high area would need to be broken to begin reversal.

11 Apr 2013 10:35 am
They're going to need to make another run up to take out 87.50/hold, don't see that happening

11 Apr 2013 10:49 am
Runaway market on the upside still, pullbacks have been 1.75, 2.25, and 2.25 points off of the highs and then back up again. We've had this

11 Apr 2013 10:52 am
Pretty much since Monday morning low. 89 is a level that came up 2 times when doing "resistance" up here. But need more than 2.50 point dip

11 Apr 2013 10:56 am
88.50 support on a dip, or about 1.75-2.50 points off of the high.

11 Apr 2013 11:02 am
Simply amazing melt-up to this point, should begin to get toppy now that this has gone parabolic,

11 Apr 2013 11:10 am
Buyers backing off. 88.50 area is the key support on a pullback, there's a chance to go to 92-93, Holding 90 keeps it very strong. Next update 15 minutes

11 Apr 2013 11:30 am
93 resistance was rejected, and buyers starting to back away. Next pop up a short opportunity

11 Apr 2013 11:43 am
91.50 is resistance on a bounce, if they pop up and turned back from that area, another ~4 point pullback

11 Apr 2013 11:54 am
ES made a tiny double bottom at 88.25, but there is pressure on unless 90.50-91 is cleared and not sold into instead. 84.50 area still key S

11 Apr 2013 12:09 pm
Normally would be a sharp move up after trading sideways, but no strong buying interest to get this even above 90

11 Apr 2013 12:21 pm
88 was broken by 1 tick and turned up. Fullback held 88.00 and turned a back up. If third trip gives break/hold of 88 changes market dynamics

11 Apr 2013 12:27 pm
Pops are not able to stick, even though 88 has been holding. This can be a move that breaks the market down. A short at/under 89-89.50

11 Apr 2013 12:38 pm
a decent move up off of 87.50 to 89.50, pullback needs to hold 88.50 if going to try another push higher

11 Apr 2013 12:55 pm
The action has thinned out, but needs to stay over 89 to have a chance to make another push higher. If broken than a bounce that follows fails

11 Apr 2013 01:00 pm
This should even see the 89 area for a while or will be getting a little bit weak. Retest of 93 possible. If 90.50 holds

11 Apr 2013 01:16 pm
Stalled out and should be sold under 91.50 area

11 Apr 2013 01:17 pm
NQ looks weaker than the ES if there is a decent pullback from up here

11 Apr 2013 01:21 pm
91.50 and is reached but must get a break of 90.50 and hold, market acting better up here than originally thought

11 Apr 2013 01:26 pm
If there no bounce from 90.50, then breaking down and a bounce that follows would be a short down to the 88 area

11 Apr 2013 01:30 pm
90.50 was touched and bid up so far, has to hold that area to have a chance to go through 92 and test high. Breaking down if not held

11 Apr 2013 01:36 pm
Turn right up from poke to 90.25 and at 92, should see 93 and may go higher the way this is acting. Just be careful for potential double top

11 Apr 2013 01:43 pm
If another push higher it will be sold into, not able to stick around 92-93 area

11 Apr 2013 01:47 pm
Bounce from 90.50 should have trouble around 91.50-91.75 if going lower

11 Apr 2013 01:53 pm
Bounces stopped at 91.25, market has a top in place the way the indicators set up just put in one day late

11 Apr 2013 01:56 pm
It should go back to the 84-82 area do not today then tomorrow. 89.50-90.50 resistance. 87.50-86.50 support

11 Apr 2013 02:06 pm
88-89 area resistance on bounce

11 Apr 2013 02:15 pm
Pressure stays on with one minute chart set up and the e-book guiding this since 1:50 PM. 88 currently needs cleared

11 Apr 2013 02:18 pm
86.50 was a small support, that should hold for a bounce back towards 88, that area needs pushed through with momentum. 84.50-84 next S area

11 Apr 2013 02:32 pm
88 broken and so far held on a dip. If not held, they bounce after that should be sold into

11 Apr 2013 02:35 pm
88.25+ bid on a pullback, now should be some selling around 89.50-90 area

11 Apr 2013 02:39 pm
89.75 ounce high so far, 88.50 needs held or could be breaking down from that resistance

11 Apr 2013 02:43 pm
The bounce stopped right in important resistance area for this afternoon at 89.50-90.00 area. Chance to test high if exceeded/held.

11 Apr 2013 02:48 pm
Not expecting a bounce to stick at higher levels. But needs to hold 88 area on pullback and bounce, or could see a drop towards 44.50 area

11 Apr 2013 02:50 pm
Market will be vulnerable rest of the afternoon unless 90 area is pushed above/held. Don't see that happening but not impossible.

11 Apr 2013 02:54 pm
That is 84.50, not 44.50. 88 holding for now, but Good sellers above if another bounce stalls again in the 89.50-90 area.

11 Apr 2013 03:03 pm
Barely poked over 90 but did not stick. 89 and then 88 support. Could go higher but not stick over 91 if reached

11 Apr 2013 03:11 pm
89.50-89 needs to get bid right back up, if that's broken then trend can change. They push over 91.50 will be sold most likely

11 Apr 2013 03:17 pm
I need to leave a little early today. This area is not liked by the market and odds are you will see these prices again after a bounce

11 Apr 2013 03:19 pm
Outside chance they run up to around 96 which is around 1600 on the cash, but doubt that given today's action, sell bounces. 88 key may be broken

11 Apr 2013 03:20 pm
Have a good rest of your day, catch you tomorrow shortly after the open

 

 

Wednesday-April 10, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

10 Apr 2013 11:49 am
Hello. I will need to be away for 20 minutes and just a bit. But notice that the pullbacks today have been 2.75, 2.25, 2.50 points. So

10 Apr 2013 11:53 am
it has been another mini melt up kind of day. Tiny pullbacks and steady buying all the way up. By end of the day/tomorrow this will be ready

10 Apr 2013 11:55 am
For a pullback, but needs to break strong upside momentum and trend, at least break the symmetry of the tiny pullbacks <3 pts

10 Apr 2013 12:01 pm
79.25-78.75 area needs to hold on pullback to keep upside intact. It is feeling a bit top heavy with sellers above on bounce

10 Apr 2013 12:11 pm
2.50 point pullback off of the 82 high so for. Shouldn't go much further than that to keep this strong uptrend going as it has

10 Apr 2013 12:15 pm
I will be away for about 20 minutes. Should trade from long side unless/until more than just a 2.25-2.75 point pullback.

10 Apr 2013 12:43 pm
After the fourth 2.25-2.75 point pullback held, they moved to a higher high at 83.25 so far. 82 area small support,

10 Apr 2013 12:44 pm
If broken, still should not drop farther than 2.25-2.75 pts and continue grinding higher

10 Apr 2013 01:09 pm
Tiny double top at 84 area, but other double tops been pushed through on the way up. 82-81 area needs to hold on pullback

10 Apr 2013 01:25 pm
There is other support aside from the 2.25-2.75 point pullback symmetry around 82-81.50. This will stay in strong trend up mode unless broken

10 Apr 2013 01:28 pm
86.50-87.50 should be a pretty strong resistance/target on outside. A turn back down from that area possible but careful top picking, need rejection

10 Apr 2013 01:32 pm
The Fed minutes were leaked early today and means there will be eight 2 PM release the way I understand it. A 53 not held, next to bounce sold

10 Apr 2013 01:46 pm
Yet another 2.25 point dip off of the high was held. 8280 support area now, a cluster of numbers around that area at the moment

10 Apr 2013 01:58 pm
Going sideways with the last two pop-ups being sold into. However, unless a break under 82-81.50 the trend up intact. 79-78 S if broken

10 Apr 2013 02:25 pm
Third rejection of 84 telling, should be in for bigger pullback, especially on breakup 82

10 Apr 2013 02:29 pm
Another 2.50 point pullback bought at 81.75, but bounced should not be able to stick. Resistance around 83-83.25 if going to break

10 Apr 2013 02:47 pm
The drop to 81 is the deepest pullback all day, 81.50 should hold to test high or higher.

10 Apr 2013 02:51 pm
It looks like 82 would need to be bid right back up if tested to avoid potential rollover, or at least have trouble holding gains begin

10 Apr 2013 02:59 pm
A close up here with internals like this will put almost all internal gauges at overbought extremes, odds of pullback have gone up

10 Apr 2013 03:11 pm
Could get a bounce, but 82 would need to be pushed through with some gusto or going lower after that move stalls

10 Apr 2013 03:17 pm
If there is a late day bounce, it will need to get back above 82-82.50 and not turn right back down. High should be in. 79-78 area support

10 Apr 2013 03:20 pm
79-78 Should be key support end of the day. If not held, bigger trends begin turning down.

10 Apr 2013 03:27 pm
End of day bounce started n, 82-82.50 needs to be cleared/held not rejected. 81 minor support a strong, 80 should hold

10 Apr 2013 03:31 pm
82-82.50 was pushed through by one tick then reversed, some pressure on unless 52.50 exceeded/held down to 81-80.50

10 Apr 2013 03:38 pm
It looks like a pullback should hold around 81.50-81 at the worst and turn back up if today is going to end on a strong note

10 Apr 2013 03:45 pm
86.50-87.50 is the resistance on the upside, would expect selling into that area if reached. Have a good rest of your day,

10 Apr 2013 03:45 pm
I will catch you tomorrow around the open. Should be a good trading day given the way things have been going

 

 

Tuesday-April 9, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

09 Apr 2013 09:22 am
Not able to stay over 62.50. 62-63 strong resistance to clear/hold. 60.50 and then the 59 area minor

09 Apr 2013 09:24 am
Per last night's update look for the early strength to be sold, and then a decent pullback a buying opportunity most likely

09 Apr 2013 09:35 am
Pop up to resistance and turn down, 58 area support

09 Apr 2013 09:44 am
Use 57.75-57.25 support as target area to cover any shorts and potential for a bounce. If no sign of that, down to 54

09 Apr 2013 09:49 am
The 62.00-62.50 zone was sold in the 1st minute and 6th minute. 58.00 low 1 tick over 57.75-57.25 support. Need a push over 60.50

09 Apr 2013 09:53 am
Stair stepping down with 59.25 a key resistance now. This bounce should fail around 58 is going lower towards 54 support area

09 Apr 2013 10:02 am
58-58.50 area pivotal resistance on this bounce

09 Apr 2013 10:13 am
58-58.50 area barely poked over, 58 needs to hold that worst from here to avoid another push lower

09 Apr 2013 10:17 am
58.25 held on the dip and turned up, if 60 is pulled over look for a turned back down

09 Apr 2013 10:26 am
Support now around 59, needs to hold over that area to keep up trend. Look for sellers on retest of 62-62.50

09 Apr 2013 10:31 am
Just missed resistance and sold again. 59.50 key support now, 57 area under that

09 Apr 2013 10:37 am
59 pullback low, 2 pullbacks and this uptrend of 2.25 points. 59 a key support for now

09 Apr 2013 10:41 am
Sell against 61.25-62.00 double top, needs deeper pullback then very strong rally to get through that zone

09 Apr 2013 10:51 am
Pullback held 57.75 and bounce back to 59.25, bounces not sticking and now 57.75 needs held or a bounce that follows will be sold also

09 Apr 2013 10:56 am
So for we have 2 sided action, bounce from 57 area could go to 58.50 and turned back down if on our way to the low or lower

09 Apr 2013 11:03 am
58.50 sold right down, that is pivotal up here and market still under pressure unless exceeded/held

09 Apr 2013 11:06 am
Pop up to 58.75 was quick. 57 area better support. Another push higher may not stick, but avoids trouble as long as 57 held

09 Apr 2013 11:19 am
57 held for a bounce but they are not sticking, another bounce should fail and a lower low made

09 Apr 2013 11:26 am
So far this pullback low held 55.50 lo of the day, but another push lower if hold under 58 and 2779 on NQ

09 Apr 2013 11:32 am
A double top and double bottom and side of the first 30 minute range. Two-sided action, should sell off from 59, if not then a poke to 60.50

09 Apr 2013 11:45 am
A hold over 59 needed if there is going to be a push over 60. If there is a push over 60, expect it to be sold into

09 Apr 2013 11:50 am
60 was touched/sold down to 59. 58 area pivotal on pullback and should get a test

09 Apr 2013 11:59 am
61.75 area possible on this move, only if 59.50 is held in pushed up quickly. Next update in about 10 minutes.

09 Apr 2013 12:14 pm
59.50 holding so uptrend still intact and can try for 62 area again. Just need a good push through 61, not reverse again

09 Apr 2013 12:24 pm
61.25 was reached, if this doesn't hold 60.50 then 59 area could be back same again. If 60.50 holds, chance to test/break 62-62.50

09 Apr 2013 12:31 pm
ES went to 60.25 then pop up. About to test 62-62.50 and maybe go a bit above, sign of reversal so far. But pullback when stalls out likely

09 Apr 2013 12:32 pm
61 area is support now on a pullback. Should see buyers back off up here pretty soon, and buy pullback but careful up here

09 Apr 2013 12:40 pm
62.50-62 area should hold as support if this is going to stay strong, otherwise 61 area would be next support. A pop-up to new high sold

09 Apr 2013 12:49 pm
So far 62 held on a dip, still bullish unless broken. A token higher high likely sold into, also watched 2788 on NQ for breakdown potential

09 Apr 2013 01:02 pm
62 was only broken by one tick, keeping this in an uptrend and not rolling over. This can push towards 66 next if continues

09 Apr 2013 01:10 pm
62.50 area is support, if that is broken then 61.75 could be a key area to hold to avoid potential reversal. 64 then 66 R

09 Apr 2013 01:19 pm
Still good buying similar to yesterday, as long as 62.50 holds at worst, stays in strong uptrend. 66 next

09 Apr 2013 01:25 pm
66 was just messed, pullback should not go under 64.50-64 at the worst to keep this pushing higher. Careful not to go against this unless turns

09 Apr 2013 01:30 pm
Now the 65.50 area needs to hold to keep this really strong uptrend intact. If broken then 68 may not get tested, yearly high and should be important

09 Apr 2013 01:39 pm
A bounce back to 67 that shows rejection would set up at least a scalp on the short side. Otherwise, if no bounce, 64.50 key is next

09 Apr 2013 01:46 pm
high and just under the 68 previous high, should see buyers back off some up in this area. Its been a good rally, the key S is 65.50 still

09 Apr 2013 01:58 pm
The ES missed the 1568.00 High for the year by 1 tick and pulled back to 66.25 so far. This is about as far as pullback should go

09 Apr 2013 01:59 pm
if going to attempt getting back to test the high and not starting toppy action

09 Apr 2013 02:08 pm
66 held button of follow-thru on bounce, stopping at 67.25 and getting a little toppy. Appears must stay over 66 or potential reversal if not

09 Apr 2013 02:12 pm
it has been strong up day but backing away from prior high. A bit top heavy, still, appears no damage done unless break/hold under 66.

09 Apr 2013 02:17 pm
I think it is a short on another pop-up if there is one, market has gone a long way and lost momentum

09 Apr 2013 02:20 pm
64-63.50 area could get a test if a decent pullback, should hold there or the 61.50 trend transition possible

09 Apr 2013 02:30 pm
65.50 just 2-point pullback and back up again.As long as dips are just ~2 points this can grind higher. Anything more could change dynamics

09 Apr 2013 02:44 pm
68 area should be support now if this is going to stay strong and try to get the S&P cash to 1576 area. Another 2.50 points

09 Apr 2013 02:47 pm
68 held so far and shouldn't go much further or could continue and take out 67. If that happens, it would be two points and key

09 Apr 2013 03:03 pm
As long as 67.75 continues to hold this has potential to test 71.50-72.50. Doubt that can happen today, it has been strong/trend up but not

09 Apr 2013 03:03 pm
If 68 broken and held under

09 Apr 2013 03:09 pm
Too much of a pullback, 67.50-68 good resistance on a bounce and should be hard to break/hold

09 Apr 2013 03:12 pm
The way the market acted for the 15 it was up there, should be decent sellers around the high. Two good days in a row. Should be a high made

09 Apr 2013 03:14 pm
Either today or tomorrow. If this rallies and to tomorrow with good internals, internal gauges finally get to extremes they 1st in months

09 Apr 2013 03:16 pm
Needs to close above 65.50 to stay in bullish position on my charts.

09 Apr 2013 03:20 pm
67.50-68 area tested and sold. That is key and a day

09 Apr 2013 03:28 pm
Bounce to 67.75 was sold into. Again, significant area and a sad day and 64 area then 62.50-62 support below

09 Apr 2013 03:32 pm
Could be a small bounce attempt but unless 67.50 area cleared/held late day the market still a bit vulnerable. Have a great day!

09 Apr 2013 03:33 pm
I have to be away in the morning for Dr. appointment, will hopefully be home around noon. Will update ASAP.

 

 

 

Monday-April 8, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

08 Apr 2013 09:22 am
51 area key early, good resistance around 51-52 if that's reached this morning. A pullback should come before bounce attempt

08 Apr 2013 09:34 am
1548.50 area sold and is key resistance this morning, if post above then 50.50. 45 area next support

08 Apr 2013 09:44 am
First try at 48.50 sold into, 47 needs to give quick bounce back if going higher

08 Apr 2013 09:45 am
45 and then 43.50

08 Apr 2013 09:47 am
45.25 was reached so far, 47 area bounce resistance should not be taken out

08 Apr 2013 09:50 am
46.50-47 area should be sold if there is going to be another push for lower to break 45 and go for 44.25 fixed support

08 Apr 2013 09:59 am
44.25 support/target was reached and a bounce. Pullback and rally from 44.50 needed if a chance to go a bit higher.

08 Apr 2013 10:02 am
Bounces going to fail or have hard time holding, 46.50-47 strong resistance to break/hold above

08 Apr 2013 10:07 am
44 support is keeping ES from going to 42 area. Another pullback should hold that area, 46.50 resistance, needs cleared to get squeezed higher

08 Apr 2013 10:10 am
There was a little double top at 48.75-48.50 resistance, double bottom just under 44.25 support. 45.75 pivotal here

08 Apr 2013 10:14 am
If there is another pop-up it will be sold into. If this breaks 45 and doesn't get turned right back up a new low possible

08 Apr 2013 10:20 am
Wedge pattern broken, a bounce should be sold around 45 area if reached. 42 area key just below

08 Apr 2013 10:25 am
44.75 sold on the bounce, it's possible for one more pop up to 45-45.50, but bearish unless cleared/held still

08 Apr 2013 10:30 am
Tiny double bottom at 43, a bounce could go to 46 if this is going range bound

08 Apr 2013 10:38 am
The bounce made it to 46, has two stay over 45 at worst, or will retest 44-43.50.

08 Apr 2013 10:41 am
Needs to push above 46.50-47 and hold soon, or drop-just started must hold 45 or down to 44 area or lower

08 Apr 2013 10:42 am
If a bounce from 45 it will need to have gusto and pushed through 46.50-47 and be able to stay up there. Should not be able to or strong

08 Apr 2013 10:48 am
45 a key support now that it has been defended. 48.50 tests and then some pullback, 46.50 support

08 Apr 2013 10:50 am
Should hold on a pullback to the 47-46.50 area if going to stay in a good strong up trend. If broken back into trading range

08 Apr 2013 10:53 am
47 held on the dip and that is trended support, 45 is pivotal in this range if no push over 48.50.

08 Apr 2013 11:01 am
Pullback from 48.25 so far holding 47-46.50, but staying under 48 area. Could it get hit if 45 not held. IF 48.50 exceeded 50.50

08 Apr 2013 11:06 am
Buyers backing away at 48. On ES and around 2765 on the NQ. Key areas, if 45 broken may not see that area for a while, 43.50 area possible

08 Apr 2013 11:13 am
45 was able to hold, and 46.50 able to hold also, market stays in uptrend towards 50.50 as long as 46.50 not broken

08 Apr 2013 11:19 am
Well, 48-48.50 area along with 2765-2766 area on NQ are turning into strong resistance, 46-45.50 bought on dip. That is needed broken sound

08 Apr 2013 11:29 am
5 or 6 tests of 48 area, but a good bid on a pullback in holding 46 mostly. A break above 48.50, that holds, needed. Break of 46 could start fast drop

08 Apr 2013 11:36 am
Everything moving sideways currently, a very long stall at a resistance. Need a break/hold over 48-48.50 to avoid potential drop

08 Apr 2013 11:42 am
If 48-48.50 broken/held, then 50.50-51.25 would be next. 46.50 area needs held to have chance. Next update in about 15 minutes.

08 Apr 2013 12:01 pm
One hour of trading between 48.25 on top and 45.50 on the bottom, last pullback low at 45.75 bid back up. Can pop up again but fail under 48

08 Apr 2013 12:17 pm
A hold under 46 would put pressure on, and could give a 42 area

08 Apr 2013 12:25 pm
The bottom of the range broken by 2 ticks so far to 45.00, which was pivotal on the way up. Could bounce but staying under 46.50 bearish

08 Apr 2013 12:30 pm
Bounced stopped at 46.25 so far, but as long as it turns right back up from 45.50 there could be another move back up

08 Apr 2013 12:39 pm
Pullback held at 45.75 and turned up and reached 47.50 so far, stays in an uptrend unless 47 broken right now

08 Apr 2013 12:47 pm
47 has been holding if that is broken then another top could be in place but holding keeps door open to poke over 48 area

08 Apr 2013 01:02 pm
Still has decent buying on dips, but still stuck under 48 area. To keep upside knowing 47 area needs to hold and give quick bounce

08 Apr 2013 01:14 pm
46.50 was held on the pullback, 48 touched on a pop up. If 48 area broken above, then 50.50-51.25 possibly fast on squeeze

08 Apr 2013 01:25 pm
48.50 sold again. 46.50 area key support. Buyers backing away, but forced in on move over 48.50

08 Apr 2013 01:39 pm
Token higher high was sold, 47.50 area needs to give a quick pop back up, or the thin upside action can reverse.

08 Apr 2013 01:44 pm
47.75 pullback low and more buying coming in, 50.50-51.25 could still be seen especially a hold over 48.50 on a dip

08 Apr 2013 01:54 pm
50.50-51.25 zone was reached,still just a small pullback.A hold over 50 needed to make another decent push higher.Could be topping otherwise

08 Apr 2013 02:00 pm
There is some resistance around 52, stronger at 54 but 52 should be tough to get through. A pullback should be 2-3 points, maybe more depending

08 Apr 2013 02:01 pm
Depending on momentum. 50.50

08 Apr 2013 02:13 pm
54-54.50 should offer some resistance, but stays trend up as long as 51.50 is broken

08 Apr 2013 02:17 pm
52.50-52 should hold if going to get to 54-54.50. Strong trend up unless 52 broken, and then 50.50 would be key.

08 Apr 2013 02:24 pm
A reversal bar from 1 tick under resistance, It has been trend up but can start drop if 52 broken

08 Apr 2013 02:28 pm
If 52 is broken, then 51.25 would be just below and also key area. Back towards 48.50-48 if not able to hold

08 Apr 2013 02:36 pm
52 able to hold so far, but struggling to hold as good resistance at 54. A move into the 54-54.50 area possible as long as 52 is held.

08 Apr 2013 02:38 pm
If that 52 area is broken, and not turned right back up, then a high could be in and 54-54.50 may not be tested

08 Apr 2013 02:46 pm
The move is stalling out a bit, but as long as 52.50-52 not broken through, up trend still intact

08 Apr 2013 02:52 pm
Probably not going to see piling in and drive this strongly over 54. Should be pulled back before such a move could be sustainable

08 Apr 2013 02:58 pm
The NQ is having trouble up here, the ES will have a hard time taking out 54-54.50 if it doesn't get turned up pretty soon

08 Apr 2013 02:59 pm
Could drag the market lower along with the Dow possibly rolling over. Keep an eye on both. A break/hold under 52 not good

08 Apr 2013 03:11 pm
So for pullback held just above 52, if broken end of day could be unexpected drop in instead of somewhat typical run up

08 Apr 2013 03:17 pm
54-54.50 still a good resistance, it has been a strong day but has to punch through 54-54.52 and that way. 52.50-52 key support must hold

08 Apr 2013 03:28 pm
The market has had good buying all afternoon, there could be selling around 50 for-54.50 area but no damage to trend unless/until 52 broken

08 Apr 2013 03:30 pm
Have a good rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow shortly after stocks open

 

 

 

Wednesday-April 3, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

03 Apr 2013 09:24 am
I'm in no rush to be a buyer up here. On a decent pullback if things set up. Should be sellers into strength as soon as upside stalls.

03 Apr 2013 09:27 am
a couple of economic releases at 10 AM. I'm going to update less at what should be tradable area Today.

03 Apr 2013 09:32 am
64 needs to hold for a bounce that follows should be sold into. That is key support this morning

03 Apr 2013 09:35 am
66 minor resistance needs broken/held, that should be hard to get over and hold. If it's broken through than 68 area possible

03 Apr 2013 09:42 am
It turned out from 66 wrote 64 support, 62.50-62 needs to get a bounce or market in trouble. 64.50 bounce resistance area

03 Apr 2013 09:47 am
the NQ acting different than ES, that needs to get above 2818 and hold to help the ES. Otherwise 58.50 area coming

03 Apr 2013 09:50 am
Short covering pop-up should not get above 62.50, if it does then 64-64.50 good resistance

03 Apr 2013 10:03 am
58 area reached, 60 minor resistance Pressure stays on unless they break/hold above 62.

03 Apr 2013 10:07 am
could bounce from 56-55.50 area but acting poorly so far and should have a hard time holding on a bounce. 60 area resistance

03 Apr 2013 10:16 am
Trying to base out at 57 and could get back to 60 and possibly test 61.50-62.50 area resistance

03 Apr 2013 10:18 am
If 57 is broken then 55.50 area is next and then possibly done to the 52 area before a turn back up

03 Apr 2013 10:25 am
Finally able to get above 58.50, now needs to stay above 58 on pullback or could break down. 61.50 area still resistance

03 Apr 2013 10:36 am
Holding 57 so far but bounces haven't had much gusto, unless 59.50 area Taken out they can still go lower

03 Apr 2013 10:53 am
Trading between 57 and 59.50 for quite a while, could get a move to 61.50 on breakout but pulled back when

03 Apr 2013 10:57 am
55.50 area should be in the cards now that bottom of the range poked through. Bounces a short under 59.50 area

03 Apr 2013 11:03 am
55.50 reached and a tiny bounce but still can go lower court's 52 as long as it stays under 57.50-58 bounce resistance

03 Apr 2013 11:17 am
52.50 missed by a few ticks, but needs to get above 55.50 and then hold around 50 if going to try to bounce, more trouble otherwise

03 Apr 2013 11:20 am
Need to get above 55.50 and then hold 55 on a pullback to get a bounce, but probably not going to stick.

03 Apr 2013 11:30 am
55.75 sold three times, shouldn't go much higher before another pullback.

03 Apr 2013 11:38 am
55.75 would need to be pushed above and not come right back down for anything to get going on the upside. Still a short under

03 Apr 2013 11:47 am
Double bottom was pretty decent buying, could try for 57-58 if no trouble at 55.75 again

03 Apr 2013 12:00 pm
55.50 needs to hold now to get to 57 which missed by 2 ticks so far

03 Apr 2013 12:07 pm
Getting another bounce not likely but if so it should not be able to hold, just look for shorting opportunities on bounces. Top in place it appears

03 Apr 2013 12:16 pm
Some short covering from 54.50, these bounces not going to stick, 57 should be maximum if a decent bounce

03 Apr 2013 12:25 pm
A lower low that the 52.50-52 area should be in the cards to break the double bottom, trend down day

03 Apr 2013 12:34 pm
52.75 gave the bounce. If 52.50 doesn't hold, can go for the 48 area. 54.50 area resistance now. Also keep an eye on NQ, has led and weaker

03 Apr 2013 12:43 pm
54.50 was sold and a retest of the 52.50 area needs to turn back up with gusto and take out 54.50-55 and be able to hold.Shouldn't. Trend day

03 Apr 2013 12:50 pm
Pressure stays on as long as a bounce is just 2-3 points on ES. Could be seeing 48 or lower if no decent bounce. 15 minute break

03 Apr 2013 01:18 pm
Diaz had a 2.25 point bounce off of the low and back down again. Probably short covering, but came right back this time. 54.50 needs cleared

03 Apr 2013 01:25 pm
Can interrupt trend day if 54.50 is exceeded and then holds 53.50 area on a dip. Stay trend down otherwise. NQ could be different, 2898 R

03 Apr 2013 01:41 pm
The 48 of 48 level was reached, that is fairly important area. Could bounce, but now 50-51 strong resistance on bounce

03 Apr 2013 01:52 pm
Retest of 47.50 will need to turn right back up, a move above 50.25-51 area needed to take some pressure off

03 Apr 2013 02:03 pm
Still haven't had a bounce more than 2.50-3.25 points on the ES. That would be 1549.75 currently. Unless broken/held it stays trend down

03 Apr 2013 02:10 pm
A very quick snap back off of the low. If this cannot push lower soon we get some short covering, starting as I write. 47.50 support

03 Apr 2013 02:16 pm
Best bounce all day by 1 tick so far, has Too stay over 48 area or could test the low area before bounce attempt

03 Apr 2013 02:18 pm
Don't expect this to go to far, 51.50 area should be strong and hard to break/hold. 53.50-54 area possible if 51.50 reached and not rejected

03 Apr 2013 02:27 pm
48 held so far, but still bearish under 50 for now, retest the low must hold

03 Apr 2013 02:35 pm
48 broken by 1 tick, 47.50 key and must hold to avoid new low. If 50 broken, 51.50 area, then pull back likely

03 Apr 2013 02:46 pm
50-49.50 should hold if there is going to be another push to the upside

03 Apr 2013 02:51 pm
A quick bounce after pulling back to test 50, the key resistance for this move should be around 53.25-54 area

03 Apr 2013 02:56 pm
If this doesn't push through 52 and 50.50 is broken then the trend can turn back down again

03 Apr 2013 03:00 pm
Need to be away for about 10 minutes. I'll be surprised if there is a strong end of day rally. 50.50 needs to hold

03 Apr 2013 03:13 pm
This will stay in a downtrend unless 50.50 is broken above, but a bounce back to 52-53 should be sold

03 Apr 2013 03:27 pm
A bounce will need to get back above 49.50-50 area and not turn right back down to get some sort of bounce back towards 52 or lower.

03 Apr 2013 03:29 pm
Hope you had a good day. I must be away tomorrow, so read tonight's update. I will catch you here on Friday morning. Take care
 

 

 

Tuesday-April 2, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

02 Apr 2013 09:31 am
A pullback should hold 58 area to stay in good uptrend

02 Apr 2013 09:39 am
62.50 key support but a push above 65 not likely

02 Apr 2013 09:45 am
62.50 held twice if broken a high could be in

02 Apr 2013 09:51 am
The first move above 65 should be sold into buttons long as 64 area held the buyer still in charge

02 Apr 2013 09:53 am
65.50 sold and can be a top if no good bounce from 64 area

02 Apr 2013 09:56 am
64 trying to hold, if high not in likely going to be sold on a retest. Factory orders at 10 AM

02 Apr 2013 10:00 am
62.50 held and the token higher high sold and then 64 held on dip and that is key level

02 Apr 2013 10:03 am
Buyers should back off at the new highs, but only A reversal if 64.50-64 broken.

02 Apr 2013 10:12 am
One more pop up is a short, 67 should be a high for a while

02 Apr 2013 10:16 am
The new high are being sold and making easy scalp trades at worst, 65.50 needs cleared to get another pop-up or 64 or lower

02 Apr 2013 10:18 am
If another pop-up from 64 should be sold possibly hard if turned down at 65.50

02 Apr 2013 10:29 am
This move 64 held pretty well, but pop up to 66.25 unable to stick, 65 needs held or test 64, if broken then back to 62.50 area.

02 Apr 2013 10:35 am
Back down to 64 area, another bounce should fail under 66 if we are topping out up here,

02 Apr 2013 10:43 am
The pop up reached 66, but needs to stay over 65 two attempt one more push higher

02 Apr 2013 10:48 am
68 is possible if a push over 67 is not immediately sold, 65.50 needs held or breaking down

02 Apr 2013 10:55 am
Stalling out just under 68 resistance, It would take a break of 66 to turn this back down for a bit

02 Apr 2013 11:09 am
68 was sold and 66.50 tested on pullback, a break under 66 would put some pressure on but 68 area good resistance

02 Apr 2013 11:15 am
66 held but the pop-up stopped at 67.25 and buyers backing off, better odds on a short with 68 being rejected

02 Apr 2013 11:29 am
66 held and 68-68.50 tested/sold. high will be in place if 66 area not held. 1576.09 on the SPX next resistance if 68 exceeded, not easy

02 Apr 2013 11:40 am
Even if they bounce from 66 it's not going to be able to stick, 64.25 would be next if 66 broken/held

02 Apr 2013 11:51 am
Should have a high end place with a double top at 1568 resistance. Another bounce will be sold. The NQ easier short at the moment

02 Apr 2013 11:58 am
66 was broken by just 1 tick so far, a bounce from here not likely going to make new high and hold. 68 still the key resistance, 67 minor

02 Apr 2013 12:11 pm
67 minor resistance sold in a very slow market, needs a break/hold under 66 to roll over a bit from up here

02 Apr 2013 12:11 pm
Just a heads up: I will be gone from 12:45 PM until around 1:30 PM this afternoon. I will update as soon as I return.

02 Apr 2013 12:32 pm
If 56.75 continues to hold there is a chance to poke back to/above 67.50-68.50 but not likely to stay up there.

02 Apr 2013 12:36 pm
Would just look for shorting opportunity on pop-ups as not likely going to stay up there if there is another one, 65.75 area key below

02 Apr 2013 12:41 pm
Market has found a tiny range to frustrate traders in, should break to the downside. I will be back in about 45 minutes

02 Apr 2013 01:38 pm
They dropped down to 65 getting bid back up, but should fail to clear 67.50 and hold so look for shorting opportunity

02 Apr 2013 01:51 pm
67 was reached on the bounce and sold, pullback needs to hold 65 which is turning to key support up here.

02 Apr 2013 02:02 pm
Another pop up sold but still holding 66 if that is broken and not turned right back up then pressure finally on, could pop up otherwise

02 Apr 2013 02:31 pm
Finally breaking down and now 65-65.50 is a good resistance

02 Apr 2013 02:33 pm
The 62-61.50 area should be important on further weakness, and if no sign of a bounce from there then 58.50 area possible

02 Apr 2013 02:35 pm
Keep an eye on the NQ as it has led the way down. 65-65.50 on the ES and 2815-16 on the NQ on the NQ bounce resistance

02 Apr 2013 02:41 pm
Look for a bounce attempt from 62.50-61.50 area. 58.50 if that doesn't happen. Another bounce to 65-66 should be sold

02 Apr 2013 02:48 pm
The ES reached 62.25 and turned up but this bounce should stick 65 strong resistance

02 Apr 2013 02:58 pm
Only two feeble bounces from 62.50 area 58.50-58 area would be next if a break/hold under 62. If a pop to 65-66 should be sold

02 Apr 2013 03:06 pm
62.75-62.25 zone tested 5 times and most hold or 58.50-58. A bounce should have trouble breaking/holding 65.50 area

02 Apr 2013 03:22 pm
In danger of further breakdown unless 64 area taken out on a bounce to relieve some selling pressure for a bit

02 Apr 2013 03:32 pm
Bounce from 62-61.50 zone but going to 58 area if this stays under 63 on another bounce attempt

02 Apr 2013 03:39 pm
Still need a push above 64 that sticks, then 55.25-56 area could be seen. a move under 62 not quickly reversed should mean 58 area

02 Apr 2013 03:41 pm
Buyers are backing away and suggest doing the same until trends turn up or a bounce from 58. A short on bounces otherwise

02 Apr 2013 03:42 pm
There should be good selling into a bounce as soon as upside stalls out for a minute or two

 

 

Monday-April 1, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

01 Apr 2013 09:27 am
Support and resistance were in play last night, 59-58 should hold at about the lowest to keep being strong. 64 meets broken/held on top

01 Apr 2013 09:37 am
Unless 62.50-62 broken trend stays up but can have trouble around 64

01 Apr 2013 09:45 am
Pullback off of 64.50 just a small one, new highs sold, has to stay above 63. ISM top of the hour

01 Apr 2013 09:49 am
This is a potential early high if cannot hold above 63.50-63 on a dip or get above 64.50 and hold above that level on second break

01 Apr 2013 09:54 am
Couldn't hold 64.50 but not aggressively sold in pullback holding 63 so far, ISM should shake this up

01 Apr 2013 09:58 am
Early high should be in place, if not a higher high will be sold most likely. 59-58 next support is a break of low

01 Apr 2013 09:59 am
Both the ES and NQ were unable to hold initial resistance and a short under that

01 Apr 2013 10:02 am
Plunged to the 58 support and 55 next. A bounce to 61.50 area would be sold into

01 Apr 2013 10:08 am
Unable to hold under 58 on the downside so far also, opposite of at the top. 61.50-62 bounce resistance

01 Apr 2013 10:18 am
61.25 bounce high so far, can go back to 58 or lower if 61.50 not exceeded and able to hold up there.

01 Apr 2013 10:24 am
As long as 59.50 is held there could be another push up towards 62 but should have some trouble staying there

01 Apr 2013 10:33 am
A short under 60.50-61, should go back to the 58-57 area or lower

01 Apr 2013 10:37 am
Staying under 59.50 should keep pressure on for new lows towards 56-55

01 Apr 2013 10:43 am
55.50 reached so far, A bounce from 56-55 area should stay under 58.50 to keep a good downtrend intact.

01 Apr 2013 10:49 am
Down to the 54.25-53.75 area minor, the 51.25-50.50 major area today

01 Apr 2013 10:56 am
54.25 just missed and could pop up from here a bit, minor/trend resistance at 55.50 then 57 area

01 Apr 2013 11:04 am
Unless the ES can break and hold back over 55-55.50, it stays trend down to 51.25-50.50 next.

01 Apr 2013 11:16 am
55.50 touched twice. Look for resistance at 57 if this does get through 55.50, and then hold 55 on a dip. Must get through or lower low

01 Apr 2013 11:26 am
Should make a lower low following the Dow cash, but a double bottom possible. No gusto on bounces so far and 55.50 key

01 Apr 2013 11:29 am
Okay, and outside day with higher high and lower low than last Friday. This happened last week, and had good rally back. Its possible, 55.50

01 Apr 2013 11:31 am
Needs to be cleared and then held on a small dip. 57 area minor resistance and 58.50 stronger area for pullback/selloff if 55.50 pushed above

01 Apr 2013 11:41 am
Needs to have a good bounce from 55 and take out 56.50-57. If not good bounce but just wimpy, should be sold into. 55 must hold still weak

01 Apr 2013 11:48 am
Two-sided action, 54.50 is as far as pullback should go. If there is one more pop up that takes out 56.50 the 58-58.50 area could be next

01 Apr 2013 12:00 pm
We had a reversal from just about resistance 15 minutes in, a drop to 57.50 support area, bounce attempt failed at 61.25 just under 62.50 R

01 Apr 2013 12:02 pm
then down to double bottom at 53.25. Bounce back so far just missed 57. That could be a bounce high for a breakdown. If not and 57 cleared

01 Apr 2013 12:03 pm
it will be sold into. 58-58.50 would be key on bounce/retracement of downtrend. Right now 55.50-56 resistance

01 Apr 2013 12:05 pm
Likely to be a "sell the bouncers, cover on dip" kind of day or potential trend day with a low and the last 30 minutes

01 Apr 2013 12:15 pm
The NQ is weaker off of it bounce high that needs it back above 2800 and ES over 56.50-57 or going back towards 54.50

01 Apr 2013 12:22 pm
Taking a 15-20 minute break. Sell bounces down to the low or possibly 51.50-50.50 at the NQ gets hammered further

01 Apr 2013 12:34 pm
Just some short covering after retests, bounces not going to stick, still a short unless 56 cleared/held down to 51.50-52.50

01 Apr 2013 12:39 pm
53.75-53.25 tested 4 times. If broken they can slide to 51.50-50.50. The NQ still weak under 2796, ES 55.50-56

01 Apr 2013 12:52 pm
If there's going to be a decent bounce back this afternoon it has already started, 55 should hold to not just a feeble bounce and drop down

01 Apr 2013 01:03 pm
56-55.50 must hold or back into choppy downtrend from a potential double top. Otherwise could get to 58-58.50

01 Apr 2013 01:16 pm
Running out of steam and must stay above 56 area to keep uptrend from breaking here. Currently at 60 EMA resistance, 57.50 10 AM low also

01 Apr 2013 01:26 pm
46.50 should hold to keep uptrend knowing and get to 58-58.50, could go higher towards 60-61

01 Apr 2013 01:27 pm
Broke out as soon as I hit send, 58.50 reached, no damage done as long as 57.50-57 not broken. If 58.50 exceeded 60.50

01 Apr 2013 01:34 pm
A direct hit on 58.50 giving a pullback, to keep strong uptrend going there needs to be a good bounce from 57 at the lowest appears

01 Apr 2013 01:39 pm
57.50 was bought and has to stay over that area to continue uptrend, 57.25 should be pivotal.

01 Apr 2013 01:42 pm
This needs to make its move higher over 58.50 in the next 5 minutes if going higher and not back to 57

01 Apr 2013 01:45 pm
57.50 area now resistance, a break under 56.50 needs to turn right back or could go back to 54 area again

01 Apr 2013 02:00 pm
The bounce back to the bounce back to 57.50 sold back to 56.25 so far, ES needs to get back above that area to have a chance for 60.50

01 Apr 2013 02:15 pm
56.75-56.25 holding on the pullbacks, getting sold at 57.50-58 area, unless things have changed the buyer should win out. But 58.50 still key

01 Apr 2013 02:20 pm
Not acting normal holding under 58, the 55 area next and the low if not held

01 Apr 2013 02:33 pm
55 reached and now 58 area resistance on a bounce

01 Apr 2013 02:34 pm
That should have said the 56 area resistance, 56.50-57 should not be exceeded/held on a bounce

01 Apr 2013 02:44 pm
little bounce to 55.75 was turned back down, the ES reached 54.50 while the NQ a new low, turned up. 56.50-57 need cleared to take press off

01 Apr 2013 03:02 pm
A bounce to 56.25 and couldn't get above 56.50-57 resistance and back down to 55. Name move over that resistance to take pressure off

01 Apr 2013 03:11 pm
56.25 sold again, but not dropping to four. They push above 56.50 that is not turned right back down needed or stays vulnerable lower low

01 Apr 2013 03:11 pm
Would be possible folding under 56 area

01 Apr 2013 03:19 pm
55 minor resistance than 56.25 is the key area late in the day. This can go for 51.50-50.50 easily if they break 54-53.50,

01 Apr 2013 03:27 pm
54.50-55 Resistance, should have a low and place if those are cleared. Have a nice rest of your day

 

 

 

Thursday-March 28, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

28 Mar 2013 09:24 am
Don't expect a bounce to stick over 58-59 area this morning if reached. If 55 broken/held trends can change and test 51-50 area

28 Mar 2013 09:26 am
A bounce can set up from that area if it's reached and stalls out. Should be a slow dull day but we will see

28 Mar 2013 09:29 am
bounced off of 55 pre open and has to stay over that too have a chance to reach the 58-59 area

28 Mar 2013 09:35 am
Could go to 60.50 if a breakout then turned back down from that area, right now needs to stay above 57.50

28 Mar 2013 09:37 am
A break back down through 58-57.50 would need a quick bounce to avoid failure up here

28 Mar 2013 09:40 am
shouldn't take out 58.50 and go for 55 area

28 Mar 2013 09:45 am
If 56 not rejected there would be a chance to get to 57.50 area

28 Mar 2013 09:51 am
not yet a hold under 55, buyers there. Need a pullback from 57.50 58 area if going to break that

28 Mar 2013 09:58 am
Drop from just over 59 resistance stalled after barely poking under 55, trend up move since. 57.50 area needs to hold. New high sold

28 Mar 2013 10:07 am
57.50 broken but no acceleration, a hold of 57 and move over 58.50 needed to get more upside and not reverse

28 Mar 2013 10:16 am
The first push above 58.50 came right back down, spent very little time above that level and failed on the first bounce, must be cleared/held

28 Mar 2013 10:22 am
Unable to get back above 58 so far, but also strong bounce from 56, holding that keeps upside in gear to test high

28 Mar 2013 10:25 am
If just a small pullback from resistance holds 57.50 area, still a chance for another push higher before selling comes in

28 Mar 2013 10:27 am
55 support held early and then to lows at 56.50, there will be selling come in maybe at a token higher high, 56.50 key support under 57.75

28 Mar 2013 10:32 am
58 is a potential transition area, if broken then back into the 58-56.50 range

28 Mar 2013 10:34 am
Token higher high was sold and now 58.50-58 needs to hold or bounces will be sold into

28 Mar 2013 10:35 am
As could be breaking down and take out 56.50 after another pop-up possibly

28 Mar 2013 10:41 am
Pullback held 58.50, retest of high at 59.50 was sold but no damage done unless 58.50-50 broken. A high likely in if 58.50 broken, sellers under 60

28 Mar 2013 10:47 am
Just missed 60.50 Resistance and backed off and 58.50 must hold or a high end place for now

28 Mar 2013 10:55 am
So far pullback held at 58.75, with trend up action again today. A bit different at new highs, buyers should back off and selling come in a bit higher

28 Mar 2013 10:57 am
Dynamic support is holding on the way up to be bought, unless a reversal or sign of a top. 60 area support now

28 Mar 2013 11:02 am
Can pull back to 60.50 area but not much lower, could be a high in place for a bit if 60.58 area broken

28 Mar 2013 11:14 am
Pullback barely broke 60.50, needs to hold above that to avoid test of 59-58 area again. A retest of 62 area should be sold

28 Mar 2013 11:18 am
If unable to clear/hold 62 on this bounce by either stalling out or being rejected again can set up a pullback. But still bullish above 60.25 right now

28 Mar 2013 11:22 am
The NQ is lagging on this move up barely poking through the Globex high and turning down from 2810.50 Resistance, it needs to stay over 2805

28 Mar 2013 11:36 am
This is the type of action scene around highs, the token higher high kits sold into on every attempt, then 1.50-2.00 dip must hold

28 Mar 2013 11:37 am
To get another pop-up, needs to stay above 60.25 at the lowest. The NQ has been going sideways, the Dow uptrend near breaking

28 Mar 2013 11:44 am
The Dow looks to have topped out or will be sold if there is one more pop higher. Could go for 58.50 area if no bounce from 60.50

28 Mar 2013 11:48 am
So far on the other 2.25 point pullback to 60.50, key area. 58.50 area if broken. A test of 62-63 should be sold into.

28 Mar 2013 11:58 am
Pop up to 62 quickly sold into, 61.25 uptrend support, 60.50 could go if not hold. Just careful on short side for now, 60.50 key still

28 Mar 2013 12:03 pm
From here it will be shorting the bounces, buyers backing off and especially 62-63 area, if that's as far as it goes, 58.50 easy target than

28 Mar 2013 12:04 pm
Next update in about 15 minutes

28 Mar 2013 12:23 pm
58.75 reached so far, could bounce but now resistance at 60.50 area should be sold into, 2805.50 on NQ

28 Mar 2013 12:27 pm
58.50 is an important area, prior high and then transition this morning, along with 60 EMA on 5-minute chart.

28 Mar 2013 12:28 pm
56.50 area could be tested if that 58.50 area not defended. 60.50 area Resistance

28 Mar 2013 12:33 pm
A bounce from 58.25, and should get back to 60-60.50 area before pulling back.

28 Mar 2013 12:44 pm
59.75 bounce highs so far, if 59 holds they can get to 60.58 area. If that isn't sold into, then retest of high possible

28 Mar 2013 12:50 pm
59.50 area is pullback support, needs held at worst if going to test 62-63. Need to be away about 10-15 minutes, be right back

28 Mar 2013 01:07 pm
The stall at 60.50 should keep some pressure on, if that is cleared there could be a squeeze towards 62-63, but first needs over 60.50

28 Mar 2013 01:26 pm
Looking on bigger intraday timeframe, the 58 resistance area popped over for just a few seconds on the open, dropped to 55 support area

28 Mar 2013 01:26 pm
then after reversing up, stalled at 58 area, then broke/held making transition to upside then 62-63 sold back down to 58.25. So as long

28 Mar 2013 01:26 pm
As that 58.50-58 zone breaks, no damage done. Just expect decent bounce to be sold into near high or a bit higher

28 Mar 2013 01:31 pm
That should say "unless 58.50-58 zone breaks, no damage done." Currently 61.50 is resistance on this bounce, up to 63 area if broken

28 Mar 2013 02:00 pm
It's probably going to stay slow and thinly traded and try to keep the S&P 500 cash above 1565.15 all-time high close this afternoon

28 Mar 2013 02:10 pm
Stalling here must hold 60.50-60.25 to avoid breakdown and get another attempt to push higher towards 63

28 Mar 2013 02:30 pm
Almost reached 62, staying over 61-60.50 area needed to keep solid uptrend intact

28 Mar 2013 02:49 pm
The ES spent little time trading above 62 this morning, was quickly rejected. This move more likely to stick

28 Mar 2013 02:51 pm
As long as 61.50-61 is held on a pullback that will stay in a strong position, things may change if that is broken

28 Mar 2013 03:00 pm
Potential for a double top, but 61 would need to be broken to dent the upside momentum. If a new high, then 64 area

28 Mar 2013 03:08 pm
Double top at 3 o'clock and eight quick 2 point drop, 61.50 should be resistance if going to make one more push lower

28 Mar 2013 03:19 pm
Only a pause at 61.50 as some market back near the high again. They push above 62.50 that is not turned down quickly needed to squeeze up to 64

28 Mar 2013 03:20 pm
A break under 61.25 that then holds on a bounce attempt would mean some late pressure, but downside should stick

28 Mar 2013 03:23 pm
end of the week month and quarter, careful trying to fade this, one more day and at long last internal gauges could give sell signals

28 Mar 2013 03:24 pm
A break under 61.50 that doesn't turn right back up would be needed to try turning this lower.

28 Mar 2013 03:26 pm
Have a great holiday and a long weekend, I will be looking forward to Monday's trading, catch you on Monday morning

 

 

Wednesday-March 27, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

27 Mar 2013 09:22 am
If the ES opens under 50.25, and then can't get back above 51.25-52.25, the potential for an island reversal pattern. Shooting Star pattern

27 Mar 2013 09:29 am
I will be away today from around 12:15 PM until 1:15 PM, just a heads up I will send a reminder. Also, less updates today.

27 Mar 2013 09:39 am
Bows from 45.50 area and should be resistance at 48.50-49

27 Mar 2013 09:44 am
A pullback from 49 will need to hold above 48-47.50

27 Mar 2013 09:50 am
Fullback bounced from 48 but no power so must get above 49 and hold to avoid retest the below

27 Mar 2013 09:57 am
This can go to 50-50.50 or a bit higher as long as 48 is held. 48.50-48 should be good support, or else deeper pullback

27 Mar 2013 09:59 am
Pending home sales in one minute

27 Mar 2013 10:00 am
The market will stay under pressure unless a break and hold above 50

27 Mar 2013 10:07 am
49.75 sold, A saw tooth pattern higher and pull back needs to hold 47.50 area or breaking down

27 Mar 2013 10:16 am
The stall out just under 50 sold, 45.50 would need to be turned up fast if reached, otherwise they could continue down to 42.50 area

27 Mar 2013 10:18 am
pressure stays on unless 48-48.50 is taken out instead of being sold into

27 Mar 2013 10:22 am
Still have cleared 50 but has a chance as long as 48 holds, that is pivotal

27 Mar 2013 10:28 am
Can pull back to 49.50-49 at the worst to keep up trend

27 Mar 2013 10:33 am
49.75 held so far, 51.50-52.25 was a breakdown area on Globex and should be some "last trapped" at that area.

27 Mar 2013 10:44 am
Pullback should hold around 51, look for sellers at 53.50 for a dip but trend in momentum up unless 50 area broken

27 Mar 2013 10:51 am
53 sold, good resistance up there 51.50 area needs held or uptrend breaking

27 Mar 2013 10:54 am
NQ almost back to 2800, it has been touching that or going just a bit above but really having trouble there.

27 Mar 2013 11:01 am
51.25 pullback low so far, must hold, this should have a hard time around the 54.25-55 area if 53 broken

27 Mar 2013 11:05 am
There is good selling around 22 1/2

27 Mar 2013 11:08 am
The move lost its momentum and could go down to the 50.25-49.75 area or lower before bouncing

27 Mar 2013 11:18 am
We had a gap down open, and as I've stated before they oftentimes are trended days. This can be the case as long as 50.75-50 holds on dip

27 Mar 2013 11:19 am
Minor support 53-52.50 area. 54.25-55 should be tough to push through/hold on first attempt

27 Mar 2013 11:35 am
52.50 was broken by 1 tick and turned back up, that keeps trend up move intact with 56 area resistance if 54.25 exceeded and small dip hold

27 Mar 2013 11:44 am
Stairstep higher and a pullback should be small, 53-52.50 area, if this is to continue its trend up action to 56 area.

27 Mar 2013 11:47 am
Look for a pullback of 1.50-2.25 points to be bought. That is about as far as a pullback should go to continue trend up action

27 Mar 2013 11:55 am
If they pop up from here it will be a shorting opportunity, especially the NQ under 2800 which has been a spot where a swing trade can begin

27 Mar 2013 12:02 pm
A trend up move into noon Eastern time usually gives a bit bigger counter trend move than what's been normal. 2 point pullback so far, must

27 Mar 2013 12:05 pm
Must hold 53.50 area to keep upside symmetry intact. Or a pullback >2 point IF a higher high and not make a 1-2-3 top

27 Mar 2013 12:07 pm
I need to be away in just a few minutes, and back around 1:15-1:20 PM. This has topped for now and 52.50 key area

27 Mar 2013 12:16 pm
Symmetry is still not broken, but important for the ES to get above 55 and the NQ to get over 2800 and hold. Market vulnerable under those

27 Mar 2013 12:18 pm
If 53.50 holds and 55 is taken out, they run up to 58-59 is possible. Back in about an hour

27 Mar 2013 01:09 pm
Double top/1-2-3 type of top in place at 55.50-55.25 and staying under 54.50-area on bounce should keep pressure on for 52 and maybe 50.50 pivotal area

27 Mar 2013 01:36 pm
53 should hold if this is going to get back to the 55 area which is still an important resistance. 52 double bottom must hold

27 Mar 2013 01:44 pm
ES held at 53.50 and reached 55, 54 level needs to hold to keep up side from potential reversal again. 56.50 would be next

27 Mar 2013 01:54 pm
I need to be away from 2 PM until 2:30 PM this afternoon. Busy day with weekly radio appointment and home appointment in 10 min

27 Mar 2013 01:54 pm
Apologies, I will update as soon as I get back. Look for another test of 55.50-56.25 for reversal. If 54 not held, high maybe in

27 Mar 2013 02:16 pm
I will be in and out over the next 30-40 minutes instead, so can update if necessary. This is still trend up but almost to the 58 R

27 Mar 2013 02:17 pm
Need to hold over 55 or the downside could get a bit of momentum

27 Mar 2013 02:31 pm
55 held in a test of 58-59 possible, the stays trend up unless 55 broken for now

27 Mar 2013 02:48 pm
Trend up only was interrupted by a noon time top and pullback of just under 4 pts on the ES. 57.25 highs so far, 58-59 area next.

27 Mar 2013 02:49 pm
55 still key/pivotal area although 58-59 should be hard to break/hold if reached. Double top at 57 could be it for a while

27 Mar 2013 03:07 pm
Last hour selloff underway unless 56 area cleared/held on a dip, even then will be tough making higher highs and holding

27 Mar 2013 03:11 pm
That pullback bounced off of 55.25, and that is the key area end of the day. If broken, but need to bounce right back or dynamics changing

27 Mar 2013 03:30 pm
58-59 area reached. Should stay over 56.50 area if going to breakthrough. But 55 Key support end of the day. Have a great day. See you in the morning

 

 

Tuesday-March 26, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

26 Mar 2013 09:23 am
Could be a high at 52.25 but need to take out 50 and hold down there

26 Mar 2013 09:40 am
Needs to clear 53.50-54 resistance, a break of 51.50 should mean early high in

26 Mar 2013 09:46 am
53 area needs to hold or a breakdown could be starting

26 Mar 2013 09:48 am
Another pop up should be sold into, and Econ data top of the hour

26 Mar 2013 09:51 am
Pullback held at 53.50 so the door still open to pop up one more time, but likely sold into. In any case 53 area pivotal

26 Mar 2013 09:56 am
Easy pullback to 53.25, 55.50 possible. This must stay over 53 form now or breaking back down again

26 Mar 2013 10:00 am
55.25 rejected, should make a breakdown after the number

26 Mar 2013 10:02 am
53.50-54 area should be sold on a pop up if week in breaking down

26 Mar 2013 10:08 am
Reached 54 and stopped, 52.50 needs a broken/held if this is going to roll over again. Better bid off of the low than expected

26 Mar 2013 10:13 am
As long as 53-52.50 is held on a pullback no damage done, but should see pullback when upside stalls

26 Mar 2013 10:14 am
54 needs to hold on this pullback to have a chance of popping to another higher high around 57

26 Mar 2013 10:17 am
That should be a top and a short on another pop up towards 54.50-55

26 Mar 2013 10:24 am
53 has been pivotal, only broken for a minute on the 10 AM releases. A break back under that should mean top in, likely is anyhow

26 Mar 2013 10:31 am
Watch 57 for a reversal

26 Mar 2013 10:33 am
The new highs being sold which is bearish, 54.50 needs to hold or we may not get another decent push higher

26 Mar 2013 10:36 am
Looked to be short something up here for a decent pullback

26 Mar 2013 10:37 am
Especially a test of 57-58 area that stalls out. They break under 53 would need to turn right back up or some damage done

26 Mar 2013 10:44 am
A bounce from just under 53, should not make a higher high on this move, next support at 51 and then the 49.25.

26 Mar 2013 10:50 am
52.50-53.25 area resistance on this bounce. 54 at the Max

26 Mar 2013 10:54 am
The 54 maximum level reached in now in an uptrend possibly to test the high is 52.50 holds and 54 is broken

26 Mar 2013 10:56 am
As to bounce off of 52.50 area with enough gusto to take out 54 if going to test highs and avoid another drop towards 49

26 Mar 2013 11:00 am
Not able to stay above 54 for a very long, so far looks to be good sellers above, and pretty good buying/short covering not far below

26 Mar 2013 11:13 am
Stuck here unable to break/hold 54 so should try the other side is 52.50 taken out especially

26 Mar 2013 11:21 am
A bounce should back away from 35.25 area to continue lower

26 Mar 2013 11:29 am
Decent buying at 51.75, it has been choppy and back and forth in a tiny range so far and consider it under pressure unless 54 exceeded

26 Mar 2013 11:35 am
Just backed off from 53.75, but could be just a dip in a tiny uptrend unless 52.50 broken

26 Mar 2013 11:37 am
Next update in about 10-15 minutes unless something changes

26 Mar 2013 11:52 am
54.25-54.75 zone should be sold into it a pop

26 Mar 2013 12:04 pm
54.25 was sold and a quick drop down to 53.00 was bought. The NQ softening up, the Dow needs through 14,550 on this push-up or back to 53-52

26 Mar 2013 12:19 pm
Finally cutting through 53 and that could give a little pop-up, but looks like a short under 55 or a by gone around 51 if reached in stalls/reverses

26 Mar 2013 12:26 pm
If 51 doesn't hold than 50.25 low and then the 49-48 area. 53 should be pivotal resistance on a bounce

26 Mar 2013 12:34 pm
A bounce from 51.25 (60 EMA on 5-minute chart also) back to the 53 level and if this is going to go back down, this is the spot

26 Mar 2013 12:42 pm
51 area is a key support, unless 43 is broken/held this remains vulnerable. If held 55 still key on top

26 Mar 2013 12:45 pm
Watch 52 on a pullback, a break could pick up a bit of steam and then turned back up. Next update after 10-15 minute break

26 Mar 2013 01:02 pm
Still it is vulnerable unless 53 is exceeded/held. It has only been one tick above, needs to push through with gusto pretty soon.

26 Mar 2013 01:15 pm
At the moment 53 is holding that could go for 54 area but not stick up there. 53-52.50 area needs to hold to have an bounce and avoid rolling over

26 Mar 2013 01:28 pm
54 area should hold on a dip

26 Mar 2013 01:31 pm
55 level turned the market back 2 previous attempts and needs to stay above 54 and punch back up is going to get a move back towards 57

26 Mar 2013 01:38 pm
The NQ a bit weaker and has lots of trouble with 2800, that area along with 55 on the ES need pushed through soon as going to 57, 54 trend S

26 Mar 2013 01:50 pm
This can make a run for 56.50-57 zone if 55 is broken through. And not instantly sold back down

26 Mar 2013 02:02 pm
54.75 area needs held above to keep upside going towards 56.50-57. If broken then rolling over is possible,

26 Mar 2013 02:12 pm
If another pop up stops around 55 and turns back, that could start a pullback. Otherwise okay unless 54 broken

26 Mar 2013 02:21 pm
Pullback held at 54.50 and should keep grinding higher to 56.50-57 on this leg up,

26 Mar 2013 02:25 pm
If there is going to be a reversal of this grinding higher movement we have had since around 12:25 PM, it should come from near 57 55.50 now support

26 Mar 2013 02:30 pm
The NQ rejected 2800 resistance, keep an eye on that for a pullback from that area, and 56.50-57 likely top if 55 broken

26 Mar 2013 02:46 pm
There could be a bounce but it should not stick as the high should be in or sold on a retest especially the NQ

26 Mar 2013 02:52 pm
Barely holding 54 support opens the door to go back to test the high or likely a lower high but 55.50-56 possible

26 Mar 2013 03:09 pm
56.50-57 will need to be pushed through to avoid double top and try for the 58-58.50 area from yesterday

26 Mar 2013 03:13 pm
56.25 sold on first test, but 55.25 should not be broken if strong, and the 54 area key support end of the day. No damage done unless broken

26 Mar 2013 03:14 pm
Just watch 57 for rejection, could start pullback if that occurs, 2800 area: NQ key resistance there

26 Mar 2013 03:19 pm
Pullback from 56.75 In gear. However trend is up and no dent in the upside unless 55.50 broken

26 Mar 2013 03:29 pm
The ES held just above 55.50 and reached 57.50, soundly rejected 56 area needs held for another try or reverse

26 Mar 2013 03:31 pm
It will take a strong market with no fear of selloff to get above 58 on the ES and 2800 on the NQ. That's possible if 56 area not broken

26 Mar 2013 03:35 pm
If they get through 58.50 look for a squeeze to 60.50 area and then decent pullback.

26 Mar 2013 03:35 pm
If 56-55.50 happens to break in the last 30 minutes, then could have a high in place and a pop-up after would fail.

26 Mar 2013 03:36 pm
Have a good rest of the day, I will catch you in the morning

 

 

Monday-March 25, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

25 Mar 2013 09:25 am
60.50 was reached and there that is reached again and turned down it could be a high for today. 52.50-51.75 a key support

25 Mar 2013 09:29 am
The 56.50-57.25 initial resistance needs to be cleared/held up here to have a chance for 60.50

25 Mar 2013 09:34 am
Big Resistance sold, if 54 not held them down towards 52.50-51.73 before a bounce comes in

25 Mar 2013 09:41 am
A bounce from 54, that needs held to avoid deeper drop. If 56.50-57.25 pushed through, then 60.50 possible before turn. 55.50 minor support

25 Mar 2013 09:46 am
56.50-56 should not be broken for this to continue strong and avoid getting top-heavy up here

25 Mar 2013 09:51 am
Should be sellers between 58-59, 56.58 key/pivotal support area now

25 Mar 2013 09:58 am
58 sold - needs to take out 56.50 area and not turn right back up for this to reverse

25 Mar 2013 10:01 am
Gap days are oftentimes trend days but doubt that happens at new highs. As long as 57-56.50 not broken/held 60.50 possible top area

25 Mar 2013 10:12 am
Bounce from 57.25 but losing upside momentum and needs to push through 58.50 and stick. If not able 57-56.50 must hold to avoid drop

25 Mar 2013 10:13 am
It's a short against 58.50, that should not be broken/held

25 Mar 2013 10:17 am
57 holding at the moment but unless bounce takes out 58.50 and does not turn right back down, toppy action with lower to go

25 Mar 2013 10:25 am
56.50-57 resistance on a bounce now should be sold

25 Mar 2013 10:28 am
52.50-51.75 will need to get a bounce or it goes for 50 or lower

25 Mar 2013 10:35 am
Bounces should fail, 55-55.50 minor resistance and then around the 57 level should be strong resistance if 55.50 exceeded

25 Mar 2013 10:38 am
Still could go for 52.50-51.75 or lower if unable to clear 55

25 Mar 2013 10:42 am
51.75 reached so far, needs more than just a feeble 1.50-2.00 point bounce or we could end up with a trend down a day from 10 AM high

25 Mar 2013 10:45 am
53.50 resistance now, minor support around 50 then down to 48, then 46 major area today

25 Mar 2013 10:54 am
So far just a feeble bounce with resistance at 52, 53.25 at the highest

25 Mar 2013 10:55 am
Just a 1.75 point bounce so far keep steady downtrend

25 Mar 2013 10:58 am
Small double bottom attempt, but 48.50 low on Globex will be next if this stays under 51

25 Mar 2013 11:03 am
46 key area has been reached and could go to 42 if no bounce from here. 49.50-50 if more than just 1.75 point bounce

25 Mar 2013 11:17 am
A bounce stopped at 50, retest of key zone or lower if not broken. If that is cleared than 52-52.50 should be sold into

25 Mar 2013 11:21 am
If 43-42.50 broke and not turned right back up market and some bigger trouble, 46.50-47 resistance

25 Mar 2013 11:32 am
Bounce from 43.75 support up to 46.50 was sold, needs to clear that area to take some pressure off. Must hold 43 to avoid outside day on ES

25 Mar 2013 11:37 am
Should be a low 43-42.50 support area for a while if 45.50 can hold. 50 area key on a stronger bounce. Next update in about 10 minutes

25 Mar 2013 11:49 am
Good selling around 48 on the last pop up. Has to stay above 46.50 or back down to test low. 50 still important above in case a push higher

25 Mar 2013 11:55 am
If another pop-up it will be sold into especially around 49 area again, 46.50 still must hold

25 Mar 2013 12:05 pm
Little pop-up reverse that 48.50 and if that's not cleared this is vulnerable and could breakdown fast again

25 Mar 2013 12:08 pm
46.50 is the key area just below, A break of that can start downside. Back in about 15 minutes.

25 Mar 2013 12:33 pm
stayed under 48.50 and 46.50 was broken and down to the low. That 46.50 now resistance, these lows may break if not cleared

25 Mar 2013 12:40 pm
Should be a short covering pop on testing the low but not happening at least so far, needs to turn up soon and take out 46-46.50

25 Mar 2013 12:47 pm
A very tepid bid back up so far, should fail and test/break below

25 Mar 2013 12:52 pm
If failed to clear 46 There will be a chance for a token lower low at 43 and that must hold or 38 area

25 Mar 2013 12:56 pm
43 reached but as long as hold under 45.50-46 area, the gap Day is a trend day on the downside into last hour

25 Mar 2013 01:08 pm
Every little pop of about two points is being sold and should see 38. It starts to get dicey if that is broken

25 Mar 2013 01:13 pm
Finally a decent upturn with a quick bid off of 39, needs to take out 42

25 Mar 2013 01:18 pm
The ES obeyed the dynamic resistance all of the way down, and the support zones at 46 area, 43 area and just

25 Mar 2013 01:20 pm
Just now the 38.50 level and a bounce needs to break/hold above 41.25-42 area showing some strength for a switch needed for better bounce

25 Mar 2013 01:26 pm
Bounce with some gusto at last, but may not stick on first bounce. 41 now a key support on a pullback. 43.50-44.25 resistance and likely sold if one more small push stalls

25 Mar 2013 01:33 pm
44 dynamic resistance sold, this pullback needs to stay above 42 to have a chance to move a bit higher. If broken 41 key

25 Mar 2013 01:36 pm
For those of you just got e-book, At 44 there is the 20 EMA and also symmetry equal to last bounce at same level. Tick extreme. Good scalp

25 Mar 2013 01:46 pm
Market trying to make transition at 41.50, need to push above 44.25 on this move and then have just a small pullback

25 Mar 2013 01:49 pm
They move up to the 46-46.50

25 Mar 2013 01:51 pm
Not fast enough, 43.50 should hold on a pullback from up here. Should stay over that at the lowest look for sellers 48 area

25 Mar 2013 02:00 pm
The ES popped up to 49.50 which just above a late morning high at 49 need to hold above 46.54 can come down a bit further towards 45

25 Mar 2013 02:02 pm
A break under 47 would need to turn right back up or 45.75 gets tested

25 Mar 2013 02:15 pm
45.75-45.25 needs to hold on this move lower or could see 43 again

25 Mar 2013 02:23 pm
Pullback held at 46 and turned back up but needs to get back above 49.50-50 and not reverse or 46 gets tested again maybe lower

25 Mar 2013 02:30 pm
Good bounce but strong resistance at 49-49.50 that needs to be taken out to get something going on the upside

25 Mar 2013 02:36 pm
Should be breaking down if no bounced back above at least 57 to take some pressure off. 44-43.75 was a pivotal area from morning/early afternoon, must hold

25 Mar 2013 02:49 pm
A bounce from just above 44 not able to stick, double top at 49.50-49.25 knees broken on a bounce to get anything going on outside,otherwise

25 Mar 2013 02:51 pm
Bounces being sold as soon as the pop-up loses momentum and that should continue. Last hour rally not impossible, but market tone negative

25 Mar 2013 03:09 pm
Under 45-45.50 keeps pressure on down to 41.50 next

25 Mar 2013 03:14 pm
43.50 is transition level and they will need to break/hold under that to pressure down, if 45 not exceeded that could happen

25 Mar 2013 03:18 pm
Watch 45.50 for a turn back down, shouldn't be exceeded if this is still weak that should be sold

25 Mar 2013 03:19 pm
Possible to make a new low around 3:30 PM

25 Mar 2013 03:24 pm
We just sell bounces the rest of the day as long as bounces stay feeble and fail to clear 44-45 area. Look for short covering off of 40 or new low

25 Mar 2013 03:27 pm
Needs to get back above 44 at the least and not turn right back down to dent down side momentum. Have a great afternoon, "see" you tomorrow

25 Mar 2013 03:41 pm
A move above 45-45.50 that holds needed to end with a spurt to the upside, and avoid dropped back towards 42-41

 

 

 

Friday-March 15, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

15 Mar 2013 09:25 am
I will be very surprised if there is another good up day today. If there is an internals are strong and numerous sell signals likely

15 Mar 2013 09:29 am
They couldn't wait to sell, a bounce will have a hard time holding

15 Mar 2013 09:35 am
So far held 51.50-51 but can be broken to this holds under 54-54.50

15 Mar 2013 09:37 am
54-54.50 on the ES and around 2802 on the NQ key resistance on bounce, must be cleared to avoid another drop

15 Mar 2013 09:45 am
54 Resistance was sold down to 52 again, they break 51.50-51 would put pressure on and a top would be in.

15 Mar 2013 09:51 am
We get Michigan sentiment in about five minutes,

15 Mar 2013 09:55 am
Unable to get through 54.50 still a negative and a break of 53 would need to snap right back in break/hold that on release or quick drop

15 Mar 2013 09:57 am
51 broken, could get a pop-up but sold into around 52.50

15 Mar 2013 10:03 am
51 support was cut through and the 58.25-47.50 was almost reached. Market not acting well,

15 Mar 2013 10:05 am
51 is resistance, the 48.25- 47.50 major zone broken and held under, then the market would be in more trouble

15 Mar 2013 10:13 am
A little double bottom made just above a strong support, so if the "sell early than rally" pattern to continue first must break 51/hold

15 Mar 2013 10:15 am
If 51 not broken, a third trip down to 48.50 will probably pushed through

15 Mar 2013 10:19 am
Trying to hold, 52-52.50 area would be good resistance if 51 is cleared.

15 Mar 2013 10:24 am
Not a strong bounce yet, stopped at 52.25, needs to hold 51 to push higher

15 Mar 2013 10:28 am
So far barely pushed above 52.50, they hold over 51.50 needed to keep up trend and avoid another decent pullback/drop

15 Mar 2013 10:40 am
Stairstep higher again, this will be sold a bit higher up but no reversal unless 52 broken

15 Mar 2013 10:45 am
Good selling came in around 54 this morning, resistance up there. This could be a bounce high area if 52.50-52 area broken

15 Mar 2013 10:57 am
So far 52 held but another pop-up should be sold into the especially the NQ if the current action continues. 53.50-54.50 resistance

15 Mar 2013 11:07 am
Bounce off of 52 back to 53.75, should be some pullback from 54.50, but still uptrend unless 53-52 broken,

15 Mar 2013 11:15 am
We had a double bottom of sorts after the low made 30 minutes in, and now a potential double top on the bounce, a short under 54, 52 key S

15 Mar 2013 11:18 am
At the moment would wait for a pullback to the 52 area to see if market still strong

15 Mar 2013 11:21 am
54 cleared by 1 tick so far but Another pullback from this area should hold around 53.25 at the lowest to keep upside going

15 Mar 2013 11:23 am
53.75 area should hold on a dip to continue granting higher

15 Mar 2013 11:34 am
This has been stair stepping higher and now needs to stay above 54.50-54, or else topping out

15 Mar 2013 11:41 am
The 55.50-56 is a small resistance before the 57.25 hi from yesterday, 54.50 key, a pullback starts if broken

15 Mar 2013 11:49 am
It has been pretty thin and slowly traded since bouncing off 52.50-52 support earlier, and token higher high was sold, if 54.50-54 broken

15 Mar 2013 11:52 am
Then the slow trading could pick up pace as selling begins to take over. Drops are quick, the moves up are the slow grind stairstep patterns

15 Mar 2013 12:01 pm
I will be in and out this afternoon,also need to leave early today.Market has fear of sellers just above,54.50-54 held but need higher high

15 Mar 2013 12:22 pm
still strong holding 54.75, 54 the stair step higher support. 55.75 minor resistance, then the 57-58 area and that shouldn't be exceeded

15 Mar 2013 12:25 pm
And hold up there, should be some pullback from there if reached and not aggressively pushed above, but stalls instead

15 Mar 2013 12:30 pm
55.75 was touched and sold, might be a higher for a bit, 54 area more key

15 Mar 2013 12:42 pm
They held 54 and bounced right back, a move above 55.50 and hold up there needed to get a squeeze higher or 54 area tested again

15 Mar 2013 12:42 pm
Next update in about 20 minutes

15 Mar 2013 12:51 pm
Push above 55.50 brought in more buying, being sold. This can get to the 57-57.50 area IF 55.50 holds and gives pounce on a dip

15 Mar 2013 12:53 pm
Another bounce should fail now that 55.50 broken. 54.50-54 could be in the cards and that is key area or topping out

15 Mar 2013 01:04 pm
ES is still holding above 54.50, even so another pop up should be sold into especially a retests of 55.50

15 Mar 2013 01:16 pm
Small bounce from 54 but not go back to a higher high, 52.75-52 would be next support if broken

15 Mar 2013 01:23 pm
55 was sold on a small little move-up, that needs pushed above and held sooner or 54 is going to be broken

15 Mar 2013 01:36 pm
54 is holding and this very thin market. Most are watching basketball, no joke. That pop stopped at 55, unless that is exceeded/held

15 Mar 2013 01:37 pm
The 54 level likely to be broken. 52.75-52 zone would be next support if they break under 54. Next update in about 20 minutes

15 Mar 2013 02:14 pm
54 area should be Resistance on a bounce and 52.50 next support to hold before going to test the low

15 Mar 2013 02:27 pm
Breakdown led to easy move to the 52.50-52 target/support, should be key area to hold for going to the low following NQ

15 Mar 2013 02:48 pm
Could be a short covering move with 52.50 prior support is pushed above and does not come right back down. 48.25-47.50 major area next S

15 Mar 2013 03:00 pm
52-52.50 resistance, Could have a low in if the 52.50 area is pushed through and then 52 can hold on a dip.

15 Mar 2013 03:04 pm
Would not expect a move back to take out 54-54.50, but couldn't get there if 52 can hold. I am just about to call it a day, first quick note

15 Mar 2013 03:05 pm
Next week we are adding a look at my primary charts and mostly audio updates. You will need to bare with me trying this out, but hopefully

15 Mar 2013 03:05 pm
will provide more clarity and more timely updates. will basically be the same as now but with charts and audio. Look for an email

15 Mar 2013 03:05 pm
with all of the info this weekend. Have a nice weekend and I will catch you on Monday.

 

 

 

Thursday-March 14, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

14 Mar 2013 09:27 am
Good morning. An open above 51 so could get a move up if they turn up from there, but shouldn't go far from here before pullback

14 Mar 2013 09:30 am
As far as resistance numbers go, its a tough chore and only have one last method to use. Support members should be valid though. Look for 51

14 Mar 2013 09:39 am
If this is going to turn it should begin in the first 15-30 minutes. Possibly 55-56 area. But for now 54.50-54. Support

14 Mar 2013 09:47 am
Good selling and possible high At 55-55.25, tough to get through. No damage done unless 53.50 broken/held

14 Mar 2013 09:53 am
Buyers more bold than expected, a pullback should be down to 53.50 at the lowest to avoid potential top, 54.52 continued uptrend

14 Mar 2013 09:59 am
54.50 the key level to avoid breaking trend and potential top. Pop up

14 Mar 2013 10:01 am
55-54.50 needs to hold as this is stalling a bit, if broken and not turn right back up a high should be in.

14 Mar 2013 10:08 am
The high was made 30 minutes in and 54.50 broken, another bounce should be sold into, and a countertrend short under 56, to the 53 area

14 Mar 2013 10:09 am
And maybe lower. Should stay under 55 if going to get there or lower

14 Mar 2013 10:14 am
53.50 was reached that is a support area, only breaks down if that is taken out and then held, 51.50-51 is broken/held. NQ better short

14 Mar 2013 10:15 am
Now a hold under 54.50 needed to keep pressure on to test 51.50-51. NQ resistance at 2801

14 Mar 2013 10:20 am
Matched the early low and opening range, that is a key support and then probably under 51 if holds under 53.50

14 Mar 2013 10:28 am
51.75 low just missed 51.50-51, 53.50-54 resistance on this bounce needs cleared to get another push higher,

14 Mar 2013 10:37 am
53.50-54 area reached, should begin to pull back and break 53 if going back towards 51
14 Mar 2013 10:42 am

The ES currently stuck between 53.50 and 54.00, unless 53 broken this can still push higher but needs to go soon

14 Mar 2013 10:44 am
Just took out 54 and 53.50 should hold on a dip, at the lowest, or we will begin to see bounces sold into on the way down

14 Mar 2013 10:49 am
That should be a bounce high at 54.50 but if not then watch 55.50-56 for turn. A lot of double tops the past few weeks/months

14 Mar 2013 10:58 am
The ES still hasn't push above 54.50 and if 53.50 broken and no turn right back up then back towards 51.50-50

14 Mar 2013 11:01 am
A quick turn up from 53.25, so there are still buyers below on dips, but should be hard to drive it higher and still hold gains

14 Mar 2013 11:02 am
Would need to see ES break/hold 54.50, NQ do same at 2802, and to get out cash

14 Mar 2013 11:03 am
And get Dow cash above 14,520 to get everything going on the up side

14 Mar 2013 11:12 am
For now a short under 54.50 on the ES and 2802 on the NQ

14 Mar 2013 11:13 am
A top and unless those levels along with 14,520 on the Dow cash are broken on a move up and able to hold up there

14 Mar 2013 11:20 am
To try getting upside going needs to bounce with some gusto from 53.25 or a bit lower, with gusto through 54.50

14 Mar 2013 11:29 am
Its a standoff between tepid buyers not wanting to buy a high and shorts leery of getting run over on another runup. vulnerable under 54

14 Mar 2013 11:41 am
Another dip should be bought around 53.75-53.50 if going to try getting through 54.50

14 Mar 2013 11:45 am
That 53.50 area looks to be pivotal and if held they can have a chance to move back towards the high, if not then could roll over a bit

14 Mar 2013 11:51 am
This could turn into another double top if 54 area doesn't give a bounce and then pushed through the high. That is as far as a dip should go

14 Mar 2013 11:57 am
54.25 held on the dip and its back up to 55. 54 still the trend support to hold above to see 56.50, or another double top possible

14 Mar 2013 12:07 pm
54.25 has been holding and if the market is going to keep this melt up going that level should hold. If broken things change

14 Mar 2013 12:11 pm
Needs to continue and get through 55.75 early high and run-up to 56.50 area to keep this flying, 55-54.50 then pivotal trend support

14 Mar 2013 12:16 pm
Double top at the moment, some confirmation if 55 broken but 54.50-54 the key/pivotal support. 56.50 would be next resistance/target

14 Mar 2013 12:17 pm
10-15 minute break, will update if necessary

14 Mar 2013 12:30 pm
55 held on a pullback from double top and must hold or trend can reverse, another transition level until broken

14 Mar 2013 12:32 pm
Look for a reversal from 56.50 area even if just a small 1.00-1.50 point pullback. More than that it is a reversal

14 Mar 2013 12:40 pm
The pop-up reached 56.50, and buying should begin to dry up a bit, 55.50-55 area looks to be key to avoid possible sharper drop

14 Mar 2013 12:42 pm
It has been a mini melt up once again but this move getting long in the tooth and another pop up should be sold into

14 Mar 2013 12:44 pm
The NQ has yet to break out and just pulled back from a pretty good resistance area that has seen the past few days watch 2805 there for R

14 Mar 2013 12:48 pm
Pressure is on under 56 for now especially if 55 broken

14 Mar 2013 12:54 pm
Only 1 of 4 methods of finding resistance up here and 56.50-57.00 was target/resistance rejected. Less than 2 points off the high, lower

14 Mar 2013 12:55 pm
Lower prices and potential breakdown is 54.50 broken and not turn right back up

14 Mar 2013 12:58 pm
Sell a bounce from up here, a test of high or a bit higher would be a gift on the short side but not getting there, breakdown more likely

14 Mar 2013 01:08 pm
If were going to have a top in for a while and break 1554.50-1554.00 pivotal support then should stay under 56 on this move

14 Mar 2013 01:19 pm
54.50 area is pivotal, a drop down to 54 would need to turn right back up or else things are changing up here

14 Mar 2013 01:23 pm
The last time the ES was just over pivotal 54.50 yes and a pop up would be a gift short and 56 and 2803 on NQ reached. If in look for 52.50

14 Mar 2013 01:25 pm
If the 54 level is cut through. If bounce from here 56-57 good resistance so far

14 Mar 2013 01:34 pm
A wimpy bounce from 54 so far, need a move above 55 and stick to take pressure off and allow another pop-up or 52.50 in the cards

14 Mar 2013 01:39 pm
If short consider locking in some profit around 54 and 2798 on NQ, could get pop up from here

14 Mar 2013 01:41 pm
This could bounce but doesn't act like it wants to go up from these levels, NQ not far from its low and very weak versus ES

14 Mar 2013 01:52 pm
Needs to get over 55 on bounce and stick above that level, a shorting area for a scalp at least if reached

14 Mar 2013 02:00 pm
I have to be away for about 20 minutes, a short on a bounce attempt has 52.50 still in the cards, maybe even 51 to fill gap

14 Mar 2013 02:17 pm
bounce to 54.50 pivotal level was sold. That is resistance to clear/hold, and 52.50 still support/target below

14 Mar 2013 02:30 pm
buyers came in 2 times at the 60 EMA on 5 minute chart, 53.75 currently. Bounces not sticking, downside either, 53.75 needs held

14 Mar 2013 02:35 pm
Kind of trap between a resistance and a support, see which way this breaks but doubts bounce can stick

14 Mar 2013 02:40 pm
53.75 giving bounce but Standing aside until either a run-up stalls out or a drop reaches lower levels and turns up.

14 Mar 2013 03:05 pm
The bounce reached the 55 level and 54.75 should hold to keep the move up with going

14 Mar 2013 03:13 pm
Stairstep higher pattern will break if 54.75 not held and could drop another point or so before bouncing/failing

14 Mar 2013 03:24 pm
15.75 was touched and gave a 1-point bounce to 55.75, the 56 level was only traded above for about 20 seconds earlier, that needs taken out

14 Mar 2013 03:25 pm
To get a mini melt up into very late or around close. Should be hard to break/hold

14 Mar 2013 03:25 pm
Have a good rest of your day. Catch you tomorrow morning

14 Mar 2013 03:36 pm
54.75 held once again and 55.75 was touched once again. Nothing bad happens end a day unless that's taken out. Take care
 

 

 

Wednesday-March 13, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

13 Mar 2013 09:32 am
need to get above 48 and hold to get a rally. Staying under and breaking 45 probably not good

13 Mar 2013 09:40 am
48 sold, key resistance and should be top especially if 45 broken/held

13 Mar 2013 09:42 am
Bounce off of Globex low pre-open, should be pressure on under 45-45.50

13 Mar 2013 09:53 am
44.75 bounce high and then 42.25 held. 41.75 just missed, 3 lows there now so should be important. 45-45.50 needs cleared/held still

13 Mar 2013 10:02 am
45.50 the bounce high a break under 44 to turn back down possibly fast

13 Mar 2013 10:06 am
So far sold at 48 resistance and also 45-45.50 for shorts, stay with short side unless 45.50 broken or we reach lower levels

13 Mar 2013 10:14 am
42.75-42.25 double bottom for now but still need a move above 45.50 and stick or that can break, 4 lows there now

13 Mar 2013 10:26 am
55.75 reached and turned right back down, that might be a bounce high especially if 44 area not held

13 Mar 2013 10:32 am
45.50 was taken out by 1 tick but did not stay above, a break of 44 could be quick move lower

13 Mar 2013 10:38 am
44.00 was held in bid back up, unless that is broken this can keep punching higher towards 47.50-48 area

13 Mar 2013 10:42 am
Upside stalling should pullback, 45.50-45 needs to hold as support on a pullback from up here, no further

13 Mar 2013 10:51 am
Upside momentum slowing just under 48 at the moment. 45.75-45.25 area needs hold on a dip if going to avoid another top up here

13 Mar 2013 11:06 am
This is in a stair step up pattern back to 47-48 resistance and running out of steam, must stay over 46 or starts to unravel.

13 Mar 2013 11:14 am
Punched through 47.25 after holding under for about 20 minutes, 47.25-46.75 shouldn't be broken by much if going to continue through 48

13 Mar 2013 11:22 am
48 sold again but need to break 46.75 and not turn right back up soon and then 46-45.50 next

13 Mar 2013 11:32 am
With 46 holding a bounce could get back to 47.50 but should stay under 48 the way this is acting.

13 Mar 2013 11:44 am
Pop to 47 was sold twice, need a push under 46 where short covering/buying came in to avoid heading towards 44,

13 Mar 2013 11:54 am
NOTE: I will be away from around 12:10 PM until around 1:15 PM this afternoon. It's a sure thing today. Its a tough call up here, for now it

13 Mar 2013 11:56 am
Looks like 45.50 should be pivotal. They break/hold under that can break this down. It's a short on bounces still

13 Mar 2013 12:05 pm
46.25 area is bounce resistance, that needs to be cleared/held on a small pullback to attempt change of trend. Then 47.50-48 R

13 Mar 2013 12:09 pm
I will be back in a little over an hour. Not expecting a move to stick over 48 but if that happens then 51 should be tested. 45 pivotal S

13 Mar 2013 12:30 pm
Quick note, if 47.50 hold on pullback keep up trend and reach an attempt 49.50-50 area then pullback a bit

13 Mar 2013 12:37 pm
Last update for a while: 49.50 reached and must stay over 48-47.50 to keep up trend and not reverse. 51 and then 53 next if this continues

13 Mar 2013 01:08 pm
A pop up to 50.25 was rejected in pullback held 48 so far, if broken then back into trading range from earlier down to 47 at least

13 Mar 2013 01:19 pm
Bounce from 48 back to 49.50 so far. Need a push over 49.50 or 48 can be tested/broken

13 Mar 2013 01:29 pm
A pop up from 48.75 should be sold into, 49.50 still needs to be cleared with gusto, even then should be sold as soon as upside stalls.

13 Mar 2013 01:48 pm
Stalled at 51, 50-49.50 should be pivotal up here, 51 yesterdays high and the way this is acting 53 possible

13 Mar 2013 02:10 pm
49.50 tool to hold on pullback from 51, is broken then 48.75-48.25 is a key support this afternoon. Dynamics change is broken

13 Mar 2013 02:19 pm
Still decent buying just over 49.50, but if this cannot get going and get above 50.50-51 over the next 5 minutes long may hit exit

13 Mar 2013 02:23 pm
Something is going to need to happen to get the ES above 50.50-51.00 or this trading range, 49.75 now resistance and 48 needs held worst

13 Mar 2013 02:26 pm
48 news to hold, unexpected visit for sleep apnea mask back in a bit ASAP

13 Mar 2013 02:44 pm
48.50 should not be broken if this is going to even try to make another bounce attempt, better short on bounces from up here

13 Mar 2013 02:55 pm
Pullbacks off of the low or 2.75 and 2.25 points, and this pullback 2.50 points at 48.50. Its Also prior resistance, and 60 EMA

13 Mar 2013 02:56 pm
Must not break that 48 area or things have changed and end of day drop

13 Mar 2013 03:03 pm
48 giving a bounce but should have trouble around 49.50-50 again unless headed up to 51 or higher somehow

13 Mar 2013 03:09 pm
Broken down in a short under 49.50, 48-48.50 resistance, 45 area next support

13 Mar 2013 03:14 pm
48 was sold on a bounce from 47, 48-48.50 is bounce resistance if the ES is going to stay in downtrend under 49.50

13 Mar 2013 03:21 pm
Holding under 48 will keep pressure on for more late day pullback. If cleared/held than a chance to run up to 49.50 area but trouble holding

13 Mar 2013 03:27 pm
Bounce stopped at 48-48.50 so far.If 48.50 is cleared, then 48 would need to hold on a dip or its just a fake out and going lower

13 Mar 2013 03:28 pm
Have a good rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow morning shortly after stocks have opened

13 Mar 2013 03:34 pm
Run up to the 49.50 area, a minor resistance. A pullback to 48.50-48 area should hold to in the day on a good note and not be fake out

 

 

Tuesday-March 12, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

12 Mar 2013 09:28 am
Good morning. I will be in and out today. And be away between 12:15 PM and 1:15 PM. Should be an important day

12 Mar 2013 09:29 am
Look to sell strength as soon as upside stalls out. a hold under 50 should put pressure down to 47.50. If 50 broken/held that 52-53

12 Mar 2013 09:37 am
Bounce off of initial support, but vulnerable still. Especially broken/held. Need to take out 49.50-50 and hold on a dip

12 Mar 2013 09:41 am
Needs to stay over 47.50 and run up through 49.50-50 area, and stick, on this move or things are changing

12 Mar 2013 09:43 am
Support holding and need to respect uptrend until upside stalls or rejected

12 Mar 2013 09:45 am
Just watch 50 four key area, if not cleared/held the market going to get into trouble instead of test 52-53

12 Mar 2013 09:46 am
Going to be hard to get above 50 and stay up there, another pop up will be sold into

12 Mar 2013 09:56 am
The NQ having a better bounce off of its low but the ES stopped at 49.25, needs to stay over 48-47.50 if going to make another push higher

12 Mar 2013 10:05 am
ES is following the Dow as the run up on the NQ has rolled over while the ES poked over 50. Buyers should be backing

12 Mar 2013 10:10 am
49.50 area should be pivotal, this can get to the 52-53 area as long as that is not broken the way it looks at the moment.

12 Mar 2013 10:16 am
Running out of steam after touching 51, needs to say over 50-49.50 if there is going to be another push higher to 52-53

12 Mar 2013 10:17 am
If broken than a high could be in

12 Mar 2013 10:28 am
ES broke 49.50 by 1 tick and reverse up and test 50.75-51 for the fourth time in 1 hour of regular trading hours, 52-53 key just above

12 Mar 2013 10:29 am
NQ made a 1-2-3 top pattern and should not get over 2004-05. It has been easier to read and trade this morning

12 Mar 2013 10:32 am
In order to begin breaking down, another drop to 49.75-49.25 is needed on this move

12 Mar 2013 10:39 am
Could be a bounce from 48.50 area, should be sold hard on a bounce that stalls especially NQ

12 Mar 2013 10:44 am
The ES just 2 points off of the high of the day, a little bounce that stalls out sets of another push down

12 Mar 2013 10:58 am
49.50 is a transition level and the ES stays bearish under that, a break/hold above needed to get back to test high, not likely

12 Mar 2013 11:03 am
46.50 support/target on this breakdown, could bounce there but now stays vulnerable under 48.50-49

12 Mar 2013 11:09 am
44-43 a key area just below, could be bounce attempt but not stick. Short-term top in place, a bounce should fail. 47.50-48 good resistance

12 Mar 2013 11:18 am
There should be another push lower to a token lower low at least before we get a snapback bounce. Either way bounce fails

12 Mar 2013 11:26 am
44-43.25 support, 40-39.50 can be reached if 43.25 transition area from yesterday is not held, 45.75 resistance

12 Mar 2013 11:33 am
Not a bad day yet, but this can continue if the 44.25-45.25 area is not convincingly broken through. 47-48 IF cleared

12 Mar 2013 11:48 am
The bounce stopped at 45.25 new resistance area and rolled over again. Double bottom possible but if not then 40 in the cards

12 Mar 2013 12:02 pm
The bounce took out 45.25 and then held at that level on a dip and made it to 47-48 resistance. Has to stay above 45.75-45.25 on pullback,

12 Mar 2013 12:10 pm
Pullback trying to hold new support turned back up. I'm going to be gone for about an hour. Market hanging in there at the moment

12 Mar 2013 12:10 pm
Push higher only IF 47.50-48 on the ES is exceeded and able to hold, and the NQ get above 2794 and hold, a chance to rally back towards 50.

12 Mar 2013 12:11 pm
Next update around 1:15 PM or thereabouts

12 Mar 2013 12:42 pm
Appointment cut short today, I will be able to update for a bit but then taking a 10 minute break. Right now this can break staying under 45.50

12 Mar 2013 12:46 pm
Well I misread that as it went through 45.25 easily but then failed. So should another bounce, not sticking. Would need to break 48

12 Mar 2013 12:59 pm
A bit of a squeeze coming from 45.25 last tiny pullback. 47-48 important zone to push above

12 Mar 2013 01:21 pm
This gyrating making a triangle type that pattern, the market should be waking up soon. 47 resistance, 44 support

12 Mar 2013 01:25 pm
46.25 is pretty close to 47 resistance, holding below that area on ES and 2795.50 on NQ keeps some pressure on for pullback

12 Mar 2013 01:36 pm
A pop up should stay at/under 46 if this is going to roll over again

12 Mar 2013 01:39 pm
The pop up stopped at 46.25 and came back down, headed lower as bounces cannot stick

12 Mar 2013 01:48 pm
That is bearish, has been holding 45 but go to 43 if broken and not turn right back up

12 Mar 2013 01:53 pm
The ES has been bumping up against the 60 EMA on 5 minute chart then coming back down, 4 times so far, a short under

12 Mar 2013 02:04 pm
43 Low tested, and if this goes to the 40-39 area, must reverse from there with some gusto to avoid mid 1530's

12 Mar 2013 02:05 pm
A move above 44.50 needed to take some pressure off and not though back down there

12 Mar 2013 02:19 pm
The 41.75 lo matched yesterdays to a session low and getting a bounce, 43.25-43.50 area needs to be cleared/held or 40 possible

12 Mar 2013 02:24 pm
43.50 broken but not held, leaves the door open for test of 40. Should be pivotal again

12 Mar 2013 02:42 pm
43.50 broken by 1 tick, pullback need to stay over 42.50 or could go for new low. A pushover 44.50 and not reverse like others to get bounce

12 Mar 2013 02:43 pm
Well that just happened, watch 43 for support on a dip, shouldn't really get there end up going to take up 44.50

12 Mar 2013 02:45 pm
Market currently bullish up to possibly 45.50 if 60 EMA touched again

12 Mar 2013 02:46 pm
43.75 needs to be support on a pullback to keep up trend

12 Mar 2013 02:53 pm
44 held on a dip and a test of 45.50 just missed so far, that should be resistance to stay in intraday downtrends

12 Mar 2013 02:58 pm
44-43.75 is a pivotal area end of the Day. 42.58 key area if broken. Should see those unless 45 broken

12 Mar 2013 03:06 pm
ES turned up from 43.50 and retest up 45, if cleared and get through 45.50 then could avoid late day trouble.

12 Mar 2013 03:15 pm
This can go for the 47-48 area before pulling back. If a late pullback, it would need to hold 43.75-43.50 at worst. 45 better

12 Mar 2013 03:25 pm
If there's going to be another pullback it should come from around 48 area, not much higher than that. 46-45.50 trend support

12 Mar 2013 03:32 pm
47.50 bounce high soul down to 46-45.50 zone easily, that should be important to stay above to keep from testing 44-43.50

12 Mar 2013 03:35 pm
Just a quick note, next week I will be making a few changes to the way the service is done. One plus will be adding my main screen

12 Mar 2013 03:37 pm
And some occasional audio updates. More later. Have a good rest of your day, catch you in the morning.

 

 

 

Monday-March 11, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

11 Mar 2013 09:26 am
Good morning. Overnight the 40.50-40 key area was tested and a bounce back to initial support area. To keep moving higher and have a chance

11 Mar 2013 09:29 am
To test the Friday high needs to be a move through 44.75 that can hold 44 area after that. If not then back down to 42 maybe 40

11 Mar 2013 09:30 am
Early strength likely sold into

11 Mar 2013 09:48 am
This bounce from 41.75 needs to take out 43.25-44 prior resistance/hold up there to turn up, and to try for 47-48

11 Mar 2013 09:55 am
43.50 area should be pivotal on a pullback, needs to bounce or next pop up should fail. a move over 45 needed to keep strong

11 Mar 2013 09:59 am
ES bounced from 43.50 and needs to get over 40 if strong upside to continue, NQ will need to get up trouble also

11 Mar 2013 10:03 am
On able to get up 45, 43.50 still is pivotal, 2791.50 on the NQ. Pullback doesn't hold then begins to turn back down again

11 Mar 2013 10:08 am
43.25 reached pressure on if broken/held. It is a short against the 45 area, market stays vulnerable unless 45 cleared and held

11 Mar 2013 10:17 am
44.50 sold on bounce, 45 still R. break/hold of 43 needed to put pressure on, early high in place if that occurs

11 Mar 2013 10:24 am
NQ just tested its low and popped up a bit, ES trying to hold 43. If these lows break DES can go back to 40, just 3 point range

11 Mar 2013 10:28 am
Saying under 43.50 should keep pressure on for now, the NQ downtrend resistance 2792 area

11 Mar 2013 10:45 am
43.50 broken above and held on the way to 44.50, 4 times that 44.50-44.75 tested and turned away. 43.50 area needs held

11 Mar 2013 10:49 am
5 tests of 44.50, a push above should go to 45-45.50 then pullback again

11 Mar 2013 10:51 am
Very slow and thin action, and while ES bounced the NQ went sideways, blue chips leading, NQ better short

11 Mar 2013 10:54 am
The ES vulnerable unless 44.50-45 cleared/held. NQ under 2792-2792.50

11 Mar 2013 10:57 am
This will be a short on bounce as long as 45 area cleared on the ES and 2792 on the NQ. 43 could give bounce but not stick

11 Mar 2013 11:07 am
As long as 43.50-43.00 holds and 44.50-45 not rejected again, opens door for test of 47-48 big resistance, but not likely stick.

11 Mar 2013 11:21 am
They are struggling and need to bounce from 45-44.50 to keep on pushing higher and not top out

11 Mar 2013 11:23 am
Would need to get over 45 and hold, bearish pattern and another bounce a gets sold into, if a lower high then break again could be sharp

11 Mar 2013 11:34 am
A lower high so far at 45.50, will need to break 44.50 and not turn right back up again. Otherwise a chance of 47-48 still. ES following Dow

11 Mar 2013 11:37 am
Upside is out of steam staying under 46, if not pushed above in the next 5 minutes or so then chances growing for break down

11 Mar 2013 11:52 am
Pushed through 46 up to 46.50 so far, but holding 45.75-45.50 area keeps this grinding higher, 47-48 should be pushed into if that S holds

11 Mar 2013 12:07 pm
45.75 was held above and we have the push into 47-48, and this can continue unless 46.50 broken and that turned right back up

11 Mar 2013 12:12 pm
48 sold but this still trend up, 47-46.50 area is pullback support, that holds or reversal possible 45

11 Mar 2013 12:15 pm
A pop up to 48.50-49 that gets turned down would set up a scalp on the short side, but only back towards 47.50-47, key on pullback

11 Mar 2013 12:23 pm
47, 46.50 at worst, needs to hold to keep upside going and avoid reversal. This begins to break down if 47 broken/held.

11 Mar 2013 12:25 pm
47.50-47.75 would be resistance if they break under 47 by much, and top up here for a bit. 15-20 minute lunch break

11 Mar 2013 12:47 pm
Quick note, 46.50 able to hold, this pop up should be sold into however, watch 47.75-48.25. Consider 46.50 as key uptrend support,

11 Mar 2013 01:00 pm
Token higher high should be sold in pullback will need to stay above 47.50

11 Mar 2013 01:03 pm
Higher high not sold aggressively, 48-47.50 good support on pullback, or things could change for a bit

11 Mar 2013 01:14 pm
48.25 held on a dip in 49.50 reached so far. The grind higher continues as long as 48.50 holds. Much more than that things change up here

11 Mar 2013 01:18 pm
Expect the next pop-up to be sold into, grind higher can be disrupted if 48.50, especially 48, not held

11 Mar 2013 01:27 pm
Still in a good uptrend since taking out 44.75 multiple highs before noon. But the way it is going, a break under 48.50-48 changes dynamics

11 Mar 2013 01:30 pm
Trend and momentum to the upside not to be fought. Would need to see change of trend. 52-53 next resistance not far off, though 50 should

11 Mar 2013 01:30 pm
Be a psychological barrier to toy with for a bit before getting there

11 Mar 2013 01:40 pm
Just a mess 50 on pop-up, it will take a pullback of more than just a gentle 1.50 point dip. If pullback goes further things would change

11 Mar 2013 01:44 pm
First test of 50 market doesn't like, 48.50 key on pullback. A bounce that follows likely will be sold into. A push above 50 needed to get

11 Mar 2013 01:45 pm
Squeeze up to the 52-53 area, may not see that today have 48.50 broken and no rebound from there

11 Mar 2013 01:51 pm
The VIX is at a new multiyear low down almost 7%. A lower low and reversal up on that tomorrow would give numerous sell signals, we will see

11 Mar 2013 02:01 pm
48.50 is holding but A push above 49 that can hold needed to make another move higher though

11 Mar 2013 02:16 pm
In very slow and then trading 58.50 able to hold and test the 50 was sold. If 49.25 not broken by much 52-53 not impossible. 50 important tho

11 Mar 2013 02:22 pm
I think that 50 level is going to be hard to get through/hold this afternoon. 48.50-48 is key support on pullback, must hold

11 Mar 2013 02:27 pm
If they do get over 50, and stay up there, this could still go for 52-53. A pullback that is gentle like others probably buying opportunity

11 Mar 2013 02:28 pm
Unless it is coming down from reaching 52-53 area. 50 is the key area to get above on top, 48.50 bottom of a range

11 Mar 2013 02:31 pm
Another pop up should be sold even if it does come from 48.50, NQ especially

11 Mar 2013 02:41 pm
49.25 reached on bounce. 48 is transition area from around noon/pullbacks held 48.50-48. 46.50 IF broken/not turn right back up

11 Mar 2013 02:50 pm
If the 50-49.50 area is not broken by much there will still be a chance for another push higher to the 52-53 area and sold there

11 Mar 2013 03:05 pm
If there is going to be one more run would need to get back above 50 and not turn right back down. It has been trend up, late day pullback

11 Mar 2013 03:09 pm
Possible if this stays under 50 and 49 broken, or especially 48 key area, is broken and the market cannot get turned back up

11 Mar 2013 03:10 pm
If they do pop up again, would need to get momentum because 52-53 resistance really stretches price on the upside

11 Mar 2013 03:23 pm
So far 48.50-48 is able to hold, and no late day pullback unless broken. However, a move to a token higher high should be sold

11 Mar 2013 03:24 pm
Have a good rest of your day. I will catch you tomorrow shortly after the open. There may be some changes this week also. Take care

 

 

Friday-March 08, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

08 Mar 2013 09:30 am
Another double top breakout to the upside, which is getting parabolic and scary. The key today is going back under 41-40, key support

08 Mar 2013 09:35 am
Top is therefore now they bounce will be sold if there is one

08 Mar 2013 09:39 am
Should stay under 45 to keep pressure on to test 43

08 Mar 2013 09:42 am
43 reached 44.50-45 area is bounced resistance, 41.75 a small support before the 40 area

08 Mar 2013 09:47 am
The S&P 500 cash reached 1551.65, testing the secondary high late October 2007. Is perfect spot for a top.

08 Mar 2013 09:50 am
The "pop and flop" on the employment numbers bearish also. A bounce from 40 should stay under 42-43

08 Mar 2013 09:56 am
42 sold, a good second entry on a short, if 40 broken 38.50 key area. 44.50 should 42 the taken out on strong bounce but don't count on that

08 Mar 2013 10:00 am
Best chance for buyers to run this up by making token lower low and turning up. But no gusto, 41 needs cleared/held to take a little pressure off

08 Mar 2013 10:06 am
38.50 giving bounce but needs to take out 41/hold

08 Mar 2013 10:07 am
If they push under 37.50 and don't snap right back up, then could turn ugly break 35.75 low from yesterday

08 Mar 2013 10:13 am
Holding under 40.50 keeps keeps go to Hannah type up my best host pressure on

08 Mar 2013 10:15 am
I don't know what happened with that post. Anyway the breakout area was 1540 and unless able to get back above 40/hold market stays bearish

08 Mar 2013 10:28 am
Small double bottom at 37.00-37.25 gave a pop up to just under 40-40.50, needs pushed over/held

08 Mar 2013 10:32 am
39.50 will be key area to bounce from or small uptrend broken and back to 37 or lower

08 Mar 2013 10:35 am
The remainder of today I will point out the important areas and not send a note every time new micro dynamic s/r changes. 39.50 key

08 Mar 2013 10:41 am
This move should fail around 43 or a bit lower for a small pullback at least

08 Mar 2013 10:44 am
NOTE: I will be away for about an hour this afternoon from around 12:15 PM until 1:15 PM. Will update ASAP when I return. Must hold 40 now

08 Mar 2013 11:01 am
Buyers backing off and selling into pop-ups, covering/buying 39.50 area. This gyrating around 40 pivotal, 41.50 needs cleared 39.50 must hold

08 Mar 2013 11:09 am
Buying came in at 39.50 again and pop up to 41.50 so far, no damage unless 39.50 broken for now, though should have 43 R if 41.50 held

08 Mar 2013 11:18 am
43 just missed in slow action, 41.50 area needs to hold or can go back down towards 39.50 again

08 Mar 2013 11:23 am
If 43 not cleared then the market vulnerable for decent pullback, 41 a transition level and bounce will be sold if broken

08 Mar 2013 11:33 am
Pokes up to 42.75 or sold 3x, that is key area to get through if the market is going to continue its move higher. 41 key if a break lower

08 Mar 2013 11:46 am
This has had difficulty at 43 for about 30 minutes and should make a move pretty soon, 41.50 needs held or can break channel line

08 Mar 2013 11:57 am
a slow grind higher Poke over 43 but not stick, but another push higher possible if 42.50-42.25 area not broken, under 41.50 is breakdown

08 Mar 2013 12:12 pm
A tepid, slow, and very thin bounce off of double bottom at 39.50 new support, the type of move to brake hard

08 Mar 2013 12:14 pm
41.50 minor support, 42.75-43.25 ideal area to sell but may not get their

08 Mar 2013 12:22 pm
42.75 was missed by 1 tick, could bounce from 41 but should not go past 43 area and be able to hold up there, if 41 broken 39.50 again

08 Mar 2013 12:26 pm
I don't have that 1 hour away this afternoon, but will be taking a 15-20 minute break. Just know a bounce should not take out 44, a short under

08 Mar 2013 12:29 pm
A drop down to 39.50 would need to be turned right back up again. That area around 40.50-39.50 is a very key area especially on close

08 Mar 2013 12:37 pm
I really think we have major top that coincided with 1552 on the S&P 500 cash this morning, if todays low is broken they drop another 10 pts

08 Mar 2013 12:40 pm
wedge pattern was broken, rebound missed break level by 1 tick and press lower since to key support 40-39.50, must hold or 37

08 Mar 2013 12:44 pm
41.50 should be decent resistance, or could go back up to 42.50-43 and then turn back down. 41.50 was just sold a retest key

08 Mar 2013 01:04 pm
If there is going to be another push lower it should come from 42.50 or lower. If thats cleared instead then a move towards 43.50 possible

08 Mar 2013 01:25 pm
42 now support that needs to hold and and 43.50 needs pushed through. If that happens and holds 45 possible. Breaking 42 starts more drop

08 Mar 2013 01:38 pm
Pullback held at 42 and turned up and now its best chance to get through 43.50 up to 45 if still in good shape

08 Mar 2013 01:42 pm
No follow through has the pop up was sold into and now 42.58 key support or bounce high in place

08 Mar 2013 01:47 pm
42.50 held so far so one more chance to push higher, and that will be sold into, 42.50 and especially 42 needs to hold

08 Mar 2013 01:53 pm
The ES had a 9.75 point moved from the open until 45 minutes into trading. Since then inside a range that is inside of the earlier range, 44

08 Mar 2013 01:55 pm
Must be cleared/held to avoid double top at the high end of this current range, could point to move to 45.50 IF a move through 44, w/ gusto

08 Mar 2013 02:02 pm
The ES is going to avoid bearish chart pattern unless there is a drop to take out 40-39.50 area.Early afternoon low and breakout area. If 44

08 Mar 2013 02:05 pm
It is not pushed above pretty soon there can be a late day pullback to that area. IF that is pushed through/held 45.50 could be seen

08 Mar 2013 02:19 pm
Another feeble bounce should not be able to get above 44 and stay up there, but a hard time breaking 42 also. Better short than long but

08 Mar 2013 02:20 pm
May wait until late day or Monday to show its hand. But certainly has the ingredients for an important top

08 Mar 2013 02:30 pm
Bounce right back up from 42.50, holding the 42 key area. As long as buyers keep coming in on these dips, defend 42, trouble avoided for now

08 Mar 2013 02:41 pm
Up at this area the move into new swing high high territory is sold into, then pullback shorts cover. a pop above 44.25 should be sold

08 Mar 2013 02:49 pm
The ES made a push over 44.25 by just 1 tick and instantly sold, probably a high

08 Mar 2013 02:57 pm
42.50 should be key support in the last hour, a break/hold of that should mean a test of 40-39.50. If a bounce, should not hold 44.50

08 Mar 2013 03:03 pm
This may stick better than other failed pop-ups as long as 43.75-43.50 is not broken through on pullback

08 Mar 2013 03:06 pm
45-45.50 resistance given earlier was sold, 43.75-43.50 area pullback support that needs held at lowest to keep good uptrend

08 Mar 2013 03:12 pm
Pullback held just over 43.75,another push up to 45-45.50 possible but should have a hard time staying over that. 47 if I'm wrong about that

08 Mar 2013 03:26 pm
This now needs to hold 45 to make it to 47, if 45 broken the 44-43.75 area key end of the day to keep the uptrend going. 42.50 if broken

08 Mar 2013 03:27 pm
Have a nice weekend. Will be ready to go on Monday shortly after the open

 

 

 

 

Thursday-March 07, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

07 Mar 2013 09:20 am
They are having a tough time with 44-44.50, double tops or trouble with a resistance all the way up, that COULD be another but treating

07 Mar 2013 09:23 am
That as a top, if broken then may need to shift the gears again for a potential test of 1552 on the cash index

07 Mar 2013 09:26 am
A break back under 41 that doesn't turn right back up is needed to put some pressure on

07 Mar 2013 09:34 am
Well probably make token higher high at least, 42 needs broken to dent downside momentum

07 Mar 2013 09:36 am
43.50-43 needs to hold or bounce after that likely sold into

07 Mar 2013 09:37 am
Just a scalp from resistance, 43 days broken it should be decent support

07 Mar 2013 09:39 am
That might be it, if not then they bounce again it should be sold into the unit if a token higher high

07 Mar 2013 09:42 am
42 needs held still or odds better that a high in place. Breaking and holding 41 key

07 Mar 2013 09:45 am
43-43.50 some resistance that should be sold if going to break down under 41 which could start breakdown

07 Mar 2013 09:52 am
Resistance sold into, you should be shorting as a rejected 44.50 resistance and 43.50 bounce resistance, key area. 40.50 support

07 Mar 2013 09:56 am
Well 41 is the breakdown area and a good bounce from there back to resistance. Both 43.50 and 41.00 key this morning

07 Mar 2013 10:02 am
43.50 was pushed above but didn't stick so still selling into strength but need brake/hold of 41 to turn things

07 Mar 2013 10:04 am
Another run-up from here will be sold into, and if cannot get over 43 and hold then 41 likely to break

07 Mar 2013 10:16 am
A move up to 44-44.50 should be sold into, 42.50 needs to hold it going to have a chance on this move

07 Mar 2013 10:22 am
43.75 rejected again, needs get over that and not turn right back down or a high being made

07 Mar 2013 10:27 am
The NQ has come down to test pre- open low while ES held with the Dow cash. NQ could break down if 2790 broken 1542 on the ES

07 Mar 2013 10:36 am
No breakdown, 42 on the ES and 2791 on the NQ are both breakdown/support areas that should not be broken. 42.75 pivotal S up here

07 Mar 2013 10:39 am
Stuck in this range unless they break out over 44.50 or under 42.00. Tiny area, but can get market going staying under 44.50

07 Mar 2013 10:54 am
44-44.50 continues to be sold, now just need a push under 42 and not pop right back up. It should or could break small wedge/channel

07 Mar 2013 11:02 am
42 was touched and now can bounce but probably not take out the high

07 Mar 2013 11:10 am
A pullback should hold 43.50 at the lowest if this doesn't plow through 44.50 area

07 Mar 2013 11:15 am
44.75 High again and then Pullback to 43.50 new support trying to hold, another push higher sold into, 42 very important now under 43.50

07 Mar 2013 11:18 am
Next update in about 10-15 minutes.

07 Mar 2013 11:43 am
Still in trading range, 44.50 still being sold. 43 is pivotal in this choppy uptrend. If broken then another bounce to 44.75 less likely

07 Mar 2013 11:51 am
Tiny range 3.75 point range with 4 failures at 44.50-44.75 so far, but refuses to break 43 and that would open the door to drop to 41 or lower

07 Mar 2013 11:53 am
Another dip should be bought above 43, just as soon as it turns buyers will jump in

07 Mar 2013 11:58 am
Reversal bar with good selling obvious above and a short on a retest if there is another pop-up,

07 Mar 2013 12:19 pm
43 support reached and basing and a pop up can come, just started 44.50 area resistance for lower low

07 Mar 2013 12:20 pm
That supposed to say for a lower high, should be sold into if reached given rejection off of 45.50 high

07 Mar 2013 12:33 pm
Still tiny ranges so I hate giving out micro support/resistance to buy or sell against but 44.75 resistance again and should be sold but

07 Mar 2013 12:33 pm
Uptrend not broken unless 44 tiny support broken and then more important 43 broken

07 Mar 2013 12:43 pm
43 held so far but likely broken after this bounce attempt fails to take out 44.75. A short still on pops

07 Mar 2013 01:03 pm
44.75 sold AGAIN, just one spike above that was rejected (very quick move back down after touching 45.50). HOWEVER,all pullbacks holding also

07 Mar 2013 01:07 pm
Back down to 43.50-43 area and another possible bounce, that is key support zone now

07 Mar 2013 01:19 pm
the ES was sold again at 44.75, the NQ having trouble just under 2802, sideways action can go back to bottom of channel

07 Mar 2013 01:22 pm
Pullback support should be at 43.75, 43 is channel support, market gets hit with some selling if that isn't held

07 Mar 2013 01:31 pm
The NQ could lead this lower as it has been weaker off of its high and meet transition breaking 2798.50, ES should break 43 if breakdown

07 Mar 2013 01:34 pm
This 43 area needs to hold and pushed them back up to 44.50 area again or this can begin to break down

07 Mar 2013 01:37 pm
This has broken down even though a small range so far, a bounce should stop around 43.50 to continue lower

07 Mar 2013 01:45 pm
More pressure on the ES then the NQ at the moment as it jumped up while ES staying under 43. They should realign the ES week

07 Mar 2013 01:54 pm
Held at just above 42 for about 10 minutes, Unless the ES gets back above 43.25-43.50 area with gusto still can go lower, that looks pivotal

07 Mar 2013 02:00 pm
If this is going to make a move that should happen at 2 PM, if not then then the 2:20 PM-2:40 PM timeframe. 43.50 pivotal, must be cleared

07 Mar 2013 02:05 pm
Jobs number in the morning but this action not looking good if a break below 42.50-42.25 and not turn right up, 41 a key area on daily chart

07 Mar 2013 02:11 pm
Bounce to 43.50 was sold in 2 o'clock selling started, should not be over, a bounce should fail at/ under 42.50

07 Mar 2013 02:23 pm
Bounce stopped at 42 so far and shouldn't go much further, if going to drop back under 41, did not stay under that very long

07 Mar 2013 02:27 pm
If 42 is broken, could try for the 43.50 level which has been pivotal. FYI, tomorrow we roll over to June contracts, ES M3

07 Mar 2013 02:30 pm
For a scalp look to sell 43.50-44 area if reached and moved stalls, or could buy a dip to 42 that stalls/turns up but not as good odds

07 Mar 2013 02:31 pm
I will update in about 10-15 minutes. A small range scalpers market, could change late but doesn't look that way

07 Mar 2013 02:41 pm
The ES missed 43.50-44 zone by 1 tick and pullback to 42.00 gave just a 1.00 point bounce before turning back down. 43 now resistance

07 Mar 2013 02:54 pm
43 new resistance has reached but to break down from here the 41.50 level will need to be broken and put pressure on

07 Mar 2013 03:05 pm
This is a stair step higher move and needs to stay above 1543 to continue, especially 41.50 if 43 does not hold. 44.75 next R

07 Mar 2013 03:12 pm
44.75 was sold 4 times before 1:30 PM breakdown and should be hard to break/hold.45.50 high would be next,47.50-48 IF somehow breakout holds

07 Mar 2013 03:14 pm
Trend up action with no damage done unless 43.75 broken

07 Mar 2013 03:16 pm
If 45.50 is touched and rejected, 45 was just turned away, but if 33.75 broken

07 Mar 2013 03:17 pm
If that is broken and not quickly turned up, trends could roll over end of day towards 42.50 or lower

07 Mar 2013 03:21 pm
43.75 not broken yet, they move up to 44.50-45.50 and don't stick a short for late pullback

07 Mar 2013 03:27 pm
If there is another move up from 43 expected to be sold into, would need to break/hold above 45 area to end on a strong note

07 Mar 2013 03:31 pm
Fifth there is a breakout that sticks above 44.50-45 resistance finally, a chance of 47.50-48. 43 last hour low so far must hold.

07 Mar 2013 03:33 pm
Have a good afternoon. I will catch you tomorrow near the open


 

Wednesday-March 06, 2013

(time stamps are EST)


06 Mar 2013 09:24 am
Good morning. I know we have a full day of trading still ahead, but another gap up open after yesterdays action is amazing. This euphoria

06 Mar 2013 09:28 am
Likely will not end well. I'm going to get a number of sell signals if this holds up and market internals strongly positive today. I will

06 Mar 2013 09:30 am
Avoid longs unless a decent pullback. First pullback should be relatively small, about 3 ES points to continue strong from up here

06 Mar 2013 09:31 am
42.75 should be seen as the least on pullback from up here

06 Mar 2013 09:35 am
42.75 gave a bounce but need a move over 43.75-44 and hold up there are going to lower

06 Mar 2013 09:39 am
Bounce back to 43.50 stalled out and should see 41 area before bounce attempt that there's going to be one

06 Mar 2013 09:43 am
41 area would be 3 point pullback off of 44 high and last our bounce high yesterday, must hold there and turn up or still in sell mode

06 Mar 2013 09:46 am
42.50 area is now bounce resistance off of 40.75 current low that must be broken/held or still vulnerable

06 Mar 2013 09:52 am
3.25 point pullback off of 44.00 early high has been "normal" on the way up, when that dynamic changes that will be a red flag. 42 S now

06 Mar 2013 09:58 am
43.50 should be pivotal, a break of that level would need to bounce back quickly or could be topping

06 Mar 2013 10:03 am
42.50 should be pivotal area, a break of that should mean bounced that follows gets sold into. 44 resistance,

06 Mar 2013 10:09 am
42.50 broken but 3.25 point pullback again, Sell bounces, 44 is a key resistance to clear/hold and 41 to break/hold to get direction

06 Mar 2013 10:11 am
Trading range until broken. Next update in about 10 minutes or so

06 Mar 2013 10:21 am
Market is a short on a bounce, 43-44 area will need to be cleared and held, not tagged and have lower. Should not really get there

06 Mar 2013 10:24 am
If a bounce up to 42.50-43 area and then stall out there, it should bring in selling again

06 Mar 2013 10:33 am
Bounce to 42.50-43 sold into, 38.50 area next, 42 good resistance should not be broken

06 Mar 2013 10:36 am
I'm not going to give all of the minor areas today as I see I am giving out a LOT of updates. Right now 41-41.75 bounce resistance

06 Mar 2013 10:49 am
Pullback from 41.25 held at 40.00, bounce just poke over 41.75 to 42.00. Pullback needs to bounce from 40.50 at lowest to avoid another push lower towards 38.50

06 Mar 2013 10:57 am
All bounces being sold today, but stay with selling on the pop-ups. Could bounce from lower levels, currently bearish under 42.50-43

06 Mar 2013 11:06 am
Only a feeble bounce from just above 38.50, if that is taken out then the 1536.50-1535.75 zone would be next

06 Mar 2013 11:13 am
38.50 holding giving the market a rest, 40.50 minor resistance needs a push above to take some pressure off, but not stick

06 Mar 2013 11:13 am
This would have a chance to be gap day = trend day as long as a bounce is < 3 pts. No burst of buyers on gentle pullbacks today so far

06 Mar 2013 11:20 am
This shouldn't get past 41.50-42 before pulling back, 39.75 area support on a dip and shouldn't be broken if going to test that zone

06 Mar 2013 11:28 am
A 2.25 point bounce from 1 tick above 38.50 target/support to 41. Need a bounce from 39.75 if going to avoid 38.50 or lower

06 Mar 2013 11:34 am
Good defense of 39-38.50 area, so far. It should be key support if retested, need a move above 41 and hold to regain uptrend-not fake out

06 Mar 2013 11:38 am
38.75-39.00 has been holding since around 10:30 AM and especially since around 11 AM. The last buy up from 39 easily sold into, 41.25 could be seen

06 Mar 2013 11:42 am
Before another decent pullback. 40.75-41.25 needs pushed above/held to take selling pressure off on bounce for a bit

06 Mar 2013 11:49 am
39.25-38.75 has been solid support on the dips, can be tested again if no push over 41 soon

06 Mar 2013 11:52 am
NOTE: I will be away today from around 12:15 PM until around 1:15 PM and will update as soon as I return. Be short into some strength, 41R

06 Mar 2013 12:00 pm
If this breaks down then the 37.50-36.50 should be tested, and then 39-39.50 would turn into resistance on a bounce -vulnerable under 40

06 Mar 2013 12:08 pm
Breakdown to 37.75 was sold at 38.75, just under 39 new resistance, 36.50 area would be next and that is key, especially if closed under

06 Mar 2013 12:09 pm
That should be a target on shorts, beige book this afternoon at 2 PM.

06 Mar 2013 12:47 pm
Quick note, in uptrend off the low with resistance at 41 that needs cleared/held to get out of trading range. 30 9K key support

06 Mar 2013 01:23 pm
41 was turned away on the last test and dropped to 38, 39 has been a bit of a transition area and needs held on pullback or 38-37.50 again

06 Mar 2013 01:30 pm
39.50 held and they turn back up, the bounce will be sold into even if 41 taken out

06 Mar 2013 01:37 pm
Things have really slowed down so need a bounce from 39.50 soon or will be headed back to 38

06 Mar 2013 01:39 pm
Bounces just started, if a move above 41, would need to stick/accelerate or will come back down to test 40

06 Mar 2013 01:44 pm
41 has been the highest since 11:20 AM and tested four other times before now, pullback needs to hold 40.50-40.25 to keep uptrend 42.50

06 Mar 2013 01:48 pm
Pop through 41 sold, and now 40.50 is the support that needs held to not come back below 40

06 Mar 2013 01:53 pm
To stay in a good uptrend this has to turn up from 40.50, not too much lower, and do that with gusto or just a bounce high

06 Mar 2013 01:58 pm
40 was reached, a bit further than it should have. We get the beige book at 2 PM. If a pop-up, 42.50 needs exceeded/held or back down

06 Mar 2013 02:02 pm
This is kind of a channel/wedge pattern, a move under 40 needed to break a bottom, 41 has not been held above very long

06 Mar 2013 02:10 pm
Unable to stay over 41.25 for very long. Thats bearish. They moved back below 40 starts the downside, if broken a bounce that follows will

06 Mar 2013 02:11 pm
Be sold into back around 40.50-41

06 Mar 2013 02:17 pm
Could be a bounce from the 39.50 prior low area but not stick above 40.50 if still week

06 Mar 2013 02:26 pm
This is where selling would come in if a weak market, but since noon the pullbacks have been bought. 40.50 should hold to push higher

06 Mar 2013 02:29 pm
On top, ES needs to push through the highs made at 41.50, sustained trading above 40.75 needed to keep from another reversal

06 Mar 2013 02:34 pm
Should hold 41-40.50 at lowest on a pullback, 42.50-43.25 resistance on this move, key area

06 Mar 2013 02:39 pm
42.50-43.25 zone giving a small reaction, 41.50 area should hold on a dip from up here.

06 Mar 2013 02:45 pm
Pullback from 43.25 new resistance trying to stay above 41.50, if that does not hold then 40.50 could be seen again. 44.50 If 43.25 cleared

06 Mar 2013 02:48 pm
41.75 pullback low, this could see 44.50 if this push higher continues, and then see some pullback

06 Mar 2013 02:52 pm
41.50 prior high area was held on pullback after coming down from 43.25 R, transition area that needs held to stay bullish. 44.25 bounce high

06 Mar 2013 02:55 pm
If they get back to 44.00-44.50 area, stall out and reverse down through 41.50, trading top could be in. Strong internals is the

06 Mar 2013 02:57 pm
Missing ingredient needed to give sell signals. Should see some pullback from re-test of 44.50, if rejection could start something

06 Mar 2013 03:03 pm
Should be it for a rally attempt if 41.50 area not held. 44-44.50 could be a top if that is taken out, especially on a close

06 Mar 2013 03:14 pm
Staying under 43 keep pressure on for pullback to take out 41.50, down to 39 if that's broken/held under 42 area

06 Mar 2013 03:22 pm
41.50 broken through, a bounce late in the day will be sold into. If another pop up occurs, short as soon as upside stalls

06 Mar 2013 03:25 pm
Especially if there is a pop up to around 42.75 area that is rejected, or just pops up and then goes sideways for several minutes

06 Mar 2013 03:30 pm
40.50 just a small support from earlier, 39.50-39.25 more important and should be tested if this is going out on a weak note

06 Mar 2013 03:32 pm
I would avoid longs, potential for this to get hit a bit harder end of the day

06 Mar 2013 03:34 pm
Have a good rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow shortly after the open.

 

 

Tuesday-March 05, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

05 Mar 2013 09:20 am
This market is getting to you that "incredible" camp, almost on par with 1987, 2000, 2007 and I have been through them all.

05 Mar 2013 09:22 am
Also am hearing those famous words "its different this time". There never exactly the same, but trading top should be near. Right now the

05 Mar 2013 09:26 am
ES is trading 9 points above fair value, the SPX needs get to 1535 to be in line. Thats just 17 pts from all-time intraday high

05 Mar 2013 09:30 am
The Dow cash will be making record high this morning. 1530 on ES needs held

05 Mar 2013 09:34 am
That can be top if 32 broken and not turn right back up, that is first support up here

05 Mar 2013 09:39 am
34-34.50 broken through, 34 area needs to hold as support on pullback or this could get a bit toppy.

05 Mar 2013 09:50 am
Some Econ data out soon. Another pop up should be sold into, 37.75-38.50 if a new high. 32-31.50 area key support, no reversal unless broken

05 Mar 2013 09:57 am
Should see some pullback from 36.50, 34.50-34.00 prior resistance should be pivotal as support. That will need broken/held to break down

05 Mar 2013 10:04 am
Pullback held just above 34.50 and reached 37.75-38.50 resistance, was rejected but pullback should hold around 35 area or breaking down

05 Mar 2013 10:09 am
10 AM high at resistance was rejected, should be early high at least, but would need to break 35 and not turn up with gusto for some proof

05 Mar 2013 10:19 am
The pullback went just 1 tick under 35 support and turned up to test the high. 34.50 prior resistance acting as support

05 Mar 2013 10:23 am
Back to resistance but no proof of any kind of top unless 36.50 broken and not turn right back up, and then 34.50 would be broken next

05 Mar 2013 10:29 am
35.75 should hold on gentle pullback to keep uptrend grind going. Gap day could be trend day if dips just 2-3 ES points

05 Mar 2013 10:39 am
38 new support to hold to continue grinding higher. But expect some pullback if 40 is retested

05 Mar 2013 10:47 am
A pop-up to 40.50 was sold into, but pullback held just over 39, and 39-38.50 is the trend up support/transition zone, needs held

05 Mar 2013 10:54 am
If there is going to be a pullback of about 3 points that should start from the 41.25 high so far which would mean holding around 38

05 Mar 2013 10:59 am
Tiny retests of 41.25 high was sold at 41.00, should go back to 39-38

05 Mar 2013 11:08 am
So far a 3 point pullback to the 38.50-37.75 prior resistance, a high in place if not held, 40.50 minor resistance

05 Mar 2013 11:15 am
For now, as long as 38.50-38 is held, this can continue in a trend up mode. Watch 42 for a pullback from up here, 40.50 minor support

05 Mar 2013 11:23 am
A bounce off of 40 stopped at 41, if that isn't clear/held then down towards 38.50-38 again, another bounce from 40 gets sold into 42-ish

05 Mar 2013 11:32 am
41 has been rejected on the last 2 times attempts, if that is reached and reversed and we get another pullback, maybe test 38.50-38

05 Mar 2013 11:37 am
There should be pressure on the low 40-40.50 area, 38 must hold or dynamic change

05 Mar 2013 11:42 am
Another 3.00 point pullback. We had 3.25 points, 3.00 points, and 3.00 point pullback. Makes 38.50-38 a bit more important. If 40 not

05 Mar 2013 11:44 am
Pushed above and held than 38.50-38 could be broken. 41 next is a bit more follow-through, then pulled that

05 Mar 2013 11:56 am
The NQ is helping the ES on this move, the Dow cash flattening out and ES stopped at 41. 40 needs to hold, and 2800 1st minor S on NQ

05 Mar 2013 12:00 pm
NOTE: I will be away today from around 12:15 PM until around 1:15 PM. I will update ASAP when available again, or if something changes

05 Mar 2013 12:04 pm
As for a trade, so for a gap day acting as trend day as long as pullback is not > 3 points. If 38.50 not held dynamics change. Will break

05 Mar 2013 12:06 pm
Unless a push over 41 on ES and 2803.50 on the NQ, then hold on a dip. Market stays strong buying frenzy if that happens

05 Mar 2013 12:15 pm
About 30 minutes going sideways under 41 should mean breakdown back towards 38.50 area, that's key

05 Mar 2013 12:17 pm
Bounces should be sold into from here on out, though couldn't get buying at deeper levels, a 7 point pullback from 41.75 possible

05 Mar 2013 12:50 pm
The ES made it down to the 38.75 support area and bounced twice, but NQ in different shape. Another pop-up from here possible, and sold into

05 Mar 2013 01:00 pm
After breaking out above double at 1524.50 yesterday another break/hold of 1538.50 resistance turned support. Must hold, 2796 on NQ

05 Mar 2013 01:04 pm
The internals are going to be close to sell territory. The S&P 500 cash came within 10 points of its all time high, should not be seen

05 Mar 2013 01:08 pm
If Another pop up, it's a short using a tight stop, should not get back above 40.50-41 and break of 38.50 could cause good break

05 Mar 2013 01:22 pm
38.75 bottom of this range was held in held again and almost to the high, likely will push through and tried for 44. 14.50 small support

05 Mar 2013 01:23 pm
40.50, sorry for the typo

05 Mar 2013 01:26 pm
New high should be sold into as long as Take profit, then pullback they reinstate long. 38.50 must hold to keep this same action

05 Mar 2013 01:37 pm
The 40.50 minor support was held in another new high made at 42.75. 41.50 should be pullback support, or 40.50 again

05 Mar 2013 01:43 pm
40.50-39.75 should be very important on pullback from up here, that is prior support/low and 3 points off the high

05 Mar 2013 01:47 pm
So far 40.75 the pullback low and a bounce off of that is going to be sold into, 42-42.50 would be ideal but may not get there, high may be in

05 Mar 2013 01:54 pm
tested its high and ruled over, the NQ same but tested lower high. A top was snuck in. If not, a bounce gets sold 40 now resistance

05 Mar 2013 01:57 pm
If the 38.75-38.25 area is broken and cannot turn right back up then down side to get some momentum,

05 Mar 2013 02:03 pm
A bounce off of the bottom of sideways range from around 11 AM, not much gusto and breaking down could be kind of sharp

05 Mar 2013 02:23 pm
Pullback held at 38.75, but not much of a bounce. Also watch in 14,261 on Dow cash.Both key S Need to push over 40.50 to get bounce attempt

05 Mar 2013 02:29 pm
The failure just under 40.50 should be at an important high for now, pressure stays on unless cleared/held on a dip. 36.50 next support

05 Mar 2013 02:32 pm
38.75-39.50 is bounce resistance. A drop to 36-35.50 possible especially staying under 38.50

05 Mar 2013 02:42 pm
A bounce to 38.75-39.50 coming from 37.25 where 60 EMA on 5 minute chart is currently. Still 39.50 needs cleared to take some pressure off

05 Mar 2013 02:50 pm
A better than expected bounce, would still need a move above 40.50, and then hold around 40 on a dip or market still vulnerable up here

05 Mar 2013 02:52 pm
So for now still look for bounces to run out of steam and rollover because upside momentum erased unless 40.50 exceeded

05 Mar 2013 02:59 pm
Prior low and 60 EMA at 37.00, and NQ going sideways just over 2790, key to defend end of the day. 40.50 needs pushed through to finish well

05 Mar 2013 03:16 pm
Buyers have defended 37.75-37.25 low of this range, sellers stopping 4 bounces just under 40-40.50, a push over 40-40.50 needed

05 Mar 2013 03:25 pm
bounce will be sold into buyers are not comfortable out here and sellers risk is not a whole lot,

05 Mar 2013 03:31 pm
Could bounce here but not get above 40-40.50 and hold up there, 35.75 could be next support

05 Mar 2013 03:36 pm
Buyers backing off still, avoid long unless breakthrough 40.50 and tiny dip around 40 can hold. Not likely

05 Mar 2013 03:44 pm
Should hold 40-39.50 area, maybe at lowest, to keep upside going

05 Mar 2013 03:46 pm
59.75 pullback low so far and if it goes much further than uptrend will probably not go far

05 Mar 2013 03:46 pm
Have a nice afternoon, I will catch you tomorrow a little bit after the opening

 

 

 

Monday-March 04, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

04 Mar 2013 09:26 am
Last night's update in the early going, last bounce came from 1509 support area and needs to hold if another test

04 Mar 2013 09:33 am
13.50-14 needs broken/held to get into neutral position, 2740-41 on NQ

04 Mar 2013 09:44 am
13.50-14 support turned resistance was sold down 2 pts to 1511.50 and then turned right back up, resistance 15-15.50 again, 13.50 support must hold to keep up trend

04 Mar 2013 09:52 am
13.25 was quickly reversed up, 1515.75 high and if sold from there or unable to hold 14 area, then back under 13 and bounce should be sold

04 Mar 2013 09:56 am
14-13.50 is a key area on the ES this morning, pivotal. 15 shouldn't be broken if going to test 18 area/Resistance

04 Mar 2013 10:00 am
Any bounce from 14 pullback low should be sold into and not make a higher high, pullback could be a faster one

04 Mar 2013 10:02 am
16 area should be sold, if not there then could still test 18 area. Break of 14-13.50 needed to break down

04 Mar 2013 10:07 am
The bounce from 14 support stopped at 15.75 making a lower high so far, staying under 15.75 needed if breaking 14-13.50 in the cards

04 Mar 2013 10:14 am
Upside stalled out, pretty good selling around 1515.50 pivotal area for a number of days. Could bounce but early high in place

04 Mar 2013 10:19 am
14.50 is where the rising wedge was broken so 14-14.50 should be a pivotal area on bounce.

04 Mar 2013 10:28 am
Last bounce stopped at 14.25 and dropped down to a lower low at 1512.25 2 times so far, a third could name 1509. Pop up R 14-14.50

04 Mar 2013 10:36 am
Bounce sold at 14, Pullback based at 12.50, held there for 15 minutes, a key area to break the NQ is weaker and leading a bit

04 Mar 2013 10:43 am
The drop from 14 Resistance retest 12.25 and turn up through 14-14.50, 14 area support on a dip. Should hold that there's going to be another push higher

04 Mar 2013 10:55 am
They ES bounced from a pullback low at 14 to 15.50 up to 16.75, quickly sold into, but it needs to hold 15.25 or back down towards 13.75 area

04 Mar 2013 11:06 am
13.75 was reached and was dead back up, that is pivotal support. They move over 16 that sticks is needed soon or breakdown

04 Mar 2013 11:07 am
15.50 on top should be sold on another bounce, or should stay under that 15-15.50 area, should be selling pressure under that area

04 Mar 2013 11:17 am
15.50 was sold 14 needs broken and not turned right back up or there could be one last bounce attempt

04 Mar 2013 11:23 am
Push higher reached 16.75 so far, third time up there and could push through if 15.50 area holds. 14.25-13.75 pivotal, shouldn't break or

04 Mar 2013 11:26 am
this ragged stair step higher breaks down and trends broken. Currently still bullish holding 15.50, 17.75-18.25 area just above

04 Mar 2013 11:34 am
Double top at 17.75 Resistance, that should be hard to get through and hold, 15.50-15 a key support then down to 13.50

04 Mar 2013 11:36 am
15.50 oh pullback low so far, the ES would need a good push higher off of this area to have a chance to get back to 18 area

04 Mar 2013 11:42 am
There should be strong resistance on a retest of 17.50-18.50 area. May not get there if 15.50 broken and not turned back up. But retest

04 Mar 2013 11:45 am
would likely be sold into. Need to make bounce from 15.50 or not going to get there. Next update in about 20 minutes

04 Mar 2013 12:16 pm
There was a bounce from 15.50 that touched 17.50 and turned right back down, with a double top at a strong resistance we should have a decent pullback from up there, 14-13.50 key area

04 Mar 2013 12:19 pm
15.50 area should be good Resistance if a bounce from 14-13.50. If that's pushed under, 12 would be next

04 Mar 2013 12:24 pm
14.50-15.50 area should be strong bounce resistance to that double top is going to stick. This could open up and give decent drop

04 Mar 2013 12:33 pm
1512 was broken and

04 Mar 2013 12:34 pm
1512.75 area is decent resistance on a bounce, and needs to be cleared/held to have a temporary low in. Still 1509 for key fixed support

04 Mar 2013 12:55 pm
The bounce took out 1512.75 by 1 tick and went sideways and now a small breakout and if 14 old support not turn new resistance 15.50

04 Mar 2013 12:59 pm
Need to take a quick break, 15-15.50 can be seen on the upside as long as 13 not broken. I will be back ASAP

04 Mar 2013 01:21 pm
We have had 2 sided action with a double top at resistance and then a low at 12:30 PM, another pullback a buying opportunity, 17.50-18.50 R

04 Mar 2013 01:27 pm
14.25-14 area is now support that should not be broken, or a chance to go back to bottom of today's range. 15.50-15 S should get bid or top

04 Mar 2013 01:30 pm
A pullback should be just "backing up to get a running start" on the up side for now. A dip >2.00 points needed to break trend

04 Mar 2013 01:42 pm
Another test of 17.50-18.50 rejected, there needs to be a break under 16-15.50 to get this to rolling over, and NQ would need to turn down

04 Mar 2013 01:53 pm
At resistance, but would need to go back under 17 for the grind higher to reverse.

04 Mar 2013 01:55 pm
A short but they stopped above the high for now,

04 Mar 2013 01:58 pm
This is still in an uptrend as long as 16.50 is able to hold, and not impossible to retest the high or a tiny bit higher.A break of 16.50-16

04 Mar 2013 02:00 pm
That is broken and not turned right back up, then the up trend should break and start pullback. 20.50 minor resistance over 18.50 high

04 Mar 2013 02:07 pm
18.50 about to be pushed above if this continues grinding higher, not aggressive backing away, watched 20.50 to be reached

04 Mar 2013 02:09 pm
18.50 taken out by one tick, quickly turned away. However dips have been small, should hold 17-16.50 at lowest are breaking down

04 Mar 2013 02:13 pm
There is not much left on the upside if they didn't top at 18.75 already, 17-16.50 with no bounce, NQ could lead this

04 Mar 2013 02:20 pm
So far 16.50 table to hold, can lead to one more push higher,

04 Mar 2013 02:23 pm
The pullback was 2.25 points, the only other pullback since 12:30 PM low was 2.00 points. That symmetry needs a broken to change

04 Mar 2013 02:25 pm
A move up to 20-20.50 would be possible if able to get through double top

04 Mar 2013 02:28 pm
Look for buying opportunity on pullback to 18.50 area for continuation of uptrend, should hold to keep pattern intact, should/must hold

04 Mar 2013 02:31 pm
Up here, look for token higher high to be sold into. Pullback should be small to keep pushing higher, 19.50 area needs held on pullback

04 Mar 2013 02:51 pm
23.50-24.50 area is a major zone up here, since 12:30 PM it has been basically trend up, 2 pullbacks just 2 pts, 21-20.50 is trend support

04 Mar 2013 02:55 pm
Just under 23.50-24.50 area, a pullback needs to be gentle and bought on a dip at 21-20.50, trend still up unless broken

04 Mar 2013 03:03 pm
At the high with an hour left in stock trading, just under short-term major resistance, if a pullback takes out 21 up trend in jeopardy and

04 Mar 2013 03:04 pm
A late day drop/pullback to the 17-16 area possible

04 Mar 2013 03:07 pm
This is a spot for another pop up if this trend up move is going to continue into very late day

04 Mar 2013 03:18 pm
Buyers backing away around the high. Would need to push above 23.50-24.50 end of the day.A pullback that breaks 21-20.50 could see 16.50-16

04 Mar 2013 03:24 pm
21-20.50 zone was just reached, must hold to avoid deeper pullback towards 17-16. A move above 22.25 should take some pressure off

04 Mar 2013 03:29 pm
ES not wanting to test R again but As long as pullback stays above 21-20.50 area the end of the day keeps the market away from trouble

04 Mar 2013 03:31 pm
Have a good rest of your day. "See" you tomorrow around the open.

 

 

Thursday-February 28, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

28 Feb 2013 09:31 am
Good morning. Strong resistance at 19.50 and then 24 again. That should be sold into after two good up days. 13-12.50 key support early. Econ data 9:45 AM

28 Feb 2013 09:36 am
13.25 was bought, 1515.50 is a pivotal area today, needs to hold on a dip

28 Feb 2013 09:42 am
15.50 shouldn't be reached if this is going to reach 19.50 before the release in a few months. 15.50 still support

28 Feb 2013 09:47 am
19.25 reached 3E time they release and now 17 mates held than 15.50 key. 23-24 if 19 pushed through/not reversed

28 Feb 2013 09:51 am
Needs a bounce from 18.50 area or a high will be in for a bit

28 Feb 2013 09:53 am
18.50-18 area should be an important support, possibly pivotal area is topping out

28 Feb 2013 09:56 am
Took out 18-18.50, so top likely in, 15.50 area key on this, 18.75 resistance

28 Feb 2013 10:00 am
15.50 held so far was pullback low at 16.25, 18.75 should be sold if heading lower

28 Feb 2013 10:02 am
18.75 was barely poked over to 19.00 and quickly back away. It needs clear/held or 15.50

28 Feb 2013 10:06 am
15.50 reached in a broken, another pop-up will be sold. A drop down to 13-12.50 would be to support and could get momentum if broken/held

28 Feb 2013 10:08 am
The way this pattern looks 17.50 should be key resistance here, only punch higher to push through

28 Feb 2013 10:13 am
Small pullback as 15.50 area is still pivotal level for the mkt today. Holding above that keeps this out of trouble. A breakdown if not held

28 Feb 2013 10:20 am
If 16.50 is a bid back up with some gusto, then they move lower and test 15.50 or lower

28 Feb 2013 10:24 am
Market has been bouncing back but there could be sharp drop if cannot get above 19 and hold or break 17 med 15.50

28 Feb 2013 10:30 am
Should be sold around 17.50-18 if Going lower, 15.50-15 pivotal

28 Feb 2013 10:31 am
13-12.50 should be tested if held under 18

28 Feb 2013 10:37 am
Still 1515.50-1515.00 is pivotal. There has been selling on all pop-ups, but holding 15.50-15, if broken/held transition to downside likely

28 Feb 2013 10:46 am
15 broken and could bounce but pressure still on unless 16.50 cleared/held now, 13-12.50 key area if new low on next pullback

28 Feb 2013 10:54 am
15.50 should be trend resistance along with pivotal area and can still see 13-12.50 unless broken/held. That's next support must bounce from

28 Feb 2013 11:00 am
Buyers at 13.50, just above the early low and a key support for today. This might chop around 15.50 before another move, stays bearish under

28 Feb 2013 11:05 am
A pullback should hold 15.50, 18 is resistance

28 Feb 2013 11:13 am
We have choppy two-sided action so for now it is "sell high buy low" a dip from 18 to should be bid back up from 17-16.50

28 Feb 2013 11:21 am
From 18.00 pound to 16.75 was bought, a test of 18.50-19 should be sold if stalls/rejected. Needs to hold 16.75 at worst or back towards 15.50-15.

28 Feb 2013 11:30 am
18.50 sold and now 17.50 is trend support, uptrend broken if that's not held on a dip.

28 Feb 2013 11:34 am
Test of 18.50-19 sold into, uptrend losing momentum so 17.50 very important to hold over, a short 18.50-19

28 Feb 2013 11:36 am
Watch for 16.75 prior low area for small support and 15.50 major area. Keep eye on NQ it can lead lower 2754 resistance

28 Feb 2013 11:44 am
Drop down to test 15.50 area, another pop up should be sold around 17.50-18 if going to make move back down there

28 Feb 2013 11:48 am
Should pull back, but if 18 pushed through the 19 could be tested and maybe chance of pushing over 20, not sure that would stick so

28 Feb 2013 11:54 am
Just a tiny dip from 17.75 down to 17.00, but bounce stalling out. 17 looks to be an important area to hold or 15.50 area again

28 Feb 2013 12:04 pm
The ES has been going back and forth in a 7 point range. The ES holding above 15.50 area on pullbacks, could get toppy but no damage unless

28 Feb 2013 12:06 pm
15.50 area is broken and not turn right back up.

28 Feb 2013 12:11 pm
Selling into what little strength there is up here, If they get to the 18.50-19 area again they should fail or accelerate, and fail more likely

28 Feb 2013 12:13 pm
Market out of gas, must push above 18.50-19 and the stick soon, pressure on under 18 for now. Next update in about 20 minutes or so.

28 Feb 2013 12:37 pm
There was a pop up to 18.50 that was sold, but pullback was not aggressive and bid right back up. Another dip should be bought

28 Feb 2013 12:40 pm
A pullback to around 18-17.50 needs to hold it up upside going to make it to 19-19.50 possible double top or breakout

28 Feb 2013 12:45 pm
19.50-20.25 can be pushed to. Pullback there more likely, then another bounce attempt after a 1.00-1.50 point pullback

28 Feb 2013 12:54 pm
Just missed 1520 and there was good selling start there so good resistance if retested, 18-17.50 is pullback support, must hold

28 Feb 2013 12:59 pm
A hold under 19.25-19.50 area should mean 18 area gets a test before bounce from down there. A bounce from 18 area would need some gusto or

28 Feb 2013 01:00 pm
Could break this choppy uptrend and leave double top on the way to 16.50 or so

28 Feb 2013 01:03 pm
Choppy uptrend with small pullbacks being bought since turning back up just before 11 AM. This action can continue as long as 18.50 transition

28 Feb 2013 01:04 pm
From resistance to

28 Feb 2013 01:05 pm
From being resistance to now acting as support. If that is broken on a dip and not turned right back up than things could be changing

28 Feb 2013 01:14 pm
There is not a whole lot of action, and either stalling out just under 20 again or ready to push through. 18.50-18 is the pivotal support that should hold

28 Feb 2013 01:23 pm
Breakout gave nice short squeeze and 20-19.50 solid support on a dip if there is one. end of the month the month strength 24-25 major R

28 Feb 2013 01:24 pm
Could be reached if a good bounce comes from 20.50-20 at the lowest, holding 21 keeps up side pressure on

28 Feb 2013 01:39 pm
Pullback held 21.50, there should be selling at the new high than a small pullback that needs to stay over 21.50, then 19.50-18.50 major

28 Feb 2013 01:42 pm
The internals today are strong and there is a good chance that many of my short-term internal gauges can be at overbought extremes, that

28 Feb 2013 01:47 pm
That could mean another push higher possible but set up for a reversal back down, or sideways at best. For now 20.25-19.75 should be key S

28 Feb 2013 02:01 pm
If they pop up to 23-23.50 area again, which is just under 24.50, and the reverse then there could be pullback occur, but 21 area still key

28 Feb 2013 02:03 pm
And that area needs to hold or they slip down towards 19.50-18.50 and then bounce again if still keeping up trend intact

28 Feb 2013 02:14 pm
A pullback should hold 22.50 and get through 24.50 prior high, if cleared and not turn right down and just keep grinding higher

28 Feb 2013 02:18 pm
Biggest pullbacks have been 2.00 and 2.75 points on the ES, so as long as 21.75-21 holds on pullback this continues trend up mode

28 Feb 2013 02:33 pm
The pop up tag 24.50 resent high instantly sold, looks like 22 area needs held or that could be a top again

28 Feb 2013 02:35 pm
Could get a bounce from 22 area but should be strong resistance around 23.25 that sold on a pop up that stalls up

28 Feb 2013 02:38 pm
That is a tell that higher prices and holding gains should be difficult up here, given the overbought condition of internal indicators

28 Feb 2013 02:42 pm
Looking to scale into a swing trade on a bounce to around 23, if market continues a bit higher tomorrow, likely sold into. This move could see 20.25-19.50 or of that lower before bounce

28 Feb 2013 02:53 pm
ES reached 20.25-19.50 zone and held, The trend up move is certainly over but there could be a bounce from that zone, should not stick

28 Feb 2013 02:55 pm
Next update in about 15 minutes. 22 needs pushed above to get upside going but likely make lower high near 23-23.50 if reached

28 Feb 2013 03:00 pm
Sellers on small pop-ups and staying under 21.50 could mean move down towards 18.50 or lower

28 Feb 2013 03:05 pm
21.50-22.00 area is pivotal Resistance and even though ES at a support area that Resistance needs cleared before selling pressure relieved

28 Feb 2013 03:12 pm
So far 18.50 earlier transition area able to hold, ES also right at 60 EMA. Market turning very weak and 15.50 possible

28 Feb 2013 03:15 pm
NQ just 7 points off its low and still week under 2750 and ES continues downtrend under 19.75

28 Feb 2013 03:22 pm
Would be a good rally off of 18 if the market was strong, there is resistance around 19.50-20 on this bounce, that area key

28 Feb 2013 03:25 pm
19.75 was sold on bounce, still key. If cleared then a move up to 21.50-22 area should be sold into

28 Feb 2013 03:29 pm
20 was sold and quick drop to 18.75 trying to hold but must get over 20 and stick, 22.50 would be next

28 Feb 2013 03:36 pm
Still unable to stay above 20 and that keeps pressure on end of the day. If broken/held them 22.50 possible but not likely to stick.

28 Feb 2013 03:37 pm
If they stay under 20 and break under 18 late be then 15 area will be a key support end a day

28 Feb 2013 03:39 pm
Have a good afternoon/evening, will catch you tomorrow morning near the open, should be important day. Take care

 

 

Wednesday-February 27, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

27 Feb 2013 12:49 pm
Instead of staying under 1497-1498 and pulling back, the market followed the upside scenario in last night's update,

27 Feb 2013 12:52 pm
3 point pullback from 1500.25 held the 1498-1497 and then rallied to 1505 area and kept going. biggest pullbacks 3.00 and 3.75 points

27 Feb 2013 12:54 pm
1512.50 was not held long, and that is major area on this rally and may be a top especially if 4 point pullback

27 Feb 2013 01:02 pm
3.50 point pullback, 12.50 resistance was rejected again, 1-2-3 type top, 1510-1509.50 should be support/transition area

27 Feb 2013 01:10 pm
the patterns are bearish and a pop up will be sold into so it's a short under the highest

27 Feb 2013 01:15 pm
So far ES holding support, but another move to 12 area should be sold into.

27 Feb 2013 01:15 pm
A break of 1409.50 on the ES that doesn't get turned right back up would begin a bit of a shakeout to the downside, "long covering pullback"

27 Feb 2013 01:23 pm
1512 being held under after a good run up and unless that is cleared again and not reverse it is vulnerable and especially if 1509.50 breaks

27 Feb 2013 01:39 pm
1512 tested a few times, but would need a break of 1510 stills to break this down. A dip should hold 11 or higher to keep grinding

27 Feb 2013 01:41 pm
1515 area is next key resistance up here. Need to stay under that area to have a double top in place, that has been pivotal on both sides

27 Feb 2013 01:49 pm
needs to stay above 12.50 resistance for more than a minute or will get another move towards 1510 or lower, 13.50-13.00 double top otherwise

27 Feb 2013 02:05 pm
1512.50 still hard to get through/hold, and upside as flattened out, 3 pullbacks of 3.00-3.75 pts, a fourth is 1510-1509.50 key support

27 Feb 2013 02:15 pm
1515 almost reached, they could push a bit above that but then should pullback and the 13-12 now support

27 Feb 2013 02:26 pm
15.50 reached so far, this would need to go back under 13.50-13.00 prior high area on pullback to stay strong and grind/stairstep higher

27 Feb 2013 02:28 pm
Persistent uptrend pope cover 15.50 and should see some pullback and hold 1515 if staying strong

27 Feb 2013 02:30 pm
Or go down to 13.50-12.50 zone which should be key as also another 3-3.75 point pullback

27 Feb 2013 02:41 pm
15 should be pivotal level again. Especially If 13.50-12.50 area broken, then a bounce shouldn't make a higher high. 15 especially key then

27 Feb 2013 02:47 pm
I need to leave early today, a little before 3 PM. ES a 23 point rally to its high so far, good upside momentum with 3 relatively small dips

27 Feb 2013 02:50 pm
Trend stays bullish as long as 13 held on pullback at the lowest, 18-18.50 resistance

27 Feb 2013 02:52 pm
I really think that 1515 area is still going to be traded around, maybe on both sides but that should be support on a pullback

27 Feb 2013 02:54 pm
If the market is going to continue to grind higher than the last hour. If broken it could be a red flag for test of 13

27 Feb 2013 02:55 pm
The next update will be Thursday morning around the open. Have a good rest of your day, I will catch you then. Take care

 

 

Tuesday-February 26, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

26 Feb 2013 09:29 am
This should stop at 1495 If going to get more pull back. 1489 area will need to hold on pullback

26 Feb 2013 09:33 am
Resistance sold, should pull back

26 Feb 2013 09:40 am
92.50 needs broken to get a push lower, and make 95 a top. a move above 95 would need to get momentum and test 99

26 Feb 2013 09:43 am
At 10 AM we get Econ data, short covering off of the open should be sold into still, with 92.50 key area

26 Feb 2013 10:00 am
92.50 broken but not held, must hold. Number just out, now 94.50 new support

26 Feb 2013 10:06 am
95 days to hold on pullback or uptrend will be reversing and an early high could be in

26 Feb 2013 10:10 am
If another bounce it will be sold into. A pop to the 95-95.50 area should not be exceeded/held, highs should be in

26 Feb 2013 10:15 am
Pressure stays on as long as bounced stays under 92.50-93.25 down to 89-88

26 Feb 2013 10:25 am
92.75 and 92.50 or sold on small bounces, allowing entry and 92.50-93.25 area, target/support at 89-88 reached. Same resistance if bounce

26 Feb 2013 10:27 am
92.50-93.25 zone was just missed so far and pressure stays on unless broken

26 Feb 2013 10:30 am
89-88 initial resistance acted as a transition area to upside overnight on Globex, if broken/held then 86.75 at least and maybe break 85

26 Feb 2013 10:43 am
90.50 areas should be good resistance on this bounce. If cleared, could try for 92.50 but failure leads to another push lower

26 Feb 2013 10:48 am
89.75 was the bounce high, though pushed down to 86.50 was turned up two points very fast. Should hold on pullback now

26 Feb 2013 10:55 am
There was aggressive buying at the 1487.00-1486.25 zone, that was yesterdays closing range. We get 2 sided trading inside yesterday range

26 Feb 2013 10:56 am
Unless that area is broken, in which case the double bottom, or rising

26 Feb 2013 10:58 am
Or rising W pattern also broken. 92.50-93.25 should be the pivotal level on top, needs cleared/held or that pattern in danger of breaking

26 Feb 2013 11:04 am
bounce from down here possible, but they are not able to stick and should be sold into unless a move above 92.50-93.25

26 Feb 2013 11:07 am
If 87 area broken through 85.50-85 in the cards, possibly down to the 82-81 area if a sharp drop

26 Feb 2013 11:13 am
Was going to give the key intraday zones and less updates but market moving faster than it has been lately. 85.50-85 was held but need

26 Feb 2013 11:15 am
A move back above 88-89 and hold to take pressure off and avoid potentially going to 82-81 area next

26 Feb 2013 11:27 am
The bounce reached 88.50, right in the middle of 88-89 resistance/sell zone and made new low at 84.50. Thats 3 ticks under yesterday low

26 Feb 2013 11:29 am
And there it is a chance that will be a low for a while if 88-89 is pushed through and not turn right back down again. Pop-ups not sticking

26 Feb 2013 11:34 am
And short side on bounces that stay under 88-89, at least for now. 85 minor support now keys support, should hold 86.50 if turning strong

26 Feb 2013 11:46 am
82-81 area just missed so far but still in the cards, could give a bounce but shouldn't take out 85.50-86 - and hold

26 Feb 2013 12:08 pm
85.50 was taken out and then held on a dip in push back up to test 88-89 area. Needs to get above 88.50 for a potential breakout - 85.50 KEY

26 Feb 2013 12:20 pm
Not able to get through 88-89, and should be sold on a retest if it doesn't have much gusto, if going to bounce 85.50 area needs held

26 Feb 2013 12:31 pm
Bounce took out 89 x 2 ticks and turned it back, need a bounce from around 87.25 at the lowest to keep up trend going and not top in this

26 Feb 2013 12:33 pm
timeframe. 88 held so far and that could be pivotal level up here, 92-92.50 area next resistance

26 Feb 2013 12:44 pm
Small pullback from 92.50, must be over 91-90.50 to keep the uptrend intact.

26 Feb 2013 12:53 pm
The ES went down to 90.25 so beware of rejection of 92.50 area, 89.50 looks like more important if a deeper pullback from 92 area

26 Feb 2013 01:01 pm
92.50 gave a small pullback, 60 EMA on 5-minute chart there also. Can go for 95 or 97 as long as breakout holds 91.50 at lowest

26 Feb 2013 01:12 pm
There could be a bounce from 91 area but if not in 90 is broken then a bounce that follows will be sold and drop possibly sharp

26 Feb 2013 01:14 pm
90.25 bid it up but This will be sold on any kind of bounce, even if 94 is poked above. That should be sold into it reached

26 Feb 2013 01:21 pm
91-92 area is bounce resistance if there is one and should see pretty sharp drop the way this pattern looks

26 Feb 2013 01:27 pm
If the ES stalls/reverses around 91.50-92 and turns back down there could be a quick drop from there. 89-88 zone was resistance earlier pivotal support

26 Feb 2013 01:30 pm
Got a reversal from 91.50 and a break under 88 would start a move back towards 86-85 or lower. 92 key resistance

26 Feb 2013 01:31 pm
That should be sold into it tested one more time, then potentially sharp pullback if 88 not broken first

26 Feb 2013 01:35 pm
This pattern is bearish as long as 92.50 is not pushed above

26 Feb 2013 01:41 pm
92.50 reject it, that's key still. A pullback needs to slice through 91-90.50 and not turn right back up to start decent pullback.

26 Feb 2013 01:43 pm
92.50 pushed above, must hold. There has been decent buying on the pullbacks, has to continue creeping higher stay above 91.25

26 Feb 2013 01:48 pm
Making higher highs/higher lows and 91.75 area now support. 94.50-95 area resistance. They move under 91.50 should mean breaking down

26 Feb 2013 01:56 pm
94.50-95 zone was touched, a pullback should hold 92.50-92.00 area at lowest to continue higher and avoid late reversal.

26 Feb 2013 01:57 pm
Decent short up here under 94.75 area as that should not be exceeded/held and next move in two-sided day should be lower

26 Feb 2013 02:13 pm
92.50-92.00 held on pullback and bounced to 94.75 turn away, if 92.50-92 is broken we will have a high in place.

26 Feb 2013 02:15 pm
93.25 minor, a break needed to roll over. Not in danger unless that breaks and keeps door open to go for 97

26 Feb 2013 02:17 pm
94.75 was just rejected for a third time, with a tight stop, there is good potential reward versus risk on short

26 Feb 2013 02:24 pm
94.75 taken out on bounce. A gentle little pullback to 94.50-94 area and turn up it can give another bounce, choppy uptrend and test of 97-98 not impossible,

26 Feb 2013 02:33 pm
Turn up from 94.00 up to 96.25 sold into, and NQ having trouble at 2715 for quite a while, should be a high

26 Feb 2013 02:36 pm
Obviously not a top, this is still going to go for 98 area that appears, 97 reached and 97-98 looks important up here.

26 Feb 2013 02:39 pm
94.50-94.00 area is still key support for the ES but a ways down there to prove trend changing. 97-98 on the ES along with 2715 on the NQ

26 Feb 2013 02:40 pm
Need to be cleared/held to get any more upside momentum, as choppy bounce getting extended. Next pop sold

26 Feb 2013 02:43 pm
The ES has gone a bit too far now so even if a bounce from 94 it is not going to break/hold 97-98

26 Feb 2013 02:47 pm
They moved down to 92.25-91.75 area, that would be a spot where ES either accelerates lower or tries to give a bounce. Don't expect that

26 Feb 2013 03:01 pm
92.75 was reached and gave a bounce but should be trouble trying to stick, the ES will need to get above 95.50/hold and NQ over 2715

26 Feb 2013 03:08 pm
Bounds unable to stick, but no sharp pullback yet but could if 92.50 area not held, next update and 10 minutes

26 Feb 2013 03:17 pm
This could pop back since 92.50 area able to hold, but needs to stay over 94 on a bounce attempt

26 Feb 2013 03:19 pm
If 94 area not held them a chance that 92.50 broken and not turned right back up end of the day and maybe go for 89-88

26 Feb 2013 03:28 pm
This either needs to break 92.50 area for a breakdown, or push above 94.50 and hold to bring in late short covering.

26 Feb 2013 03:30 pm
That 92.50 area looks especially important late day, if that is broken then buyers likely back away until tomorrow.

26 Feb 2013 03:35 pm
Good sellers/resistance at 95-96 shouldn't be taken out the way this is looking, same with 92.50 area on downside. Breakout should not stick

26 Feb 2013 03:36 pm
Have a good rest of your day, I will send an update when finally freed up early afternoon tomorrow.

 

 

Monday-February 25, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

25 Feb 2013 09:22 am
Good morning. The market is in a good mood to start the week but should have difficulty at 23.75-24.50 area at least early on,

25 Feb 2013 09:27 am
20.50-19.75 was a resistance zone and would need to hold to keep this rally intact for a test of 23.75-24.50

25 Feb 2013 09:36 am
Sellers at 22.50-22 area, a bit vulnerable unless broken/held

25 Feb 2013 09:46 am
21 is pivotal resistance and pressure on unless exceeded/held, 2757 on NQ

25 Feb 2013 09:52 am
21 poke above, they hold over 20.50, can continue towards 22.25 and maybe a bit higher, 20.50 looks pivotal

25 Feb 2013 09:57 am
22.00 down to 20.50, and bounced, pop up should be sold into around 22.50 is going to break 20.50

25 Feb 2013 10:03 am
23.75-24.50 key. Should dip. Pullback should be small, only be 1.25-1.75 points and turn up to keep up trend going. Early high otherwise

25 Feb 2013 10:08 am
ES pullback 1.25 points from 24 to 22.75 before getting to 24.50 resistance and turning down. 22.50 must hold or high likely in

25 Feb 2013 10:11 am
1523.75-1524.50 should be a top and begin some decent pullback if they break under 22.50. If they hold, 24.50 retest should be sold into

25 Feb 2013 10:21 am
24.50 top at resistance and break of 22.50 was held. That's resistance on a bounce. 18 area support, must be quickly reversed up on test

25 Feb 2013 10:26 am
17.50 so far but no decent bounce, 21-21.50 Resistance if a bounce. 15-14.50 area key support on another push lower

25 Feb 2013 10:34 am
15.50 reached, thats 7 points under the 22.50 breakdown level. if short from above, cover at least part on retest. 19.50 small R

25 Feb 2013 10:40 am
If no bounce from 15-14.50, with gusto to take out 18.50, this continues down to 12 and maybe 1509-1508

25 Feb 2013 10:45 am
14.50 reversed. We have a gap day with a high 35 minutes into stock trading. Gap days often times trend days. 18.50 needs cleared

25 Feb 2013 10:48 am
to make this a trading range kind of day and not a trend day. But in any case, bounce should not stick

25 Feb 2013 10:54 am
Holding under 15 keeps pressure on to at tests 12-11.50 or down towards 1508.50 lower. If 15 exceeded things change for a bit

25 Feb 2013 10:58 am
Bounces have been about 3 points, if 12 holds then that would also add 1515 to resistance also. Still key on a bounce. 18 if broken,

25 Feb 2013 11:02 am
14.75 bounce high, needs to stay under and push through 12.00 to continue trend down action

25 Feb 2013 11:04 am
there will be fewer updates today. Not scalp action. I will point out what should be important spots for a turn, or break of trend

25 Feb 2013 11:15 am
The bulls defended 1512, sold into on pop and couldn't hold 15, 14 area turning good support on dip to get up trend towards 18

25 Feb 2013 11:28 am
Pullback from 17.00 was bid back up from the 14.00 new support. Bounces being sold, needs a move over 18 and not turn right back down

25 Feb 2013 11:32 am
The ES has gone from 1524.50 major area, made 35 minutes in, down to 12.00 initial support. This must stay over 14.50-14 or could have

25 Feb 2013 11:35 am
A breakdown of this uptrend/wedge pattern. It has been selling into strength, then dips small since coming off 12 support next pop sold

25 Feb 2013 11:36 am
They could bounce from 14 but not stick, should it least go for below and could be a rising wedge broken and give sharper break

25 Feb 2013 11:39 am
Double bottom, but could end up making its way down towards 1510 or a bit lower staying under 14.50-15. Bounces still shorts

25 Feb 2013 11:52 am
We got the sharp break of rising wedge one 14.50-14 broken and reached 1508 area. 1504 is probably in the cards. 1511-12 resistance

25 Feb 2013 11:55 am
A decent bounce should be sold and still is a trend down day given the bounce made bearish pattern, the support/target is 1504.50.If broken

25 Feb 2013 11:57 am
1504.50-1504 area doesn't hold this can keep pushing to 1500 or thereabouts. Bigger picture perfect top pattern

25 Feb 2013 12:06 pm
They are trying to hold just above that 1504.50, a decent bounce should stop around 1511 to keep symmetry intact

25 Feb 2013 12:11 pm
A cluster of resistance numbers from 1510.50-1512.00. should be rock solid resistance on a bounce. Some pressure off if its cleared

25 Feb 2013 12:12 pm
Next update in about 20 minutes

25 Feb 2013 12:42 pm
The ES spent plenty of time basing out at 1507.50 after bouncing from 1506. Important resistance 1510.50-1512 zone, a move under 1507.50

25 Feb 2013 12:43 pm
Could break this little up sloping channel and give another push to the downside

25 Feb 2013 12:50 pm
1508.75 is where buying started for this run up to 10.50-12.00 area. That should be pivotal, if pushed above then 15 area possible. 10.25 S

25 Feb 2013 12:57 pm
12.25 bounce high gave some rejection, 10.50-10 area needs held as support if there is going to be a push through 12, just happened, 12 key

25 Feb 2013 12:59 pm
Since 10.50 held on the bounce, keeping the little breakout intact, it needs to hold on pullback again. Must or 12 will be a high

25 Feb 2013 01:01 pm
1515 area would be pivotal if reached on the upside, lots of numbers at that area, and transitions, Friday high etc.

25 Feb 2013 01:04 pm
That rejection and double top just a tick above resistance should make getting above 1512 area And holding. Break is eminent

25 Feb 2013 01:16 pm
Not impressive bounce back to 1511.50, sold into and so should another bounce staying under 12 keeps pressure on back towards 1508/lower

25 Feb 2013 01:27 pm
08.50 pullback low so far, need a pop over 10.50/hold, 1 more move lower there was good buying at 07.50 after coming off the low, must hold

25 Feb 2013 01:31 pm
Bounces of 1.25-1.50 point being sold off of 12.50 bounce high, another should do the same. 1507.50 could get bounce due to earlier action

25 Feb 2013 01:34 pm
Bounces are countertrend and to be sold into. Those are bounces of 5-8 points on the ES. Still a chance of 1504.50.

25 Feb 2013 01:39 pm
Tests of the low bringing in short covering/people buying. A bounce should only be small, 2 pts or less, or 1504.50 still possible

25 Feb 2013 01:41 pm
And maybe lower as it's been a trend down day. A decent bounce should fail under 12.50 prior high

25 Feb 2013 01:45 pm
1504.50 easily reached. The chart pattern could be a "perfect" 123 top on the daily chart. Often seen at important highs. 1508 R

25 Feb 2013 01:51 pm
A tiny double bottom at 1504 support could give a bounce but should have resistance around 1507-1508 area. 1512 would be maximum.

25 Feb 2013 01:55 pm
Continued selling under 1506 keeps pressure on and if 1504 not able to hold they could see 1500 before bounce attempt. 1507-08 key R

25 Feb 2013 02:00 pm
I said earlier in the day I would only pop in at important areas, but more updates and expected. This is not looking good and 1500 should break

25 Feb 2013 02:01 pm
Before a bounce attempt. This is still a trend down day, and can continue down until last 30 minutes of stock trading.

25 Feb 2013 02:13 pm
A dip under 1500 down to 1499.50 was turned back up, still trend down for now. 1504 minor and 1506 area now key R on this bounce attempt

25 Feb 2013 02:19 pm
The ES dropped 25 points from 1524.50 down to 1499.50, just above 1499.00-1498.50 support some. Stopped at 1504, can avoid more downside

25 Feb 2013 02:28 pm
1504 was broken by just 2 ticks, not held, can make another push lower if 1502.50 is not bid right back up, and then get over 1504

25 Feb 2013 02:33 pm
1502.25 was bid back up, testing 1506 should be key area. That is about as far as bounces have gone, was also support and swing low

25 Feb 2013 02:46 pm
Pullback turned up from 1502 but these bounces continue to be sold into and would need a break/hold over 1505-1506 and stay up there

25 Feb 2013 02:47 pm
That doesn't appear to be likely today but could see an attempt to double bottom. Would need to turn right back up from 1499

25 Feb 2013 02:56 pm
A quick move up from 1501.00, that must hold end a day

25 Feb 2013 02:57 pm
Another pullback will be bought as we finally have somewhat bullish pattern intraday. 1502.50 should not be broken on pullback

25 Feb 2013 03:01 pm
Needs to bounce from the 1503-1502.50 area and push it above 1506 on the move up to avoid another pullback/test of low

25 Feb 2013 03:07 pm
ES broke 1502.50, no dust so yet on bounce attempt, If unable to get above 1505-1506, market remains vulnerable and short back to low.

25 Feb 2013 03:10 pm
Short covering or real buying coming in around 1502, need to push under that and not come right back up.

25 Feb 2013 03:17 pm
Just short covering or weak buyers getting out under 1505 eight double top 99-98.50 should be short covering but bounce sold under 1504

25 Feb 2013 03:24 pm
This would need to get back the low 1502 area just to get into neutral/resistance area. Still trend

25 Feb 2013 03:26 pm
This would be the time frame for a low to be made if a normal trend down day. But very bearish pattern, should stay trend down

25 Feb 2013 03:31 pm
A move through 1495-1494 would be even more bearish for the bigger picture top being in place, or topping pattern. Down to 92 if broken

25 Feb 2013 03:36 pm
94.25 low in what should be short term major area at 95-94 zone. Won't look good if broken end of the day. 98 resistance

25 Feb 2013 03:38 pm
Need a move above 1499 to stick end of the day. Parrish otherwise. Have a good rest of the day, I will catch you in the morning

25 Feb 2013 03:51 pm
There is what should be important support around 1487 on the ES. 87-86.50 area key area down here,

25 Feb 2013 03:54 pm
Trend day, bounces likely not to stick and 94 area now resistance. Take care

 

 

Thursday-February 21, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

21 Feb 2013 09:25 am
Good morning. First, I will be away for an hour today from around 12:15 PM - 1:15 PM. Now the market, sentiment still negative and stocks

21 Feb 2013 09:27 am
Are going to open lower than it appears, the ES about 4 points below fair value, 1500 area tested overnight must hold if tested

21 Feb 2013 09:28 am
More Econ data top of the hour could help be a market mover

21 Feb 2013 09:37 am
1502.50 S needs held or 1500.50. 1506.50 prior S will need to be broken/held on a dip to attempt bounce, that's first good resistance now

21 Feb 2013 09:42 am
A move above 1504 area with gusto, holding around 1503 on a dip, needed to get back to 1506-1506.50

21 Feb 2013 09:46 am
1504 not cleared, turning an important resistance early. Only break/hold over that level can even begin some sort of bounce. 1500.50-1500 next

21 Feb 2013 09:53 am
Need a move back above 1502.25 area to dent downside momentum

21 Feb 2013 09:55 am
A pop back above 1500 that doesn't turn right back down and give more short covering in front of Econ data top of hour

21 Feb 2013 09:59 am
99.25 seemed to have decent buyers but needs to be a bounce of more then just 2.50 points to change trend

21 Feb 2013 10:00 am
Need to get over 1501 had not turned right back down if there's going to be a bounce attempt

21 Feb 2013 10:06 am
1499.50-1500.50 was/is pivotal. Must be cleared/held on a dip

21 Feb 2013 10:10 am
1500.75 touched and turned down, must bounce off of 1499 or retest low

21 Feb 2013 10:13 am
Bounce off 1499.25 reached 1501.25, not held. If another pop up should be sold into again

21 Feb 2013 10:21 am
There has been selling on pops up to 1501, but so far holding 99 on dip, 1504 possible to 1501 holds

21 Feb 2013 10:25 am
Holding 1500.75 so far and needs to hold that and get going on upside above 1502 soon, or can break down again

21 Feb 2013 10:26 am
1503.50-1504.25 first resistance on this run-up. 1501.50 area support on dip needs held

21 Feb 2013 10:32 am
1504 reached and sold, that is a bigger resistance a pullback shouldn't take out 1502.25 if going to break 1504 and try 1506

21 Feb 2013 10:42 am
The bigger resistance stopped the bounce, there will need to be a good bounce from around 1501.75-1501.25, and broken uptrend breaks

21 Feb 2013 10:45 am
1501.75 pullback low, 1504.50 area important to get above. Then 1506.50 could get test to fill gap

21 Feb 2013 10:50 am
Sold for a second time, 1504.50 still a key area, then 1506.50 if they finally take that out. Most hold 1502 area or breaking down

21 Feb 2013 10:54 am
Can sell against that 1503.50-1504.25 resistance, could head back towards 1500 or lower if no quick run up from 1501.50 or that breaks

21 Feb 2013 11:03 am
1501.50 has been pulled back low on both pullbacks from 1504 area. That area along with around 2720 on NQ need held or can turn over

21 Feb 2013 11:11 am
1501.25 was turned up, 2719.50 on the NQ, turning into important support but ES should must take out 1504 and hold or still vulnerable

21 Feb 2013 11:14 am
When the market was acting bullish on the way up, the sideways moves led to breaks on the upside and sprint higher. Opposite again today

21 Feb 2013 11:26 am
1501.50 needs to be cleared again, and not come right back down, just to get back into the prior range up to 1504.

21 Feb 2013 11:29 am
If this holds under 1501.50 and breaks 1500 it should be on its way to test low area and maybe lower if the Dow breaks also

21 Feb 2013 11:34 am
Losing momentum but Still pressure under 1500.50 area as this should press down a bit further to 98-97 and potentially double bottom

21 Feb 2013 11:37 am
Lost momentum and bouncing to 1500.50, 1501.50-1502 should be sold into, or could have a low in for a bit. Next update in about 10 minutes

21 Feb 2013 11:55 am
Bounce to 1502 and pull back held 1500.75 before turning back up, taking out 1502, 1501.50 area needs held on dip if going to 1504

21 Feb 2013 11:57 am
That was a bit telling coming back down so easily, look for another pop up to do the same. 1501-1500 broken this can break down again

21 Feb 2013 12:01 pm
Just a heads up that I will be leaving around 12:15 and be away for about an hour. 20 EMA on 5 minute chart dynamic resistance, 02.50

21 Feb 2013 12:02 pm
Needs to be pushed above, then have 1502.50-1502 turned into support on a dip, otherwise a failure that top side of sideways range

21 Feb 2013 12:07 pm
Should be under pressure as long as 1501-1501.50 is held under and the NQ continues lower leading the way

21 Feb 2013 12:12 pm
Could be a bounce from here, but they have been feeble moves without conviction and will be sold into as soon as upside stalls or rejection

21 Feb 2013 12:19 pm
1500.50 was sold, and a bit of "get me out" with the spike down and only tiny bounce. Watch for 96 and maybe 94 zone. Back later

21 Feb 2013 01:12 pm
The ES made a double bottom but this bounce ran out of steam at a lower high, 1502.50 needs cleared/held to try getting decent rally going.

21 Feb 2013 01:13 pm
98.50-98 pullback support shouldn't go further or can head back to the low again

21 Feb 2013 01:25 pm
Staying under 99 area It keeps pressure on for drop to test/break 97, the 94 area could be tested if a breakdown

21 Feb 2013 01:33 pm
Bounce being under 99.50, so can still make a push for lower unless broken/held to take some pressure off

21 Feb 2013 01:43 pm
Bounced to 99.75 quickly sold, I still think 1494 is seen before decent bounce can occur. Not a good enough move from 97 double bottom

21 Feb 2013 01:44 pm
Stay with selling bounces 1499.50 area, that must be exceeded and then 22.50 also to dent down side momentum

21 Feb 2013 01:53 pm
Back to 97.25, a bounce should stay under 98.50 to keep this headed towards 94 area

21 Feb 2013 01:56 pm
Another snap back towards 98.50 possible, but just urge caution on the long side for now, lethargic action not good

21 Feb 2013 02:06 pm
Now that the low has been punched through, could see tiny bounce but should be working towards 1494 area before chance of a decent bounce

21 Feb 2013 02:11 pm
Pressure on still under 96-96.50, if in some shorts may consider at least partial exit if 94 is touched

21 Feb 2013 02:16 pm
95.25 pretty close to 94.00-92.50 zone, there will need to be a reversal and bounce with gusto. till time to get to that area if 97.25-97.75

21 Feb 2013 02:17 pm
It is not pushed above then hold on a dip. Should be good resistance near there if reached

21 Feb 2013 02:30 pm
The ES reached 95, and kind of based out there. That's just above the 94-92.50 key zone for today. The downside could be limited from here

21 Feb 2013 02:32 pm
If they pull back to the 96.50-96 area and stall out more quickly turned back up, should set up trade on the long side. Careful not overstay

21 Feb 2013 02:34 pm
98.50 area is bounce resistance, if that is taken out than a pullback should hold

21 Feb 2013 02:38 pm
FYI, my 1 hour appointment was put off until tomorrow so I will need to remind you then. If pullback holds 97.50-97, should get another push

21 Feb 2013 02:44 pm
Needs to stay over 97 and get a push above 99 soon, otherwise could retest the low area again

21 Feb 2013 02:46 pm
1502.50 is a target on push through 99, should get momentum if not topping out here

21 Feb 2013 02:47 pm
If long from 97.50-97 zone (they reached 97.25) tightens up to 97 at worst, that should not be broken if our low is in

21 Feb 2013 02:51 pm
Stall out again just under 99 and back down to the 97.50-97.00 support, which is broken should lead to more and more push lower

21 Feb 2013 02:58 pm
Should see 1502.50 if this can push through 1500.50 prior support area, 98.50 area support on a dip

21 Feb 2013 03:09 pm
98.50 held on dip and push though 1502.50, careful on the short side, would need to break 98.50 to get back in trouble. 1500.50 should hold

21 Feb 2013 03:10 pm
To keep up trend intact and avoid a late day pullback.
.
21 Feb 2013 03:13 pm
1504 area next, could give pullback but getting good upside momentum,1501.50.-1500.50 need to hold to get another push higher,avoid late drop

21 Feb 2013 03:20 pm
So far 1501.50 pullback low, if that is broken then 1500.25 area a key support and a day. 98.50 could be major end of the day

21 Feb 2013 03:26 pm
1501.50 acting as good support, uptrend intact unless broken, 1504 resistance rejected once, a push through 1504 could give 1506.50

21 Feb 2013 03:27 pm
a tests before end of day. Just pushed through so should hold 1503.50 area to get there

21 Feb 2013 03:30 pm
If that 1506.50 is reached and the market does not back away as it should, then a pretty good reversal day.

21 Feb 2013 03:33 pm
Looks like a hold over 1502.50 needed end of the day to keep the market in a good uptrend. 1506.50 key support above. 1500.50 if breakdown

21 Feb 2013 03:36 pm
1504.5 area was early resistance in late day resistance also, needs cleared or no 1506.50 but 1500.50 instead. Careful long on less lower

21 Feb 2013 03:37 pm
Prices turn up, like from 1500.50 area. Have a good rest of your day and I will see you tomorrow some time around the open

 

 

Wednesday-February 20, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

20 Feb 2013 09:29 am
Good morning. A bounce off of 26 just before Econ data stopped at 29 Resistance, that 26 area should be pivotal and bounce to keep the rally going

20 Feb 2013 09:30 am
I wouldn't be in a hurry to be a buyer

20 Feb 2013 09:38 am
Bounce just under 28.50-29 area, should be important Resistance early, vulnerable if 26 broken/held

20 Feb 2013 09:45 am
needs a strong bounce off of 25 and take out 28.50-29 to keep rally going, avoid 22.50 or lower,

20 Feb 2013 09:51 am
ES traded from just under resistance 28.50-29 to the 26-25 support, must stay over 26 area now to avoid trouble

20 Feb 2013 09:55 am
Market is still vulnerable unless 28.50 taken out/held but could bounce from lower levels. 22.50 to 25 not defended

20 Feb 2013 10:08 am
25 was broken by one tick and a feeble bounce back to 26.25 so far, and must get above 26.50 then hold 26 or going lower

20 Feb 2013 10:11 am
the NQ leader so far this morning, everything is weak except Dow cash

20 Feb 2013 10:13 am
If 26.50 is taken out, then a dip will need to hold around 26 and head back up if there's going to be uptrend develop

20 Feb 2013 10:21 am
26.25 held on dip for bounce 27.50, 28.50 resistance, 26.50 support needs held or could roll over

20 Feb 2013 10:24 am
Stall out at 27.50 and break of 26.50-26 can keep this two-sided trading action

20 Feb 2013 10:33 am
Market doesn't like it up around 27.50 and do for some selling, but likely bought at lower levels, another pop up sold , 26 pivotal

20 Feb 2013 10:39 am
Drop to 25.25 bid back up to 27.00 and sold. We should expect for this back and forth to continue for a while.

20 Feb 2013 10:41 am
If 27-27.50 NOT rejected,a pop to 29 area possible.Would probably come right back to 27 area though.If 25-24.50 tested instant turn up needed

20 Feb 2013 10:46 am
As long as ES stays under 26.50 it should attempt to test 24.50 at least before another bounce attempt

20 Feb 2013 10:52 am
24.25 was reached, they found swill need to take out 25.50-26 and stick, not reject that area, to attempt 27 area again. 22-21 next S

20 Feb 2013 10:59 am
The drop took out 24.50 but didn't stick. A bounce staying under 25.50 keeps pressure on with 22-21 next support

20 Feb 2013 11:01 am
Small support at 23.25 area, but stays in downtrend under 25

20 Feb 2013 11:07 am
22.50-21.50 support zone reached but not much of a bounce,24.50-25.00 area should not be broken through. 18.50 area can be seen if no bounce

20 Feb 2013 11:16 am
21.50 must hold and push it above 23 trend resistance, or grinding to 20 area

20 Feb 2013 11:22 am
the ES and the NQ want from pivotal early resistance down to strong support, the 23 level broken and should hold to stay in uptrend

20 Feb 2013 11:26 am
24-24.50 is last trapped resistance, 23 has been holding but likely broken unless that area taken out soon

20 Feb 2013 11:36 am
All balances have been sold into, the NQ leaving this lower as it takes out support, another bounce stopping under 24 a short,

20 Feb 2013 11:37 am
This can continue down towards 18.50 area, suggests keeping an eye on the NQ when it's drop stops decent pop-up

20 Feb 2013 11:48 am
pretty good bounce after dipping just under 1520 and turning right back up.Should pull back from 22, if not then could challenge 24.

20 Feb 2013 11:54 am
Unable to get over 22 so far, the low earlier at support now resistance, could still see 18.50 put less likely, a higher low possible

20 Feb 2013 11:59 am
A dip down to test 20.50 able to hold so far, that could be a key area to hold it going to attempt pushing higher, else 18.50

20 Feb 2013 12:03 pm
Bounce attempt off of 20.75, but still unable to get above 22 and market stays vulnerable unless that's exceeded/held

20 Feb 2013 12:06 pm
Needs a push to 22-22.50 and then hold 21.50 on dip to get upside going. Next update in about 20 minutes or if

20 Feb 2013 12:24 pm
NOTE: Pullback held at 21.25 and turned up, this needs to stay over 22 at worst, the resistance at 24-24.50 should be hard to get through

20 Feb 2013 12:45 pm
Well I said pullback should hold 22 "at worst" so would have been stopped out if long. The ES has resistance 24-24.50 can still be tested

20 Feb 2013 12:47 pm
But should be hard to push above and hold. That would be transition area from the early down up down pattern breaking from there

20 Feb 2013 12:54 pm
Must bounce from 21.50 or go back to test the low or lower. Expect next pop-up to be sold into, setting up a better odds (for now) short

20 Feb 2013 01:06 pm
So a battle between 21.60 and 23.50 and staying under 23.50 on last bounce getting shorting opportunity, a breakup 21.50 needed for

20 Feb 2013 01:08 pm
A breakdown attempt, or at least they push down to 20.50 and then turn right back up.

20 Feb 2013 01:12 pm
Now 20.50 must give a bounce but it will fail if week or snap back if backed over 21.8 able to hold

20 Feb 2013 01:21 pm
Pop over 21.50 and held that on a dip and pop to 22.50, another push higher will be sold into if they stall around 23.50-24.50 zone

20 Feb 2013 01:30 pm
The move ran out of gas at 23, this is just a bit under 60 EMA and rejected 2 times. 21.50 needs to hold to have another bounce attempt,

20 Feb 2013 01:32 pm
That would have a chance to stick. Right now it doesn't look like we get much upside, that Danforth between 23 and 20

20 Feb 2013 01:39 pm
The pressure should be on to test 20 or maybe down to 18.50 area if this holds under 21.50. If 21.50 exceeded/held pressure off

20 Feb 2013 01:44 pm
20.75 looking to be key support as it was held above after turning up from the low, and tested two times since and held

20 Feb 2013 01:46 pm
So that is important to stay above, top of the range is 22.50-23.50. Need a push above that and stick or this continues back and forth

20 Feb 2013 01:47 pm
Fed minutes and about 15 minutes, so beware of right/hold of those trading range,

20 Feb 2013 02:02 pm
Bounce resistance at 20.50, needs to be cleared/held. 18.50 key support and 15 area if broken

20 Feb 2013 02:04 pm
Could get a bounce from 18.50 area on short covering the resistance 20.50-21 key on bounce attempt

20 Feb 2013 02:08 pm
Market wants to be bought again at lower levels but should hold 21.50 if going to try for 23-24 resistance area

20 Feb 2013 02:14 pm
The run up from 18.50 support stopped at 23.25 and should see selling if that area is reached again. Another test of 18.15 should hold

20 Feb 2013 02:18 pm
20 should be key level in meets held or 18.50 would be tested/broken, should hold but eager sellers just above 23-24 zone

20 Feb 2013 02:26 pm
Test the low at 19.25 needs to bounce with a gusto or new lows ahead, 22 minor resistance and 23.50-24 resistance

20 Feb 2013 02:31 pm
double bottom possible, but bounce shouldn't stick, personally have been waiting on bounces to stall to get on short side. 22 for small R

20 Feb 2013 02:38 pm
The bounce stopped at 21.25, and back to the low area for a third time and now 21.50-22 area likely key on top

20 Feb 2013 02:42 pm
The NQ has gone with the ES and it has a high at resistance and low at the same minor support area as the ES, if both broken and not

20 Feb 2013 02:43 pm
Quickly reverse than market can press lower towards 15.50-15 area but likely hold that area

20 Feb 2013 02:47 pm
They can bounce but likely not going to stick if they do. Would need to get over 21.50 area and not pull back. Could be choppy trend down

20 Feb 2013 02:47 pm
To the 1515 area

20 Feb 2013 02:48 pm
In any case another bounce that stalls out should be sold as this should work lower

20 Feb 2013 02:51 pm
1515.00 should hold and he gives some sort of bounce possibly back towards 19.50 or this can drift lower still

20 Feb 2013 03:02 pm
1515 taken out easily, 15.50 is resistance that needs clear/held in the last hour to avoid mini meltdown towards 12 or even 1508

20 Feb 2013 03:05 pm
12 area reached, Could be a bounce but dangerous under 1515 area. Bounce won't stick

20 Feb 2013 03:06 pm
That trend down resistance currently at 14-14.50 and dropping with prices

20 Feb 2013 03:21 pm
Could rally/bounce but this stays vulnerable unless 14.25-15.00 pivotal area cleared/held

20 Feb 2013 03:25 pm
That 1515 area should be important in the last 30 minutes. The market stays in a strong downtrend unless cleared/held

20 Feb 2013 03:26 pm
And this could grind lower until the last five minutes of trading if it does like yesterday but just opposite direction

20 Feb 2013 03:30 pm
1508.50-1508 is the next area, if another push down takes out 1510.50 low. That was a breakout area early last week

20 Feb 2013 03:32 pm
VIX up 17%. Have a good rest of your day, I will see you in the morning there is a bunch of Econ data tomorrow
 

 

 

Tuesday-February 19, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

19 Feb 2013 09:29 am
Good morning. The ES was down to 1515 at the last swing low, if retested their should be buying command or market changing

19 Feb 2013 09:33 am
Should be sold into, but no decent breakdown unless 18.50 area not held

19 Feb 2013 09:39 am
Resistance sold, NQ easier trade so far. ES needs to break 20 cannot turn right back up, 2768 area On NQ

19 Feb 2013 09:48 am
Decent bounce from 20.00 to resistance and should punch through. Needs to stay above 20, NQ over its low, to avoid breaking up trend.

19 Feb 2013 09:52 am
26-27 areas should be sold into is reached. 23.25-22.50 area needs to give good bounce to keep upside going strong

19 Feb 2013 10:00 am
Tiny double top, 23.25 22.50 still a key area to bounce from otherwise failing

19 Feb 2013 10:05 am
Failed to clear 25 on three pushes higher, if 23.25 broken and a high could be in to at least test 22-21.50.

19 Feb 2013 10:09 am
23.25 gave tiny bounce but pressure on under 24.50 at the moment down to the 22 breakout area or just above

19 Feb 2013 10:19 am
Pullback held at 22.50, 2 ticks above 22 breakout level. Now this bounce must take out 24 and hold, if it can not than 22-21.50 could be tested

19 Feb 2013 10:29 am
A push through 24.75 can get them to 26-27, if a pop up stalls that could give a quick reversal of about 2 ES points, or start something bigger

19 Feb 2013 10:31 am
If it is not pushed through, 23.75 needs a bounce or chances are they high is in for a bat

19 Feb 2013 10:34 am
23.75 gave a bounce up to 24.50 and sold up there again. Double top, more proof if 23.75 broken.

19 Feb 2013 10:37 am
It's a short under the double top, but support at 22.50-22 area and that needs to be broken/held to put pressure on for a bit

19 Feb 2013 10:42 am
In a 2 point range and need a break/hold over 24.75 or under 22.50 to get directional move of some sort

19 Feb 2013 10:50 am
Token higher high was sold, obviously sellers above, so far buyers on the decent pullbacks but this one must stay above 23 are breaking down

19 Feb 2013 10:52 am
And instead of dips being bought things change around and bounces become easier shorts as they get sold into

19 Feb 2013 10:54 am
Must bounce from 22.75 with gusto, but not going to happen. If they bounce, a move should stick over 24.25

19 Feb 2013 11:10 am
Just a small bounce back to 23.50 sold into, if goes to 22-21.50 on this move that should be pivotal. If no reversal, could head towards 20 again

19 Feb 2013 11:13 am
A move above 23.75-24 area needed and then hold around 23.50 at lowest if there's going to be bounce attempt, still vulnerable otherwise.

19 Feb 2013 11:23 am
23.50 area needs held on a pullback to keep up trend intact, should see another failure around 25 but if not

19 Feb 2013 11:26 am
Should not go to 23.50 from up here or tiny uptrend breaks and new high of around 26-27 would not be in the cards

19 Feb 2013 11:30 am
This will stay strong as long as 24 is held, just be on alert for potential turn from 26-27 area if reached

19 Feb 2013 11:32 am
24.50-24.00 area needs to be bid right back up if they are going to see 26-27, and not reverse

19 Feb 2013 11:38 am
24.50 was bid back up to test the top but back the way. The market gets sold at a new high that stalls or rejected, bid back up lower levels

19 Feb 2013 11:40 am
So staying above 24.50-24 area needed if going to get bid up one more time. A break of that area would put pressure on to sell a bounce

19 Feb 2013 12:00 pm
A bounce from 24.00 support tagged 26-27 zone and backing away, 25 area Should hold if going to try for a bit higher before pulling back

19 Feb 2013 12:06 pm
26 sold and if no bounce again from 24-24.50, a deeper pullback occurs with bounces being sold into. 22.50 area key support

19 Feb 2013 12:09 pm
The NQ is also turned away from resistance after barely holding over after the first push up on that contract, 2768 area key there

19 Feb 2013 12:17 pm
So far 24 is holding, its also 2nd test of 20 EMA, 24 should be pivotal, like 22.50 double bottom

19 Feb 2013 12:29 pm
A bit of a lull after pulling back from 26 bottom of resistance zone to test 24 new support. A downturn from here could give decent pullback

19 Feb 2013 12:33 pm
As long as ES stays under 25 area and NQ under 2774.50 some selling pressure should be on, but when downside stalls buyers should appear

19 Feb 2013 12:34 pm
Next update in around 20 minutes

19 Feb 2013 01:05 pm
The ES stayed above 24 and pushed above 25 and is holding at the moment, and unless broken there can be another push into 26-27 then a dip

19 Feb 2013 01:14 pm
Buyers continue to back away up here, but pullback should be small and then attempt breaking double top unless thanks changing

19 Feb 2013 01:16 pm
I might need to be away for a bit on a phone call sometime over the next 30 minutes, will try keeping it a short one. Just FYI

19 Feb 2013 01:38 pm
1526 was tagged and backed off again, the token higher highs on the moves up making good scalps at least. Another test should be sold

19 Feb 2013 01:40 pm
On the other side of the coin, pullbacks have been finding buyers and should hold around 25-24.75 early high area or is top-heavy

19 Feb 2013 01:58 pm
Beginning to break down with the NQ leading and it should find support around 2768 for it to avoid some trouble

19 Feb 2013 02:05 pm
test of 26.50-27 to be sold and come back down to 26.00-25.50 then try another bounce attempt to keep grinding higher

19 Feb 2013 02:07 pm
We do have a trend day in gear, stays intact as long as 25 can hold. 24 area would be worst case to keep upside from reversing

19 Feb 2013 02:10 pm
A pop above 27 sold into initially, if 26.50 area is held above on this move it could note which a bit higher to 28 area, but not stick

19 Feb 2013 02:20 pm
pullbacks on the ES have been about 1 point on the consolidations and 1.75-2.25 pts on the pullbacks that have been holding new support, makes

19 Feb 2013 02:23 pm
The 25 level, where the ES based out going into 2 PM, should not be broken. Market stays strong holding 26.50, 25.25 at very lowest

19 Feb 2013 02:25 pm
Just say one point dip and should see a token higher high, not accelerate through that though

19 Feb 2013 02:42 pm
28 was poked above but not follow through especially if 27.75-27.50 is broken, if so then 26 area which was prior highs keys support

19 Feb 2013 02:45 pm
There was pretty good selling in the Dow as it tested high from before noon, this could come down towards 26.75-26.00 if just dip, not top

19 Feb 2013 02:50 pm
The ES has been trend up and so far 1.25 point pullback, to stay in the strong uptrend 27 needs held. If not then 26 area key, high could be in

19 Feb 2013 03:00 pm
The ES held above 26 so far getting to 26.50, shouldn't go much lower if the dynamics are going to stay bullish.

19 Feb 2013 03:02 pm
28 needs to be watched for potential double top if ES can stay over 26, push it above 27.25

19 Feb 2013 03:10 pm
57.25 cleared barely, could be double top but market doesn't begin to get top-heavy unless 26 broken, or there is one more pop up, reverse

19 Feb 2013 03:25 pm
lowe of the day made in the first 5 minutes and trend up day, could make the high in the final 5 minutes of stock trading unless 26 broken

19 Feb 2013 03:26 pm
Feel like buyers getting antsy being alone up here, would expect some pullback before trying to charge higher

19 Feb 2013 03:33 pm
The small double bottom at 26.50 along with 2.25 point pullback equaling 26, that zone must hold end of day or things changing and bounce will fail

19 Feb 2013 03:36 pm
So far 26.00 pullback low, 25 and then 24 where the prior low areas on the way up and would need to act as support especially 26 to avoid

19 Feb 2013 03:38 pm
Breaking down and getting a lae day selloff. 57.75-57.25 is bounced resistance that needs clear/held

19 Feb 2013 03:39 pm
It will need to come from around 26 and not much lower at all. Otherwise any bounce should be sold into

19 Feb 2013 03:40 pm
Have a good rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow morning shortly after the open

19 Feb 2013 03:55 pm
Made it back to test the high, if 27.50-27 can hold a late pullback they could punch up through 28 for end of day squeeze towards 32 area next.
 

 

 

Friday-February 15, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

15 Feb 2013 09:28 am
Good morning. This is the last day before holiday weekend, so after consumer sentiment it should be up all day

15 Feb 2013 09:30 am
Not "up all by" but dull day

15 Feb 2013 09:33 am
Not able to hold over 20 yet another move over needs to hold, not turn right back down again

15 Feb 2013 09:46 am
20.50-21 needs cleared/held to avoid a top up here. number at 9:55 AM. 18-17.50 sheet on bottom, pivotal on Globex

15 Feb 2013 09:47 am
Right now double top at yesterdays high in this morning on Globex just before stocks opening

15 Feb 2013 09:54 am
Number in two minutes, has not been able to hold 20, needs to get over and stay. 18-17.50 the pivotal support on drop

15 Feb 2013 09:57 am
Number a good, pop can continue but buyers should back off and wait for a pullback so wouldn't chase

15 Feb 2013 10:02 am
Buying came in on dip to 19.50, bounced to 21.50 so far, just under resistance, pullback needs to bounce from 20 area

15 Feb 2013 10:07 am
To keep grinding higher and avoid potential reversal 21-20.50 area needs held on a dip.

15 Feb 2013 10:08 am
Stalled at 21.75 for 3 minutes after a steady run-up, 20.50 is pivotal. If broken than a bounce after should fail

15 Feb 2013 10:11 am
20.50 was tagged and turn right back up. Need to get above 21.50 and stick, not back away, or could get toppy

15 Feb 2013 10:12 am
Look for the pop-ups to be sold into, and if 20.50 broken odds batter that a high maybe in for the morning

15 Feb 2013 10:16 am
Shouldn't have come down here a second time, needs a break/hold over 21.50 to avoid top and move down to at least 19.50

15 Feb 2013 10:20 am
Area on first push down. 20 reached so far. If another bounce towards 21-21.50, coincides with 14,000 on Dow cash again, likely sold again

15 Feb 2013 10:23 am
19.50 was reached, that needs to hold to get another bounce attempt towards 21-21.50, a short still

15 Feb 2013 10:30 am
19.50 target/support still holding, bounce stopping just under 21 resistance. That needs pushed above/held or downside gets going

15 Feb 2013 10:31 am
Should go down to test 18-17.50 area which should be key from action earlier on Globex

15 Feb 2013 10:32 am
If no sign of a bounce at that support them down to 15.50

15 Feb 2013 10:35 am
19.50-20.50 zone should be sold into if reached for market to stay weak and go for 18 or lower

15 Feb 2013 10:51 am
ES just missed 18.00-17.50 zone, pop up to 20.25 sold, but looks like 19 needs to break under again to put pressure on

15 Feb 2013 11:00 am
19.25 was held for about 7 minutes and trying to push higher, a pullback can come from around 21.75 high, 22-22.50 resistance zone

15 Feb 2013 11:01 am
That area should be sold into, but needs to bounce from 20 or that 21 can be a bounce high

15 Feb 2013 11:13 am
Holding over 20 keeping the market from breaking, not much upside before selling comes in again

15 Feb 2013 11:20 am
3.50 point range for the ES so far this morning, 8.50 on the NQ. Ridiculous, should widen out and if 21 not exceeded it vulnerable

15 Feb 2013 11:30 am
Another bounce should be sold, the Dow kind of leading the ES this morning, at least has a cleaner pattern

15 Feb 2013 11:31 am
Just a heads-up, I will be away today from around 12:15 PM until around 1:15 PM.

15 Feb 2013 11:35 am
Almost everything pointing to an imminent top, if one not in already. I may make a list in the update going out on Monday if holds together

15 Feb 2013 11:42 am
Staying under 18.50 keeps the pressure on and the trend down as this finally breaking lower and 15.50-14.50 the major area to end the week

15 Feb 2013 12:08 pm
18.50 was sold on a bounce and pressure stays on as long as that's not taken out, 15.50-14.50 insight

15 Feb 2013 12:17 pm
15.50 reached, they break/hold under the 15.50-14.50 area could finally give a bit of panic selling. 1.50-2.00 point bounce is resistance

15 Feb 2013 12:21 pm
Still just a 6.50 point range, if this is able to bounce back to 17 and stall/rejected, another push down should break 15

15 Feb 2013 12:29 pm
tiny double bottom at 15.25 support area, not a lot of gusto but being defended. Watch 17 for resistance.If cleared 18-18.50 important again

15 Feb 2013 12:30 pm
I will be back around 1:15 PM. If able to update I will do so but cannot promise.

15 Feb 2013 01:15 pm
There was a small double bottom made at 15.25 before turning back up. This 18 area on ES 2768 on NQ look key, pullback should hold if exceeded

15 Feb 2013 01:17 pm
It looks like a hold over 17 keeps this and rally mode, they break out that would turn it down. 17.75 small support should hold to go higher

15 Feb 2013 01:19 pm
The selling should come in on a move back towards 20-21 area, but that will take a bit of work to get there, just under resistance

15 Feb 2013 01:22 pm
That is probably it for the bounce, another little bounce up is a short but especially the NQ

15 Feb 2013 01:27 pm
17 was pullback low before the push up to 18.50, a break and hold under that needed to break down towards 15 again. 17.75 bounce resistance

15 Feb 2013 01:34 pm
There was just a small reaction after touching 17.75 the first time, pop right back up from 17.75. 17 now key support on pullback.

15 Feb 2013 01:36 pm
18 area should hold on a dip from 18.75 to continue higher, otherwise chopping and range above 17

15 Feb 2013 01:55 pm
18 held and a push up to 19.25 so far, now 18 needs to hold or a deeper pullback. Otherwise 20-21 possible

15 Feb 2013 02:02 pm
19.25 is the bottom of the opening range, was also where some selling came in after turned down from 21. Needs exceeded/held

15 Feb 2013 02:06 pm
17 needs to get a bounce, 19.25 obviously some important resistance if they get there again. 17 breaks, 15.50 possible after some bounce attempt

15 Feb 2013 02:08 pm
Don't pick a bottom here, not crazy about long side but needs to stall or turn up before even considering long side

15 Feb 2013 02:18 pm
If no bounce from 15, then down to the 12.50 area or not but lower. 16 needs cleared/held on pullback

15 Feb 2013 02:27 pm
1512 area should give a bounce attempt unless the market is going to really hit the skids end of day and though for 1508. 1515 key above

15 Feb 2013 02:31 pm
12-11.50 held so far, ES needs to get back above 1515 and hold that level on a dip to attempt getting out of trouble. 13.50 small R

15 Feb 2013 02:40 pm
ES bounced back to 14.25, just under a prior bounce high, the ES is holding 12-11.50 support and can be the fourth double bottom/top if 15

15 Feb 2013 02:42 pm
Is pushed above, and then turns back up after just a small dip.

15 Feb 2013 02:49 pm
Double bottom attempt, but Pressure stays on under 1512.75-1513.25 area potentially down to test 1508.50-1508

15 Feb 2013 02:51 pm
If 11.25 holds, we will have second double bottom meet, also had two double tops made today. Needs to push above 1514.50-1515.50

15 Feb 2013 02:54 pm
If its going to dig itself out of this hole and avoid bearish chart pattern. Reversal on the VIX also red flag

15 Feb 2013 03:03 pm
Market catching a bid at 3 PM, ES needs to keep on pushing through 14.50-15.50 area. That would get it above 14.25 prior high and could

15 Feb 2013 03:05 pm
also creates some short covering. 11.50-11.25 double bottom they must hold area end of day

15 Feb 2013 03:07 pm
Staying under 14.25 still, this needs to turn up from around 12.25 or higher and go through 14.25 with some gusto, or will be sold again

15 Feb 2013 03:17 pm
Attempting to break out on the upside, they move over 14.25 needs to keep going, not be reversed again

15 Feb 2013 03:21 pm
1515 area showing up all over the charts as a pivotal area, from weekly chart to 5 minute chart. Better odds of a top if that's not cleared

15 Feb 2013 03:22 pm
Just pushed to 14.25, so should be making an attempt to get back above 15. 13.50 should hold to stay strong and have a chance

15 Feb 2013 03:27 pm
1515 reached as if it was a magnet pulling the prices up there, if 13.50 holds, could get another push higher, if not then 15 just turns

15 Feb 2013 03:28 pm
into a resistance area on Monday/Tuesday. Have a nice 3 day weekend. Catch you Tuesday morning

 

 

Thursday-February 14, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

14 Feb 2013 09:30 am
Selling rallies better odds, but this should be bought from a bit lower for a snapback might want to pass

14 Feb 2013 09:37 am
12.50 should hold on a dip to get a move up to 14.50-15.50

14 Feb 2013 09:40 am
14.50 just missed so far, 13-12.50 needs to hold on a dip to avoid potential bounce high in place

14 Feb 2013 09:44 am
1450 sold, but 13.00-12.50 will need to hold and get a good bounce are rolling over

14 Feb 2013 09:52 am
A bounce from from 13 support up to 15 so far, 16.50 next resistance and could be reversal

14 Feb 2013 09:55 am
Stalled out and should come down to 14.50 or a bit lower, would need to snap back or follow NQ on down

14 Feb 2013 09:59 am
That should be it on the upside for a bit, if not and there is another push higher it will be sold. A break/hold under 13 pressure on

14 Feb 2013 10:04 am
Better bounce than expected, but token higher high sold. Stair stepping higher so 13.50-13.00 key to holding this up

14 Feb 2013 10:14 am
Good selling 3 times at 15.50-16.00 area, that needs pushed through and about two minutes or will break 13.50-13

14 Feb 2013 10:18 am
ES made it back to the 15.50-16.00 area in 2 minutes but didn't break yet, good bid at 14.25 in that area key on dip

14 Feb 2013 10:24 am
That might be it if no bounce from 14.50, if there is and they go over 1516.50, they move down through 1516 likely brings more selling

14 Feb 2013 10:28 am
Bounce from 14.75 while the NQ got a bit of a pop higher. Higher highs and higher lows stair stepping up, 14.50 support

14 Feb 2013 10:37 am
The NQ could be a triple top, ES in a good uptrend, but begins to break if pullback is more than 1.50-2.00 pts

14 Feb 2013 10:40 am
15.50-15 area would be pivotal support on a pullback. 18.50. In the cards unless broken. Next update in about 15 minutes

14 Feb 2013 10:54 am
17.50 needs to hold up here or go to test 16.50 before bouncing back.

14 Feb 2013 10:59 am
If they continue down and test 17-16.50, would need to get turned right back up if going back to the high or higher

14 Feb 2013 11:04 am
The trend move barely broke 18.50 and backed off, but not much. Will be breaking if 17-16.50 area not held on another dip.

14 Feb 2013 11:11 am
Must bounce from 16.50 area or dynamics changing, and bounce that follows should be sold into. 15.50 small support under 16.50

14 Feb 2013 11:18 am
16.50 touched and small upturn, not much gusto, not addresses buyers up here, a pop a short under 18.50 resistance

14 Feb 2013 11:27 am
16.50 was broken by 1 tick and turned up, that should be important to hold, 15.50 and possibly 14.75-14.25 support is broken. Break/hold

14 Feb 2013 11:31 am
if high not in, a break/hold 17.50-18.00 zone needed to get another pop up, 19.50 resistance than

14 Feb 2013 11:37 am
Tricky up here, but sellers just above that market not liking it here, vulnerable unless 17.50 exceeded/held

14 Feb 2013 11:38 am
2769-2770 on NQ kind of a 1-2-3 type top also. 2765 area pullback support there that needs to hold/give bounce

14 Feb 2013 11:48 am
If the ES can get about 16.50 and hold on a pullback than a bounce could get going from here, otherwise continue drifting lower to 15-14

14 Feb 2013 11:55 am
16.50-16.25 needs to hold on a dip in turn up with some gusto to get up side going, avoid reversal towards 15.15-14.50

14 Feb 2013 11:59 am
17.25-17.50 resistance on those move

14 Feb 2013 12:05 pm
This is really going nowhere, looks like needs more pullback before buyers come in. If 16.50 not reversed up, lunch time pullback

14 Feb 2013 12:07 pm
For now keep an eye on the 16.50 area, that needs to hold or buyers will back off for a deeper pullback. 17.50 resistance on a pop.

14 Feb 2013 12:15 pm
17.25 was reached, so far held at 16.75, if 17.50 broken then 16.75 the key pullback support to hold. 18-18.50 still resistance to get through

14 Feb 2013 12:18 pm
They hold over the 17 level needed now to keep this going, if this gets to 18.50 and is rejected, 17 than pullback target.

14 Feb 2013 12:20 pm
17 area needs to get a bounce, but need a move through 18.50 with some gusto, or else double top.

14 Feb 2013 12:23 pm
Pullback to 17.25 was bid back up, that is the pivotal support, needs held to continue higher, but things may change if broken

14 Feb 2013 12:30 pm
Pullback held 17 and turned up, but 18 has been holding this back earlier and again now, just broke 17 so bounce should fail

14 Feb 2013 12:36 pm
I need a 15 minute break, of note that ES and the Dow cash have almost identical patterns, until just now. ES 1 pt higher. NQ needs downturn

14 Feb 2013 12:55 pm
The Dow trading sideways for the NQ is still stair stepping higher. 2774.50-2775.50 fixed resistance there, coincides with 18.75-19.50 on ES

14 Feb 2013 12:59 pm
That was quick. This has been basically trend up so careful if you trying to short resistance, all pullbacks meeting bid up and any

14 Feb 2013 01:01 pm
Any short should only be a quick scalp, market wants to go higher until buyers back of. Acting like short covering also

14 Feb 2013 01:04 pm
Small reactions from 18.75-19.50 area on ES and just under 2774.50-2775.50 on NQ. As long as 18 area holds, still strong

14 Feb 2013 01:12 pm
18 area held

14 Feb 2013 01:14 pm
And the pop-up showed rejection just under 1520, and that resistance on the NQ. Those now could be sold on test that stalls or rejected

14 Feb 2013 01:22 pm
18 held on the pullback, was sold on a bounce to 19. The NQ coming off from fixed resistance, breaks of 18 and 2771 m high and for a while

14 Feb 2013 01:33 pm
18.50 could be pivotal on this bounce, if rejected we get another pullback. If exceeded, 19.50 key area on top

14 Feb 2013 01:51 pm
18.50 was touched on this slow move up, and could be a bounce high from 17. If 18.50 exceeded look for test of 19.50-20 and then pullback

14 Feb 2013 02:01 pm
There has been selling into the pop-ups, but holding around 17, NQ looking worse since topping, should be more downside

14 Feb 2013 02:06 pm
The ES caught a bid around 18 and popped up, not yet sold into. Should go up and test highs before coming back down again

14 Feb 2013 02:14 pm
As long as 18.50 area holds on the pullback from up here, this can continue. 20.50 small resistance, 22-23 strong above

14 Feb 2013 02:20 pm
There will need to be a quick turn back up from the 19-18.50 area, probably at the lowest, to get another push higher otherwise a high

14 Feb 2013 02:21 pm
Could be in place for a while. But a better pullback that stalls out should still bring a bounce.

14 Feb 2013 02:33 pm
Selling just under 1520, NQ really has a lot of trouble since reaching 2775 and better short it appears. 18.50 still support needs held

14 Feb 2013 02:36 pm
There has been pretty good selling just under 1520 on the ES, 2773 area on NQ well offered, if market strong it must push through those

14 Feb 2013 02:41 pm
ES just missed 20.50 resistance and back away, NQ reached 2775 resistance and back away. Unless broken/held, market vulnerable

14 Feb 2013 02:48 pm
18.50 reached and needs to get above 19.25, then stay over 18.75 on a dip to attempt bounce

14 Feb 2013 02:53 pm
If there's going to be another run-up it needs to begin from this area soon. Otherwise uptrend in danger if 18.50 area not held

14 Feb 2013 02:57 pm
A small bounce started on cue, it should be sold into so careful overstaying long position, especially NQ. Next update in about 10 minutes

14 Feb 2013 03:07 pm
The ES was sold from just under 1520 again, unless that is taken out/held there will not be a test of 22. A move under 18.50 will need

14 Feb 2013 03:08 pm
Quickly turned right back up, same with 2769 on the NQ, to avoid breaking down

14 Feb 2013 03:14 pm
ES and NQ both bid up from support, should see some selling into new high. But market has been bullish all day, stays that way over 18.50

14 Feb 2013 03:16 pm
Double top should be pushed through as long as pullback holds 19.50-19.25. Even then, no damage unless 18.50 broken

14 Feb 2013 03:26 pm
Pullback to 19.25 was bid back up, 1520 area rejected several times, NQ 2773-2775 zone, they hold up 19.25 and push through 20/hold could

14 Feb 2013 03:30 pm
Get a bit of a squeeze higher, maybe get to 21 area.

14 Feb 2013 03:32 pm
Have a good rest of your day, I will see you tomorrow shortly after stocks open. Take care

14 Feb 2013 03:46 pm
They barely broke 18.50 but the selloff from just under 21 pretty convincing that sellers above and a bounce will be sold into end of day

14 Feb 2013 03:47 pm
Watch 19.50-20.00 for good resistance if reached again and stalls or shows rejection. Catch you tomorrow

 

 

 

Wednesday-February 13, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

13 Feb 2013 09:29 am
Pullback will need to bounce from 18-17 at the lowest to keep a decent pattern. Otherwise Bounces sold I will sold into. Update in 15 minutes

13 Feb 2013 09:43 am
A bounce from 18.25 up to 21.00 so far, needs to stay over 20-19.15 or top be in for a bit

13 Feb 2013 09:50 am
Must bounce from here but even so it shouldn't stick, 19.50 resistance

13 Feb 2013 09:54 am
1517.25 was resistance and transition area if broken and not able to turn right back up. 19.50R

13 Feb 2013 10:00 am
19.50 was pushed through, 19.25 needs to hold on pullback

13 Feb 2013 10:03 am
Just missed 22-23 area that should be strong resistance, 19.50 needs a bid right back up or high may be in for now

13 Feb 2013 10:09 am
19.50 holding but should be good offer of both, If a move under 19.50 would need to be quickly reversed back up with gusto

13 Feb 2013 10:12 am
Just missed 22 by 1 tick so far, 20.50 needs held or may not poke up again

13 Feb 2013 10:21 am
21.75 high so far is just 1 tick under 22-23 area, bid back up after 1.50 point dip. Holding 20 needed to avoid reversal

13 Feb 2013 10:24 am
22 sold, should be hard to get through 22-23 and stay up there, but reversal doesn't occur unless 20.50-19.50 doesn't hold on drop

13 Feb 2013 10:30 am
20.50 would be another 1.50 point dip and 19.50 pivotal level from around 10 AM, must hold some to attempt another push higher

13 Feb 2013 10:33 am
Today the Dow is the weak average, down on the day while the NQ very strong up 18 points. ES stuck between. 20.25 needs held

13 Feb 2013 10:38 am
1522 resistance should be a top, or at least sold on a retest but 1520 needs held or may not get there again

13 Feb 2013 10:44 am
The NQ is strong, up 19.50 points right now, the Dow just the opposite, Dow cash down 14 and just above 14,000, again. 1520 must hold or

13 Feb 2013 10:45 am
Should drop down to at least test 18 area

13 Feb 2013 10:50 am
If there is a bounce before getting to 1518.50-1518 it should come down from 20-20.50 or lower.

13 Feb 2013 10:54 am
18.25 reached so far, pressure stays on unless 19.50-20 is pushed above/held on a bounce. Just counter trend move otherwise

13 Feb 2013 11:00 am
A bounce from 18.25 target/support to 19.50-20 and should be key area to stay below if going lower again

13 Feb 2013 11:11 am
Trying to hold the 18.25 support, a move back above 19.50-20 needed, and not turn right back down. Odds are they will back off on bounce

13 Feb 2013 11:15 am
19.50 sold, need to get above that level on the ES and 2779 on NQ to attempt breaking down trend and going lower

13 Feb 2013 11:17 am
The low just one point below this support, 16-15 key area if that's broken

13 Feb 2013 11:18 am
The market is not going to snap right back and rally to another new high today by the way this is acting, short-term top likely 1 day late

13 Feb 2013 11:21 am
16.25 reached on this drop so far A snapback bounce off of support should have good resistance around 18-18.50

13 Feb 2013 11:28 am
Bounce attempt from 1515.25. 12.50-12 small support could be next, 17 area bounce resistance

13 Feb 2013 11:35 am
Not much buying interest from down here yet. 17 area still resistance. If cleared 18.25 area should be sold

13 Feb 2013 11:39 am
16.50 was sold and should get another pushed down towards the 12 area,

13 Feb 2013 11:52 am
The market has come in with good buying on pullbacks lately, but this bounce from a key area is very weak. any decent bounce a short

13 Feb 2013 12:03 pm
ES held 15.25 then 14.75 then 15.00, 16.50 tested third time, they move up to 18 area if 16.50 exceeded/holds, 2767 NQ

13 Feb 2013 12:10 pm
They should be able to touch 17.25 and possibly get to 18-18.58 area As long as 16.50 area holds

13 Feb 2013 12:12 pm
16 area should be good support during afternoon bounce attempt. If broken, back to 15 area. If 18-18.50 reached, likely sold, 15 min break

13 Feb 2013 12:36 pm
The ES is stuck under 1517, but still catching a bid at 16 and if held could push through and go for 18-18.50

13 Feb 2013 12:39 pm
16 was given for support for lunch time bounce attempt in the getting that but should be ready to pull back a bit from 18-18.50

13 Feb 2013 12:51 pm
The ES made it to the 1518-1518.50 Resistance/target for this bounce, so far just a small reaction but break/hold under 17.25 turns it down

13 Feb 2013 12:56 pm
17 turning into a potential transition area.Rolls over if broken and not turn right back up.But no damage unless that occurs, 18.50 possible

13 Feb 2013 01:03 pm
Fullback broke 17 this bounce should fail at/under 18-18.50 and head back towards 16 or lower if still in a weak position

13 Feb 2013 01:12 pm
Pop up to 17.75 was sold, that area up to as high as 18.50 is about as far as a bounce should go if market changing character up here

13 Feb 2013 01:13 pm
This needs to bounce from 16.50 on this pullback but if no sign that then continue back towards 1515

13 Feb 2013 01:34 pm
Able to get up to 18.25 so far, for now buyers in charge as long as they don't break 17.25, in which case a bounce after likely sold

13 Feb 2013 01:34 pm
Able to get up to 18.25 so far, for now buyers in charge as long as they don't break 17.25, in which case a bounce after likely sold

13 Feb 2013 01:36 pm
Likely depends on how the NQ acts up here, the Dow has stalled out and turned down a bit, NQ being bid up right now

13 Feb 2013 01:41 pm
ES should get another pop-up above 18 soon if its going to make another run up. If 18.50 broken the next level is 19.50

13 Feb 2013 01:44 pm
Watch that NQ still, with it going up it should help the ES at least hold together. If it rolls over from 2775, could be some pressure on.

13 Feb 2013 01:48 pm
If this is going to continue higher it should get another push from 17.75-17.50 or above on ES also stay over 2774-73 on NQ. 16.75 key S

13 Feb 2013 01:51 pm
19.50-20.00 would be next. NQ losing steam so 17.75 area needs held on the ES

13 Feb 2013 01:55 pm
No run-up to the 19.50 area as the ES backed away from 18.50 resistance while NQ turn down from 2775, pullback must stay above 17.50-16.75

13 Feb 2013 01:57 pm
At the lowest to keep from potential rollover. 16-15 should hold if they drop, leave a double bottom there

13 Feb 2013 02:07 pm
17.50 just missed, must hold and get over 18.50 soon, otherwise rolling over to at least test 17-16.75

13 Feb 2013 02:11 pm
Market is breaking, there could be a bounce but should be sold into, 1515.50-1514.50 should be in the cards staying under 17.75

13 Feb 2013 02:19 pm
If a bounce back to 17.25-17.75 area to stall out then should get another pullback. Near 2773 on NQ. Headed for 15-14.50 at least

13 Feb 2013 02:23 pm
ES has made highs and lows at good resistance and support all day from 22 down to 15.50-14.50, up to 18-18.50, this should go a little lower

13 Feb 2013 02:25 pm
An attempt double bottom, if no bounce from 15.25-14.50 area, could just continue lower courts 1512

13 Feb 2013 02:32 pm
ES matched its 14.75 early low and turned up, but if cannot get above 16.50 and hold on any dip this can make another push lower

13 Feb 2013 02:35 pm
Look for 1512.50-1511.50 for next support, 16 trend resistance at the moment

13 Feb 2013 02:41 pm
Downside stalling around the 2:40 PM timeframe, if going to go down one more time to test 12-11.50, need to stay under 15

13 Feb 2013 02:44 pm
Market looking tired and not going to make a strong comeback, but this about to break 15, should take some pressure off

13 Feb 2013 02:49 pm
Poke up to 15.25 sold into, 12.50-11.50 could be seen staying under 15.50 now

13 Feb 2013 02:52 pm
Certainly no quick bid on the upside with some gusto like most other pullbacks, still feel this can get to 12.50-11.50

13 Feb 2013 03:02 pm
ES held 2 ticks above key support, finally a decent bid back up. 15-15.50 bounce resistance, must hold 13.75 at lowest to get up there

13 Feb 2013 03:07 pm
Held at 14 and now 15.00-15.50 should be pivotal and should not get out of trouble if exceeded/held. Not rejected

13 Feb 2013 03:09 pm
There is still a chance for a drop down to test 1512.50-1511.50 as long as they hold under 15, NQ under 2767

13 Feb 2013 03:14 pm
Churning just under 1515 pivotal area, a break of 14 could get downside going again

13 Feb 2013 03:19 pm
Good bid at 14, bounce started 3 PM. If they get above 15-15.50, then 16.75-17.25 possible if a decent run up and can hold 15 area on dip, not

13 Feb 2013 03:20 pm
Pop over and turn right back down. Currently okay as long as 14 holds

13 Feb 2013 03:20 pm
14.50

13 Feb 2013 03:21 pm
15-14.50 should hold on a pullback from 16.75 area if reached and rejected

13 Feb 2013 03:23 pm
It took a while but finally some buying with a bit of gusto. expect a bit of pull back, but should hold 15-14.50 at worst to keep new uptrend

13 Feb 2013 03:26 pm
16.75-17.25 probably shouldn't be exceeded/held unless the market still in strong position. 15 area key support end of day

13 Feb 2013 03:28 pm
They hold under 15 would put pressure on. Have a good rest of your day, I will see you tomorrow shortly after the open.

 

 

Tuesday-February 12, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

12 Feb 2013 09:28 am
Good morning, With yesterday's tiny range nothing missed on updates unless scalping. today key I believe, after yesterdays tiny range

12 Feb 2013 09:28 am
such a tiny range yesterday that having just a 10 point range would appear large. 1508 tested overnight, should be important areashort-term

12 Feb 2013 09:36 am
1515 just missed and sold, still topy and breaking 13.25-12.50 would begin to roll this over a bit. Especially a hold under 13. If 15 broken/held

12 Feb 2013 09:43 am
13.25 rejected and that should keep pressure on unless broken, 11.50 area next must bounce their with gusto

12 Feb 2013 09:53 am
good buying on retest of 1512, can get a move above 15 if a bounce from above 13 has some gusto. If 13 broken, market getting toppy

12 Feb 2013 09:59 am
1515 rejected again, pull back to just above 13 needs to hold and NQ needs to perk up to get a bit above1515, should be hard to stay above if cleared

12 Feb 2013 10:04 am
1513.25 pivotal this morning,hey break that on the ES and 2765 on the NQ then things would turn back down.

12 Feb 2013 10:10 am
the Dow cash made it back to 14,000 and that level has been traded around when reached the last time or 2. 1515.50 exceeded by just one tick

12 Feb 2013 10:12 am
14.50- area needs to hold and give a bounce for this to continue towards 1518, or else could head back towards 13.25 pivotal area

12 Feb 2013 10:18 am
pullback held at 14.25 trend support area, if no new high on this move up and 1514.25 broken,stair step up broken and could should things

12 Feb 2013 10:20 am
1515.50 R area sold again, still no breakout over that zone not able to stick. A move back under 1514.50 that not turned right back up

12 Feb 2013 10:26 am
a little squeeze taking out highs,the lowest this can and not make reversal would be 14.50 area.

12 Feb 2013 10:29 am
trends reverse if the Dow cash goes back under 14,000-13,995 ES breaks1514.50-1514.25, NQ breaks 2768

12 Feb 2013 10:31 am
should be a high-end place for a while, at least the next pop up should be a easy shorting opportunity

12 Feb 2013 10:37 am
13.25 pivotal and a breakdown occurred, and they bounce should be sold into

12 Feb 2013 10:45 am
1513.25 pivotal level from earlier tested and giving a small bounce, should be sold into around 15.00-15.50 especially if move stalls there

12 Feb 2013 10:46 am
little pop above 1515.50 only stayed above for about 1 minute before back under 15.50, bounce from 13.25 support to that area likely sold

12 Feb 2013 11:04 am
1515 area equal to 14,000 on the Dow cash. can bounce to 1515 cleared/held on a dip. breakdown if 13.25 broken/not able to reverse

12 Feb 2013 11:16 am
another pop-up that could not stay above 1515.50, but came right back down. There has been a pretty good bid on the dips, but better odds

12 Feb 2013 11:18 am
move happened a bit too soon, it looks like better odds selling strength as that is not able to stick. A break under14 area should mean high

12 Feb 2013 11:23 am
so far just a 4.75 point range on the ES, 12.50 points on the NQ. NQ should stay under 2765, 2767.50 strong resistance there. Would be 15.50

12 Feb 2013 11:24 am
shouldn't get that far, if a high is in then should begin breaking down and take out 13.25

12 Feb 2013 11:30 am
the token lower low at 13.75 quickly bid back up. if going to break down, would need a hold under 15 and a break of 13.25,

12 Feb 2013 11:33 am
Dow cash also crisscrossing 14,000 being sold a little above and bought a little below. Probably should continue, 14.75-14.50 needs held

12 Feb 2013 11:39 am
1515.00-1514.50 area should hold to keep this in trading range. Should it pull back any further or double top confirmed and test 13.75-13.25

12 Feb 2013 11:48 am
NQ spoke to a new low and ES touched 1504.50, another pop up should be sold into that NQ especially the way it has acted

12 Feb 2013 11:57 am
very slow and then action similar to yesterday, so far a few bounce attempts from 20 EMA on 5-minute chart and thats 1514 here

12 Feb 2013 12:00 pm
however, another pop up to 1516 area should be sold into if reached and stalls out. If they get there and no sign of turning chance for 18

12 Feb 2013 12:05 pm
moves have been 3 points down, 2.50 points up, 2 points down, 2.25 points up, 2.00 points down, 1.50 up so far to 15.50. Unless cleared 13.50

12 Feb 2013 12:06 pm
bottom side of this range should get a test before another bounce attempt

12 Feb 2013 12:15 pm
lower high on this bounce so far, need to get over 15.75 and not turn right back down again.

12 Feb 2013 12:24 pm
if they pull back to 1515.75-1515.25 area from this token higher high need to use pop right back up, 1514 key area now

12 Feb 2013 12:33 pm
these pops above 1515.50 have been sold into, but break that level on the way down, still a decent bid on pullbacks, unless 1515 not held

12 Feb 2013 12:35 pm
the furthest this should pull back to keep this nudging higher would be down to 1514.50, door still open to nudge higher unless that breaks,

12 Feb 2013 12:36 pm
if that level broken, and not bid right back up, trend changing

12 Feb 2013 12:37 pm
next update in about 15 minutes

12 Feb 2013 12:45 pm
a small pullback that holds 1516-1515.75 probably at the lowest should hold to keep door open to get to 1518. Back in just a bit

12 Feb 2013 12:54 pm
almost to 1518, just missed by one tick so far. Need to stay above 16.50 area to stay and strong uptrend, 1515 key area now if deeper dip

12 Feb 2013 01:04 pm
the ES has been holding support levels all the way up to the 1518 resistance so far, they many mania and getting a bit parabolic intraday

12 Feb 2013 01:06 pm
so pullback needs to pulled around 17 on a dip to keep strong up trend, then 16-15.50 should be the major area to hold above.

12 Feb 2013 01:11 pm
this could turn into a decent top if 1517 is broken through and the NQ turns a weak and breaks 2768 and not turn around. 18-18.50 important

12 Feb 2013 01:14 pm
if that is pushed above, and we get another move up with momentum to around 1522, that should be reversed and maybe pretty fast

12 Feb 2013 01:14 pm
I do have a hard time seeing this gunning through 1518 without coming back down, stalled here quite a while

12 Feb 2013 01:22 pm
holding 17 keeps this and strong uptrend, 18-18.50 should be pushed through, then hold 17.50 or 17 at worst to keep up trend

12 Feb 2013 01:26 pm
next target on upside would be around 1519.50-1520.50 zone if this stays above 1518-1517.75. Might get choppy if that's broken

12 Feb 2013 01:32 pm
this one from a choppy range into a trend to move since just after 12:30 EST.If 19.50-20.50 is going to be poked into a pullback should hold

12 Feb 2013 01:33 pm
1518 area first, biggest pullback without making top is around 17.25 now

12 Feb 2013 01:44 pm
very thin sideways action after touching 1518, if that's not held them down towards 17.25. Major support now around 1516-1515.50

12 Feb 2013 01:53 pm
we have a top in place on the NQ for a move back towards 2763.50 on that contract, 1517.25 last little swing low, room down to 16-15.50 if broken

12 Feb 2013 02:08 pm
the ES touched 1517 and turned up but to avoid a drop and try and move to the upside 1518 needs exceeded and NQ get turned up

12 Feb 2013 02:17 pm
they can bounce here, but not expecting to stick, 1518 should be rejected if going to be more downside

12 Feb 2013 02:25 pm
should head down to at least 1516-1515.50 area at lowest or we could have a pretty decent pullback occur this afternoon

12 Feb 2013 02:48 pm
pullback held at 1516.25 so far, so avoiding decent pullback at the moment, but if 16.25-15.50 area not held, along with 2763.50 on NQ, can

12 Feb 2013 02:49 pm
make another push lower towards the 14.75-13.50 area that were pullback lows shortly before noon

12 Feb 2013 03:00 pm
this has gone sideways just above 1516.25 but needs to push over 17.50 to avoid breakdown

12 Feb 2013 03:04 pm
this does not look like it's going to pop up but instead back down towards at least around 1515.50 and maybe towards 1514. That can take the

12 Feb 2013 03:06 pm
Dow cash back towards 14,000 but still above that level unless they get to around the 1513.25 area

12 Feb 2013 03:11 pm
1515.50 just missed so far, but it still looks like 1516.75-1517.25 should be sold into on a bounce if market week

12 Feb 2013 03:17 pm
pop to 16.50 rejected, unless cleared next downside target would be at 1514.75, and if that doesn't give a bounce then down towards 1513.75-1513.25.

12 Feb 2013 03:27 pm
1516.50 sold again but holding just above 15.50 is the top of the prior 1514.50-1515.50 Resistance.should break to end with downtrend

12 Feb 2013 03:34 pm
16.50 sold 3 times, if broken and not turn right back down but able to stay above 16.50 area, then can rally back a bit.strong close doubtful

12 Feb 2013 03:36 pm
but a test of 17 could be in the cards and then come back down. But doubt 19 is tested, sold if it gets there

12 Feb 2013 03:40 pm
15.50 area key on the close, going back under 1515 especially cold water on this move move they've had ,

12 Feb 2013 03:40 pm
have a good rest of your day. I will see you tomorrow near the open

 

 

 

Thursday-February 07, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

07 Feb 2013 09:42 am
Good Morning Everybody! This is Julie, just reminding you that Mike will be away for an appointment this morning. Hopes to be back around 12

07 Feb 2013 12:13 pm
A quick note, and then should be ready to go close to 12:45. The ES followed the scenario from the nightly update, with bounce from 1505

07 Feb 2013 12:14 pm
and then failing at 1508 and then breaking down through 1505 started the drop to 1495 support. Bounce then stopped just under 1500

07 Feb 2013 12:14 pm
keeping pressure on and back down to 1494.50 support. Double bottom, but need to break/hold over 1500 to attempt getting out trouble. IF that

07 Feb 2013 12:15 pm
Were to happen, 1502 area resistance. 1505-1505.50 would be key resistance. 1497 needs held or can retest/break lows and test 1491-1490 major S

07 Feb 2013 12:39 pm
The ES push over 1500, but will need to bounce from 1499.25 at the lowest it appears or upside losing momentum

07 Feb 2013 12:48 pm
Running out of steam but unless much bounce from 1500 to have a shot at 1502, 1499 a key area on a break, must hold

07 Feb 2013 01:03 pm
1499 able to hold on the pullback so far, and that still looks to be key on this move and could 98-97 if broken, maybe retest low

07 Feb 2013 01:10 pm
98-97.50 next on the downside as long as they hold under 1500 area, NQ is a bit weaker could lead

07 Feb 2013 01:17 pm
The pullback went to 1498.75 and turned up, still need to get above 1500.50 and get momentum, not pop over and come right back down

07 Feb 2013 01:27 pm
the ES still holding 1499 and NQ: 2724. If not held, would roll over again. 1502 resistance and 1505-1505.50 very key

07 Feb 2013 01:27 pm
Pullback should hold 1500.50 at the lowest on pullback from 1502 area

07 Feb 2013 01:37 pm
sold 1 tick under 1502 down to 1500.75, still 1500.50 needs held to attempt a push higher, if broken then 1499 still in play as support

07 Feb 2013 01:42 pm
Looks like 1500.50 on ES and 2724 area on the NQ key- may not have huge upside but no damage done unless those supports broken

07 Feb 2013 01:46 pm
They are making "falling wedges" patterns the last 2 pullbacks. So far 1499 and then 1500.50 held in this uptrend, mouse support at 1501.50

07 Feb 2013 01:55 pm
If this can stay over 1502 it will continue creeping higher and could get to 1505-1505.50 and that is strong resistance it reached

07 Feb 2013 02:03 pm
Almost to the 1505-1505.50 area, a pullback needs to hold 1503.50-1503 to keep good uptrend intact on pullback from resistance

07 Feb 2013 02:08 pm
1504.75 could be a bounce high if this doesn't turn up from 1503 with some gusto, still should be hard to break

07 Feb 2013 02:11 pm
Support around 1502 and then more important around 1501-1500.50 that could give a bounce, but shouldn't be able to push through 1505-1305.50

07 Feb 2013 02:15 pm
Bounce highs should be in just missing 1505-1505.50, needs to turn up from 1502 to have a chance to bounced towards 1504 area and fail

07 Feb 2013 02:27 pm
1502 reached on the ES while the NQ in a stronger downtrend, but if going to be a bounce it has to come from this area

07 Feb 2013 02:35 pm
New downtrend under 1503.50 to test 1500 or lower

07 Feb 2013 02:50 pm
The pullback stop that 1500.50 and could revisit 1505-1505.50 but only if not rejected at 1503.50

07 Feb 2013 03:01 pm
just a small pullback from 1503.50 held 1502.50 and on its way to 1505-1505.50 as long as 1503.50 area holds on a dip

07 Feb 2013 03:10 pm
Pullback poked under 1503.50 to just above 1502.50 and almost 2 resistance/target at 1505-1505.50, 1502.50 then 1500.50 key support

07 Feb 2013 03:24 pm
Should be some buyers at lower levels but not up here unless they push above 1505-1505.50

07 Feb 2013 03:35 pm
Well stay under pressure for just inside this zone unless 1505-1505.50 is exceeded.

07 Feb 2013 03:40 pm
Getting some late short covering and should be bid back up as long as 1502 holds on the bottom side. If 1505 area cleared, then 1508-1508.50

07 Feb 2013 03:43 pm
1505.50 rejected on first test, 1503.50 about as low as dip should go to push higher

07 Feb 2013 03:43 pm
Have a good rest of your day I will catch you tomorrow morning

 

 

 

Wednesday-February 06, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

06 Feb 2013 09:28 am
I put in resistance numbers twice last night my apologies these are the support numbers

06 Feb 2013 09:28 am
1505.50-1505.00 *minor 1502.75-1502.25 *strong 1498.75-1497.75 *very Strong 1495.00-1494.50 *major Wednesday

06 Feb 2013 09:31 am
If they get up to 1502 area thats first resistance now and should be hard to get through and hold first try

06 Feb 2013 09:34 am
1501.75 rejected twice, 1500 needs a strong bounce or down to the 98.75-98 area

06 Feb 2013 09:36 am
1502 was hard to get over on the first test, if broken/held them up to 1503.50 area

06 Feb 2013 09:42 am
1503.50 reached, 1505-1505.50 would be next but pretty good sellers 1503.50 area to get through

06 Feb 2013 09:47 am
1504 stop up, 1502.50-1502 needs to get a bounce to avoid a move back towards 1501 at least

06 Feb 2013 09:51 am
1501.00 was touched and turned right back up, so far a pretty good bid 1501-1500, but upside should have a hard time sticking

06 Feb 2013 09:54 am
If they don't fail at 1504 and run up to 1505-1505.50 should be rejected if the market going to stay under some pressure today

06 Feb 2013 09:57 am
Pretty good bid around 1503 and can get to 1505-1505.50 as long as that's held

06 Feb 2013 09:59 am
1505-1505.50 just missed so far and need to stay above 1503.50-1503 if going to get there

06 Feb 2013 10:02 am
1505 was touched and sold, still 1503.50-1503 area as support, must hold there or uptrend break

06 Feb 2013 10:08 am
could bounce from 1502 area but 1505-1505.50 should be strong resistance, needs clear and not turn right back down or still vulnerable

06 Feb 2013 10:12 am
Keep an eye on the NQ also as it needs to get back over 2750 area. 1502.50 last pullback low key support now or stairstep higher broken

06 Feb 2013 10:16 am
A good bid at 1503.50 pushed ES back to 1505.00, that level must hold or spring right back up or turned turns down with NQ

06 Feb 2013 10:19 am
Pullback to 1503.50, if no quick turnaround this goes back to or through 1502 area

06 Feb 2013 10:26 am
So for ES poked down to 1503.25 stall and back to 1505, pullback must stay above 1503.25 and around 2740.50 on NQ if going higher

06 Feb 2013 10:30 am
The NQ is the drag on the market after a double top, needs to get above 2746 to take pressure off there. 1505.50 needs cleared on ES

06 Feb 2013 10:33 am
1505-1505.50 zone has been turned away 3 times, needs pushed above-just broke with NQ breaking lower

06 Feb 2013 10:34 am
A bounce back to 1504-1504.50 good resistance on ES and 2740.50-2741.50 on NQ

06 Feb 2013 10:37 am
Rising wedge broken and a bounced retracement should be sold into at/under breakdown area, around 1504 area

06 Feb 2013 10:49 am
1504 found some selling in shouldn't go much further than that if going back down to 1502 or lower. NQ trying to base and double bottom. Must hold 2736 there

06 Feb 2013 10:50 am
This pullback should hold about 1503 and then push higher as good buying just came in

06 Feb 2013 10:51 am
Also watch 2739-2738 area on the NQ, should not break if going to make another push higher

06 Feb 2013 10:56 am
1505-5005.50 was pushed through, to keep this trend going strong a dip should hold 1505-1504.50 area

06 Feb 2013 10:58 am
If no turn back up from 1504.75 1504 is about as far as a pullback should go and then bounce back again

06 Feb 2013 11:04 am
1504.75 was held on the pullback, next resistance not until 1508 area. 1505.50 shouldn't be broken now

06 Feb 2013 11:07 am
There were good sellers around 1407.50, 1407.50 up to 1408.75 should be hard to get above and hold,

06 Feb 2013 11:11 am
1505.50-1505 needs to act as good support and get a bounce, otherwise there could be some trouble and see 1504, possibly a little further

06 Feb 2013 11:20 am
a double top-1506.50 broken needs turned up quickly. Needs a move above 1508 so or pullback coming or has started

06 Feb 2013 11:28 am
Steady grind higher was turned away just under 1508 so far, stalling out so pullback must hold around 1505.50 at lowest

06 Feb 2013 11:36 am
A high is in place for a while, should not be able to get back above 1507 on the ES and 2752 on the NQ and hold

06 Feb 2013 11:38 am
Another test of 1505.50 area should get a bid back up, maybe to 1507, but likely not

06 Feb 2013 11:48 am
So far 1505.50-1505 area able to hold. That should be pivotal, yesterday's closing range, a bounce high and a pullback low so far.If broken

06 Feb 2013 11:50 am
A bounce that follows should be sold into

06 Feb 2013 11:51 am
Next update in about 10-15 minutes

06 Feb 2013 12:11 pm
Stalled at 1505.75, pop-ups sold into and back down to 1506.25. Must hold there, 1506.50 should be bought to keep strong

06 Feb 2013 12:14 pm
1507 area support if a pullback from 1508-1508.50.

06 Feb 2013 12:28 pm
1507.25 held on the pullback, if it falls in the further than upside could be over for a bit. Otherwise could go for 1509

06 Feb 2013 12:32 pm
Good selling twice at the 1508 Resistance, but all pullbacks have been bought since the opening 5 minutes, so far. 1507.25 needs held

06 Feb 2013 12:34 pm
Or the attempt to break out over 1508 isn't going to happen and 1506.50-1505.50 area would need to give a bounce to avoid breakdown

06 Feb 2013 12:39 pm
just reached 1508.50 in reverse but should stay above 1507.50 if going to continue grinding higher

06 Feb 2013 12:41 pm
Look for another pop up to be sold into, first time that sellers more aggressive and buyers backed off

06 Feb 2013 12:46 pm
A really strong bid back up from 1507.00, can pullback again but it bid back up again the way this is acting

06 Feb 2013 12:51 pm
58.50 sold again very fast 1507.25 came back up even faster and stopped at 1508. A yen, a push over 1408.25-50 on the ES needed to spike higher

06 Feb 2013 12:54 pm
Double top at 1508.50 with good selling their twice, there has been good buying at 1507.25 and if broken this can head to 1505.50

06 Feb 2013 12:55 pm
Even a snapback now will be sold, the NQ under 2751 a short, a different pattern more bearish there

06 Feb 2013 01:07 pm
This should be headed to 1503-1502 as long as 1505.50 not broken

06 Feb 2013 01:19 pm
The 1403.75 level held thus so far, 1505.50-1506 should hold the bounce back. Otherwise 1507.25 possible but sold

06 Feb 2013 01:22 pm
This bounce should not make it back above 1508.00-1508.75 resistance, that should be a major area the rest of the day. 1505.50-1506 R key

06 Feb 2013 01:25 pm
Staying out or 1505.50-1506 should keep pressure on, only if cleared/held can there be break up downtrend with 1502 .50

06 Feb 2013 01:30 pm
1502.50 reached and needs to get back boy rejection from 1504 area on a bounce, 1498 area would be next

06 Feb 2013 01:31 pm
NQ back to being a much weaker as it's on its low at the moment, 2737-38 resistance there

06 Feb 2013 01:34 pm
Some buying/short covering coming in off of 1501.50 but should fail to clear 1503.75 and hold it just counter trend bounce

06 Feb 2013 01:37 pm
That area should be key on a bounce to turn right back down from, or else could get up to 1505.25-1505.50, a pivotal area if reached

06 Feb 2013 01:43 pm
There has been no fear lately and these deeper pullbacks have been turned around and bid back up. Pop up small still vulnerable

06 Feb 2013 01:53 pm
Pop-up stopped exactly at 1403.75, pullback starting but must break 1502 area or there will be better bounce

06 Feb 2013 02:06 pm
This is trying to base out above 1502 for a push higher, but if that does happen, doubt upside gets too far before stalling/reversing

06 Feb 2013 02:08 pm
1503.50 needs pushed above and not turned right back down, or little chance of even getting to 1505-1505.50 again for now

06 Feb 2013 02:21 pm
1503.50 pushed above to 1504 and now must hold as support or can turn back down again. If held then could see 1505-1505.50

06 Feb 2013 02:24 pm
Pop up just missed 1505 on the ES and 2740 on the NQ and quickly came back down. Market remains vulnerable unless those broken/held.

06 Feb 2013 02:33 pm
The NQ was sold off but the ES was able to turn right back up from just under 1503.50. Could go back to towards 1504.50-1505 but not stick

06 Feb 2013 02:37 pm
NQ still leading this and back to lows its been several times, needs a good bounce from 2734-2732 area or could pull market down

06 Feb 2013 02:41 pm
2:40 PM timeframe buying coming in, should get another push higher as long as 1503.50-1503 defended and also 2734 on the NQ.

06 Feb 2013 02:46 pm
watch 1505-1505.50 if a bit more more upside for a pullback towards 1504 area. If no sign of turn, could go for 1406.50-1507 area

06 Feb 2013 02:57 pm
1505.00 was touched for a millisecond 2 times in pullback to 1503.75, another push higher should be sold into also,

06 Feb 2013 02:58 pm
then next dip needs to hold 1504 at worst if uptrend going to continue and try for 1507

06 Feb 2013 03:10 pm
ES made it back to 1506.25 and holding 1505 on pullback, if it goes much further than could head back towards 1504-1503. If held and 1506.25

06 Feb 2013 03:13 pm
If 1505 doesn't hold then good" Roy down towards 1503.50 or so. They push higher should fail around 1507, NQ still leading this

06 Feb 2013 03:20 pm
Pullback to 1504.50 caught a bid, but market acting odd today and not so strong. They could rally from here, but will hold out for failure

06 Feb 2013 03:31 pm
1507 touched on the upside, pullback needs to hold around 1550.75 if going to attempt to push through

06 Feb 2013 03:35 pm
Would keep an eye on the NQ, might be better trading vehicle, in any case 1505.25 should be pivotal support on pullback.Only break/hold under

06 Feb 2013 03:38 pm
1505.50-1505 area which has been pivotal can get this rolling over into the close. Have a great day! "See" you in the A.M.

06 Feb 2013 03:39 pm
! wait

06 Feb 2013 03:41 pm
I must be a way tomorrow until around 12:30 PM Eastern time do to an appointment. My apologies, will update ASAP when I return

 

 

 

Tuesday-February 05, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

05 Feb 2013 09:30 am
good morning. The ES made it up to the 1501.50-1502.50 resistance and the pullback held 1498 area, both important this morning

05 Feb 2013 09:35 am
we should get short covering on a pullback

05 Feb 2013 09:44 am
1501.50-1502.50e still should be hard to get through and hold , a key resistance early on.

05 Feb 2013 09:54 am
good bid from just over 1500 through the 1502.50 resistance, that 1302.58 to hold on a dipto get to 1505.50-1507 Econ number top of the hour

05 Feb 2013 10:01 am
Nice to hold 1502.58 it had above 1504.50 2B strong or else pulled back to the 1501 area will be key

05 Feb 2013 10:05 am
1502.50 was bid back up to test high,next resistance 1505.50-1506

05 Feb 2013 10:08 am
should go for 1505.50-1506 area, then get some pullback. it's very close right here. 1502.50 is now key support

05 Feb 2013 10:11 am
that's probably a high for a while if not then next pop up will be sold into but pullback must hold 1503

05 Feb 2013 10:17 am
1503 was held but this bounce should be sold into, 1505.50-1506 possible but likely wouldn't stay there, should come back down again

05 Feb 2013 10:26 am
there is a good offer just under 1505, but still holding 1503-1502.50 support this bounce should be sold into around 1505 or breakout

05 Feb 2013 10:30 am
1504.50-1505.00 sold for the hird time,

05 Feb 2013 10:46 am
The ES bounced from 1502.50 again up to new high at 1506.25, 1505 area needs to hold or back down

05 Feb 2013 10:49 am
This stalling out at the 1505.50-1506 resistance and start a decent pullback to 1504.50 area broken and not turn right back up

05 Feb 2013 10:57 am
If unable to push through 1505.50-1506 and hold, market will have some sort of shake out and then go higher if still wants to

05 Feb 2013 11:08 am
Unable to get above 1506, that should be sold into if another pop up, 1504.50 small support 1503-1502.50 key

05 Feb 2013 11:14 am
Pullback stopped at 1504.50 was a bid back up, that area must hold or they could drop back to 1503-1502 area. Its important support 1506

05 Feb 2013 11:16 am
1506 still needs cleared/held to get a squeeze higher maybe to test 1508 if the breakout sticks

05 Feb 2013 11:24 am
Market testing important resistance around 1506, that coincides with the Dow cash at 14,000. Both need pushed above/held.

05 Feb 2013 11:29 am
It has been in a more bullish mode after the pullback was bought at 1502.50. But another failure at 1506 and break of 1504

05 Feb 2013 11:30 am
Could change things to bearish and pullback would ruin trend up action by breaking 1502.15 area

05 Feb 2013 11:36 am
Should get breakout attempt and take out 1506, a pullback will be bought around 1505.25-1504.75 at the lowest to continue upside grind

05 Feb 2013 11:45 am
Top should begin Soviet short for a move down to 1502.50 or lower,

05 Feb 2013 11:46 am
Will need to get above 1506.25 and not turn right back down to ovoid a decent pullback and get something going on outside

05 Feb 2013 11:47 am
1505 should be sold to get a push back down towards 1503-1502.50

05 Feb 2013 11:53 am
Apologies for some of the words that have come through, unreadable in some cases. I will try "re-train" the voice software sometime tonight

05 Feb 2013 11:56 am
So far a bounce to 1504.75 on the ES while the NQ had a better push higher. On the other pop up gets sold into on ES, 1502.50 support

05 Feb 2013 11:58 am
Next update in about 15 minutes. If by chance there is no breakdown but a run-up towards 1506 again instead, a better short

05 Feb 2013 12:26 pm
The bounces have been sold into but also bid back up from above 1504. The Dow cash still is around 1506 ES, but NQ has been leading up

05 Feb 2013 12:26 pm
The bounces have been sold into but also bid back up from above 1504. The Dow cash still is around 1506 ES, but NQ has been leading up

05 Feb 2013 12:28 pm
Unable to get the above 1506 is going to keep this under pressure even though 1504 has been holding, up pops should be sold into

05 Feb 2013 12:44 pm
Bounce back from 1503.50 to a lower high and stalled out rolled over, buyers waiting at at 1503.75,but should come down if stay under 1504.75

05 Feb 2013 12:51 pm
Another move up to test 1505.50-1506 resistance zone, 1506.25 was sold three times with small pullbacks, still need breaks/hold for run up

05 Feb 2013 12:53 pm
Its 1504.50 to 1503.75 that are minor support levels that need to be bid right back up to avoid turning over

05 Feb 2013 01:03 pm
1504.50-1503.75 zone was dipped into and turned right back up to test the high on the ES, this can't continue higher as long as 1505 area holds

05 Feb 2013 01:07 pm
1506.25 early highs tested. Previous Post should say "this CAN continue higher as long as 1505 area holds". Should it go further than that

05 Feb 2013 01:16 pm
Buyers backing off a bit while this sits just under its high, looks like 1505.50 should hold to keep up side impact

05 Feb 2013 01:27 pm
In very slow trading that ES pulled back from its 1506.50 token higher high to 1505.50 new support, pop back up, could see 1508 and then 1512 envelope up

05 Feb 2013 01:31 pm
The ES has been holding the support areas most although we up since 1502.50 in the early going, and its been trend up and stays that way

05 Feb 2013 01:33 pm
Unless 1506.25 prior highest/trend support doesn't hold. 1505.50 now a key support

05 Feb 2013 01:39 pm
1408.50 is a good resistance and could be a top for a while if 1507-1506.50 does not hold on a pullback. If that does hold, the grind higher

05 Feb 2013 01:50 pm
The ES meet its grind higher to 1408 area which is some resistance, thus all could lead to a pullback towards 1407-1406.50 needs held

05 Feb 2013 01:54 pm
Pullback held 1507.25, so no damage done, a pushed through 1408 area could mean headed to test 1510.50 prior high area. 1 potential negative

05 Feb 2013 01:55 pm
Is the Dow cash touching 14,000 and back and off. Maybe needs to back up to get a running start to take out 1510

05 Feb 2013 02:00 pm
Otherwise could end up with double top of sorts. But stays and a trend up move unless 1507-1506.50 broken on pullback, then it is reversal

05 Feb 2013 02:14 pm
1507.25 pullback low just after 2 PM and the ES continues climbing higher, and now support is around 1508, then 1507-1506.50 if 1508

05 Feb 2013 02:16 pm
is not bid right back up on a pullback. There's 1510.50 then the 1512 area to go for

05 Feb 2013 02:36 pm
1508.50 was the pullback low, that area along with 2753-2752 on the NQ should be important support up here. A push above 1509.75-1510.50

05 Feb 2013 02:39 pm
Needed to hold up there, not break back below 1508.50, if going to avoid reversing the trend up move

05 Feb 2013 02:41 pm
1509.75-1510.50 was rejected on the first test, would normally be a good short, but not against a strong trend up move, would need reversal

05 Feb 2013 02:45 pm
a push through 1509.75-1510.50 could get the ES up to the 1512 area before pulling back, maybe higher

05 Feb 2013 02:47 pm
Watch 1509.50 area for support on a pullback from 1511, should bounce from that area if going to attempt 1512 today

05 Feb 2013 02:54 pm
It has been trend up all day with small pullbacks, and now look a like 1510-1509.50 area needs held or the rally could be over

05 Feb 2013 02:57 pm
For the rest of the day, it looks like one more bouts should be sold into, especially if 1509.50 on able to hold

05 Feb 2013 03:03 pm
1509.50 gave a bounce but not very strong, should have a high in for today or at least have trouble going higher and holding

05 Feb 2013 03:06 pm
The furthest this should go on the downside without damaging this good uptrend would be down to 1508.50

05 Feb 2013 03:14 pm
1508.50 was held above and a bounce back up to 1510 is having trouble, needed a push above that area and stick to attempt the high

05 Feb 2013 03:18 pm
Should be some selling against the high, 1512.50 area should be difficult to get to/through and hold today.

05 Feb 2013 03:19 pm
If this fails to push above that 1510.75 ounce high soon, this can come back to 1408 area before bouts attempt

05 Feb 2013 03:23 pm
If this refuses to hold around the 1507.25-1506.50 area than the market will have top or very close, but if held then there could be

05 Feb 2013 03:26 pm
One last run up, up to a little bit above today's high, and then stop and see lots of room below, leaving longs stuck up here

05 Feb 2013 03:28 pm
It looks like double top is marking today's high and 1508 area needs to hold to avoid deeper pullback

05 Feb 2013 03:32 pm
1508.50 held by one tick and keeps the market from late day selloff unless broken. Have a good rest of your day, catch you in the morning

 

 

 

Monday-February 04, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

04 Feb 2013 09:20 am
good morning. a good Super Bowl, but the market looks like it has a hangover from too much partying lately. ES fell to 1498.25-1497.50

04 Feb 2013 09:25 am
not able to get above initial resistance. that must give a bounce/rally if tested again. the 1503 area the first good resistance

04 Feb 2013 09:28 am
if 98 area broken could go a bit lower and bounce from 96 which should be around 1500 on the cache index.

04 Feb 2013 09:34 am
bounce off of 98.50 needs to get over 1500 and hold on a pullback

04 Feb 2013 09:43 am
bounce back to last trap buyers at 1501 around 9:15 AM was sold could bounce from 98.50-97.50 trend and momentum on sell side unless 1501

04 Feb 2013 09:44 am
is exceeded and then be able to hold 1500 area on a pullback. There's been a good offer on the pop-ups

04 Feb 2013 09:48 am
97.50 is a bottom end of support, that could be early low if 99.50-1500 not rejected

04 Feb 2013 09:49 am
must get over 99.50-1500 and then hold 99.50 on a dip to get any upside momentum/short covering going up here now

04 Feb 2013 09:53 am
able to stay over 99.50 so far, 1501 needs to be cleared /held, should get pull back there but 1503 1504 next good resistance

04 Feb 2013 09:55 am
99.75 is about as far as a pullback should go to the uptrend is going to continue towards 1503 area

04 Feb 2013 10:00 am
stalling out but should be a decent bid below, 1500 area must hold on the ES if going to attempt 1503 area

04 Feb 2013 10:03 am
1502.50-1503.50 areas should be sold that this is just a early bounce and a new downtrend,, key areas up here

04 Feb 2013 10:03 am
last pullback was to 1500.25 and came right back up, that would need to happen again or rolling over

04 Feb 2013 10:05 am
that should be it for decent bounce that's going to stick, at least for a while. There could be another bounce attempt but will not hold

04 Feb 2013 10:14 am
choppy two-sided action, need a move above 1501and stick, good offers that are so far

04 Feb 2013 10:19 am
another move going to testthe low there would need to be a good bounce back and stick over 1500 or else 96 area

04 Feb 2013 10:21 am
buyers at 98.25 so far, but don't get squeezed unless 1500 area taken out, held on a pullback

04 Feb 2013 10:30 am
a double bottom but still that could be broken unless they push over 1500with some gusto, hold on a pullback.

04 Feb 2013 10:38 am
could still push down to the 96 area if unable to get over 99.50-1500, that looks like it's pivotal on a bounce

04 Feb 2013 10:42 am
support only broken by 1 tick, so far, still need to get back above 99.50-1500 and not turn right back down, to get out of trend down grind

04 Feb 2013 10:45 am
98.25-98.75 area should be sold on a bounce if going to continue grinding lower, that needs taken out for potential change

04 Feb 2013 10:51 am
this could be the most important move so far for a potential low to be put in, if they move over 98.25-98.75 not reversed but exceeded/held

04 Feb 2013 10:57 am
98.25 sold on two tests so far, still need a move through 98.25-98.75 and then not turn right back down to get bounce attempt

04 Feb 2013 11:01 am
unable to get above 98.25, ES following the NQ back to its low, pressure stays on unless 98.25 area cleared/held for now

04 Feb 2013 11:07 am
the 96 level was reached, 94.50-94 area could be seen if this stays below 97.50-98 on another bounce attempt. That area needs exceeded

04 Feb 2013 11:19 am
98 was sold into again this pullback needs to turn up from 97 and get back above 98 or else could be headed for 94.50-94

04 Feb 2013 11:24 am
the NQ has been leader on down side and not bid back up as quickly on bounce attempts, keep an eye on that for a lead/confirmation on ES

04 Feb 2013 11:29 am
1.50 point drop over 2 minutes on ES while the NQ dropped 5.5 points. not much on either with ES testing low,94.50 on ES next 2727 NQ

04 Feb 2013 11:38 am
the NQ dropped another 10 points in 3 minutes while the ES fell 1.25 points to just over 94.50-94 zone, gap today is trend day unless 98

04 Feb 2013 11:41 am
reached the 94 support but another bounce that fails to clear 96 should just lead to another push lower

04 Feb 2013 11:48 am
that could be a reversal that's meaningful for a bit, as long as 94.50-94.25 is turned right back up on a dip

04 Feb 2013 11:53 am
Nice to holdon a tiny pullback and then push it above 96 to begin an attempt to get uptrend going or, back towards the low

04 Feb 2013 11:59 am
no go on the bounce attempt, they are all people and looks like "slinky" going down the steps, 1491.25-1490.50 could be in the cards and must hold

04 Feb 2013 12:08 pm
it has been trended down since around 10 AM, with bounces not having any gusto, likely heading to test 91-90 if this staying under 94.50

04 Feb 2013 12:11 pm
the NQ still the weakest and almost to what should be major area around 2713-2711. Resistance now at 2719-21 there to clear

04 Feb 2013 12:13 pm
94-94.50 area now a key area on a bounce if that is exceeded then a pullback that follows needs to be bought and that would get countertrend

04 Feb 2013 12:16 pm
rally going. So far first test of resistance on NQ and the ES, if no rollover here then things could be change

04 Feb 2013 12:23 pm
94-94.50 area now a key area on a bounce if that is exceeded then a pullback that follows needs to be bought and that would get countertrend

04 Feb 2013 12:25 pm
no idea why that was reposted, but after rejecting94.25 new resistance and also resistance on the NQ, the quick dip was bought, could have

04 Feb 2013 12:26 pm
a low for a while if this move pushes above resistance. Taking a 15 minute break

04 Feb 2013 12:42 pm
a pullback should either bounce from 94.50 area, or pushed through 96 and hold. 98 area next resistance that needs cleared

04 Feb 2013 12:47 pm
getting another oral over on the NQ, if the ES follows it should see 94.50 and needs to bounce from that area to continue creeping higher

04 Feb 2013 01:04 pm
94.50 was broken, stopped at 94, but now should make another push lower before we can get a bounce going. That or move above 95.50-96

04 Feb 2013 01:08 pm
94.50-94 is back acting as support again, this avoids one more drop as long asthat is held for now

04 Feb 2013 01:20 pm
a pullback to 94 must hold, and need to get above 96 on the ES and also 13,900 on the Dow cash which has been rejected several times.

04 Feb 2013 01:21 pm
Still vulnerable staying under 95.50-96 on this little bounce attempt off of 94

04 Feb 2013 01:31 pm
95.50 rejected for a second time, pullback holding 94 bottom of this range, a break under 93.50 should mean test of the low

04 Feb 2013 01:43 pm
93.50 was reached and trying to get another bounce going but it needs to get above 95.25-95.75 to get out of trouble/potential test of low

04 Feb 2013 01:47 pm
markets still in trouble and if the test of the low doesn't give a good bounce then could continue on down to 91.25-90.50 major area today

04 Feb 2013 01:53 pm
2713.25-2711.75 on NQ is kind of a must hold area, or to 2706.50 and potential collapse towards 2699 or lower. ES needs to hold 91.25-90.50

04 Feb 2013 01:56 pm
a bounce from here needs to get going and take out 94-94.50 to take some pressure off, 96 to get decent upside going

04 Feb 2013 02:01 pm
ES could not even get back above 94, should see double bottom broken and test 91.25-90.50 major area, still a trend down day basically

04 Feb 2013 02:02 pm
and selling bounces better odds until a trend change

04 Feb 2013 02:16 pm
the market tested the low, and it bounced a bit, but needs to get back above 94 and hold that area to attempt better bounce. Or else a break

04 Feb 2013 02:18 pm
back below 93.50-93.25 not quickly turned back up would make this roll over again and then break double bottom. 94-94.50 key here

04 Feb 2013 02:22 pm
downside stalling out but would need a move above 94-94.50 and picked up some momentum, not turn right back down. If not for trend day it would

04 Feb 2013 02:25 pm
on a test of 92.50 that turns up, but would rather see sign of strength by getting over 94 before thinking long.all bounces but 1 has failed

04 Feb 2013 02:29 pm
good bid on the dip should have a pullback low in place for now

04 Feb 2013 02:32 pm
94 area should hold on a dip to make another push higher,

04 Feb 2013 02:40 pm
bounce off of 94 not getting through the 95 high so far, but could get to 95.75-96 for another area where there is a pullback, or get mo

04 Feb 2013 02:42 pm
holding over94.50 keeps this in a strong position for now, 96 should be a key area, could see 97.50-98 if that is taken out

04 Feb 2013 02:46 pm
if were able to get long on the dip to 94 area or maybe you did better, lock-in at least part around 96. 94.50 area pullback support

04 Feb 2013 03:01 pm
through 96 took out the high before noon, 97.50-98 area would be next on the upside. Pullback should hold 95.50 to get there, else toppy

04 Feb 2013 03:06 pm
if there is one more push higher it should be sold into. Key area on the NQ at 2722-2724, 97.50-98 on ES. If exceeded could still dip

04 Feb 2013 03:14 pm
if there is another bounce from 94 it should fail, if no bounce off of 94 then the 92.50area again

04 Feb 2013 03:20 pm
there could be another little run-up since 94 is holding, but doubt that it can get over 96 and stay there. If it can it would be positive

04 Feb 2013 03:23 pm
a break of 94 would need to get turned around very fast or there is a chance for the ES to be under pressure

04 Feb 2013 03:25 pm
the Dow cash would need to turn back down, the NQ should be weaker if this does hit a air pocket

04 Feb 2013 03:27 pm
94 area defended again, that should be key in the last 35 minutes. If there is a decent pop, 97.50-98 on ES and 2722.50-2723.50 on NQ

04 Feb 2013 03:29 pm
I have a good rest of your day. I will catch you here tomorrow morning shortly after the open

04 Feb 2013 03:37 pm
it's the Dow cash weighing on the ES, the NQ is weak on its own, needs to hold 93-92 war could break 91.25-90.50 into the close

 

 

 

Friday-February 01, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

01 Feb 2013 09:23 am
1500 yesterdays high for small support, if thats not hold then late high from yesterday around 98 should hold to stay in good shape.

01 Feb 2013 09:26 am
1505.50 Globex high also day session high for the week, if that area not rejected could go to 1508 area.

01 Feb 2013 09:28 am
in any case, need to take out that 1505.50 area and not turn right back down for this to avoid top. scenario I was writing about early week

01 Feb 2013 09:30 am
first day of month upside bias and also the VIX a few buy signals so at least should hold up today change in market character

01 Feb 2013 09:32 am
need a move to stick over 1502.52 get pushed towards 1505

01 Feb 2013 09:36 am
for 1502.50 turn right back down through that level should go to 1500 at least before bounce

01 Feb 2013 09:42 am
only reached 1500.52 for popping up, 1502.50 area still important early it looks, needs to be pushed through and keep going, not break 01.50

01 Feb 2013 09:49 am
1502.50 was sold twice, bounce attempt from 1501, if that's broken should be test of 1500

01 Feb 2013 09:51 am
buyers should be waiting for pullback to stall and then come in at lower prices,only forced in to move over 1502.50/hold

01 Feb 2013 09:53 am
1500 reached, so gap at yesterdays 1500 high filled. 1501.50-1502 key on this bounce,

01 Feb 2013 09:56 am
faster than things have been moving, was hard to speak fast and send update while managing my own trade not so easy today. Still have ISM

01 Feb 2013 09:58 am
consumer sentiment gave the last pop and pullback, one more number in about two minutes. I will update if it is in time to be worthwhile

01 Feb 2013 09:59 am
1502.50 needs broken/held or 1500 needs broken/held.

01 Feb 2013 10:06 am
after getting two 1503.75 on the 10 AM number, pullback held 1502.50 and pop back up, pivotal level to hold, should be headed towards 1508

01 Feb 2013 10:10 am
the Dow reached 14,000 and ES reached 1507.50 before buyers backed off and/or profit-taking. Pullback should bounce from 1505.50-1505

01 Feb 2013 10:13 am
1505.50 touch,if this area doesn't give a bounce back to test/break 1507.50 high so far, 1503.50-1502.50 zone key support up here.

01 Feb 2013 10:23 am
ES turned up from 1504.75, 1 tick under support zone, that's key area to stay above, uptrend intact unless broken, but should be selling into

01 Feb 2013 10:28 am
too late to finish that before it turned back down, anyway should be selling into another pop, it's getting toppy, 1503-1502.50 must hold

01 Feb 2013 10:34 am
pressure should be on in less 1504.50 is exceeded/held at the moment here

01 Feb 2013 10:36 am
if it can hold 1502.50 and then push back above 1504.50, then could make a retest of 1506 area which should be key on upside,

01 Feb 2013 10:46 am
1505.50 area turning into resistance again, but look for one more push higher towards 1506-1506.50 or a bit higher

01 Feb 2013 10:50 am
1505.75 so far the top tick on bounce , might be bounced high if not quickly turned up from 1504.50which was acting pivotal

01 Feb 2013 10:52 am
1504.50 still is pivotal,would need to break that and then have that turned into resistance on a bounce to begin downturn to test 1403-1502.50

01 Feb 2013 11:03 am
pullback reached 1503.50 before turning back up and getting above 1504.50/holding. 1505.75-1505.25 support if a small pullback then pop up

01 Feb 2013 11:09 am
buyers backing off a bit making double top for a while if 1505.75-1505.25 area not held

01 Feb 2013 11:10 am
that must hold that there's going to be a chance to push through 1507.50-1508

01 Feb 2013 11:21 am
stalling out just under the high but a break under 1506 area needed to turn this down or still can breakout to 1508.50 area

01 Feb 2013 11:24 am
that might be it for the upside for a bit as this goes towards 1505.50-1505

01 Feb 2013 11:24 am
1503 area key support the rest of the morning, the high of the opening range, breakout when 1502.50 ISM release, and tested twice and held

01 Feb 2013 11:28 am
1505.75-1505.25 is the support zone under 1507.50-1507.25 double top, uptrend broken if that is taken out,1506.50 would be bounce resistance

01 Feb 2013 11:32 am
the Dow is touching 14,000 and backing off, coincides with the ES at the 1507 level. If that is cleared/held, door open for potential squeeze

01 Feb 2013 11:42 am
If 1508.50 cleared, then possibly up to the 1512.50 area, that would be euphoric blowoff. The VIX already dropped 10% today, sizable from

01 Feb 2013 11:43 am
where it was. Could be perfect scenario for a top if that area reached. First day of month upside bias should hold up today the way this

01 Feb 2013 11:45 am
is acting, and follow through and into Monday could get internal gauges in sell territory also. 1507 area should be support if 1508.50

01 Feb 2013 11:45 am
is going to be retested or broken

01 Feb 2013 11:48 am
gap days oftentimes turn into trend days, and as long as 1505.75-1505.25 holds on a pullback, stays trend up. could be some scalps on shorts

01 Feb 2013 11:49 am
but better odds staying with the up trend buying pullbacks unless/until trend changes

01 Feb 2013 12:02 pm
1508.50 is poked above, could come back down a bit but stay over 1507 area that was prior resistance and held after broken. 1512.50 next R

01 Feb 2013 12:08 pm
they didn't stay over 1508.50 very long, and was just poked over by 1 tick, so need to push over 1508.50 and stick above that now

01 Feb 2013 12:11 pm
1508.50 push above, so should want to hold around that area to keep thin and steady grind higher in here, otherwise getting toppy

01 Feb 2013 12:16 pm
needs to hold around 1508-1507.50 at the lowest to stay in strong trend up move. If broken,bounce that follows sold into.

01 Feb 2013 12:17 pm
15-20 minute break for me.

01 Feb 2013 12:24 pm
lunchtime high may be in place, another pop up a shorting opportunity, but shouldn't go too far so would only scalp short side if sets up.

01 Feb 2013 12:25 pm
can bounce from 1507.25, probably at the lowest, but not stick above 1508.50. back in about 15 minutes or so

01 Feb 2013 12:36 pm
support held and pop to folk and higher high at 1509.25 was sold, so far holding 1508.50, that is still bullish. No lunch time top, bad call

01 Feb 2013 12:40 pm
I should have just stayed on my break, another pop up will be sold into, almost 2 breakdown

01 Feb 2013 12:44 pm
it is the Dow cash still bumping against 14,000 and failing. The ES was at 1507 on its first 2 test,1508.25, 1509.00, and 1509.25. So, first

01 Feb 2013 12:46 pm
key support for the ES to hold is still 1507.75-1507.25. And on top, watch Dow cash or out of 14,000. If that is pushed over/held then up

01 Feb 2013 12:47 pm
to 1512.50 area. It's not far away but has some work to get there today

01 Feb 2013 01:01 pm
1508 was a bid back up to 1509 so far, the Dow just 3 points from 14,000. stays trend up as long as 1507.25 not broken, but really needs to

01 Feb 2013 01:02 pm
to get the Dow over 14,000 along with ES back above 1509 and not come right back down again.

01 Feb 2013 01:16 pm
the Dow pushed above 14,000 by almost 4 points while the ES made another token higher high, pull back should hold 1508.50-1508 area

01 Feb 2013 01:21 pm
1508.25 the pullback low, sprang back up to 1509.25 so far really needs to stay over 1507.50 at the very lowest to continue grind higher

01 Feb 2013 01:28 pm
another bounce from 1508.25, 1509.25 just under the high, the Dow is above 14,000 and holding at the moment. that along with 1507.75-1507.25

01 Feb 2013 01:30 pm
should hold if this is going to stay in a trend up mode

01 Feb 2013 01:34 pm
I need to be away or just a bit but back before 2 PM. It's a slow trend up day and stays intact unless that 1507.75-1507.25 area is broken

01 Feb 2013 01:36 pm
with an upside target around 1512.50, if thats taken out today, then there could be a bit more upside into Monday/Tuesday. Stay with uptrend

01 Feb 2013 01:56 pm
on the other pop to a token higher high at 1510 gets sold, but should stay above 1409-1408.75 to grinding higher

01 Feb 2013 02:00 pm
pretty good selling into that pop up, needs to turn back up from around 1409.25 maybe at the lowest to get another test of that area

01 Feb 2013 02:03 pm
1410.50 high just before 2 PM and sold into, this time frame often see reactions, so a drop to 1409-1408.50 not impossible

01 Feb 2013 02:05 pm
if that isn't a short-term high, needs to bounce from right around 1509 and make another push higher

01 Feb 2013 02:09 pm
a bounce attempt should be sold into, if not from another token higher high then from a reversal on test of 1510.if they break,1507.50-1507

01 Feb 2013 02:14 pm
this hasn't broken down but has been the deepest pullback since this morning and should see 1507.50-1507 on this move and then potential bounce

01 Feb 2013 02:16 pm
there can be some buying/short covering around that area. Must hold there however, or Dow slips back under 14,000

01 Feb 2013 02:28 pm
the ES able to hold on a 2 point pullback, this bounce attempt a bit more tepid, need to have NQ hit over 2762 and hold and also ES above 1510

01 Feb 2013 02:30 pm
from today's high at 1510.50, there might be 2-5 points more to go before a top, unless there is a late day breakdown. The 12.50 area can be

01 Feb 2013 02:32 pm
tested if 1510 exceeded and not turn right back down. Should have most of the beginning of month buying finished by now

01 Feb 2013 02:35 pm
a short on bounces for now, we did have the 2 PM high, 2 point pullback, then pop up sold into.a move to 1507.50-1507 would need to hold

01 Feb 2013 02:40 pm
the other timeframe for end of day move it is 2:20-2:40 PM timeframe, needs to bounce soon or pushed down to 1507.50-1507,

01 Feb 2013 02:44 pm
should be more gusto on a move higher, the last bounce was tepid with new buyers not wanting to buy top tick, this attempt has no oomph yet

01 Feb 2013 02:46 pm
people bounce reached 1409.25 and back away, need to turn up from above 1008.25 with some gusto or will see 1507.50-1507 area

01 Feb 2013 02:58 pm
bounces not sticking since 2 PM, if this doesn't turn up quickly from 1507.50-1507.25 zone and get back above 1508.50 market vulnerable

01 Feb 2013 03:01 pm
this area needs to get more than a feeble bounce, if no rebound above 1508.50 r 1507.25 not defended, we get more pullback.

01 Feb 2013 03:04 pm
1507.25 giving a bounce, but must clear 1508.50 and not turn right back down, NQ needs a move above 2760 and not turn right back down

01 Feb 2013 03:14 pm
this could get more tricky than normal in the last 45 minutes, the ES able to hold the 1507.75-1507.25 zone, not sure if this bounce fails

01 Feb 2013 03:15 pm
or if they can keep pushing higher back over 1510. Whether really liked for it to close right around here, would set up better for Monday

01 Feb 2013 03:19 pm
end of day no damage done unless 1507.25 is broken, if that occurs than would expect bounce to fail around this 1508.50 area. That might be

01 Feb 2013 03:21 pm
it for the bounce attempt. ES needs to break/stay over 1508.59 reject it again. Same with 2759-60 area on NQ

01 Feb 2013 03:23 pm
have a good weekend. I will catch you on Monday sometime around the open.

 

 

 

Thursday-January 31, 2013

(time stamps are EST)

 

31 Jan 2013 09:25 am
I have a case of the stupids, I thought Tuesday was Wednesday and yesterday thought it was Thursday, so no Employment report. I also

31 Jan 2013 09:27 am
Behind on answering email, and will try to get that answered by this evening. As for the ES, it reached 91.25 major area and bounced

31 Jan 2013 09:29 am
but still see this as two-sided day and still vulnerable, needs to get back over 1498 area and hold to take some pressure off this morning

31 Jan 2013 09:36 am
pressure doesn't come off unless 96 is taken out, at the least.could see 91-90 if doesn't turn up from 93

31 Jan 2013 09:41 am
94.50 area should hold on a dip if there's going to be a move higher

31 Jan 2013 09:44 am
Chicago PMI may have been released early, ES took off from pullback to 94.75, 98.50 Resistance, 96 areas support

31 Jan 2013 09:49 am
should pull back towards 97.50-97, and then turn right back up is going to stay strong

31 Jan 2013 09:59 am
1500 rejected, 98 was able to hold on a small dip,if broken then 97-96.50 support

31 Jan 2013 10:06 am
just above 97-96.50, will need to turn up through 97.75-98 with some gusto if going to try for 1500, and not head lower instead

31 Jan 2013 10:10 am
bounce off of 97 but still needs to push above 98 with some power, right now it looks like sellers waiting above

31 Jan 2013 10:12 am
a decent bid back up but should be hard to get through 1500-1500.50, a lower high that turns down could start decent pullback

31 Jan 2013 10:17 am
another popup should be sold into also, good sellers at the 1499-1500 area would need pushed above. 96 support than 95 more important,

31 Jan 2013 10:25 am
a bounce from 95.75 that should be a key area, if this stays under 97.50 and breaks 95.75 could be on the way to the low or lower

31 Jan 2013 10:27 am
it's a little stair stepped down type of pattern, not brokento the upside unless 97 is broken/held on a dip

31 Jan 2013 10:35 am
buying on the retest of 95 we are ES was when Chicago PMI release early, sellers were around 99, and stay in this range is that's not pushed through

31 Jan 2013 10:44 am
another little pop-up that stays under 97 should mean breaking 95 and going back to test/break early low

31 Jan 2013 10:48 am
for 25 minutes the ES has been holding 95.75-95.25 on pullback,but unable to get above 98. Needs to make a decision in break this range soon

31 Jan 2013 10:54 am
unless there are some shorts trapped just below, this can continue going lower now towards 93

31 Jan 2013 10:55 am
if not, a pop-up still has the resistance that 97 area and likely sold into

31 Jan 2013 11:02 am
93.50-93 area next - 95.50-96 is bounce resistance that should not be cleared if going to get there or lower

31 Jan 2013 11:12 am
a bounce up to 95.50 sold, and 93.50 pullback low so far, this continues unless 95.50 is cleared/held on a dip. 91.25-90.50 major area today

31 Jan 2013 11:19 am
93.00 support was reached and being bid up from there at the moment. Does not have much oomph, need to get above 95-95.50 to change trend

31 Jan 2013 11:24 am
possible double bottom but not acting superstrong off of 93, should see pullback from 95 area or if not double bottom then more likely

31 Jan 2013 11:30 am
95 tested and rejected so far, keeps downside intact

31 Jan 2013 11:30 am
if 93 is broken and doesn't turn right back up, then 91.25-90.50 area can be tested.major area also tested on Globex, jobless claims release

31 Jan 2013 11:34 am
a bounce should take out 93.50, 94.25 area,that the highest, to keep heading to 91.25-90.50 area

31 Jan 2013 11:42 am
the bounces have been about 2 points on the ES before going back down again,a move over 94 and could begin to change direction. 95 pivotal

31 Jan 2013 11:53 am
bounce failed just under 95, needs to hold 93.50, or could revisit the low or lower. 95 still pivotal, must be cleared/held to get turned up

31 Jan 2013 12:08 pm
ES in a 3 point range since 11:30 AM, 95.00 pivotal resistance on top and 92.00, which is just over a major area, on the bottom. a pullback

31 Jan 2013 12:09 pm
needs to hold 93.50, and cute needs to avoid rolling over again, or back towards 92 or a bit lower

31 Jan 2013 12:14 pm
the ES went to 93.25 and turned right back, there has been a good bid at 93.25-92.75, if that can hold on another dip, chance of getting to

31 Jan 2013 12:15 pm
95 area or higher if wants to attempt a breakout of 45 minute range

31 Jan 2013 12:18 pm
a pullback should stay above 94.50, 94.00 lowest, to continue new uptrend and get another push higher

31 Jan 2013 12:27 pm
94.25 pullback low so far, not a strong bid back up but avoids another leg down towards 93.50-93 if held. Needs a push higher soon

31 Jan 2013 12:40 pm
94.00 was bought and retest of 95.50, if this fails and 94 broken, then pattern breaks. But pretty good bid on the decent pullbacks, 94 key

31 Jan 2013 12:48 pm
the move-up from 94 new support is holding 95, that keeps it in bullish position to move back towards 97.50-98.00 next

31 Jan 2013 12:50 pm
95.50-95.00 is now key support on a pullback, that has been pivotal this morning and 94 on a smaller scale just below that.

31 Jan 2013 01:05 pm
so far the bounce fell just shy of 1497, backing off a bit, if 95.50-95 area is not held, then a bounce that follows should set up short for

31 Jan 2013 01:06 pm
another pullback that goes back down towards 94 which was prior support area and had decent buyers there

31 Jan 2013 01:13 pm
market having a struggle just under 97 on the ES, a break back under 95.50-95 would turn this back down, kind of a key juncture here

31 Jan 2013 01:19 pm
94.50 held on the dip so far, should climb higher if that's going to be pivotal this afternoon and stay bullish to 97.50-98

31 Jan 2013 01:26 pm
turning into good selling from just under 97,another move up to 96.25 that is turned away again should start downdraft, or breaking 95.50-95

31 Jan 2013 01:33 pm
95.00 will need to be a pullback low, along with 2729 area on the NQ. 97.50-98 still possible if held, but needs push above 96.25 not reverse

31 Jan 2013 01:40 pm
96.25 tested, no push through, that's necessary to get upside going, I'll avoid breaking 95 and 2729 on the NQ

31 Jan 2013 01:43 pm
if 96 is able to hold, still keeps 97.50-98 as a target/resistance on the upside, that should be key on one more pop up

31 Jan 2013 01:46 pm
almost to the 97.50-98 area, pullback needs to stay over 96.25

31 Jan 2013 01:50 pm
ES missed 97.50-98 by just 1 tick but can continue a higher unless 96.25 area broken and not turned right back up

31 Jan 2013 01:52 pm
I need to take a 10-15 minute break. Haven't been away from having 2 eyes on the screen since pre-open

31 Jan 2013 02:06 pm
top is an up here for a while if another bounce it's a shorting opportunity under 97.50-98 area

31 Jan 2013 02:09 pm
can bounce from that 95.50-95 area at the lowest, but 96.50-96.75 should be sold into if reached, 2730.50-2731.50 on NQ

31 Jan 2013 02:24 pm
2730.50 on the NQ was sold, ES not quite to 96.50-96.75, if this is going to keep grinding higher, and avoid potential breakdown, 95 pivotal

31 Jan 2013 02:26 pm
level needs held, that is a pivotal support this afternoon. Should see sellers around 97.50-98 if this upside continues

31 Jan 2013 02:33 pm
finally to 97.50-98, 96.50 days to hold as pullback support now,

31 Jan 2013 02:36 pm
careful trying to short this, it has been slow grind higher with the sporadic 5-15 minute sprint higher. Could pullback, but not too far

31 Jan 2013 02:38 pm
before buying comes back in again. If 97-96.50 is reached, that might be too far of a pullback and then mean that a bounce after will fail

31 Jan 2013 02:46 pm
so far just a small pullback to 97.50, so no damage done to uptrend, 97.00 should not be broken or this will be a high, 99.50-1500 next R

31 Jan 2013 02:47 pm
if there is 1 more push higher from 97.50-97.25. that area needs to hold it there is going to be another run up

31 Jan 2013 02:50 pm
if they break down, 96.50 small support and then 95.50-95.00 zone the pivotal support that must hold. If that is broken, then rolls over

31 Jan 2013 02:59 pm
trying to base out at 97.50, can be a start of break towards 96.50 if not able to hold, looks under pressure under 98-98.50 for now

31 Jan 2013 03:03 pm
good selling at 97.50-98.25zone on ES and the 273525-2736.75 area on NQ, would be an excellent short on bounce that stalls/rejected on popup

31 Jan 2013 03:05 pm
higher highs and higher lows also broken with 95.50-95 unable to hold,confirms breakdown in selling into any bounce

31 Jan 2013 03:12 pm
if they get back to 97-97.50 on ES and around 2733-34 on the NQ (or a bit lower on both) they should be sold back down, should not exceed 98

31 Jan 2013 03:13 pm
96 might be it on the ES, or just a tiny bit higher if there is another pop up, but shouldn't go much further, could see 94 at least

31 Jan 2013 03:23 pm
96 was tested again and turned away again if that is exceeded then a push up to 97 area possible - should be sellers around there if reached

31 Jan 2013 03:24 pm
and still 94 area can be in the cards, maybe down towards 93 if downside gets momentum

31 Jan 2013 03:29 pm
94 was reached and quickly turned to back up, with 30 minutes left that will need to hold or retreat back towards this mornings low

31 Jan 2013 03:31 pm
ES staying under 95-95.50 area should keep pressure on, or off if that is exceeded/held on a dip. should be important in the last 30 minutes

31 Jan 2013 03:33 pm
double bottom at 3:30 PM must hold, can give short covering move higher than less broken. 95 support should hold to stay above 94 low

31 Jan 2013 03:37 pm
have a good rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow near the open.S/R should apply on Globex pre-stock open. mkt still week. Take care
 

 

 

Wednesday-January 30, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

30 Jan 2013 09:46 am
lower open bid right back up from 1501 key support, 1504 area shouldn't be broken or a reversal, sellers just above

30 Jan 2013 09:50 am
if 1504 is broken, 1503.25 would be next. needs a push above yesterday's high and not turn right back down

30 Jan 2013 09:56 am
good offer at 1505.50, 1503.25 held so far but should still be sellers 1505-1505.50 area, that area would need broken/held

30 Jan 2013 10:03 am
4.50 point bounce from key support to a double top on the futures at 1505.50, 1503.50 area resistance on bounce. Damage done if 1501 not defended

30 Jan 2013 10:05 am
1498.25-1497.50 zone was tested before the open and if 1501 not quickly reversed up it should get a test

30 Jan 2013 10:12 am
trying to hold just over 1500, but not much upside before pushing lower again, 1502-1502.50 small resistance, 1504 should be strong area

30 Jan 2013 10:16 am
1502.25 sold, pressure still on, a break 1500 sends them towards98.50-97.50, and that should give reversal back up, or bounce attempt

30 Jan 2013 10:19 am
pretty good buying just above 1500.50 on the pullback, need a push above 1502.50 though to take pressure off and make a pullback a by instead of

30 Jan 2013 10:22 am
the other way around. 1502-1502.50 sold three times, a break of 50.50 should mean 98.50-97.50 area

30 Jan 2013 10:33 am
the ES went from support to resistance and back down to 1 tick under 1501.bounce sold at 1502.25 new R, 99.25 low so far, bounce needs to

30 Jan 2013 10:35 am
stay over 1500, and get above 1501.50-1502 area to take some pressure off. Still vulnerable under that

30 Jan 2013 10:39 am
should head for 98.50-97.50 area before a short cover bounce 1501 held under, also helps if NQ stays weak

30 Jan 2013 10:44 am
98.75 low so far, still need to get back above 1501, thats going to be pivotal this morning, now resistance

30 Jan 2013 10:54 am
test of 1501 pullback from there so far, but if broken/held then 1502.50 next resistance that needs clear to get out of trouble

30 Jan 2013 11:02 am
we have had good early movement lately, then after the first 60-90 minutes things slow down. 1501 reached, pullback should hold 1500 @worst

30 Jan 2013 11:13 am
1501 pushed above and 1502.50 reached on the bounce, pull backneeds to bounce from 1501 or it least day above that to avoid turning back down

30 Jan 2013 11:26 am
so far market has gone by the numbers, bounce finding sellers, a break of 1501 should get bid up a bit, then come down again if 1502.50

30 Jan 2013 11:28 am
is not pushed above, then hold 1502 on a dip

30 Jan 2013 11:30 am
NOTE: I will be away today from around 12:15 PM until 1:15 PM. Shouldn't miss much if that is a dead time pre-Fed

30 Jan 2013 11:32 am
1501 is still holding, that is a transition area, was he coming in to the day and has acted bearish under and bullish above mostly. So now

30 Jan 2013 11:34 am
needs to get a pushed back over 1502.50 on this move and try to extend upside towards 1504. Another failure at 1502.50 with need a bounce on tiny tip

30 Jan 2013 11:35 am
tiny dip no further than 1501.75-1501.50 to have a chance pushing higher

30 Jan 2013 11:39 am
1503.50-1504 is the next resistance, 52.25-52 area should hold on a pullback to keep upside intact. Kind of a "normal" day so far.

30 Jan 2013 11:40 am
there will be sellers at higher prices, but for now no damage done unless 1501 on ES and 2741 on NQ are held

30 Jan 2013 11:47 am
bounce from 1502.25-1502 pullback support,if pullback goes much further, then bounced that follows likely sold on way back to 1501

30 Jan 2013 11:55 am
1502 is holding, but at the moment buyers backing away at 1503, but if pushed through then possibly to 1504-1504.50 and then likely pullback

30 Jan 2013 12:01 pm
lost gas under 1503 on the ES and 2748 on the NQ, a bounce should stay under those and retest 1501, which must give bounce to avoid drop

30 Jan 2013 12:11 pm
break under 1502 gave a 3 tick bounce that reversed and down to 1501.25 so far, another bounce should fail under 1503 the way this looks, if not

30 Jan 2013 12:12 pm
1504-1504.50 area would be next. I need to be away for about an hour, I will update as soon as I return

30 Jan 2013 01:11 pm
a decent bounce from one tick under 1500, as long as 1502.50 hold it could get to 1504-1504.30 then turns back. 1502.50 key

30 Jan 2013 01:20 pm
the NQ having a bigger move and leaving the ES a bit, next pop up should be sold into, 1500.75 is important on the ES, 2737.50 on the NQ

30 Jan 2013 01:29 pm
NQ at a bounce resistance, the ES back to tests 1503.50 bounce high area. A split market harder to read. However, pullback low made 70 min

30 Jan 2013 01:31 pm
all pullbacks, even a decent run back to 1500, have been bought-though not aggressively as its just a 3.50 point bounce so far. another dip

30 Jan 2013 01:32 pm
should stay over 1502 if going to try to nudge a bit higher before the Fed release and about 45 minutes

30 Jan 2013 01:46 pm
1503.50 has been bounce high for about 45 minutes, pullback low at 1502 would need instant bounce, or can be breaking down before Fed release

30 Jan 2013 01:58 pm
the Fed release in about 15 minutes, could be bounce back up from 1502 area, but now bounces not wanting to stick and better shorts most likely

30 Jan 2013 02:00 pm
Dow on its way down, the NQ is holding up better than the blue chips which hasn't been the case for a while. I will update near Fed release

30 Jan 2013 02:17 pm
Fed announcement, initial move down a bounce back should occur but gets sold into at higher prices, that's the normal pattern , we will see here

30 Jan 2013 02:24 pm
at these levels up here there's not going be a rally that can stick, selling into strength after double top, 98.50-97.50 key support

30 Jan 2013 02:27 pm
stayed above early low so far but needs to get above 1501 at least to get a bump up towards 1503-1504 possibly

30 Jan 2013 02:28 pm
a very mutated response to the Fed decision and commentary, if this fails around 1501-1501.50, there could be another push down before bottom

30 Jan 2013 02:31 pm
1501.50 barely exceeded and at logical resistance around it 01.50, needs cleared/held or getting another pullback here

30 Jan 2013 02:35 pm
got a quick pullback,bounce back. 1500 a support and could be bounce attempt if tested again, and reversed back up.

30 Jan 2013 02:38 pm
1500 reached and a small bounce attempt so far, down to 98.25-97.50 if the 99.25-98.75 low area is broken through, then could spring back

30 Jan 2013 02:42 pm
99.75 was held, ridiculous how tight the ranges are, upside appears limited, but may not be if that holds as double bottom and 1501.50 exceeded

30 Jan 2013 02:46 pm
another reversal at 1501.75, sellers on all of the pop ups today in this range with profit taking in the lungs underwater selling, next ounce

30 Jan 2013 02:47 pm
will also fail, should go for the 98.25-97.50 area, could bounce there but not stick, buyers backing away at these levels

30 Jan 2013 03:00 pm
a bounce from 1498.25-1497.50 support doesn't have much gusto yet, back above 1501.50 and hold needed on this move up, bounce should be sold

30 Jan 2013 03:01 pm
though that could be the low for the day if 1499.50 is not broken on pullback from 1500.50-1501 area

30 Jan 2013 03:04 pm
I must leave a bit early today, and tonights update will be short.apologies. Things have changed and should pullback a bit more before

30 Jan 2013 03:07 pm
decent bounce can occur, didn't have a chance to get folks into swing trade on short side, maybe a good thing in front of employment data

30 Jan 2013 03:08 pm
have a good rest of the day, I will see you here tomorrow morning hopefully closer to the open then today. 1401.50 still key end of day

30 Jan 2013 03:09 pm
and the 98.25-97.50 area on the downside. Take care

 

 

 

Tuesday-January 29, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

29 Jan 2013 09:22 am
good morning. the ES traded from resistance down to support, and now the 95-99.50 prior support is new resistance.

29 Jan 2013 09:25 am
a note, this afternoon are I will be away from around 12:15 PM until 1:15 PM. Apologies for the longer break time.

29 Jan 2013 09:27 am
Consumer Confidence at 10 AM should be important number this morning, maybe a reason for a decent move

29 Jan 2013 09:37 am
ES needs to be clear 96 and NQ clear 2731.50 it is weaker early on. PS small support 94.50

29 Jan 2013 09:41 am
94.50 was held, but should be some selling into strength and then another pullback would need to still hold that area

29 Jan 2013 09:53 am
pullback held 94.50, and more short cover on move over 95.75, a pullback should hold 95.50, orwill be hard getting back up towards 1498-1500

29 Jan 2013 09:55 am
consumer confidence in about four minutes

29 Jan 2013 09:59 am
if they are going to get over 1498-1500 area 96 area needs to hold on consumer confidence number and spring higher.

29 Jan 2013 10:08 am
Consumer confidence number worse than expected expected and a bounce sold 91.25-90.50

29 Jan 2013 10:13 am
The early low taken out by one tick and then turned back up, 95.50-96 should not be cleared/held

29 Jan 2013 10:14 am
If it is, then they run up to test the high area possible again

29 Jan 2013 10:21 am
Pausing at the 95.50-96 area and push through to test the high, 95.50 pivotal if they pull back there again

29 Jan 2013 10:26 am
Double bottom and double top, If 96.50 is held, a chance to poke over 98, but likely turned back down from 99.

29 Jan 2013 10:30 am
96.50 broken, if a dip down to 95.75-95.50 gets turned right back up, then good go back up one more time but

29 Jan 2013 10:32 am
So many rejections at resistance, the 1498-1500 area needs broken through and not turned right back down

29 Jan 2013 10:37 am
95.50 was touched 2 times, no follow-through on bounce attempt, must get over 96.50 soon or

29 Jan 2013 10:38 am
Heading back towards 94.25 or maybe test/break double bottom if it gets momentum

29 Jan 2013 10:47 am
96 was taken out and back up to test the high, 5 times up here counting 2 times yesterday afternoon

29 Jan 2013 10:49 am
If 96.50 holds then they could push to 99.50-1500.50 and then pullback again. If 96.50 area not bid 95

29 Jan 2013 10:56 am
96.50 able to hold and now best chance to push up to 99.50-1500.50. Another failure, break 96.75, can break this

29 Jan 2013 11:03 am
If not going to punch through 98, then should be sold back down but need to break/hold 96.50

29 Jan 2013 11:07 am
96.75 was a bid back up, that must hold along with 2727 area on the NQ to avoid reversal again

29 Jan 2013 11:18 am
I missed on that as they took out 96.75 but quickly turned back up, again to test 98 area. Should go through

29 Jan 2013 11:18 am
And go for 99.50-1500 then turn back down.

29 Jan 2013 11:21 am
Finally took out 98 and so far just missed 99.50-00.50 area, 97.50-97 area needs to hold on a pullback

29 Jan 2013 11:25 am
1500 was tested and now pull back must hold 98.50-98 old high area today to avoid breaking down a bit

29 Jan 2013 11:33 am
Needs to hold 1500, if broken and that turned right back up then 98.50-98.00 important to hold

29 Jan 2013 11:37 am
Popped over 50.50 up to 51.00, needs to be bid back up from 99.50 area, that breaks then 98.5-98 key

29 Jan 2013 11:52 am
1499.75 pullback low but didn't stay there very long, market currently comfortable about 1500

29 Jan 2013 11:53 am
But if 1500 broken again, then another pop up that follows should be sold into for a better pullback

29 Jan 2013 11:56 am
ES has been in a 1.25 point range for 25 minutes, should breakout of this soon.

29 Jan 2013 12:01 pm
A move back to 98.50-97.75 area should be bid back up if reached to keep door open for

29 Jan 2013 12:02 pm
another move back up to this area. It's struggling up here and could see that area staying under 1501

29 Jan 2013 12:07 pm
There is a double top/123 top, 99.25 small support for a pop up, if broken then down to 98.15-98.00 area should be key

29 Jan 2013 12:12 pm
1449.25 holding but should be sold into, should not take out the high, else 1502.50, but test 98.50-97.75

29 Jan 2013 12:13 pm
If 99.25 broken, also 2736-35 on the NQ

29 Jan 2013 12:20 pm
The heat is on the NQ on the moment and the ES should follow pretty soon

29 Jan 2013 12:22 pm
The better the bounce the better the shorting opportunity at the moment, another pop up on the NQ a short

29 Jan 2013 12:26 pm
ES holding under 50.25 unless it exceeded can to go for 98.50-97.75, must hold around there if going to come back up to 1500

29 Jan 2013 12:28 pm
NQ bounce just missed last trapped at 2735.75 when ES popped, they should get in sync

29 Jan 2013 12:40 pm
ES based out at 99.25, and just got above 1500.25, a pullback should stay above 99.25 at worst to keep upside going

29 Jan 2013 12:41 pm
Pullback should hold 1500.25-1500.00 and pop right back up and take out 1501 high before selling

29 Jan 2013 12:45 pm
Pop over 51 was sold immediately and still needs to hold 50.50-50.00 area to get another push higher.

29 Jan 2013 12:51 pm
After the early drop Pop and drop was turned up, a long stall at 98.00 old resistance broken/held and in trend up

29 Jan 2013 12:52 pm
To the 1502.50-1503.50 zone, if there is going to be a pullback it should be from that area. However, the uptrend

29 Jan 2013 12:53 pm
Will stay intact as long as 50.50 area holds, or 99 area at the lowest.

29 Jan 2013 12:55 pm
FYI, appointment that was to be from 12:15 PM until 1:15 PM has been put off until tomorrow at that time. Sorry for any confusion

29 Jan 2013 12:58 pm
That may be an afternoon high and they break the trend of action if this takes out 1500.50.

29 Jan 2013 12:59 pm
1502.50-1503.50 should be seen the latest is acting and able to break/hold 1500, things change if broken

29 Jan 2013 01:01 pm
If they are going to push up there, it should happen off of that 51.00 dip that was just made. NQ running out of steam

29 Jan 2013 01:06 pm
Made it to the 1502.50-1503.50 zone, should see some pullback but needs to stay over 1501 to stay strong and trend up day

29 Jan 2013 01:11 pm
1501 was prior double top before the small pullback based out at 99.25. Other support there also. Must hold or go towards

29 Jan 2013 01:12 pm
1500.25 and then test/break 1499.25-1498.50 area

29 Jan 2013 01:22 pm
Fullback held 1501.00 so far, so far held for about 25 minutes. Didn't stay over 1502.54 very long, but

29 Jan 2013 01:25 pm
If 1501 is broken, it will change short-term dynamics, and put 99.50 back in the picture.

29 Jan 2013 01:26 pm
Market getting top be looking and though there could be a bounce from 51 I think that the 1502.50 needs to be taken out

29 Jan 2013 01:27 pm
And that 1502.50-1503.50 is an important area, if not able to stay up here this afternoon

29 Jan 2013 01:34 pm
Pullbacks held 1501.25 keeping up trend alive, 1501 minor support, 99.25 support under that. 98 area very important today

29 Jan 2013 01:38 pm
If another push over 1502.50 only has a small dip to around 1501.50 at lowest, then should continue up to 1503.50 area next

29 Jan 2013 01:40 pm
Coming into today I felt that a pop over 1500.50 would get quickly reversed, but it has been trend up

29 Jan 2013 01:40 pm
and there was only a small pullback to 99.75 that turned right back up, so basically held 1500. If not for

29 Jan 2013 01:41 pm
This trend up action with all dips being bought, I would be looking to short this area, but for now

29 Jan 2013 01:43 pm
This is not a move to go against it, unless for a quick and small scalp. Would need break of trend up today

29 Jan 2013 01:44 pm
To do much on the short side for now, new highs are being sold so that could be a scalp against 1503.50 if another push higher.

29 Jan 2013 01:45 pm
To keep going strong this should now stay above 1501.75 probably at the lowest, otherwise dynamics could be changing

29 Jan 2013 01:48 pm
The NQ just tested its high that was made before noon for the second time 2740.50 early high, that will need taken out to keep things in sync

29 Jan 2013 01:51 pm
1501.25-1501.00 a key support on this pullback, next support should be sold into

29 Jan 2013 02:02 pm
Pullback held at 1501.25, ES testing its high while the NQ backed away from its early high for the fourth time

29 Jan 2013 02:02 pm
But unless 1501.25-1501.00 is broken the trend up move can continue

29 Jan 2013 02:04 pm
Token higher high should be sold into, pullback 1.00-1.75 points if this symmetry continues on upside

29 Jan 2013 02:09 pm
Just a 3 tick pullback off of new high, stays strong above 1502.25 area on a dip


29 Jan 2013 02:12 pm
1503.50 token higher high again, 1502.15-1501.75 pullback support that needs to hold

29 Jan 2013 02:13 pm
A 1.00 point pullback was bid back up so far, that area needs help or there will be a test of the 1401.25 key area

29 Jan 2013 02:14 pm
Trend update so far right to the top of the 1402.50-1403.50 resistance zone, that area should be hard to get above and hold

29 Jan 2013 02:15 pm
The market is still in a trend up mode but that could be a top for a while, that NQ failed 5 times at early high also

29 Jan 2013 02:15 pm
That after a ~10 minute break.

29 Jan 2013 02:29 pm
On a bigger timeframe the NQ failed on 2 tests of the early high, but at least 4 once smaller time frame and

29 Jan 2013 02:30 pm
Top is in on that index for today, ES action not looking as good staying under 1502.50 after reaching 1503.50

29 Jan 2013 02:33 pm
1501.00 should be pivotal, if broken and not quickly turned back up, then a move back under 99.75-99.25, so 1501

29 Jan 2013 02:35 pm
Is as far as a pullback should go or the trend up day will be over, a high probably in but 1501 key

29 Jan 2013 02:51 pm
Bounce attempts on the ES and NQ, but didn't stick, need a hold over 1501.50 and 2735 on NQ

29 Jan 2013 02:52 pm
NQ is probably the better vehicle to trade but that's your choice, 2739-2740 has been rejected a bunch and also

29 Jan 2013 02:53 pm
ES turned it down from 1503.50 resistance and a bounce failed so far. The ES would need to break/hold over 1502.50-1503

29 Jan 2013 02:54 pm
To avoid more downside, and end the day on a really strong note.

29 Jan 2013 03:00 pm
Need to have a convincing break back under 1501 for this to have some damage done. So far its just a 2.00 point pullback

29 Jan 2013 03:10 pm
ES been choppy churning in a 2.25 pt range since 2 PM, 1503.50 still the key R, 1501 key S. No damage done unless 1501 broken

29 Jan 2013 03:12 pm
Top was made around 2 PM, 2.25 point pullback low made just after 3 PM, a pullback will be bought as this looks like

29 Jan 2013 03:16 pm
Token higher high sold down 1.25 point so far, holding 1502.50 can keep this in bullish mode for another token higher high

29 Jan 2013 03:20 pm
If this makes a lower high around 03.50, then breaks/hold under 02.50, a push down to 1501 then snapback. If higher high, should be sold

29 Jan 2013 03:24 pm
Test of a high sold into but if 1502.50 is held there can be one more try to get upside going

29 Jan 2013 03:26 pm
There hasn't been buying on every dip today so as long as 1502.50 is not broken this can continue moving up, but a break of that would

29 Jan 2013 03:28 pm
Changed things a bit, and then 1501 area could get a test and that is key area on any pullback. Thats about it for today, not surprised if

29 Jan 2013 03:29 pm
The trend a day gets a push towards 1506 as long as 1503-1502.50 area is not broken. Shouldn't go further today

29 Jan 2013 03:30 pm
Have a nice rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow morning but most likely about ~10 minutes after stocks open. Take care

 

 

 

Monday-January 28, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

28 Jan 2013 09:30 am
overnight low that support and a rally to 1500 which was touched and backed away, that needs cleared held else 97.50 at least

28 Jan 2013 09:37 am
selling into strength at last weeks high and just under 1500 round number, need brake/hold 98 for a pop up, 96 small support 94.25 key

28 Jan 2013 09:51 am
back away from 98, where there was a good offer, then 96.50 small double bottom - so vulnerable under 98

28 Jan 2013 09:55 am
where do you get back above 96.75-97.25 then turn right back down, that is bounced resistance, a housing number in five minutes

28 Jan 2013 09:57 am
the NQan ES going completely different ways ES from high to low and NQ from low to high. That should be straightened out soon, first 40 min

28 Jan 2013 10:03 am
94.25-93.75 support needs held and then take out 96-96.50 just to get to neutral and possibly better move higher, ES not looking good otherwise

28 Jan 2013 10:08 am
the NQ turned out from a key resistance around 2743, that could add pressure if a top there also, initial support broken so 92.50

28 Jan 2013 10:17 am
92.50 was a minor area and could be on the way to the 90-89 area and then possibly countertrend move, but per last week swing trade short

28 Jan 2013 10:20 am
for a pullback that lasts a few days in order. But want to lock-in some profit down around 90-89. Was a decent bid off 91.25, 94.50 resist

28 Jan 2013 10:27 am
almost to the 94.50 R, should stay above 93-92.50 area at worst to keep uptrend off of low intact, 94.50-95.00 area pivotal

28 Jan 2013 10:38 am
94.50-95 area reached and spending its wheels, 93.50 pullback support would need to pop up on a test of that area, 2736 area on the NQ

28 Jan 2013 10:43 am
93.50 on the ES and 2736 on the NQ both were bid back up, now must get above 95 if there's going to be any more upside

28 Jan 2013 10:50 am
96.50- 97 resistance for pullback that needs to hold 95-94.50 at the lowest to keep from being just countertrend bounce, looks like low

28 Jan 2013 11:09 am
Not able to get over 96 but in a stairstep up unless 94 broken, NQ back at its high/resistance

28 Jan 2013 11:15 am
this This is not a bullish pattern, prone to decent break if 94 taken out on pullback/drop. Then a pop up will be sold. Pressure under 96

28 Jan 2013 11:36 am
94.25 last pullback low , this can avoid turning umless broken. 96-95.50 S

28 Jan 2013 12:15 pm
Hi Everybody, this is Julie. Mike is having some computer problems. He hopes to be with you very shortly.

28 Jan 2013 12:49 pm
Okay, I will need to do my best with very slow voice software and a few other issue that pullback bounced from 95.50 but can back towards

28 Jan 2013 12:57 pm
Still a buy the dip action unless 95.75-95.50 not held on a pullback but need to get over 97/hold

28 Jan 2013 01:03 pm
Sell under 97, NQ may be a better short on a pop, ES should not get over 97 and hold, 2743 on the NQ

28 Jan 2013 01:20 pm
a bounce from 94.75 to 95.75 was sold right back down, and unless 95.75 cleared/held this can still go of the lower to the 94-93.50 area

28 Jan 2013 01:36 pm
94.00 was reached and getting a bounce that needs to get over 96.75 area to break downtrend

28 Jan 2013 01:44 pm
94 area should be important low to stay above to avoid potential drop towards 92.50, 97 still bounce resistance

28 Jan 2013 01:53 pm
Sellers here, need a bounce from 95 with some gusto

28 Jan 2013 02:05 pm
uptrend holds unless 95.50-95 broken on pullback from 96.50-97

28 Jan 2013 02:12 pm
There could be another rejection of 1499-1500, but will need to get their first. A hold over 96 keeps this going

28 Jan 2013 02:20 pm
If this is going to stay in grind higher mode and not turn back down then should stay of up to 96.75

28 Jan 2013 02:20 pm
Area on a pullback, much more than that and 97.75 could turn into a top

28 Jan 2013 02:31 pm
ES fell to 96.50 and turned right back up and NQ can lead this higher, dollar cash 13,900

28 Jan 2013 02:32 pm
Thats the Dow cash resistance at 13,900, was early high and and double top there. So most clear that and

28 Jan 2013 02:34 pm
Not turn right back down, as there have been sellers up between 97.75 and 99.50 3 days now

28 Jan 2013 02:35 pm
96.50 should be more important now that another potential double top in place,

28 Jan 2013 02:36 pm
Another push lower well-being to quickly turn back up again from around 96.50, or going towards 95 area

28 Jan 2013 02:43 pm
Buying again at 96.50, keeps the market from turning down, upside could get a poke towards 99.00-1500.50

28 Jan 2013 02:44 pm
If that 96.50 area is able to hold it they go there a third time. Needs to punch through 97.75 on this move

28 Jan 2013 02:47 pm
Should be very difficult making a good push higher that will be able to stick. Should see selling into strength

28 Jan 2013 02:48 pm
On push to the 1499-1500 area on this leg up

28 Jan 2013 02:51 pm
98.00 sold, but should hold 97.25 and turn up on a small dip to have a chance of popping through

28 Jan 2013 03:03 pm
Holding 97.25 can keep this grinding higher and get to the 99-1500 area before backing off, at least should

28 Jan 2013 03:04 pm
Have difficulty getting through 1499.50 early high and 1500.00 Globex high shortly before 9:30 AM open

28 Jan 2013 03:05 pm
The pullbacks have only been about 1.00-1.25 points on the ES before pushing higher, and stays

28 Jan 2013 03:07 pm
Away from a potential reversal up here as long as 97.25 area is held. Much more than that and

28 Jan 2013 03:07 pm
The market could get a little soft and start heading lower from up here

28 Jan 2013 03:08 pm
That should be it for this rally, or another pop-up will be sold if there is one

28 Jan 2013 03:10 pm
selling started top of the hour, more than normal due, 96.50 should be key support, if broken must quickly turn back up

28 Jan 2013 03:12 pm
If they can hold 96.50 and make a move back towards 97.75-98 area, a stall or some rejection gives another pullback

28 Jan 2013 03:16 pm
The ES will need to in the day about 98 or a bit higher for the S&P 500 cash to close up 9 straight days

28 Jan 2013 03:19 pm
96.50 key support end of day, and 98.50 area on top, possibly poke up towards 99.50-1500 before rejection

28 Jan 2013 03:20 pm
But doubt that occur, look for this pop up to be sold into

28 Jan 2013 03:22 pm
95.25 small support, 94 area key support if this continues lower.

28 Jan 2013 03:23 pm
If they bounce back towards 97.25-97.75, that should be sold into, but will take some work getting back there

28 Jan 2013 03:28 pm
95.25 broken by 1 tick, so far, still should see decent bounce sold into end of day. 97-98 good R

28 Jan 2013 03:30 pm
So far today it was Down, up, down, up, and back down. A move over 97-97.50 at least to turn back up

28 Jan 2013 03:31 pm
Have a nice rest of your day. I will catch you tomorrow morning sometime around the open. Take care

 

 

Friday-January 25, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

25 Jan 2013 09:32 am
the ES rallied from 86.75 support area to 97.50 big resistance area overnight, if no bounce from 93.75 down to 92.50 area. 96 needs cleared

25 Jan 2013 09:34 am
95 small resistance here but if that is not clear in 93.75 brokenthis can still push lower towards 92.50

25 Jan 2013 09:38 am
95 cleared easily, that is pivotal. 96 looks important, if pushed above they could spike up to 97.50-98 area and probably turned back

25 Jan 2013 09:43 am
pull back from 96 reversed up from 94.75,still is a pivotal area. A push up to 97.50-98 area should be sold into. 95.25 support

25 Jan 2013 09:46 am
97.25 was promptly sold, buyers backed off and longs look for an exit, needs to stay over 95.50-95, or next bouncewould also fail

25 Jan 2013 09:48 am
95.25 bid back up a bit, that's as far as a pullback should go,also watch 2730 on the NQ, that could be a pivotal level there

25 Jan 2013 09:52 am
rejection of 97.25 should mean a top in place, or should be sellers if it gets back up there. a number at 10 AM, if 94 holds could there

25 Jan 2013 09:56 am
NQ opposite of yesterday, much stronger than ES so far. The ES is moving with the Dow again, but NQ could become leader. 95.50 needs to hold

25 Jan 2013 09:59 am
if 96 holds in the NQ stays in uptrend, the new home sales number could give a pop to 1500. No reversal back up from 96 area could be turning

25 Jan 2013 10:00 am
number out, 96 broken, need a move above 96 to get one more pop up but would be sold into

25 Jan 2013 10:05 am
92.50 is a key level and down to 91.25 if broken. 95.50 needs cleared/held to get a bit higher towards 96.50 area

25 Jan 2013 10:09 am
95.50-96 area should be sold if going lower, and NQ stay under 2738 otherwise good run back towards the high if cleared

25 Jan 2013 10:14 am
95.75 bounce high so far in the NQ flat but toppy,under pressure under 95.50-96 on ES

25 Jan 2013 10:22 am
so far a good bid between 94-93.50, and good offer between 95.50-96.00. choppy with quick moves both ways, stalling 95.50 and needs push soon

25 Jan 2013 10:25 am
upside stalled out at 95.50 and should be headed towards 92.50 or lower on this move

25 Jan 2013 10:26 am
91.25 would be next to no reversal ffrom 92.50 area. It's a short under 96

25 Jan 2013 10:27 am
on bounces until there is a decent enough pullback that the market decided to stall out and get a bounce

25 Jan 2013 10:29 am
94 area would be resistance if they bounce from 92. If 92 broken 91.25 small area then 89 area

25 Jan 2013 10:32 am
91.25 level was reached, resistance around 93.25-94 and should be sold from there or a lower if making another push to the downside

25 Jan 2013 10:35 am
92.50 turning into resistance, pressure on unless broken. If it is broken then 93.25-94 still resistance should be sold into

25 Jan 2013 10:41 am
token lower low quickly reversed and a bounce back to 92 so far, prior bounce high area, a move above that needed to reach 93.25-94 R

25 Jan 2013 10:46 am
93.00 was reached,instantly sold, with a good offer above best to stay with shorts down to the least 89

25 Jan 2013 10:50 am
a small bubble bottom at 90.75, we had one yesterday but at a support area, still should see selling into a pop-up to 93.25-94

25 Jan 2013 11:05 am
double bottom meaningful, acted just like yesterday, 94 resistance still but pullback should hold 93.50-92.50 or keep pushing towards 95-96

25 Jan 2013 11:14 am
running out of steam and needs to hold 93.50, 94.50 is now important resistance to clear to get to 95.50-96

25 Jan 2013 11:17 am
that should be it for this bounce for now, could bounce off of 92.50 but then not stick and come back down again

25 Jan 2013 11:27 am
a bounce from 92 went 1.25 point so far and shouldn't get above 94.50/hold unless turning strong and going for 96

25 Jan 2013 11:28 am
choppy action, theres been 4 tick extremes, each marked a high or low within a few minutes. Watch that if you have my book settings. not far

25 Jan 2013 11:30 am
from getting one up here, should see some pullback here or within a few minutes to keep perfect record today

25 Jan 2013 11:33 am
there should be buyers on a pullback to 92.50 area again, that looking like key support at the moment. 94.50 still the key area above. Needs

25 Jan 2013 11:35 am
to turn down soon from under 94.25, or next dip gets bought and ES could test 96

25 Jan 2013 11:40 am
dip from test of 94.50 holding 93.50, unless that's broken/held this can push towards 95.50-96 area next.Need help from NQ, it needs upturn

25 Jan 2013 11:42 am
the NQ not looking so good, it needs to hold the 2724 area and turned up, or ES going to come down also

25 Jan 2013 11:43 am
pullback on ES held at 93.50, the NQ turned up from 2724, those or important support areas now or trends could change

25 Jan 2013 11:54 am
the NQ is moving better than has been a better short most of the day, the ES has a double top at 94.50, 92 must hold

25 Jan 2013 11:58 am
93.50 area should be sold if this is headed lower, 92 is a transition area of sorts off of the double bottom, should be bid back up there or

25 Jan 2013 12:00 pm
downside could get some momentum, if not then next bounce would be sold into.

25 Jan 2013 12:02 pm
the NQ has almost back to its low, that is still a short on bounces, the better the bounce the better the opportunity. ES needs to break the

25 Jan 2013 12:04 pm
92.50 - 94.50 range and be able to hold. I will be back around 12:30 PM roughly.

25 Jan 2013 12:24 pm
back up to the 97 area, and the NQ has resistance just above its last high up at 2732.50 if it gets a bounce. But expect selling up there,

25 Jan 2013 12:25 pm
there should be buyers at or around 95.25 at the lowest if there's going to be another pop to the 97-98 area

25 Jan 2013 12:28 pm
the Dow cash tested its early high also and back away, 95 was held so far but if broken the high up here likely not retested

25 Jan 2013 12:30 pm
94.50 was the breakout level for this run up, last trap sellers need to cover off of there and get a bounce, or could see 92.50 area, NQ better

25 Jan 2013 12:31 pm
or easier short if another bounce

25 Jan 2013 12:41 pm
NQ almost back to its low for the fourth time, will need another bounce from 2722-2721, and ES stayed over 94.50, to keep out of trouble for now

25 Jan 2013 12:46 pm
the ES backed away from 96.75-97.53 times including Globex and so far twice up here in the day session, if that can be taken out, doubtful,

25 Jan 2013 12:46 pm
but they could then make a move up to tag the 1500 level on the ES and then back away, then 97 would be a support to hold

25 Jan 2013 12:58 pm
bounces not sticking being rejected at 96, NQ common of bounce high, sell up pops and then cover on the pullbacks that stall

25 Jan 2013 01:05 pm
94.50 was held again, look for another bounce off of that level if touched again for a pop that towards 96 were just below

25 Jan 2013 01:06 pm
it can be traded either way as a scalp in this range until until broken. It's not much, so maybe stand aside until a good set up while churning

25 Jan 2013 01:19 pm
Spike up to 96.50 was sold down to 95.25, turned back up. Be a buyer on pullbacks up to the 97.50-98 area, possibly scalped shorts around there

25 Jan 2013 01:25 pm
from 96.50 back down to 95.25 again, that area needs to continue being bought, or they could open the door for another drop towards 92.50.If

25 Jan 2013 01:27 pm
if there is a bounce up to 57.50-58.25 area, it would need to stall or show rejection to be sold, or else could get short covering to 1500

25 Jan 2013 01:30 pm
94.50 is a transition level and key support this afternoon, a break/hold of that would start a decent pullback/drop. Sellers above but avoids

25 Jan 2013 01:32 pm
break down unless thats broken.

25 Jan 2013 01:41 pm
96 shouldn't be broken if this is going to push to/through 97.50-98 area, fourth time up here

25 Jan 2013 01:45 pm
they pushed through to 97.50 so far, should hold 96.50 at worst to keep this breakout going, pullback from 98.25 possible but will bought

25 Jan 2013 01:56 pm
from 98.00 down to 96.50, there can be another run up unless 96.50 is broken, 94.50 Key support this afternoon, reward/risk on longs

25 Jan 2013 01:58 pm
it is getting up there but if this continues stairs stepping higher and 96.50 prior double top area holds they can make another pop up

25 Jan 2013 02:09 pm
94.50 was held and retested 98 resistance, unless this goes back under 96.50 it stays in a stairstep type move higher and possibly 1500

25 Jan 2013 02:10 pm
will be seen before the end of the day the wave this is acting currently. We are in a resistance zone, but uptrend intact over 97.00

25 Jan 2013 02:14 pm
98.50 might be a high for a while, if not then they could still tag the 1500 level and then back away

25 Jan 2013 02:18 pm
a bounce will be sold into after the shakeout, look for another pullback on a test of 97.75 or lower

25 Jan 2013 02:36 pm
if no pullback from here, or there is one but holds 97.75, still can move higher

25 Jan 2013 02:45 pm
this will probably hold up as long as the NQ stays above 2736-2735, but if that breaks it could pull ES down with it

25 Jan 2013 02:48 pm
the NQ took off as soon as as soon as I sentthe last note, that should hold 2738-2737 area now, ES should stay over 97.75 is going to 1500

25 Jan 2013 02:53 pm
that is probably going to be it for the up side, market does not want to stick up there

25 Jan 2013 02:55 pm
the token higher high on the ES was sold, another pop-up to that area should be sold into. If it's not, wouldn't be much further to 1500 so

25 Jan 2013 02:59 pm
treat that as a major area, beginning another swing trade position between 1498 and 1502. If 96.50 not held that area not likely screen

25 Jan 2013 03:09 pm
they are going to begin to hit the exit door unless somehow there are a lot of shorts still stuck. If unable to clear 97.50, back towards

25 Jan 2013 03:09 pm
94.50 afternoon transition area, the NQ made it all away from a new low to a new high and now leading

25 Jan 2013 03:16 pm
bounce failed at 97, pressure on still unless 97.50 is exceeded and they don't turn right back down. 2734.50 has been pivotal on NQ, good R

25 Jan 2013 03:17 pm
94.50 is the next support under 95.50 which is where 60 EMA dynamic trend support is currently, has been obeyed 3 times today so far

25 Jan 2013 03:29 pm
95.50 was held, the NQ just tested 2734.50, and the ES 1496.75, if both are pushed through there could be a bit more upside than pullback

25 Jan 2013 03:32 pm
the way this week has gone, the market would need to be rejecting the high or higher to step in front of this. We've had end of day rallies

25 Jan 2013 03:35 pm
maybe not today,I am wanting to see 1500 get kissed and fail to start a decent pullback. Could still happen but has shown good R 97.75-98.50

25 Jan 2013 03:36 pm
another test the 97.50 should be sold if this is going to reverse or is about to on Monday,good spot for starting a swing trade short

25 Jan 2013 03:38 pm
have a great weekend. Hopefully this all comes together on Monday, get a pullback for a few days, then one more rally the end month fails

25 Jan 2013 03:39 pm
catch you on Monday morning

25 Jan 2013 03:47 pm
be short something on a bounce, especially should be get that towards 96-97, you will get them back at the least. Take care

25 Jan 2013 03:57 pm
97.50-98 area should put a halt to this but if not it would be impossible to go on up to 1500 and then back off quickly. If not today Monday

 

 

Tuesday-January 22, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

22 Jan 2013 09:28 am
the ES made it to 83.25-84.00 resistance down to 75 key support. A move back to the 81 area should be sold if topping out early. We are an

22 Jan 2013 09:32 am
a timeframe where a top should be made short-term.

22 Jan 2013 09:43 am
initial resistance sold into , NQ the same but leader on the way down. need to get back above 81 and stick, should stay under 80.25.

22 Jan 2013 10:01 am
there was a good bidfrom 78.50, but buyers well back off at higher levels. NQ 2732-31 and 78.50 area on ES need help or top in

22 Jan 2013 10:04 am
NQ should be the easier to trade this morning as it should be a better short in downtrend, rejected resistance and obeying dynamic resistance

22 Jan 2013 10:05 am
a test of 77.58 to be quickly reversed or on its way to 75.75-75.25 key area

22 Jan 2013 10:10 am
not much of a bounce from 78, need a push over 79.50 and not turn right back down, 2732 on the NQ

22 Jan 2013 10:13 am
79.25 bounce high and pressure still on unless exceeded/held on a dip. 2730 area on NQ same resistance

22 Jan 2013 10:19 am
a bit of a short cover bounce from 77 area but needs to get over 79.50 and 2730 on NQ to get turned back up

22 Jan 2013 10:22 am
even small pop-ups being sold into at 78.00, needs clear/held to try taking some pressure off for a bit

22 Jan 2013 10:31 am
held under 78 and on the way to test 75.75-75.25 area, anything further and we could be seeing 70 before 80 again. NQ still trading stairstep

22 Jan 2013 10:34 am
stair step down and the easier to read/trade since the reversal at resistance. 75.75 just reached but still need clear 77.50

22 Jan 2013 10:37 am
bid from key support area, but if this is going to stay in steady persistent downtrend 77.50 should be rejected. If cleared, bounce possible

22 Jan 2013 10:43 am
78-78.50 area resistance on this bounce, 75.75-75.25 area especially key now that it has been tested/held

22 Jan 2013 10:53 am
78.50 bounce high so far, there was pretty good buying around 77.50-77.25 and that needs held to avoid retest of low

22 Jan 2013 10:57 am
NQ needs to get above 2726 to try to change trend, just off of it's a low while the ES stopped at 78.50

22 Jan 2013 11:03 am
so far the ES went from resistance to support and so far retraced about 50% 278.75 and NQ rejected 2726,should be key resistance, vulnerable

22 Jan 2013 11:10 am
still is a good bid around 77.50-77.25 area, for now the market should be turning around as long as that's held

22 Jan 2013 11:20 am
78.00 held on tiny pullback, could get to 80.50 if 78.50 held above, could reverse from there

22 Jan 2013 11:22 am
almost to 80.50 and pull back a bit, 79 needs help to keep up trend and not reverse.

22 Jan 2013 11:28 am
pullback held at 79.25, another push higher from here should be sold into, especially the NQ

22 Jan 2013 11:36 am
pop up on the NQ to 2726.50 sold into, ES holding 79 uptrend support, but stuck at/under 80 more than 10 minutes now, 79 and 2724 meet held

22 Jan 2013 11:51 am
a two-sided day so far, and mixed market between ES and NQ. the ES has 78.75-78.25 for transition zone. must hold to keep up trend.

22 Jan 2013 11:53 am
the NQ just a few ticks off of its low then turned up, needs to hold 2721

22 Jan 2013 11:59 am
the NQ help lift the ES, its close to 81.50 early high, pullback should hold a area or back towards 79.50 before bounce attempt

22 Jan 2013 12:01 pm
80.25 a pullback low so far, as long as that area holds along with 2724 on the NQ than everything points higher, if broken a bit bigger dip

22 Jan 2013 12:12 pm
ES stuck at 81.00 and can pullback but as long as 80 holds on a pullback, the uptrend will stay intact and avoid reversal

22 Jan 2013 12:15 pm
a pretty steady grind higher from the low at support, just 2 small pullbacks of 1.25 pts then back up again. Stay with this as long as a dip

22 Jan 2013 12:17 pm
it is well contained, holding on small pullback of 1.00-1.50 points, which keeps this above 80. 83.50-84.00next resistance area

22 Jan 2013 12:18 pm
look for a pullback from 82.50down to 81.50-81.00 area and must bounce from there that plays out

22 Jan 2013 12:26 pm
pullback from 82.75 should hold around 81.25 at the lowest, if not broken the 83.15-84 area gets tested

22 Jan 2013 12:30 pm
both ES and Dow at highs for the day, the NQ rallied back 50% from top to bottom, keep eye on NQ it must stay strong to keep ES grind higher

22 Jan 2013 12:36 pm
83.28 resistance reached,its a trend up move and stays that way until there is a pullback more than ~1.50 points on the ES.

22 Jan 2013 12:39 pm
83.50 rejection, 82 must hold on a pullback now at the lowest, a bit higher if 83.50 is exceeded. next update and about 15-20 minutes

22 Jan 2013 12:49 pm
83.75 resistance down to 82.25 pullback low so far is another 1.50 point pullback, equal to the other two, if broken next pop-up sold

22 Jan 2013 01:04 pm
the ES is holding 82, which keeps it above prior high area at 81.50. The 83.50-84 resistance gave just a small pullback, double top possible

22 Jan 2013 01:06 pm
but unless the ES goes back under 82-81.50 area, the door still open for run up towards 88 area. But staying up there would not be easy

22 Jan 2013 01:18 pm
almost back to the high after a pullback to 82.00, 83 area needs broken to dent upside and make potential double top. But should head towards

22 Jan 2013 01:19 pm
88 area on this leg up the way the market is acting

22 Jan 2013 01:20 pm
83 area would be support on a pullback to 84.50 stay is as a high for a pullback

22 Jan 2013 01:28 pm
buyers backing off when new highs reached, but not aggressively sold. If 83-82.50 is not held then a high likely in and bounce fails

22 Jan 2013 01:31 pm
this has been a nice rally off of the low, but getting very extended up here and prone to selling on another new high

22 Jan 2013 01:38 pm
should be a bit more upside than it gets sold into or breaks under 82 area, 2728-27 on NQ/key S

22 Jan 2013 01:45 pm
buyers obviously in control as long as 82 area holds, but pops to higher highs have been sold into. Could it another pullback up here

22 Jan 2013 01:49 pm
123 type of top possible here. If not and this does pop above 84.50 there would be a little breakout and go to 86 before small pullback

22 Jan 2013 02:05 pm
this needs to get back above 83.50 and stick, not come right back down being sold into, if there's going to be another push higher

22 Jan 2013 02:13 pm
bounce from 82.75 pullback low to test the 84.50 hi, should push through as long as 83.50 is not broken/held. Need NQ to continue its rally

22 Jan 2013 02:22 pm
only 3 points from 1488, unless this goes back under 82 area theres probably a chance to get there butt not today. We will see

22 Jan 2013 02:36 pm
86 should get tested, if so then 85-84.50 area will be new trend up support. 88 possible if that works out and pullback holds after reaching 86

22 Jan 2013 02:47 pm
84.00 would be yet another 1.75 point pullback, we have had 4-5 of those since reaching the low one hour in.Those should continue being bid

22 Jan 2013 02:50 pm
all of the pullbacks are small and well contained, no emotion on the selling,, just a trickle lower and good back up. stays bullish over 84

22 Jan 2013 02:58 pm
84.50 area shouldn't be reached if is going to continue granting higher towards 88. If 84.50 broken, then things could change end the day

22 Jan 2013 03:08 pm
another pop up likely sold into, day traders who are long likely looking to lock in profit, especially if pullback is more than 2 ES points

22 Jan 2013 03:16 pm
any kind of bounce will be seen as a selling opportunity it appears late in the day, dynamics have changed. NQ R 2735, 85.50 on ES

22 Jan 2013 03:19 pm
83-82.50 area is an important support area end of day. As long as that area holds there is still a shot at seeing 88 before potential top

22 Jan 2013 03:20 pm
need to leave about 10 minutes earlier than normal today. Have a nice rest of your day. Catch you tomorrow morning
 

 

 

Friday-January 18, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

18 Jan 2013 09:18 am
a tiny overnight range likely means another narrow range day today. 78.00 was a spike high 2 times, and 75.00 broken, but not held. maybe

18 Jan 2013 09:24 am
we get a test of both levels.But, for the market to have a strong up day, 78.50-79.00 needs to be cleared/held over 78 on a dip. if 75 broken

18 Jan 2013 09:26 am
and not turned back up, then market could be rolling over a bit. Should be a two-sided day with both sides likely tradable

18 Jan 2013 09:34 am
holding 75 keeps this out of trouble at the moment, NQ will be more active, Intel should help that move around better

18 Jan 2013 09:36 am
pressure on it a bounce, pretty good selling into little early strength

18 Jan 2013 09:42 am
sold down to 73.50-72.50 zone, if a bounce up to 75.50 area stalls, should come right back down.

18 Jan 2013 09:47 am
75 was touched and backed off quickly, 75-75.50 bounce resistance that needs cleared to avoid another drop

18 Jan 2013 09:51 am
75.50 was sold but need a break under 74.50-74 and not turn right back up,to go down to test support again possibly break that support

18 Jan 2013 09:54 am
the ES had a bounce from 73.25 support area up to 75.50 new resistance but pullback held 74.25, keeps from breaking down. Philly Fed 6 min

18 Jan 2013 09:56 am
wrong numberit was Michigan sentiment and just-released, still under pressure under 75.58 short on bounces

18 Jan 2013 10:03 am
so far a potential double bottom of sorts at 73.25 and 73.00, but to avoid breaking that 75.50 needs exceeded, then hold 74.50 on dip

18 Jan 2013 10:15 am
4 times testing 75.25-75.50, needs to push through some of it going to get bounce attempt

18 Jan 2013 10:19 am
needs to hold or bounce from 74.50 to have a chance of breaking through 75.50 new resistance

18 Jan 2013 10:20 am
barely poked over 75.50, and ran into some selling, but held 75 so far, not much upside from here

18 Jan 2013 10:23 am
need to be away about 10 minutes, staying under 75.50 area keeps pressure on to retest/break 73.50-73.00 low area at support

18 Jan 2013 10:30 am
this could be a slow two-sided trading day, or make a nosedive towards the breakout area around 69-68 today. As long as bounces fail its

18 Jan 2013 10:34 am
a short on bounces that stall or show rejection near 75-75.50. 73 tested 3 times, a break of 73 would need turned right back up, else 69-68

18 Jan 2013 10:39 am
another test of 73 area,74.50 on the ES and 2733.50 on the NQ will both need cleared to take some pressure off it appears,

18 Jan 2013 10:46 am
73.00 tested 2 times down here and barely budged to the upside, pressure stays on unless 74.50 exceeded

18 Jan 2013 10:58 am
ES bounced to 74 while the NQ made another push lower to test its early low and trying to bounce. Bounces not sticking, but doesn't break

18 Jan 2013 11:00 am
unless 73 broken/held or just staying under 73.50

18 Jan 2013 11:02 am
that keeps the grind lower in gear. The NQ breaking 2727 without a turn right back up puts more pressure on that also, 69-68 target

18 Jan 2013 11:04 am
opposite of recent action of the ES currently in a steady grind lower since the double top at 80.50 yesterday.bounce resistance 72.75-73.25

18 Jan 2013 11:09 am
just missed 72.75 on the little bounce, still grinding lower unless that's taken out

18 Jan 2013 11:21 am
best buying interest all day making it back to 73.50, area of old support, 72.25 should hold on a dip at the lowest to get another pop up

18 Jan 2013 11:30 am
bounce to 74.25 so far, 73 needs to hold or deeper pullback towards 72 , 74.50-75 resistance to get above

18 Jan 2013 11:38 am
72.25 was well bid on the dip, but bounces are not going to far before selling again, need a move above 73.50 that can hold from here

18 Jan 2013 11:42 am
so far 2 bounces, 2.75 and 3.25 points on the ES, opposite of the way up. Needs to hold 72 and move above 74.50 to avoid more downside

18 Jan 2013 11:55 am
72 was broken and went to a new low at 70.50, still should make one more push lower to test the breakout area before any type of turnaround

18 Jan 2013 11:57 am
if there is a decent bounce it should fail around 73-73.50 to keep downtrend symmetry intact.

18 Jan 2013 12:14 pm
a push above 72.50 needed soon to avoid another pushed down

18 Jan 2013 12:22 pm
looks like it's going to be one of those days where the market doesn't do a whole lot, dull action with sporadic 2-3. point moves

18 Jan 2013 12:26 pm
Monday is a holiday also, though there will be Globex trading hours starting early I believe. Dow was weakest and it's trying to bottom,

18 Jan 2013 12:29 pm
getting over 72.50 and not turning right back down is needed to get out of sideways movement and attempt 74, 60 EMA on 5-minute chart

18 Jan 2013 12:38 pm
if this is going to be a normal bounce and a new downtrend, this bounce should be sold at 73-74 area. No higher

18 Jan 2013 12:44 pm
73-74 area is still a key area to push through, needs to stay above 72 if going to be another push higher. If 72 breaks, then could rollover

18 Jan 2013 12:51 pm
so far we have a 6.75 point range, held above yesterdays low by 1 tick, so have an inside day with 2 sided "action" pullback should hold

18 Jan 2013 12:53 pm
73.50-73 should hold and go back up to keep outside intact, expect a bounce from there

18 Jan 2013 01:03 pm
EDS held at 73.75 and climbed back up to 75.00 so far, but can continue up to 76 to make a higher high than some pullback

18 Jan 2013 01:09 pm
that is the ES, not "EDS" need to retrain voice software this weekend for sure, some goofy errors this week, my apologies. 74.75 needs held

18 Jan 2013 01:14 pm
66 reached, it stays in Bullish mode as long as 75 is held for now

18 Jan 2013 01:18 pm
ES might have its eye on 78-79 area, follow the dynamic support on one minute chart in your e-book, it's been a guide all the way up

18 Jan 2013 01:21 pm
76.25-75.75 his trend up support, market stalling out so should be tested and needs to hold or a top of some sort could be in for a while

18 Jan 2013 01:22 pm
need a 20 minute or so break, we'll update around 1:40 PM-1:50 PM unless something really jumps out.

18 Jan 2013 01:46 pm
the ES went down to 75.25, trying to bounce, but another pop up to a test of the high or slightly higher high that stalls or rejected

18 Jan 2013 01:49 pm
should set up a tradable pullback. I moved back under 75 should continue towards 74 or lower, and leave a high in up here

18 Jan 2013 01:53 pm
if a bounce off of 76 there could be another pop up above 77.25 high in the opening few minutes of trading this morning

18 Jan 2013 02:06 pm
75.50 was touched and bid right back up from that level but NQ looking toppy, another tight range so a breakout could get legs, 78-79 R

18 Jan 2013 02:08 pm
not impossible to get their butt not likely to stick. The VIX plunge along with stalling out at these levels, will buy some puts, or you

18 Jan 2013 02:12 pm
could buy volatility on a turn up on the VIX. Markets often make turns around market holidays which we have on Monday. It's a buy on dips

18 Jan 2013 02:14 pm
above 75.75 area on the ES, that should holdto keep up trend going. A move to 78-79area should be sold into if reached. Make sure sign of a

18 Jan 2013 02:17 pm
turn if that area is reached before going against the trend. Upside certainly should be limited but will wait to get stretched to R or turn

18 Jan 2013 02:23 pm
since running up to 77.00 and just messing a new high by 1 tick it's traded in a 1.75 point range, these have led to breakouts higher but

18 Jan 2013 02:26 pm
mostly after a decent pullback, not necessarily near the high. But very thin, stalled out up here, needs NQ to turn up real soon

18 Jan 2013 02:32 pm
will have a chance to make it to 78-79 as long as no no move back under 76-75.75. Thats only a few ticks, but the way it looks in tiny range

18 Jan 2013 02:47 pm
78-79 just misssd , high may be in

18 Jan 2013 02:52 pm
76 should be an important support, should not be much lower, if there is going to be another pop-up. That would be sold into

18 Jan 2013 02:53 pm
Since breaking out yesterday, the market not comfortable up here just yet, but better on a decent pullback. We may get one of those

18 Jan 2013 02:57 pm
especially if there is a drop through 75.75-75.25 area,If they fall that far a bounce back should not be able to stick

18 Jan 2013 03:03 pm
Sellers into tiny bounce, but was bid back up from 76.00,has to hold around that area to avoid late day reversal, bounce will be sold

18 Jan 2013 03:04 pm
especially if that support is broken. Otherwise still a chance for the 78-79 area but doubting that

18 Jan 2013 03:13 pm
still hanging in there by holding 76, but hesitating wanting to go up, another pop up should be sold into

18 Jan 2013 03:19 pm
so far 75.75-75.25 held on this pullback, and that area should be important in the last 40 minutes. Market avoids trouble holding that, but

18 Jan 2013 03:20 pm
if that area is broken and they don't bounce right back with some gusto, that will be pivotal in the ES should at least try for 74

18 Jan 2013 03:22 pm
have a good three-day weekend. Next update will be sent on Monday evening. I will catch you on Tuesday morning.

18 Jan 2013 03:32 pm
this rally reached 78 so far, as long as 77-76.75 holds no damage done to this uptrend

18 Jan 2013 03:34 pm
as so far no reversal pattern or much of a rejection, though this area should be hard to get through and hold.

 

 

Thursday-January 17, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

17 Jan 2013 09:32 am
Should see selloff/pullback on a break of 72.50-72, but bounce from 68-67 must

17 Jan 2013 09:38 am
Shouldn't get above 73.50 and hold, should head towards 70 area or lower, especially if NQ breaks 2738 area and not turn right back up

17 Jan 2013 09:52 am
Pullbacks to just above 70, that needs held or test the 69-68 area, then possibly a decent run up

17 Jan 2013 09:55 am
72.50 first resistance on bounce off of 70.50, that 70.50 still important to avoid one more push to the downside

17 Jan 2013 09:58 am
Philly Fed release in about 3 minutes

17 Jan 2013 10:01 am
should be tough going on the upside from here, needs to get above 72.50-73 and stick to it upside going and not head for 68

17 Jan 2013 10:02 am
70.50 obviously a key area that needs broken before any sort of damage done, but still should have trouble holding higher up

17 Jan 2013 10:06 am
72.50 sold on the pop-up, 70.25 bid back up, but still could go for 68.50 and that could set up a decent bounce back

17 Jan 2013 10:11 am
back to the high, should see pullback but 72 area needs to hold on a pullback to keep good uptrend

17 Jan 2013 10:16 am
pullback to 72.25 held and bid back up again, that should be pivotal support on pullback. Could test 76-77 on this leg up before good selling

17 Jan 2013 10:18 am
if going to get that far this morning, should stay above 73.50 on a dip and make one more run up and then stall/reverse possible

17 Jan 2013 10:19 am
should test 33.50 from up here, outside losing steam

17 Jan 2013 10:22 am
the dip held at 73.75, still a chance to get to the 76 - 77 area unless that's broken

17 Jan 2013 10:27 am
buyers backing off, 73.50 area on the ES in 2742 area on the NQ need held, or early high could be in IF 72 broke/held

17 Jan 2013 10:33 am
buyers backing just under 75, at 73.59 held on a dip in turn up with some gusto, this can turn back down at least towards 72.50-72. 2742 NQ

17 Jan 2013 10:39 am
NQ 6.50 points off its high while EDS going sideways, 73.50 key on the ES for possible pop to 76-77, the NQ may have topped already

17 Jan 2013 10:43 am
the NQ at its low, ES should have a high in place, have not been next bounce should be sold into, especially the NQ

17 Jan 2013 10:55 am
pullback held 72.50 which is the opening range and after the pullback was resistance for a while before moving up to the high. has to hold

17 Jan 2013 10:57 am
although 72.50 is holding, so it is 73.50 on the bounce, so stay under that could send them to 71.50, possibly lower

17 Jan 2013 11:03 am
on the way up, pullbacks have been roughly 2-4 pts, not more than 4 pts. So far today a 3.25 and so far 2.75 pt dips.a break of 71.50-70.00

17 Jan 2013 11:05 am
thats not turned up right away would break that symmetry,and instead of small pullbacks in an uptrend, things could switch and turn opposite

17 Jan 2013 11:08 am
in any case, the NQ tested early low several times and going sideways, vulnerable holding under 2739.50. ESneeds push over 73.50

17 Jan 2013 11:13 am
the ES has been holding under 73.50 since 10:44 AM, should push through soon if going to try for the highs again, avoid breaking 71.50

17 Jan 2013 11:30 am
73.50 was poked through, than a pullback held 73.25 and turned up, so a test of the high and maybe to 76-77 on this move if 73.75 area holds

17 Jan 2013 11:33 am
token higher high sold but no reversal or pullback unless 74-73.50 not held on a dip

17 Jan 2013 11:36 am
74.50 trend up support, 76-77 just above and should be sold into, but as long as pullback is just 2-3 points upside continues

17 Jan 2013 11:39 am
74.50 needs held to get another push higher through 75.50, else back towards 73.50. 72.50-72.00 must hold to keep up side grinding higher

17 Jan 2013 11:48 am
pullback held at 74.50 so far, needs to stay above that area now to continue upside grind higher and not start turning down

17 Jan 2013 11:51 am
76.00 reached, quick pullback as it's rejected, 74.50 especially important now. 72.50-72.00 more so, that area shouldn't be seen again

17 Jan 2013 11:54 am
we have a gap day and a trend up day, also a breakout so far on ES. However, 76 rejected easily, only short would be Token higher high

17 Jan 2013 11:56 am
or a bounce that stalls out under the high if 74.50 broken. I need to be away for about 25 minutes

17 Jan 2013 12:18 pm
pullback of 2 points holding and tiny dipsare getting a pop, the day by her own small dips over 74.75

17 Jan 2013 12:20 pm
it's just nudging higher and a move into 76-77 likely gifts a pullback of about 2 points then bounce again the way this is acting

17 Jan 2013 12:26 pm
should come down towards 75.50, and then get bid back up again if goes as expected here

17 Jan 2013 12:28 pm
a good bid 1.50-2 points off of whatever is why is for the move. It should be 77 area here, but couldn't go for 78.50 if 76 is held

17 Jan 2013 12:30 pm
tiny pullback so far to 76.25, that should hold to keep strong push higher and possibly reach 78.50 if no reversal from 77.25 to 76

17 Jan 2013 12:35 pm
gap day and breakout over 1474.51 on S&P 500 cash, 9/2012 high area that held market down 5 straight days. It should stay turned up as long

17 Jan 2013 12:37 pm
a pullback is small, no more than 2.75-3.25 points on the ES, to continue steady grind higher. Go with the flow, buying dips, unless

17 Jan 2013 12:38 pm
that changes.

17 Jan 2013 12:41 pm
if the ES does have a trend up that day, and makes it up to the 1482 area rejected, then should have top in place for some sort of pullback.

17 Jan 2013 12:44 pm
the only shorts, unless there is a reversal, can be a pop to a new high. All of those with the exception of 1 have been sold into for a

17 Jan 2013 12:45 pm
1.25 point pullback on average, top to bottom.

17 Jan 2013 12:47 pm
but there could be a 2-3 point pullback, and if a 3 point pullback, would need to hold or things could change a bit

17 Jan 2013 01:01 pm
ES is 1.50 points off of its high, it has bounced from the 20 period EMA 3 times so far in its 75.75 and about as far as "normal" pullback

17 Jan 2013 01:03 pm
should go, otherwise could come back towards 74.75 which would be 3 points off the high and prior early high which was broken/held

17 Jan 2013 01:07 pm
the way the NQ is acting under its early high at 2746.25, a punch above 2744 is needed and stay up there or could start downtrend there

17 Jan 2013 01:09 pm
NQ can pull the ES down to 74.75-74.50, it must hold that area or things could be changing up here

17 Jan 2013 01:25 pm
the ES holding 76 and that's also the 20 EMA for the fourth time, if broken than 77 should be good resistance on a bounce

17 Jan 2013 01:36 pm
pullback appears eminent if no quick push above 77 can stick

17 Jan 2013 01:44 pm
77 was pushed to love not long after I sent the last update, the test of the high was sold. But can continue grinding higher especially if

17 Jan 2013 01:45 pm
76.75 holds, 76 area a key support now on a pullback. Should hold, or quickly reverse back up if broken, to continue grinding higher.

17 Jan 2013 01:56 pm
the ES held 77 on the dip and push higher to new high at 78.50. This should continue into the last 35 minutes, or last 20 minutes, if trend

17 Jan 2013 02:11 pm
78.50 support, 76.50 key if that breaks.

17 Jan 2013 02:11 pm
78.50 support, 76.50 key if that breaks.

17 Jan 2013 02:16 pm
back in 15 min, trend up over 76.50, 80.00-80.50 then 82.50 small resist

17 Jan 2013 02:33 pm
80.50 was rejected and if this goes under 78.75 by much and not turn right back up, things could begin to change and give decent pullback

17 Jan 2013 02:38 pm
Pullback held at 79 so far, bounce needs to clear 80 and stay up there or this could begin to see some pullback from up here.break of 78.75

17 Jan 2013 02:40 pm
at the least needed to turn this strong uptrend however. Support at 77.50 area on a decent pullback now and shouldn't go any further

17 Jan 2013 02:44 pm
another pop up likely sold into, the NQ beginning to act a little bit top heavy

17 Jan 2013 02:46 pm
123 type of top, but still strong upside momentum and would need a move back under 79 and hold. Could go to 77.50-77 if that occurs, that's key

17 Jan 2013 02:55 pm
pressure is on now as bounces from here should have a hard time holding, may have a high in place at least for a while. 77.50 year area

17 Jan 2013 03:06 pm
79 on the ES and 2747 on the NQ have turned into resistance on a bounce, 77.50 is a "normal" 3 point pullback on the ES so needs to get above

17 Jan 2013 03:06 pm
79 and 2747 to reestablish uptrend and avoid potential breakout lower

17 Jan 2013 03:13 pm
a 2.25 point pullback off the high at 78.25 was held so far, there could be another push higher but holding over 80 needed to end strong

17 Jan 2013 03:17 pm
a moved back under 77.50-77.00 would make this look like a reversal possible, or at least break trend and lead to two-sided day/drop tomorrow

17 Jan 2013 03:24 pm
the ES just tagged what should be key support, turn right back up. Should not stick though, looks like a top at 80.50 resistance

17 Jan 2013 03:25 pm
should have pressure on as long as they bounce sales around 78.50-79 at the highest, 2745 on the NQ in the last 30 minutes today

17 Jan 2013 03:26 pm
of put and call options are very cheap, and from the looks of this, late afternoon today or early tomorrow we should get more pullback than

17 Jan 2013 03:27 pm
just 3 points which as been about the normal pullback over the past several days. Have a nice rest of your day, see you the morning

 

 

Wednesday-January 16, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

16 Jan 2013 09:39 am
major area sold overnight and that should be a top, or sold into the they get back up there again. All the buyers up here could be trapped

16 Jan 2013 09:42 am
65 broken on the open, 62.50-62 bid to back up, but should fail 65 area first resistance on a bounce to clear to take some pressure off

16 Jan 2013 09:49 am
bounce from 62.00 support, a pop up above 65 and hold needed to attempt turning back up

16 Jan 2013 09:51 am
62.50-62 should hold for now and get that moved toward 65, but if 62 broken then back towards yesterday low

16 Jan 2013 09:59 am
54.50 bounce high off of support, needs a push over 65 and hold, A week Dow and strong NQ, opposite of yesterday. 63 needs held on pullback

16 Jan 2013 10:05 am
65.50 reached on the ES,need a bounce from 64.50 with gusto back over 65 and hold needed or early high in place

16 Jan 2013 10:08 am
like yesterday, low so far made 15 minutes into trading and a good bid off a low, but ifthis cannot stay over 65 we could get decent drop

16 Jan 2013 10:10 am
and not keep grinding higher back towards 67.50-68.25 area. For now 66.50 needs held as pivotal support, or trend changes

16 Jan 2013 10:14 am
4 tries to push through 65.50, if not exceeded and 64.50 brokenit can roll over and next bounce would be sold after that, 64.50 area key

16 Jan 2013 10:20 am
the ES has been trying to poke through 65.50 more than 15 minutes, make or break above 65.54 under 64.50, the 64.50 support that must hold

16 Jan 2013 10:28 am
65.50 area needs held on a pullback or next bounce sold into

16 Jan 2013 10:30 am
the market has had a good bid on all of the dips once again, and now needs to stay above 65.50 to stay strong, 64.50 maximum

16 Jan 2013 10:39 am
65.50 broken by one tick so far, but if a pop up from here occurs, it should be sold under 66.50 and break back down,

16 Jan 2013 10:48 am
bounce was sold into at 66 and should have selling and to strengthen now down to 64.50 or lower unless 66 broken/held

16 Jan 2013 10:56 am
66 sold again. 65 area is the key, was pivotal early coming into the day and has held on pullbacks, a break under 65 not turned right back up

16 Jan 2013 10:57 am
can send this back towards 62 low at support or take that area out by a couple points down to 60 again

16 Jan 2013 11:05 am
if they are going back down then 65.25-65.50 should be as far as this bounce will go

16 Jan 2013 11:16 am
the ES took up 65.50 and made it back to the high, another pullback should hold around that level to keep uptrend intact. Still a good bid

16 Jan 2013 11:20 am
on pullbacks, but here should be selling around 67.50-68 area again for some pullback, 67.25 high so far,but if no sign of turning on a pop

16 Jan 2013 11:21 am
then could squeeze to 71. 66 should be good support now, not even a small reversal unless broken

16 Jan 2013 11:28 am
big R, a pullback should hold 66.50-66.00 and turn right back up to have a chance to attempt breakout on the upside

16 Jan 2013 11:31 am
5 days in a row this area tested and sold. must bounce from 66.50 area or uptrend could break and breakout less likely

16 Jan 2013 11:42 am
so far 66.75 held, just a tiny bounce so that needs to hold lower another top at resistance could be in, or less likely to be broken for now

16 Jan 2013 11:47 am
66.50 held,making a mother attempt to push through the key resistance up here. If it fails it may wait until the beige book at 2 PM,

16 Jan 2013 11:57 am
five days in a row with a high in this area, a small double top at major resistance just made. 66.50 new today bounce or high end for now

16 Jan 2013 12:01 pm
this could poke down to 65.75, but if it turns up quickly there, then could see another bounce. Any further than that, things break down

16 Jan 2013 12:02 pm
I will be away until around 12:25 PM with the next update.

16 Jan 2013 12:20 pm
bounce is over, if not then not much further to go on the upside before decent pullback. This stalling out at major resistance, low volatility

16 Jan 2013 12:23 pm
with that, often seen at/near a top. The VIX also looking very negative. Top should be in place, if pushed above should come right back down

16 Jan 2013 12:30 pm
ES went from support to resistance, and still in the top part of the range, but for pullback before

16 Jan 2013 12:32 pm
it started before I could finish my message, anyhow looking for selling before the beige book, a bounce is a short down towards 64.75 or lower

16 Jan 2013 12:37 pm
the NQ was much stronger than the rest of the market in the early going, but has turned week versus the ES and a better short if bounce

16 Jan 2013 12:38 pm
occurs -just started- in stalls out around 2728-2728.50 area

16 Jan 2013 12:41 pm
if going to be a pullback, and not another run up to/through 68 on the ES, it should begin from here soon. NQ area nailed so far, 2728.50 key

16 Jan 2013 12:44 pm
I think I got that update out in time, as the market is finally a bit volatile. But inside a narrower range. Big move should be coming today/tomorrow

16 Jan 2013 12:48 pm
64.75 initial target was just missed so far, still should get a test, NQ resistance now 2726 to keep pressure on their

16 Jan 2013 12:49 pm
2724 area a support on the NQ, if short on that it's a place to take partial profits and trail stop

16 Jan 2013 12:53 pm
a little pop up here that shows rejection still scalp short, not much more downside the way it looks at the moment, could be sideways

16 Jan 2013 12:55 pm
2724 on the NQ, or just a little below that, will need to get a bounce or in this downside will continue towards 2722-2721

16 Jan 2013 12:58 pm
NQ turned up from 2723.75, just under that 2724 support. It could give bounce up to 2726-27, not much more to point to head back down

16 Jan 2013 01:10 pm
the ES caught a bid at 65.25, sold at 67.00 again... that 65 low is basically the "normal" 3 point pullback the ES had most of the way up

16 Jan 2013 01:15 pm
need to stay above 66.25-66 to have a chance to push above 67 and possibly 68 top of the range.

16 Jan 2013 01:36 pm
66 able to hold, should make a push through 68 now if it's going to happen

16 Jan 2013 01:38 pm
67 area needs to hold to keep from denting upside momentum, 66 a potential reversal area if not defended

16 Jan 2013 01:53 pm
needs to stay over 67.50-67 now that the ES popped above 68. We get the beige book release in about 10 minutes,

16 Jan 2013 01:56 pm
this will give us a real breakout, or go under 67.50-67 and make this a fake out breakout. I think 71.50-72.50 area possible if 68 holds

16 Jan 2013 02:04 pm
holding 67.50 keeps this in trend up mode, the furthest a pullback should go is about 3 points on the ES. A move further than that to top

16 Jan 2013 02:07 pm
otherwise still a chance to poke above 70 by a little bit,and then likely come right back down.Would need to hold 68 if that occurs,and 67.50

16 Jan 2013 02:07 pm
not broken/held

16 Jan 2013 02:09 pm
should be a three-point pullback from the high and then a bounce attempt if upside is going to keep from reversing major resistance.

16 Jan 2013 02:11 pm
if there is another bounce, it should fail under 68-68.50 if going lower which it appears this can-do from up here. 71.55 highest

16 Jan 2013 02:28 pm
a bit tricky up here but should have trouble staying above 68.25 for long, should see selling into strength and then buying on 2-3 pt dips

16 Jan 2013 02:34 pm
the ES is holding 68 and as long as that is held there is a chance to pop up above 70 area possibly 71.50, but that probably not held, 68 retests

16 Jan 2013 02:37 pm
we should see selling into this, keep an eye on the S&P 500 cash ($SPX on most quote boards) its 1474.51 level it is important above,

16 Jan 2013 02:51 pm
the ES barely dipped under 68 and turned back up, it will take another rejection of 69 level or break 67.52 foot some pressure on.

16 Jan 2013 03:04 pm
strength being sold into, the NQ showing first signs of being tired, another bounce should be sold into, a break o 67.50 to turn trend

16 Jan 2013 03:11 pm
struggling to move higher, but not weak at all. Could top here but ES has been churning, unless 67.75-67.50 at lowest is broken no reversal

16 Jan 2013 03:22 pm
the market has been bid back up on all of the pullbacks so far today, but acting like it doesn't want to go much higher. A break/hold under

16 Jan 2013 03:23 pm
68-67.75 should mean next bounce gets sold as the rally aborts and we get a decent pullback

16 Jan 2013 03:26 pm
needs to be a good bounce from 67, 66 at the lowest, to avoid a bigger breakdown and not just another pullback. Although giving back above 69

16 Jan 2013 03:26 pm
handholding up there not likely

16 Jan 2013 03:29 pm
there will be selling into any strength in this should see a move to 66 at least before a bounce attempt. If 66 breaks odds better for top

16 Jan 2013 03:30 pm
a poor close will make this look like the top even more so. I will see you tomorrow shortly after the open. Have a good rest of your day

 

 

Tuesday-January 15, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

15 Jan 2013 09:26 am
60.50 first resistance 62.50 would be next. if the 54.50 level tested today it needs to bounce right back.or a top likely in place

15 Jan 2013 09:34 am
the ES bounced off of 58.25 support and NQ currently at its equivalent level but must get above 60 and not reverse to take some pressure off

15 Jan 2013 09:38 am
bounce from 58.25 support through yesterdays low to 61.00 so far, should pull back from their but need to bounce off of 59.50 area

15 Jan 2013 09:44 am
a drop to 59.25 so far, 61 should be early bounce high, if not then 62-62.50 area could be reached before dropping again

15 Jan 2013 09:48 am
58 support needs to hold and that NQ get turned back up or the ES should test 56.50 Globex low. 58 the key level this morning

15 Jan 2013 09:49 am
double bottom at support so this must push through 61 and stick on this bounce or else that can be broken

15 Jan 2013 09:50 am
also watched the NQ around 2712-2714 for resistance on the weaker contract

15 Jan 2013 09:54 am
61 tested but not yet cleared, the NQ leading the way on the downside, it's the Dow that is relatively strong

15 Jan 2013 10:02 am
higher high sold into, a move to 62.50 area key resistance. 59.25 was pivotal, should not be broken now if low at support going to stick

15 Jan 2013 10:09 am
ES being sold into strength then bought on small pullback so far, 60 needs held to keep up trend from 58.25

15 Jan 2013 10:13 am
62.50 area should be a key resistance on this first bounce, pullback needs to hold 61 or at least turned back up quickly if broken

15 Jan 2013 10:20 am
62.50 resistance was sold and pullback trying to hold 61, if 62.59 exceeded,could go back towards or under 60 or lower towards 59 again

15 Jan 2013 10:28 am
so far a bounce from fixed support to initial support area (turned into last trapped resistance) and pullback holding under 61.50 keeps pressure on

15 Jan 2013 10:42 am
the ES went just under 60 before turning back up and reaching 61.50 again. Another pullback has to hold 60 or could test/break 58 area

15 Jan 2013 10:49 am
62.50-63 still key area on this bounce, a decent bid on pullbacks so must hold around 61 if going to get up to that area and not rollover

15 Jan 2013 10:58 am
61.50 held on small dip and 62.50 tested so far, 61.58 to hold to keep this going and pushed through that area toward 64

15 Jan 2013 11:00 am
63 was sold but not a reversal or weakness unless 62 area broken and no bounce right back

15 Jan 2013 11:08 am
a pop to one tick above prior high at 63 rejected and now must get bid back up from 62, 61.50 at worst or uptrend reversesfor a bit

15 Jan 2013 11:09 am
that could be a top for this move higher, so far 62 held but another pop-up should be sold into,

15 Jan 2013 11:27 am
pullback to 61.00 and trying to bounce back and should make a new high on this move up, if a lower high reverses then break of 61 is reversal

15 Jan 2013 12:27 pm
My apologies I lost all of my browser Windows and just now have a one back up. Should see selling into higher high but it stays trend up

15 Jan 2013 12:27 pm
unless 62.50 area broken. That could begin a breakdown if not held

15 Jan 2013 12:38 pm
A dip should bounce from 64.50-64 to keep pushing higher and get to 66 and maybe 68 if no failure there, if that doesn't hold things change

15 Jan 2013 12:52 pm
64.50 is tested and shouldn't break 64 to continue to grind higher and not reverse

15 Jan 2013 01:03 pm
The 66 "target" given earlier was missed by 2 ticks, ES trying to stay over 64, must pop up from here that's going to make it to 66

15 Jan 2013 01:09 pm
64 holding on the ES and the NQ getting bid on Facebook announcement, those areas even more key to stay above now to stay trend up

15 Jan 2013 01:22 pm
this needs to stay over 64.75 or could begin topping out at a break of 64 could start decent pullback

15 Jan 2013 01:29 pm
64 held so the uptrend still intact, key support that must hold to keep trend up day in gear. Just beware likely sellers just above,

15 Jan 2013 01:31 pm
There is good selling on pops under 66 so far, double/triple top. pop up a good scalp shorting opportunity, or wait until 64 broken

15 Jan 2013 01:38 pm
Has been trend up from the low, but Should see strength sold up here, another pop up should not take out 65.50-66 and stick unless very strong

15 Jan 2013 01:53 pm
The ES was sold on the last pop, the NQ is weaker and has a better pullback, a breakup 64 not quickly reversed starts rollover

15 Jan 2013 01:55 pm
a bounce back to 64 area that stalls out should set up for a pullback and also around 2715 area on the NQ

15 Jan 2013 01:56 pm
Sellers are above on any decent bounce, past time to flip from buying dips to selling bounces, 62.50 needs held or 60 possible

15 Jan 2013 02:08 pm
I need to be away for about 10-15 min, stay with short side on bounce attempts especially a test for 64 that fails. 65 shouldn't be cleared

15 Jan 2013 02:25 pm
The ES popped up to 63.75 and quickly reversed and again to 63.50 and back away, the NQ better vehicle on short side making a lower low so

15 Jan 2013 02:26 pm
A push under 62 that is not quickly reversed back up can mean further weakness to test 60 again. Need to push above 64 to get upside going

15 Jan 2013 02:34 pm
62 area continues to hold,that is acting like the market did trading just above 64. But if 64 is not rejected, there could be a test of high

15 Jan 2013 02:40 pm
the NQ was just 3 points off its early low when the ES was at 58.25. the Dow holding this up, it's shopping around 13,500.pullback should

15 Jan 2013 02:40 pm
e tiny and hold 63 if .2 make a run for the highest

15 Jan 2013 02:42 pm
stop that 64 so far, if 63.50-63 area doesn't hold and go right back up, a bounce that follows will be sold into. No damage otherwise

15 Jan 2013 02:45 pm
63.50 was held in almost back to the high where there should be some selling her earlier

15 Jan 2013 02:46 pm
63.50 could be a pivotal area up here in the last 75 minutes

15 Jan 2013 02:52 pm
66 should offer some resistance, pullback needs to bounce from 64.50-64 to keep this from reversing a bit, but decent pullback should hold

15 Jan 2013 03:02 pm
64.50 was held and popped up to 66.50 so far, can go for 67.50-68 area is 65.50-65 can hold. If not then deeper pullback

15 Jan 2013 03:10 pm
67 wasjust a mess and the NQ coming off its bounce high a bit more, but if 65.50 holds there is a chance for another pop up to test 67.50-68

15 Jan 2013 03:11 pm
and should see buyers back off around that area again.

15 Jan 2013 03:15 pm
basically trend up with a low 15 minutes after stocks opened,high of the day could be made around 3:45 PM if they haven't been made already

15 Jan 2013 03:17 pm
pretty good selling just under 67, keeping the ES still under 67.50-68 key area listed about a week ago. 65.50-65 needs held

15 Jan 2013 03:25 pm
67.50 was just missed and then pull back to 66.25 and that needs to hold to have a chance to get to 67.50-68 or possibly push through that

15 Jan 2013 03:32 pm
66.25 was tested and bought at that level, should be key end of the day

15 Jan 2013 03:34 pm
a pop up to 67.50-68 it is still possible but should have a hard time staying up there today , we will see it has been basically trend up

15 Jan 2013 03:37 pm
67.75 was sold on a first test, looks like 66.75 should hold to stay strong, 62.25 key area end of the day

15 Jan 2013 03:38 pm
f that resistance is pushed through, then could see 71-72 but likely not until tomorrow, they need to stay up there and not reverse back under 66

15 Jan 2013 03:40 pm
reverse back under 66. The market has not liked it up here, and upside appears limited so right or wrong would avoid long side at this point

15 Jan 2013 03:41 pm
especially after 3:45 PM.

15 Jan 2013 03:42 pm
that does not imply that I would be shorting the market by the way, strong uptrend and would need a reversal first this late in the day.

15 Jan 2013 03:43 pm
just seems late in the game to be chasing long at a resistance area with about 18 minutes left before stocks close.

15 Jan 2013 03:44 pm
have a good rest of your day, I will catch you shortly after stocks open tomorrow unless a big change from what is written in the update

15 Jan 2013 03:47 pm
the high so far made at 3:44 PM, and at the top of the 67.50-68.25 resistance so that might be it for this rally. 66.75 needs held/ reversed

15 Jan 2013 03:47 pm
take care

 

 

Monday-January 14, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

14 Jan 2013 09:24 am
overnight top it appears, if the ES gets back to the 70 area it's likely sold into. 66-66.50 resistance

14 Jan 2013 09:28 am
67.75 still day session top, that shouldn't be taken out. 63 needs to give a good bounce if reached

14 Jan 2013 09:38 am
66.50 sold into on first test, then dip held 64.75. Need to stay over 66 to continue current uptrend and not reverse

14 Jan 2013 09:41 am
pullback quickly turned up from 65.75, must continue holding that level or would be topping

14 Jan 2013 09:43 am
should have a high in for a bit, a pop-up sold into

14 Jan 2013 09:49 am
bounce being sold at 66, a break of 64.50 needs to be turned right back up or early top likely

14 Jan 2013 09:51 am
a hold under 65. It should keep pressure on to test 63

14 Jan 2013 09:53 am
64.50-65 should be bounced Resistance now, 63 has been tested and 60.50-60.00 area would be next

14 Jan 2013 09:57 am
decent pullback catching a bid, should fail to clear 64-64.50

14 Jan 2013 10:04 am
Spike down to 61.25 may have cleaned out sellers for

14 Jan 2013 10:05 am
a short amount of time, needs to push above 63 and hold to take some pressure off, 64.50 still bounce resistance. 60.50-60 key support

14 Jan 2013 10:11 am
pressure stays on unless pop above 63, even then may not stick

14 Jan 2013 10:16 am
63 was support and acting as resistance for more than 15 minutes, needs pushed above and hold or token lower low that the 60.50-60 zone.

14 Jan 2013 10:17 am
64.50-65 area possible if 63 is pushed through

14 Jan 2013 10:23 am
token lower low but so far able to hold 60.50, so far. Pressure still on under 62.75. A dropped towards 58 if 60 area not held, still

14 Jan 2013 10:28 am
60.25 was reached, was turned back up, 62.25 should be bounced Resistance, if exceeded than 63 is key to clear/hold,

14 Jan 2013 10:39 am
the upturn from 60.25 has reached 63, should push through, orhold 62.25 at the lowest to keep up trend and not turn back now

14 Jan 2013 10:51 am
the ESS men in an uptrend since making a low about an hour into trading, this uptrend should have trouble at 64-64.50,but 63 needs broken

14 Jan 2013 11:00 am
as long as ES holds 63 Thursday chance for a push higher, if broken a bounce that follows likely sold into

14 Jan 2013 11:03 am
watch for sellers around 64.50-65 on this move, 63.25 key support

14 Jan 2013 11:13 am
small push higher stall then pushed higher again.the uptrend will stay intact unless 63.50 broken at the least, 63 again ideally.

14 Jan 2013 11:16 am
66.50-65.00 area had some sellers so far, but 63.75 area is about as far as a pullback should go before turning back up to keep uptrend going

14 Jan 2013 11:20 am
the Dow cash tested its early high at 13,500 with an ES at 64.75 high, 2728.25 on the NQ. sellers there twice so far, 63.75 needs good bounce

14 Jan 2013 11:22 am
or the trends can be broken and begin a downtrend, or have a bounce high in place. I believe speech from White House, coming soon

14 Jan 2013 11:38 am
bounces being sold as the Dow cash tested 13,500 and pulled back twice now. Buying/short covering coming in on dip to the 63 area.a short

14 Jan 2013 11:39 am
if there is another bounce and gets rejection from the 64-64.50 area, with tight stop just over bounce highs

14 Jan 2013 11:42 am
63.75 area should not be pushed above/held if a bounce, that could come from61.75 area or they test the low

14 Jan 2013 11:56 am
bounce back to 64.50, needs to break back under 63 and not turn right back up or there's a chance of moving higher

14 Jan 2013 12:11 pm
dbl top at 64.75 at the moment, the Dow cash has rejected 13,50 3 times up here. A push thru that area needed to get something going higher

14 Jan 2013 12:15 pm
next pullback should be bid right back up from 63.50-63.25 to have any chance of breaking out higher 64.75, is key area above

14 Jan 2013 12:19 pm
that 13,500 on the Dow cash along with the 64.25-64.75 area on ES and 2726-2727 on NQ all the important resistance, a short under those

14 Jan 2013 12:21 pm
should retest 62.25 area at least, around 2722.25 on the NQ. Those are where buying came in earlier and should hold or market breaking down

14 Jan 2013 12:27 pm
62.25 on the ES and 2621.75 on the NQ are pullback lows so far, bottom of this 2.50 point range. Needs moved back over 63.50 and not

14 Jan 2013 12:28 pm
turn right back down to take some pressure off, going lower otherwise

14 Jan 2013 12:30 pm
double top, and close to breaking the last pullback low which would need to be turned right back up or else it's going for 61.50-61.25

14 Jan 2013 12:30 pm
next update in about 20-30 minutes

14 Jan 2013 01:01 pm
another bounce to the 64 area, 3 ticks under current bounce high, Dow cash reach 13,498 and backed away. Theres a dbl top and dbl bottom with

14 Jan 2013 01:02 pm
better opportunities selling the top of the range as the market looking tired under 13,500 on Dow cash

14 Jan 2013 01:08 pm
three times down to 62.25-62.00, it's trying to hold but shouldn't stick on a bounce, still bearish under 64 and that 13,500 on the Dow cash

14 Jan 2013 01:21 pm
back up to 64.75 and the Dow cash was pushed over 13,500, a pullback should bounce off of 64-63.52 keep up side in position to break out

14 Jan 2013 01:41 pm
64-63.50 has been holding for about 15 minutes, if there is going to be a push higher instead of another reversal, need to hold and break out soon

14 Jan 2013 01:46 pm
the Dow cash has also pulled back to 13,500 and holding,so needs to hold there if going higher from here. Otherwise can go back to 62-61

14 Jan 2013 01:48 pm
beginning to break, a bounce should be sold, the NQ especially staying under 2726.50-2727

14 Jan 2013 02:00 pm
bounce sold into, though not in a big move from that. Just a 7 point range in the ES has traded in the middle since first hour.

14 Jan 2013 02:09 pm
a breakout but sold into, a pullback needs to hold 64-63.50 area, another pop could reach strong resistance around 67.50-68 area

14 Jan 2013 02:16 pm
that pop up was sold into on the ES while the NQ has had a better bid on dips.this has to stay above 64 or a high likely in

14 Jan 2013 02:24 pm
94.50 gave a little pop-up,but sold into it has to stay above 64.50-64 or rolling over not just pulling back

14 Jan 2013 02:39 pm
still raining I are in reach 66.50 so far, it's now the 65 area that needs held to avoid potential reversal from up here and instead grind

14 Jan 2013 02:40 pm
higher If that area is broken, then a bounce that follows likely it is sold into town to 64 at least and possibly 62 area again

14 Jan 2013 03:00 pm
65 was broken by a bit and turned back up and reached 65.75 so far, as long as this holds above 64.25 the market avoid decent pullback

14 Jan 2013 03:07 pm
tested thehi oh the day and should push through by a bit, 66. Should hold low to continue higher

14 Jan 2013 03:28 pm
there will be anxious sellers just above so careful trying to buy up here, a good short under 67-68 for now. 72 as far as upside could go but not today

14 Jan 2013 03:29 pm
we haven't had a last hours along for at least five days, so beware that today maybe the breaker of that string and continue lower

14 Jan 2013 03:34 pm
64.50 area is where the breakout occurred and then holding that level kept market out of trouble earlier. Should be key the end of the day

14 Jan 2013 03:35 pm
toppy action, would look to sell bounces as they should not stick today/tomorrow. Have a good rest of your day I will see you tomorrow

 

 

Thursday -January 10, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

10 Jan 2013 09:23 am
Good morning. I will try to update every 60-90 minutes today as possible, tomorrow will get back to regular updates. Decent pullback bought

10 Jan 2013 09:25 am
This early strength should be sold into, this is a gap up opening but probably not going to stick and 60-59 initial support

10 Jan 2013 09:25 am
I'll try to update close to 10:30 AM

10 Jan 2013 10:54 am
The ES popped above 62.50-63.50 but spent less than two minutes above that zone and was sold at 63. The 57.50 level was reached,

10 Jan 2013 10:56 am
That is key support,, and if 61 area is sold it could be broken on another push lower, if 61 broken a retest of 63 area a short

10 Jan 2013 10:58 am
Next update will be around noon or shortly thereafter. Bounces should be sold into, bought at lower levels with 55.50 area key early afternoon

10 Jan 2013 12:03 pm
After selling off from 62.50-63.50 resistance and taking out 61, the 60.50-61 area turned into resistance and another drop reached 56.75

10 Jan 2013 12:03 pm
That is the top of yesterday afternoon's range, and should be key support the rest of the day. Back towards 53-52 if Lowe is broken

10 Jan 2013 12:04 pm
If 60.50-61 happens to be exceeded, then the 63 area still key and should be sold into unless the market is wanting to break out, doubtful

10 Jan 2013 12:06 pm
That is the top of yesterday afternoon's range, and should be key support the rest of the day. Back towards 53-52 if Lowe is broken

10 Jan 2013 12:06 pm
If 60.50-61 happens to be exceeded, then the 63 area still key and should be sold into unless the market is wanting to break out, doubtful

10 Jan 2013 12:07 pm
The NQ has been weaker all day, 2723-24 would need cleared there. Next update around 1:30 PM or thereabouts.

10 Jan 2013 01:38 pm
The ES made it back to the 62.50-63.50 resistance, rejecting the 62.50 level around 1 PM. A pullback needs to bounce from 60-59.50 area

10 Jan 2013 01:39 pm
To avoid a potential breakdown to at least 58 area. As long as 62.50-63.50is not exceeded the market stays vulnerable. If exceeded

10 Jan 2013 01:39 pm
And not quickly turned back down, then we could see the ES gets squeezed higher towards the 66-68 area. If 62.50 is not exceeded

10 Jan 2013 01:41 pm
Don't expect that to happen, if the market gets hit one more time and 59.50 broken/held then the 56-55 area should be held on that and bounce

10 Jan 2013 01:42 pm
I will see you tomorrow morning, back to a regular day tomorrow. Have a nice day

 

 

Tuesday -January 08, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

08 Jan 2013 09:24 am
Good morning. I'm going to try to update roughly once an hour again today, but it may not be possible. I'll just do my best.the test of 50.75

08 Jan 2013 09:26 am
lead to a rally that didn't stick, and that's probably what we get today if they get back up there again is turned over. Liking the short side

08 Jan 2013 11:05 am
it was a trend down to move from 55.50 and broke under the 50 level, there could be a bounce but should stick, need a break/hold above 50

08 Jan 2013 11:06 am
need a move back above 50 area and hold on a dip to change trend

08 Jan 2013 11:40 am
the ES reached 46.00 before turning back up, but needs to get of of 48.50 and hold on a dip, 50.50-51 good resistance above

08 Jan 2013 11:42 am
48.50 just broken as I sent that, 48-47.50 should hold on a pullback to avoid one more push to the downside.A token lower low should reverse

08 Jan 2013 11:43 am
don't expect a decent bounce to stick, I will update again in about an hour.

08 Jan 2013 12:22 pm
48.58 seeded and 49 held on a pullback the 50.00 level reached so far, stalling out so must not break 49 or trend changes back down

08 Jan 2013 12:23 pm
need a move above 50 and stick to get itself out of trouble for at least a while and probably low in place

08 Jan 2013 12:24 pm
I will try to update in about 90 minutes.

08 Jan 2013 01:46 pm
Unable to break/hold 50.50-50 on a pullback, but instead failed at 50.50 and should pullback with 47.25 area important support under 48.50

08 Jan 2013 02:38 pm
market unable to hold onto its gains above 50.50-50.00 after reaching 51.50, a test of that area should be sold into. A break of 49-48.50

08 Jan 2013 02:39 pm
that isn't quickly reversed back up can lead to a late day slide at least down to 47.50 and possibly test of the low. A move over 51 needed

08 Jan 2013 02:41 pm
and not turned right back down to avoid late day trouble and attempt a move towards 54.likely the last update, have a nice day

 

 

Monday -January 07, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

07 Jan 2013 09:06 am
good morning. As noted in last night's update I'm doing a training camp until Thursday. I am going to try to send an update once per hour

07 Jan 2013 09:09 am
but cannot promise I will remember to do that.you will be credited for the days that are missed. market very overbought, two-sided action

07 Jan 2013 09:11 am
at best today, 57.50-58 first resistance on a bounce.why will try to update around 10:30 AM.

07 Jan 2013 10:32 am
pretty choppy range currently and upside bias at the moment but needs to stay over 54.50-54 at lowest were breaking down again, 57.50-58 R

07 Jan 2013 11:31 am
the ESas traded in a 3.75 point range, while the NQ has been pretty much trend up off of double bottom at support. Would follow the NQ

07 Jan 2013 11:33 am
it has very key support today at 2713 area, but meanwhile the ES is stuck and needs to get above 55.50 and not turn right back down

07 Jan 2013 11:34 am
I will try to update again around 12:30 PM.

07 Jan 2013 12:20 pm
the tiny range finally broken to the downside, noon low at 51.25 key support for 50 could break. 53.50 minor R,55-55.50 key resistance area

07 Jan 2013 12:22 pm
I will try to update around 1:30 PM, don't expect bounces to stick as this could last most of the day, sideways then drop

07 Jan 2013 12:24 pm
I will try to update again around 1:30 PM. Pressure stays on unless 53.50 exceeded, possibly towards 48 area if low is broken

07 Jan 2013 01:23 pm
the ES traded down to 1450.75, staying just over key support around 1450 and that must hold. 1402.50 was the early low, then top of a range,

07 Jan 2013 01:25 pm
if that area is broken and not turn right back up then another test of 1450 area is possible. If held, then a chance for a bounce but 55.50

07 Jan 2013 01:27 pm
54.25 small resistance than 55-55.52 area this afternoon. I will try to update one more time this afternoon

07 Jan 2013 02:32 pm
54.50 it is a minor resistance to get through if the market is going to make a go for the high, 53.50-53 is now support on a pullback

07 Jan 2013 02:33 pm
the market was bought at 51 area on the ES two times and for now will be safe unless broken. After breaking up here, 54 area should hold or

07 Jan 2013 02:34 pm
more back and forth action to finish the day also.

07 Jan 2013 02:35 pm
next update will be this evenings nightly update.This bounce should be sold into a little bit higher if it can, 57.50-58 area key resistance

 

 

Friday-January 04, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

04 Jan 2013 09:22 am
good morning. A quick note just in case I forget to notify you, I will be away from around 10 AM until around 10:30 AM this morning. As for

04 Jan 2013 09:26 am
54.75 is needed to hold on a first pullback if theres going to be another bounce attempt. Needs to get above 57.50 and hold to get move to

04 Jan 2013 09:27 am
back up to yesterday's high at 60.50 and maybe go a bit higher

04 Jan 2013 09:33 am
NQ was weaker pre-open and will be weaker of the 3 indices today, pressure on under 56.54 now, if a bounce it needs push thru with gusto

04 Jan 2013 09:43 am
53-52.50 is important support, market begins to get into trouble if broken and not quickly turned back up, 55.50 minor support than 57.50-58

04 Jan 2013 09:49 am
a pullback should bounce from around 55 area. If not then things will be changing. More Econ data top of the hour.

04 Jan 2013 09:52 am
I will be away until around 10:30 AM.

04 Jan 2013 10:31 am
the ES bounced from 55, at the same time the NQ was on it lows nd still being sold on bounces, sellpops as they are not sticking

04 Jan 2013 10:34 am
the NQ will continue to be the better shorting vehicle but the Dow has rolled over some and should keep pressure on ES

04 Jan 2013 10:42 am
would need to have a strong bounce from 55.50, at least get above 57 and not turn right back down otherwise breaking down towards 52

04 Jan 2013 10:46 am
just broke, 56-56.50 new Resistance on a bounce, needs a move back up above that area and stick or still heading lower,

04 Jan 2013 10:51 am
ES reached 56.25 so far,NQ needs a push over 2716 area and not turn right back down for it to attempt getting into uptrend

04 Jan 2013 11:01 am
a pullback from 56.75 on the ES and 2716.25 on the NQ. needs to stay under 56 or could have a better bounce from 54.75

04 Jan 2013 11:06 am
must be shorts covering on last two pullbacks, can sell off from 57-57.50 at highest but another pullback should get bid back up

04 Jan 2013 11:08 am
should make one more bounce attempt as long as 55.50 is held, if so that bounce should be sold into like the others

04 Jan 2013 11:20 am
55.50 was held and the ES bounced up to 57.50 so far before small pullback, a move back under 56 would turn trend down again

04 Jan 2013 11:36 am
56was held and 57.50 push through, that's now new support on a pullback from 59-60 area

04 Jan 2013 11:38 am
if they bounce from 57.50-57 area there is a chance to erase a double top and test 59-60 area before some pullback

04 Jan 2013 11:49 am
57.50-57 support held and bounce from 57.25 poked into 59-60 area, that can be a high if no bounce from ~58 area

04 Jan 2013 12:01 pm
59.50 was sold and 58 broken, that should be a high at least for a while, or area sold on retest, a spot to add a few put options

04 Jan 2013 12:07 pm
going to take a 10-15 min break from updates during my lunch. A move back under 58 that doesn't turn right back up again needed for break dn

04 Jan 2013 12:24 pm
should be starting a midday pullback staying under 58.50 area, NQ should hold under 2725

04 Jan 2013 12:34 pm
PS held a 58 for almost 30 minutes, and made it through 58.50 up to 59.00, was sold and needs t hold 58.25-58 to make a push to 59.50-60.50 possibly higher

04 Jan 2013 12:39 pm
59.25 sold and the NQ showing weakness again, another bounce will be sold, should start a decent pullback if we are going to get one

04 Jan 2013 12:54 pm
59 rejected and the NQ also sold into on bounce. Still a chance to get to the 59.50-60.50 area unless 58-57.50 broken

04 Jan 2013 01:08 pm
should be headed down to the 56.25 area if this stays below 58.25 on a bounce attempt

04 Jan 2013 01:25 pm
very slow and thin trading, but 58.25 was sold three times in this tiny range and needs to get above that/hold to get a move higher

04 Jan 2013 01:30 pm
we can get back to the high or a bit higher before pulling back

04 Jan 2013 01:31 pm
58 should hold if that's going to take out 59.25-59.50 prior double top, third time up here

04 Jan 2013 01:40 pm
PS holding 58.50 keeps door open to run up to 60.50, if no turn from that area then 62.50-63.50 and then pull back would need to hold ~60

04 Jan 2013 01:50 pm
58.50 acted as a base before the pop up to 59.75 new high, was sold right back down to 59. NQ in the middle of its range. 59-58.50 key S

04 Jan 2013 01:53 pm
market doesn't like it up there around 60, failed there yesterday and today, another bounce should be sold into as that could be a top

04 Jan 2013 01:58 pm
some buying coming in from around 57.50 prior low, this bounce should fail at a lower high if were going to break down

04 Jan 2013 02:06 pm
59.25 was sold on last pop but good buying comes in on every pullback so no breakdown unless 57.75-57.25 broken, 60.50 or higher still possible

04 Jan 2013 02:08 pm
but really shouldn't stay above 60 for a very long. If it does NQ also needs to get above 2724 and then 2727

04 Jan 2013 02:15 pm
the move back to 59.50 was rejected and that's the fourth attempt to get through 59.25 and stick,needs to bounce from 58 area

04 Jan 2013 02:22 pm
five times now that the ES has turned down from 59.25-59.75 zone, but pullbacks holding 58 area, needs a convincing break to roll over

04 Jan 2013 02:30 pm
the ES has been in a 2.25 point range sense around 11:35 AM, the lulls have led to upside breakouts and could be on the way to take out 60.50

04 Jan 2013 02:33 pm
6th rejection of 59.25-59.75, if going to push through then needs to make another go with a bounce off of 58.50

04 Jan 2013 02:36 pm
58.50 is the pullback low so far and this is the seventh try to get through 59.75, don't expect to stick

04 Jan 2013 02:42 pm
rejected again, marketgets more vulnerable to longer it stays under that and should be rolling over if no new high soon

04 Jan 2013 02:44 pm
these are very frustrating when in a narrower range, ES trades have been for 3-4 ticks,exit order placed immediately upon entry,tight stop

04 Jan 2013 02:56 pm
buying again just above 58, that area needs broken and not quickly reversed for a break to the downside. EDS needs a move above 59.75 and not

04 Jan 2013 02:58 pm
and not turn right back down. The NQ is finally perking up, a move above 2724 then 2727 needed there to attempt breakout also

04 Jan 2013 03:00 pm
this is acting like it wants to push through 59.70, and should have NQ can continue higher and take it along

04 Jan 2013 03:02 pm
pushed above 59.25-59.75, 60.55 just one tick needs to stay over 59.25 area now or a bounce that follows will be sold into

04 Jan 2013 03:09 pm
the pullback from 60.25 held 59.25 and 60.50 was touched. If this is going to keep pushing higher than 59.50 should hold on pullback

04 Jan 2013 03:17 pm
holding the above 60 is needed if going to get to the 62.50-63.58 area, or else next to bounce gets sold into

04 Jan 2013 03:26 pm
62.50reached in just a small pullback so far, if 61.50 isn't broken they can still get to 63-63.50, or else a top up here possible

04 Jan 2013 03:30 pm
pullback held at 61.75 before popping up to 63.00, should pull back but stays in it's a trend unless 61.50-61.00 broken

04 Jan 2013 03:39 pm
the market has been bought on all of the small pullbacks to the early going, but that 63 could be a high to 60.50 is broken.

04 Jan 2013 03:40 pm
Thats yesterday's high, plus biggest pullback after 10:45 AM was 2.50 pts, equals 60.50 off of 63 high.if 61.50 holds it's possible 63 gets

04 Jan 2013 03:43 pm
pushed through.if that 61.50 broken instead a high can be in and go to 60.50 at least and possibly 59.75-59.25

04 Jan 2013 03:45 pm
going to call it a week. Next week the updates will be altered a bit due to trading camp until Thursday.NQ going to take it on the chin EOD

04 Jan 2013 03:49 pm
60.50 reached and so far holding, but I think they snuck in a top late day, could bounce but not stick. Have a nice weekend!
 

 

 

Friday-December 28, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

28 Dec 2012 09:36 am
1403.50-1402.50 the key area to hold or goes back towards 1400 or lower. Two Econ releases in the first 30 minutes

28 Dec 2012 09:45 am
me have a high and at 1406 for now, 1403 area needs held on this pullback and bounce with some gusto not to be

28 Dec 2012 09:50 am
1402.50 bottom of that support zone giving a bounce, should stay under 1404-1404.52 have another push lower

28 Dec 2012 09:58 am
ES held under 04 on 2 tiny bounces and made a new low at 1401.75 so far, can bounce before release and two minutes but needs back above 04

28 Dec 2012 10:05 am
bounce took out 1404 by just 1 tick and turn back down and tested 1402.50, turn right back up. Another dip

28 Dec 2012 10:07 am
another dip should be bought around 1404.50-1404 at the lowest to keep moving higher, expect the next push higher to be sold into

28 Dec 2012 10:09 am
bounces are not going to stick, another test of the 1405-1406 area should be sold into, a good short on a pop up that stalls out

28 Dec 2012 10:14 am
1404-1404.50 should be pivotal resistance on a bounce now, shouldn't be exceeded/held. This should head back towards 98-97 if 1400.50 broken

28 Dec 2012 10:20 am
that 1400.50 minor fixed support was held, the bounce stopped just under 1404, looks like choppy day and 1406 turning toimportant resistance

28 Dec 2012 10:21 am
another pullback should be bought even if 1405.50-1406 area is rejected again

28 Dec 2012 10:27 am
the bounce stopped at 1405.25 and getting a pullback, has two turnaround from 1402.50 area or could go back to the low. 1405.50-1406 key

28 Dec 2012 10:33 am
ES was bid up from 1402.75 to 1405.00,but couldn't stick again. Must stay over 1402.50, but expect selling into bounces when upside stalls

28 Dec 2012 10:37 am
the ES bounced from 1400.50 support to 1405.25, sold into down to 1402.75 new support, chop to 1406.25 sold into, now must hold 1404

28 Dec 2012 10:39 am
feeble bounce from 1404.25,a move back below 1402.75 would break upside pattern.

28 Dec 2012 10:45 am
another pullback held 1404 sprinter to 1409, maybe something out of Washington but pullback should stay above 1406-1405.50 at the lowest

28 Dec 2012 10:50 am
on the way up from 1400.50 fixed support,the ES has been holding dynamic support 1402.50, 1404, 1406. 1408. Needs to hold now, 1412 R

28 Dec 2012 10:53 am
if 1408 isn't bid up, then 1406.50-1406 a key support to hold. If they push up to 12-13, and stall or rejected, should give decent pullback

28 Dec 2012 10:58 am
1408 held on first tests but just a feeble bid and drop to 1407.25. First time a support area broken, 1406.50 next support. Bounce shouldn't

28 Dec 2012 11:02 am
take out 1412, if it does it shouldn't hold, shouldn't go any further than 1414. 18.50-19.50 strong area if I'm wrong and 1414 taken out,

28 Dec 2012 11:06 am
just a heads up, I will be away this afternoon from around 12:15 PM until a little after 1 PM.

28 Dec 2012 11:07 am
at the moment there is pressure on under 1409, if 1406.50 to get a bounce than 1404 was the next

28 Dec 2012 11:21 am
the ES drifted down to 1405.50, and stall out before turning up. Not much gusto to the bounce, they should be sold into, especially a pop up

28 Dec 2012 11:24 am
that stops around 1409 and stalls or shows rejection. May not get that, could go back to 1404 if no hold of 1406-

28 Dec 2012 11:32 am
steady drift lower since stalling just under 1409 and breaking 1407 area. needs to get above 1406 and hold that level for a bounce attempt

28 Dec 2012 11:35 am
even if that happens, a decent bounce should be sold into. Things are slowing down already, a very thin bid and ask on all futures contracts

28 Dec 2012 11:37 am
1404.25 was touched and quickly came back up, but need the NQto get turned around if this is going to give a decent bounce

28 Dec 2012 11:42 am
that 1404 area on the ES and 2615 area on the NQ our key support areas and this slow downtrend, upside shouldn't go too far but doesn't

28 Dec 2012 11:44 am
breakdown unless those levels are taken out. That bounce could go to 1408-1409 area at most, should be sellers around there

28 Dec 2012 11:56 am
the NQ could lead this lower as the ES struggling just under 1407 the NQ could break 2615 and start some downside momentum

28 Dec 2012 12:04 pm
the NQ based out just above 2615, ES was bid back up from 1405.50, this can grant higher a bit further as long as those areas are not broken

28 Dec 2012 12:07 pm
I need to leave in just a few minutes, and will be back in about an hour from now. bounces not sticking very well, 1408.50-1409 key R

28 Dec 2012 12:31 pm
almost to the 1408.50-1409 area,should be a reaction there, but 1405.50 on ES and 2615 on NQ still key support, back later

28 Dec 2012 01:13 pm
the ES is chopping around from 1408.50 two 1405.75, just a scalper's market, upside or downside not sticking

28 Dec 2012 01:31 pm
market has a "sell a bounce" feel to it and it 1405.755 is a bid this can break down to 1404 or lower

28 Dec 2012 01:38 pm
still able to hold the bottom of this tiny range. Even though thinly traded as it is now, the market had a fluidity to it thats gone away

28 Dec 2012 01:42 pm
if something happens to break this and doesn't turn right back up, could be caught in a vacuum making a quick move, has consolidated 100 min

28 Dec 2012 01:47 pm
small bounce sold into,1408.25 would be a test of the high of this range, need a hold over 1406.50 at least to have a chance to move higher

28 Dec 2012 01:51 pm
hard to believe people want to be buying expecting a miracle out of Washington, a "fix" could be sold into anyhow.

28 Dec 2012 01:52 pm
would rather be short than long, day trades should be better short on bounces for those hanging around all day

28 Dec 2012 01:55 pm
1404.25 is the bottom and of the strange, 2615 still on the NQ. There will be sellers if a bounce attempt

28 Dec 2012 02:00 pm
bounce from just above the bottom of the range 1406 Resistance should be sold if going lower

28 Dec 2012 02:06 pm
05.75 sold, 04.25-03.50 S

28 Dec 2012 02:12 pm
drop to 1403.75 was bid up, but still under pressure unless 1405.50-1406 is reached again and not rejected, as it was on first tiny bounce

28 Dec 2012 02:16 pm
under pressure unless 1405 exceeded, 1402.50 is next support , next update in about 10 min

28 Dec 2012 02:29 pm
tiny bounce off 1403.50 to 1404.75 instantly sold, token lower low 1403.25 likely shorts covering, should continue lower staying under 1405

28 Dec 2012 02:46 pm
held just above 1402.50 support given earlier.1404.75 on the ES and 2616 on the NQ need pushed above/held on a dip to get rally attempt

28 Dec 2012 02:57 pm
1404.75 on the ES and 2615.50 on the NQ were bounce highs, but just a small pullback so far, 1402.50 area key support, but a push through

28 Dec 2012 02:59 pm
1405 on the ES needed to get any kind of short covering move higher. I don't think something magical happens at 3 PM, the meeting just begins

28 Dec 2012 03:05 pm
I will be wrapping up a bit early today, and about 10 minutes. But for Washington to do something today, they need to sit down and autograph

28 Dec 2012 03:06 pm
quite a few papers, AFTER trying to come to an agreement of some sort. Still needs to push over 1405 and not turn right back down

28 Dec 2012 03:17 pm
1402.58 area well bid, but stopped at 1404.75 for the third time, if exceeded and notquickly reversed then good possibly test 1407-1408 but

28 Dec 2012 03:18 pm
that should take some work. Should stay above 1403.75 to have a chance

28 Dec 2012 03:20 pm
they could get up there at 1404.50-1404 area holds on any pullback, from 1405.50 most likely if going to get one

28 Dec 2012 03:26 pm
pull back from 1405.50 to 1404.00 turned back up and could push a bit higher but likely pull back again

28 Dec 2012 03:29 pm
next update will be sent next Wednesday around the open. Wishing you and yours a Happy New Year! thank you for being part of the group!

28 Dec 2012 03:30 pm
"see" you next Wednesday

28 Dec 2012 03:42 pm
Spike down to1398.50 can be revisited if 1402.50 is a clear/held.

 

 

Thursday-December 27, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

27 Dec 2012 09:31 am
early strength sold into, maybe a move over 15.50-16 and hold up there

27 Dec 2012 09:34 am
this is going to need to bounce from 12.50-12 area with some gusto

27 Dec 2012 09:44 am
16-15.50 was supposed through, needs to hold as support on pullback

27 Dec 2012 09:46 am
19.00-19.50 needs to be cleared if 16 area holds and gives a bounce. More numbers top of the hour

27 Dec 2012 09:55 am
there was a small bounce from 15.75 to 17.00, but no follow through. 12.50-12 the important support, 19-19.50 resistance after 10 AM

27 Dec 2012 10:01 am
going to 12.50-12 and need to bounce from there and take out 15.50-16 resistance, pivotal area this morning

27 Dec 2012 10:05 am
a bounce from 12.50 up to 14.25, staying under 14.50 keeps pressure on

27 Dec 2012 10:12 am
bounce to 14.25 was sold, needs to clear that to take pressure off. 12.00 holding and still key area, but bounces being sold so need run up

27 Dec 2012 10:14 am
above 14.50, then especially 15.50-16.00 area which is pivotal this morning

27 Dec 2012 10:21 am
falling apart again on the break below 1412, 12-13 resistance now 1404-1402.50 may be in the cards if this stays under 1409-10

27 Dec 2012 10:25 am
1403.50lo so far, this zone has to hold to avoid going under 1400 again. Brown's resistance 1407 then 1408.50-1409

27 Dec 2012 10:37 am
based out at 1403.50, bounces failed at 1405.75 and 1406.00, needs pushed above/held on a dip or could go under 1400

27 Dec 2012 10:42 am
if 1403.50 isn't broken, and a move above 1406 sticks, could give a move up to 1408.50 areabut need to start soon

27 Dec 2012 10:49 am
the ES based out at 04.00-03.50,just push through 1406 and can get to 1408.50 area before pulling back, 1406 support

27 Dec 2012 10:53 am
tepid bounce stopped at 1407.50, needs to hold ~06 and bounce with gusto,or could go back towards the lows

27 Dec 2012 11:05 am
the ES fell to 1404.75, bounced back to test last bounce high at 1407.50, but not sticking. needs to be another pop up from 1404.50 at worst

27 Dec 2012 11:08 am
otherwise a chance todrop to the 1402.50 area or lower possibly 97.5096.50

27 Dec 2012 11:18 am
1404-1404.50 area should be resistance if going to make another push lower and test/take out 1400 area. If exceeded, 1403 will need to hold

27 Dec 2012 11:26 am
1404.50 the bounce high so far, under pressure unless broken and then 1403.50 at worst able to hold on pullback

27 Dec 2012 11:33 am
a pop-up didn't stick per normal, nothing has changed, yet, though there has been a good bid around 1403.25 which must hold to avoid 1400

27 Dec 2012 11:46 am
trying to make a late morning low and also stairstep higher like yesterday, but must hold 1404 or bounce that follows is sold into. Or if

27 Dec 2012 11:48 am
1404 broken and no quick bounce than a drop towards 1402.50-1402 needs held or still going for the 1400 or lower

27 Dec 2012 11:52 am
there could be a bounce but should be sold, probably won't happen but a token higher high should be sold into and pull back again

27 Dec 2012 11:56 am
a hold under 1403.50 can help push this under 1400

27 Dec 2012 12:01 pm
acts like buyers mostly absent and with sellers in control the pop-ups are shorts covering, and positions put on again when bounce stalls.

27 Dec 2012 12:01 pm
Thats the way things have gone last 4 days, from 40+ points higher on the ES. 12.50-12.00 support broken by just 1 tick so far, should

27 Dec 2012 12:02 pm
Needs to get above 1403.50-1404 and hold to have a potential double bottom in for a while, other wise still can test/break 1400

27 Dec 2012 12:06 pm
almost to 1400, potential reversal or bounce from 97.50 area, 1402.50 resistance, cover shorts next update after 15-20 minutes break.

27 Dec 2012 12:21 pm
dropped under 1400 and turned up but just another small bounce with no gusto, needs to get back above 12-12.50 to attempt turning around

27 Dec 2012 12:32 pm
97.50-96.50 zone could give a bounce, but this action is very poor and worth passing and staying on the short side on bounces

27 Dec 2012 12:42 pm
96 low brought in some buying, 99.50-00.25 R. 93-92 area would be next, if this pattern continues and bounce fails around 99.50-00.25

27 Dec 2012 12:52 pm
one of the best buy ups of the day up to 99.00, pullback should hold 97.25 at the lowest to have a chance to push back through 99.50-00.25

27 Dec 2012 12:55 pm
a small pullback held at 97.50, and that now important support and should hold to get that through 99.50-00.25 resistance

27 Dec 2012 01:04 pm
bounce from 97.50 made it to 1401.50 so far. 99.50 is now important support, should it be broken to keep this decent bounce in year

27 Dec 2012 01:06 pm
1402.50-1403 Resistance up here should be sold down towards 1400 and then bounce if staying strong and not just another failed rally

27 Dec 2012 01:15 pm
1402.50 reached on this bounce, pullback needs to hold 1400.25 to keep up side and gear. If they move a bit higher towards 1405-06, pivotal

27 Dec 2012 01:18 pm
this is a bit of a carbon copy from yesterday with early strength sold in the first 15 minutes and a drop to early afternoon low then bounce

27 Dec 2012 01:22 pm
I doubt this bounce lasts much longer, sellers came in around 1404 earlier, needs to bounce from 1400-1399.50 but still should fail

27 Dec 2012 01:31 pm
ES fell to 98.75 and maybe tough getting back to the 1401.75 area but if a bounce fails around there it sets up a shorting opportunity

27 Dec 2012 01:32 pm
I need to be away for about 15 minutes and will update ASAP after returning

27 Dec 2012 01:45 pm
staying under 1401 keeps pressure on, 2605 on the NQ. Must be cleared to avoid breaking 99 area and going for tests of low

27 Dec 2012 01:51 pm
choppy but holding 98.75 so if 1401 and 2605 on NQ are exceeded instead, then 1402.50-1404 prior support area is still important R

27 Dec 2012 02:03 pm
if the market internals end the day a little bit worse than they currently are, and the VIX drops back down towards 20, it could be putting

27 Dec 2012 02:03 pm
internal gauges into very oversold condition along with some VIX buy signals possible. The days not over, ES needs to get over 02.50-04.00

27 Dec 2012 02:05 pm
and not turn right back down for pressure to be taken off on the downside.

27 Dec 2012 02:22 pm
the ES caught a decent bid on retest of 97.75, a pullback should hold 95.50 area to keep from failing Andy getting over 1401 resistance

27 Dec 2012 02:37 pm
the bounce fell just shy of resistance that 1401 on the ES and 2605 on the NQ, and failed to test/break last pullback low, but still

27 Dec 2012 02:40 pm
a short one bounces unless those areas are taken out. If they are, then they move towards 1404 on the ES. 2 tests 97.75-97.50 important S

27 Dec 2012 02:47 pm
not sure the cause for that other than some short covering but a pullback will be bought, 1401 should be strong support if reached. Must bounce

27 Dec 2012 02:49 pm
positive talk from Capitol Hill, 1407.50-1408.50 small resistance, pullback should hold 1404-1402.52 stays strong

27 Dec 2012 03:02 pm
pullback held just above 1404 and that area should be pivotal end of the day , 1408.50 than the 1412 area I 1408.58 exceeded/held

27 Dec 2012 03:15 pm
1410 might be it for this boun have 1407.00 is broken, next would be 1405. If that doesn't hold there could be a late slide to 1401-1400

27 Dec 2012 03:22 pm
1407 was broken and turned up,this should grind higher into the close unless there is a move back under 1407 not quickly turned back up

27 Dec 2012 03:25 pm
last resistance on this move is 12.50-13.50 area, pullback should hold 1410 area to continue grind higher, 1408 at the lowest should hold

27 Dec 2012 03:29 pm
if for some reason 1408 broken and not quickly reversed back up, then small support at 1406.50, strong support 1404.50 area,just in case

27 Dec 2012 03:33 pm
1410 held in another push higher, that is important level and shouldn't be broken

27 Dec 2012 03:34 pm
have a good rest of your day, I will see you tomorrow shortly after the open

27 Dec 2012 03:56 pm
if there's going to be selling into this patchwork deal in the works, possibly, then it could come from 19.50-20.50 area. short-term low

27 Dec 2012 03:59 pm
is likely in place however in a drop down to 1408 area needs to hold or that would be in jeopardy. More from Washington now,
 

 

 

Wednesday-December 26, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

26 Dec 2012 09:30 am
If it cannot hold 23 then a test of 21.54 lower

26 Dec 2012 09:36 am
it's going to be a slow day if this low energy on the open is an indication. Another pop-up should be sold into, a test of 21.50 bought

26 Dec 2012 09:43 am
pop up didn't go far before turning back down. Needs to stay above 23 on the ES and around 2654.50 on the NQ or rolling over

26 Dec 2012 09:53 am
Test of the low not giving much of a bounce, a move back above 23.50 needed to take some pressure off, but a hold under could move to 20-19

26 Dec 2012 09:55 am
24.00-24.50 resistance is the high so far, and this is bearish unless that's cleared/held

26 Dec 2012 10:00 am
if 24-24.50 is not rejected on a push higher, but exceeded/held instead, then 27.50-28.50 possible. 22 must continue to hold to get there

26 Dec 2012 10:08 am
22.50 needs bid up aggressively above 24-24.50 resistance soon, or a break under 22 likely and could see 20-19

26 Dec 2012 10:21 am
24.50 resistance shouldn't be broken/held, that is key resistance on a decent bounce. If this stays under 22.50, one more drop towards 20.50

26 Dec 2012 10:27 am
21.75 was sold and pull back held at 20.50,that must hold and also get above 22-22.50 to avoid 19 area

26 Dec 2012 10:33 am
20.50 held so far, bounce should be sold no higher than 22-22.50 area. Downtrend intact unless 22.50 exceeded

26 Dec 2012 10:40 am
steady move lower after the break of 22.25, 20.50 area small resistance on bounce from just above 19, must be bid up with gusto

26 Dec 2012 10:43 am
20.50 should be pivotal to keep the grind lower in gear, if broken/held then 22-22.50. 17.50-16.75 suppport if one more push lower

26 Dec 2012 10:48 am
ES traded down from initial resistance at 24-24.50 to just above 19.00 minor support, 17.50-16.75 could be seen if hold under 20.50

26 Dec 2012 10:54 am
should see 17.50-16.75 the way this is acting, a push under 19 would need to be instantly reverse back up to avoid

26 Dec 2012 10:59 am
if there is a bounce from 17.50-16.75 area it should have trouble getting above 20 and holding. 15.50 small area below

26 Dec 2012 11:06 am
15.50 minor support gave a small bounce but should go for 12.50-12 area next as long as 17.50-18 not exceeded/held

26 Dec 2012 11:13 am
12.50-12.00 area juust missed could give a bounce, but need to get back above 15.50-16.25 to dent the downtrend

26 Dec 2012 11:26 am
bounce reach 15.50, rejected, needs to bounce from above the low and take out 15.50-16 to get a little bounce going, and potential low in

26 Dec 2012 11:28 am
needs to get above 15.50 area and hold to get this turned back up for a wimpy bounce that gets sold into

26 Dec 2012 11:35 am
the spike low down at 10.75 is between 12.50 and 08.50 support areas. Small resistance at 14, a move above 15.50 can dent the downside

26 Dec 2012 11:47 am
a decent bid on the NQ, it needs to get above 2632 area and the ES above 15.50 to break down trends. 12.50 small support to hold, 27 NQ

26 Dec 2012 11:48 am
those need held to have a chance of taking out those resistance areas, otherwise another pullback should be brought

26 Dec 2012 12:00 pm
12.50 held on the ES and the NQ pushed above 2632, needs to stay above 13.25 if theres going to be an attempt of 15.50-16.75

26 Dec 2012 12:06 pm
13.50 pullback low so far but looking a bit ttop-heavy around 15 and could retest at least 12.50-12, possibly the low

26 Dec 2012 12:15 pm
the pullback held at 12.75 and a bid back up, 15.50-16.25 resistance if this can continue higherand get above 14.50 with some gusto

26 Dec 2012 12:18 pm
15-20 minutes break needed here. Bounces still unable to stick,even if a better bounce that should be sold into. Back in just a bit

26 Dec 2012 12:36 pm
two pullbacks held at 12.25, and this is the third test of 14.25-14.75 needs a push above that area and stick. Otherwise test lows

26 Dec 2012 12:41 pm
pullback held 12.50 on third test of 12.50-12.00, ES stuck between 12.25 and 14.75,need to break that range to get something going

26 Dec 2012 12:48 pm
another poke down to 12.255, but under pressure under 13.50, that at least needs clear to take pressure off. If 12.25 holds an goes thru 13.50

26 Dec 2012 12:53 pm
12.50-12.00 area was important coming into the day, the break below didn't hold very long, pop to 14.75 then the 12.50-12.00 holding cents

26 Dec 2012 12:56 pm
There should be good sellers above but for now no damage done unless that area broken again. 22.50-22.00 should be key the rest of the day,

26 Dec 2012 01:00 pm
16.75-17.50 is resistance on this bounce that should be sold into, 14.50-14 needs to give a bounce or a choppy top in for a while

26 Dec 2012 01:06 pm
pullback has gone a bit too far, there could be another pop-up from here but sold into around the 15.50 area, 16.75-17.50 maximum

26 Dec 2012 01:17 pm
it was getting above 13.50 area that got the upside going, the pullback to that area holding but need a push thru 15.50, not reverse again

26 Dec 2012 01:20 pm
15.00 reached so far, if this is going to drop act under 13.50 and possibly 12 than that area should be reversed, or else 17.50 possible

26 Dec 2012 01:33 pm
a pullback from 15 down to 14 gave a quick pop up to 15.50 and turned back down, needs to stay above 14.50 to keep from reversing

26 Dec 2012 01:37 pm
steady downtrend until 11:30 AM being followed up by a choppy tepid rebound, stopping at 15.50 resistance so far. if going to pull back

26 Dec 2012 01:40 pm
it could possibly come if a pop up to 17.50 area is rejected, or fail a bit higher than that. A break of 14-13.50 turns this down

26 Dec 2012 01:49 pm
15.50 resistance rejected down to 14 and bounce back but need a move over 15.50 and not turn right back down.14-13.50 needs broken on pullback

26 Dec 2012 02:00 pm
pullback held at 13.75 so far, that must hold to have chance of getting above 15.50 again. must turn right back up if tested, stall under 15

26 Dec 2012 02:02 pm
this could be the start of a move to 17.50 area as long as 14.50 holds

26 Dec 2012 02:05 pm
it has been moving up in a choppy manner, a pullback from 17 area should hold 15.50 area if going to go back up and not reverse

26 Dec 2012 02:13 pm
15.50 area tested and small pullback holding, could still get to 17.50 but needs to bounce from 15.50-15.00 at lowest to stairstep higher

26 Dec 2012 02:25 pm
if this goes back under 15.50-15.00 and doesn't bounce right back like it has been, this will be a top of some sort most likely. Another pop

26 Dec 2012 02:27 pm
should fail if that area isn't able to hold on a pullback

26 Dec 2012 02:31 pm
pullback held 15.25 so far but the way this is acting even a bounce over 17 should be sold into as soon as upside stalls out, 17-17.50 key

26 Dec 2012 02:40 pm
bounce from 15.25 need to hold around 16.00 to poke above 17-17.50, if that happens and upside stalls, should follow with another pullback

26 Dec 2012 02:42 pm
has two stay over 15.25 or the stair step higher will be breaking and bounced high and place will be sold against on a bounce attempt

26 Dec 2012 02:45 pm
lots of sellers at around 17 area and should be headed back towards 13.50, possibly the 12.50-12.00 area if break/holds under 15.50

26 Dec 2012 02:47 pm
should have a bounce high in place, the ES should follow the NQ and break the stair step higher, 13.75 minor support and 13,100 cash

26 Dec 2012 02:56 pm
should pull back from up in here, but as long as 15.50-15 area holds the job beat up trend should continue. Good bids on all pullbacks

26 Dec 2012 02:58 pm
17-16.50 should hold to keep this moving higher, 22 is were the morning breakdown gathered momentum, that area important resistance

26 Dec 2012 03:06 pm
watch 17.50-16.50 area for support on this pullback, needs to hold there and start another push higher. If not then 15.50-15 possible

26 Dec 2012 03:12 pm
next pop-up will need to clear/hold above 18.50 area to get a squeeze to test 19.50, if taken out 22-22.50 next resistance. if 18.50

26 Dec 2012 03:14 pm
is not pushed through and gain momentum, but fails instead then 15 area can be tested late in the day as a high well likely be in

26 Dec 2012 03:17 pm
17 held so far. in order to finish the day on a good note and in an uptrend, that 18.50 level needs cleared/held along with 2640 on the NQ

26 Dec 2012 03:23 pm
19-19.50 was a test of the Friday low after being broken earlier. All of the pullbacks bid back up since just before noon, and 15.50-15

26 Dec 2012 03:24 pm
needs to hold and give a good bounce that holds 18-18.50 to avoid breaking down

26 Dec 2012 03:30 pm
held above 15.50-15 area keeps the stairstep higher in gear and keeps door open for a move above 18-18.50, needs to clear/hold 18-18.50

26 Dec 2012 03:32 pm
if there's going to be a late day squeeze higher that can take out 19.50 area

26 Dec 2012 03:34 pm
have a nice rest of your day. Catch you tomorrow sometime around the open

 

 

Wednesday-December 19, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

19 Dec 2012 09:23 am
Embarrassing error in last nights update, all of those economic numbers don't come out until tomorrow morning. Sorry about that

19 Dec 2012 09:32 am
Globex session high at 46.00, that ought to be good resistance if reached again, 43.50-44 initial resistance needs to be cleared

19 Dec 2012 09:36 am
41.50 along with 2708 on the NQ need to hold if there is going to be a bounce or else 38 possible before bounce

19 Dec 2012 09:39 am
need to takes out 43.50-44 and is able to stick above that. Breaking 41.50 along with 2708 necessary for 38 test

19 Dec 2012 09:46 am
bounce to just below initial resistance sold on the ES, downside stalling out a bit just above 41, if a move back above 43.50-44 must stick

19 Dec 2012 09:49 am
pop up from 41 stalled and now rolling over, that's bearish action on a minute scale up here, 41 needs to hold

19 Dec 2012 09:53 am
a break under 40 that's not quickly reversed and give breakdown to 38 area which is key in the early going and for setting up the day

19 Dec 2012 10:00 am
ES needsa bounce of more than 1.50 points or to 38-37

19 Dec 2012 10:03 am
30 minutes into the trading day, and also at a trend support at 38-37 and a dynamic support along with that, need to move above 40 and hold

19 Dec 2012 10:04 am
bounce stopped just under 40 and this is still in trend down mode unless it's taken out/held

19 Dec 2012 10:10 am
yesterday 38.50 set up the pop to 43 high, based out there and 40.75-41.50 area pivotal on this bounce

19 Dec 2012 10:20 am
the bounce from 38.50 could stick over 40, and back down to the 38-37 zone. 40 key on bounce attempt, breaking 37.50 could mean 35 area

19 Dec 2012 10:24 am
no aggressive buying even stalling out at a support area.needs to get above 39, at least, to have a chance to avoid another push lower

19 Dec 2012 10:31 am
finally some good buying came inafter turning up from 37.00, a move above 38.50 take some pressure off for a bit, but for the area then key

19 Dec 2012 10:40 am
38.50 was exceeded/held taking pressure off and just push above 40. should pullback, needs to hold around 38.50, 41.25 next resistance

19 Dec 2012 10:43 am
not able to stay above 40 is bearish, neat and instant bounce from 38.50 area back above 40 and hold. Otherwise back to the lows or lower

19 Dec 2012 10:47 am
38.50 was touched, and quickly turned back up, would expect selling this and as stalls out at/near 40 again

19 Dec 2012 10:49 am
if it pushes through 40 and doesn't turn back down, could rally back to around 42. 38.50 support

19 Dec 2012 10:55 am
needs to hold 39.50 to keep this uptrend intact, stalled out so must bus through 40.75 soon to avoid breaking

19 Dec 2012 11:00 am
39.50 was held so far, but need a move back above 40.50 and then hold 40 on a dip or going lower

19 Dec 2012 11:04 am
need to hold 40 if there's going to be a move towards 42-43

19 Dec 2012 11:06 am
may not get that far, two-sided action with trend down to the initial support and about 50% retracement,could start pull back breaking 40

19 Dec 2012 11:09 am
talk myself out of staying with this uptrend, 42-43 it is possible but likely sold into, 40.50-40.00 support

19 Dec 2012 11:12 am
42 was sold, and now must have a good bounce from 41-40.50 or its getting toppy up here

19 Dec 2012 11:15 am
a pullback held at 40.75 and should push above 42 if the upside is going to continue. A break of 40.50 would turn things back down

19 Dec 2012 11:23 am
trapped buyers above now has something triggered quick drop from 41.75, 42 area obviously being rejected. a pop up will be sold into

19 Dec 2012 11:29 am
NOTE: I will be away today from around 12:20 PM until around 1:10 PM. I will give a reminder before leaving. 40.75 should be sold

19 Dec 2012 11:37 am
40.75 was pushed thru and up to test 42, a pullback should hold 40.50 at worst to keep this uptrend. NQ stronger bounce, 2708-07 needs held

19 Dec 2012 11:49 am
the next bounce should set up shorting opportunity on another test of 42 or just below that stalls out. bearish under 42-43, 2711-12 on NQ

19 Dec 2012 11:51 am
if 40 is broken or the NQ begins to turn weak, they may not get up there again

19 Dec 2012 12:02 pm
in a range between 39.25 and 42.00 for just under an hour, 38.50 area should be important on break lower.

19 Dec 2012 12:06 pm
a pop up to 39.75 should be sold if a bounce comes from 38.50

19 Dec 2012 12:09 pm
any kind of rally is going to be sold into unless dynamic change, also the internals at a spot where they could improve enough to get

19 Dec 2012 12:16 pm
to get short-term internal gauges in sell territory in quite some time. So, expect strength to be sold into.and decent pullback bid, unless hold

19 Dec 2012 12:17 pm
hold under 37 support if retested. I will be away until around 1:10 PM and will update ASAP,

19 Dec 2012 01:08 pm
a bounce from 38.50 area back up to the 42 level, and that was rejected,so probably back towards 38.50, NQ under 2700

19 Dec 2012 01:28 pm
another bounce from 38.50-38.00 area,this bounce should fail 40.50 area has been pivotal

19 Dec 2012 01:38 pm
lots of buyers trapped above 40 if not out already, but like I said earlier bounces not going to stick and could get new lows this afternoon

19 Dec 2012 01:45 pm
should head down to 35 area as long as it holds under 38.75

19 Dec 2012 01:46 pm
double bottom is possible but even if a bounce from 37 it will be sold into and give one more push lower at least

19 Dec 2012 02:00 pm
double bottom, but should be broken if ES holds under 39.50 and breaks 38 again

19 Dec 2012 02:09 pm
that spike down to 36.50 maybe as far as downside goes, or there could be one more push lower if 38.50 is rejected and they come dn thru 37.5

19 Dec 2012 02:15 pm
38.50 was rejected and 37.50 barely broken so far. As long as 37-36.50 holds there is a chance for case that back towards 38.50 or higher

19 Dec 2012 02:17 pm
that area broke as soon as it was sent and 35 should be in the cards unless 38 broken

19 Dec 2012 02:23 pm
they went down to 35.25 on that last push lower, and a pretty decent rebound, needs to stay above 36.50, if broken another drop could occur

19 Dec 2012 02:25 pm
another push up to 38-38.50 that stalls out could set up a short for one more pull that

19 Dec 2012 02:36 pm
holding under 37.50 keeps pressure on for potential retest of the low,needs to push above that area with gusto and not stall out

19 Dec 2012 02:48 pm
37 the bounce high and drop to a new low, 1434.50-1433.75 support, but bounces should still fail unless 37 or especially 38.50 exceeded

19 Dec 2012 02:58 pm
35.50-36 should be good resistance on this bounce if going lower

19 Dec 2012 03:09 pm
36 was reached but only pulled back to 35 before another push higher, needs to get back above 36-37 area which has turned the market that

19 Dec 2012 03:15 pm
failed bounces all day long, only break that unless 36 exceeded and not turned right back down

19 Dec 2012 03:27 pm
with 30 minutes left could get some short covering if 36 is taken out and able to hold, 35 would be support needed to hold if 36 is broken

19 Dec 2012 03:27 pm
have a nice day and I'll see you in the morning

 

19 Dec 2012 03:38 pm
resistance that 38.50, if that's taken out then 40-40.50 probably as far as this can go

19 Dec 2012 03:51 pm
small support 32.50, and then could drop to 29.50-29.00

19 Dec 2012 03:55 pm
that 29.50-29 area was where the buying came in after the double bottom around 25.50 support yesterday morning.mini breakout area too

 

 

Tuesday-December 18, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

18 Dec 2012 09:40 am
25.50 pivotal as support, resistance if broken. Needs to get above 28.50 and not turn right back down,

18 Dec 2012 09:51 am
still in an uptrend which is getting extended and will take a breather at some point, some housing data top of the hour. Needs to hold over

18 Dec 2012 09:54 am
hold over 27.50 27.00 or turn right back up with broken otherwise could pullback under 25 before

18 Dec 2012 09:58 am
highs could be in, another pop-up should see some selling into it

18 Dec 2012 10:09 am
27.50 sold into on a small bounce, 28-28.50 important resistance now and 25.50 which was just missed important support. a hold under 25

18 Dec 2012 10:11 am
more from Capitol Hill not too far off

18 Dec 2012 10:15 am
Capitol Hill in about two minutes

18 Dec 2012 10:23 am
I don't know where that last update came from but anyhow, pullback from 30 likely, then 27.50 area needs held to keep strength

18 Dec 2012 10:34 am
pullback from 30.25 held at 29.00 and another push higher, next pullback should hold over 30.50 and make another push higher keep upside

18 Dec 2012 10:35 am
pull back from 32.52 get them down there

18 Dec 2012 10:46 am
33.75-34.25 is the overnight high area to be tested, 9 and 18 EMA on 1 minute chart dynamic support inn strong trends per e-book 32.50 S

18 Dec 2012 10:56 am
if there's going to be a pullback from here then a pullback would need to break 34 and then have some trouble holding on bounce attempt

18 Dec 2012 10:59 am
now should have test or break the 34 area so it needs to bounce right back and not stall around 35.50

18 Dec 2012 11:05 am
34.00 tested so far, holding, needs to pop soon, 32.50-32.00 would be next if 34 isn't held. should bounce from there if in good shape still

18 Dec 2012 11:13 am
bounce from 34 tested the high so far, and if 34.50-34.00 is held the market stays strong, though likely sold a bit higher up,37.50 possible

18 Dec 2012 11:17 am
37.50-38.25 area reached, if a pullback support now at 36.25, 35.50 at the lowest to keep up trend intact

18 Dec 2012 11:21 am
if there's going to be selling into this move, this should be the area around 38.50 for pullback under 37 at least

18 Dec 2012 11:31 am
so far the pullback held 36.25,ould give bounce but a retest of the high is likely sold. 35.5 support

18 Dec 2012 11:35 am
there is about 7 second delay from the time I send the update and it gets to the website, + need to "write" them and that's slow also today

18 Dec 2012 11:36 am
Plus my own trades to handle. I'm going to update if it looks like I can get it to you in time to use, or very close if market not fast

18 Dec 2012 11:41 am
For now,long as 36 on the ES,2688 area on the NQ are not broken the trends are still up, but not a lot on the upside, move getting parabolic

18 Dec 2012 11:56 am
the bounce all for 36 didn't know far, the NQ strongest by far all day and backing away from 2700, could lead ES lower 2692 support there

18 Dec 2012 12:08 pm
there is a bit of a double top in place and and 34.50-33.75 possible if this holds under 36.50-37 and breaks 36 again.

18 Dec 2012 12:22 pm
need the NQ held strong in the ES had just a small well contained pullback to just 35.50, 36 should hold if going to get that to the highs

18 Dec 2012 12:36 pm
back to 38.00 on ES and NQ at its high also. 35.50 area is now key support, they move through 38 could start move to 40

18 Dec 2012 12:40 pm
38.50-38 good support on a pullback, 1440 reached and could pullback but market wants to go higher and will continue the way this is acting

18 Dec 2012 12:45 pm
if they pullback from 43, should hold 41.50-40.75 to keep this strong uptrend intact

18 Dec 2012 01:01 pm
EDS pulled back to 40.75 but that NQ a better bounce from just above 2700, another run up needs to push through 43 w/ gusto,

18 Dec 2012 01:05 pm
one more pop up will be sold into especially if a move to 43.75-44.50 stalls out, I need to be away for about 15 minutes, my apologies,

18 Dec 2012 01:22 pm
I think this is more than just a pullback. They didn't stay over 42 very long and NQ rejected 2705 3 times. A retest should be sold

18 Dec 2012 01:36 pm
It looks like as long as the 38.50 area acts as support and holds there is the possibility of seeing 42 again. Must hold 38.50 to keep

18 Dec 2012 01:40 pm
That trend up action going, should also hold 40. but if a retest of the highs stalls out then we should get a decent pullback from there

18 Dec 2012 01:47 pm
buyer likely to back away, long stake profits, just under 42. That was resistance after pullback from 43. It exceeded

18 Dec 2012 01:53 pm
then should test 43 high of the day. 42 rejected again so sell bounces under that do a pullback of about 4-6 point

18 Dec 2012 01:58 pm
todays internals very strong for the second day in a row, possible that indicators at or near sell territory. Ideally 1 more day like this

18 Dec 2012 01:59 pm
Staying under 42 should keep some pressure on sole pullback might occur today

18 Dec 2012 02:14 pm
if the ES holds 40.50 area it could get back up to 42 again, if they don't push right through that area they could pullback a couple points

18 Dec 2012 02:21 pm
selling into strength like it did earlier, third sign of some sell side action this afternoon. but only breakdown if 38.50 broken

18 Dec 2012 02:29 pm
change of character with strength being sold in 40-40.50 -trend to move over and another bounce a short

18 Dec 2012 02:33 pm
35.50pullback low shortly afternoon lines up with 60 EMA on five-minute chart and must bounce from around there to avoid more damage

18 Dec 2012 02:38 pm
38.50-39 minor resistance that will be sold on a bounce if weak, than 40-40.50 would need to be exceeded/held

18 Dec 2012 02:49 pm
39 poked through so should go to 40-40.50, if a bit higher that should be sold into. For now a pullback needs to hold around 38.50-38.00

18 Dec 2012 02:55 pm
Stalled just under 40, IF they are able to get back to 41.50-42 zone, should be quickly rejected, otherwise could test/break the high

18 Dec 2012 03:10 pm
pullback held at 38.50 and run up sold into at 40.75, needs to bounce off of 39.50 area if going higher. 38.50 keys support end of the day

18 Dec 2012 03:13 pm
consider a few put options, market getting overbought and do a decent sized pullback after this big run up

18 Dec 2012 03:21 pm
bounces not sticking now, and 38.50 tested, must take out 41 on a bounce off of that and stick,

18 Dec 2012 03:23 pm
if thats sold again, highs could be in the making, or another breakout area. also 4 time that the NQ easily came down from 2702.50-2705 area

18 Dec 2012 03:33 pm
could be some bounce but I don't expect a bounce to stick in the last 30 minutes the way strength has been sold into.

18 Dec 2012 03:41 pm
as long as a pullback is able to bounce from 37 or above, then no damage done to the up trend. but unless move for 40 holds, a bit vulnerable

18 Dec 2012 03:45 pm
40 was punched through right after last update, but didn't stick and fell from 40.50 down to 39.75 so far, still need move over 40 and stick

18 Dec 2012 03:48 pm
that's needed to get a breakout attempt tomorrow morning. Have a great rest of your day and I will catch you tomorrow near the open

18 Dec 2012 03:57 pm
back to the high, a pullback late or after hours should hold 1440.50-1440 area.

 

 

Monday-December 17, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

17 Dec 2012 09:26 am
ES reached 16.50-17.50 area overnight, strong zone. the low at 1409.25 is just above Fridays close. 1412 minor S, 1409 area must hold

17 Dec 2012 09:37 am
13.50-13.00 needs to hold or give a bounce on a dip if theres going to be a retest of 16.50-17.50

17 Dec 2012 09:44 am
pull back to 13.75 turn right up and as long as that holds uptrend intact to test resistance

17 Dec 2012 09:47 am
16.50 sold and now needs to stay above 15-14.50 on pullback if there's going to be another push higher

17 Dec 2012 09:52 am
15.00 pullback low, that is a key area now and needs to stay above that or transition that to the downside.

17 Dec 2012 09:56 am
17.50 reached and should see some reaction,16 needs held now to keep this going

17 Dec 2012 10:02 am
so far the pullback from 17.75 high held at 16.50 and shouldn't go much further or an early high could be in place, especially breaking 15

17 Dec 2012 10:10 am
this needs to stayabove 17 or that is a top to sell against

17 Dec 2012 10:15 am
unable to stay above 17.50 and if no strong bounce from 16, a drop down to 15 would be the key support

17 Dec 2012 10:17 am
should see 15-14.50 at least. A bounce from there would need to get above 17 and hold or going back down again

17 Dec 2012 10:26 am
15-14.50 once the pullback target, but still going lower unless a good move above 16.50 doesn't turn right back down

17 Dec 2012 10:30 am
could head back down to 1412 or maybe lower if they break under 1414 and dont turn right back up. 16-16.50 resistance on bounce

17 Dec 2012 10:35 am
1416.00 bounce high so far, if 15 holds there is a chance to test the high, should fail there, but if not then 21 potentially

17 Dec 2012 10:40 am
two-sided day in the works. This bounce should be sold into around 17-17.50, but hold 14.75 on a dip to avoid more downside

17 Dec 2012 10:51 am
tiny pullback held just above 15.00, couldn't get back to 17.50 but likely fail. Reversal if 15-14 broken

17 Dec 2012 10:55 am
should have said "could get back to 17.50" apologies for the errors with the voice software, time to retrain. 15.75 needs held to get their

17 Dec 2012 10:58 am
ES churning just under 16.50,for now the market looks vulnerable here unless 16.50-17.50 broken through/held

17 Dec 2012 11:03 am
just another tiny pullback at the moment, if they pull back to 15.00 or just above, and turn right back up, can continue higher. Or break/

17 Dec 2012 11:04 am
break/hold over 16.50, then a bit more run up before being sold into

17 Dec 2012 11:11 am
the market has had a good bid on pullbacks, and stays out of trouble unless 15 is broken. if 18 not rejected, 21-22 possible

17 Dec 2012 11:14 am
17-16.50 should hold if a pullback from 18 area,otherwise deeper pullback before another bounce

17 Dec 2012 11:22 am
17.50 area now is important to hold on a pullback, that shouldn't be broken if this is going to make it to the 21-22 area.

17 Dec 2012 11:28 am
if they bounce from 17.50 is going to fail, if they break and don't turn right back up, 16.50-16 can be tested before bounce

17 Dec 2012 11:30 am
the tick extreme at the high, a bit of capitulation by the bears on that move. another bounce should be sold into

17 Dec 2012 11:36 am
yet another run-up from 17.00-16.50 area, that is key on another pullback, and a should hold if the stair step higher continues

17 Dec 2012 11:38 am
ES looks determined to go for 21-22 area, or at least poke to 20 and see if that brings in more buying or is rejected. 18 now minor support

17 Dec 2012 11:42 am
21.50-22.25 resistance was reached, should see some pullback at least, 19.75-19.25 area should hold on a pullback or a high is in place

17 Dec 2012 11:55 am
21.50-22.25 zone reached and stalling out, those have been leading to breakouts on the upside, but breaking back under 20 could do the same

17 Dec 2012 11:56 am
but on the downside to test at least 19 and possibly 17.50 or lower

17 Dec 2012 12:10 pm
pullback was slow and well contained, then again they could bid came in to push higher. ok above 20 at the moment, 22.25 should be difficult

17 Dec 2012 12:15 pm
against the trend, but ES stalling out just under 21.50-22.25 resistance, thats held the market back more than 30 minutes.

17 Dec 2012 12:18 pm
early two-sided action and then trend up to the 21.50 resistance so far, should get some sort of pullback, but ok unless 20 broken

17 Dec 2012 12:22 pm
pullback shouldn't be more than 2.50 points on the ES to continue to grind higher, shouldn't drop 4 points the rest of the day to stay bullish

17 Dec 2012 12:30 pm
20.25-19.50 area key support, 21.50 needs to hold to keep strong uptrend going

17 Dec 2012 12:37 pm
a drop would need to hold around 20.75-20.25 area or could have change in dynamics, 18.50-17.50 if broken and not turn right back up

17 Dec 2012 12:41 pm
next update in about 20 minutes, a bounce from here not likely to stick above 23. 25.50 is next resistance

17 Dec 2012 01:04 pm
so far the pullback held just over 20.75-20.25 new support, needs a strong bounce but that's not likely, most of todays upside done

17 Dec 2012 01:06 pm
better odds on the short side up here for some pullback, so far we had a couple of 2 point pullbacks and of 4 point pullback,

17 Dec 2012 01:14 pm
for this action to continue this bounce from 21.00 needs get more enthusiasm and run up through 22,but exhausted up here

17 Dec 2012 01:19 pm
dynamics have changed now so expect selling into a bounce if there is one, 21 is resistance now, 20.50 before that

17 Dec 2012 01:26 pm
bounce back to 20.75, if there is a lower low look for 19.25-18.50 for another bounce attempt if stalled out. Thats key this afternoon.

17 Dec 2012 01:31 pm
19.75 held on a retest, while NQ goes lower,need a move back above 21 with some gusto, was good selling at 21.75, not likely taken out

17 Dec 2012 01:43 pm
grind the lower to 19.25-18.50 area, could bounce but in a downtrend unless 20.50 exceeded/held for now 18.50-17.50 area the next good support

17 Dec 2012 01:47 pm
grind the lower to 19.25-18.50 area, could bounce but in a downtrend unless 20.50 exceeded/held for now 18.50-17.50 area the next good support

17 Dec 2012 01:51 pm
Even though they made it down to the 18 area, doubtful that another rally is able to stick. Should see selling between 21-22 if reached

17 Dec 2012 01:59 pm
the ES gravitated back to 17.50-16.50 area, and just under early high. Must bounce here and get back above 19-19.50, not reject it instead

17 Dec 2012 02:06 pm
pop up to 20.50 was sold, needs to run up from 18.50 area, even if it does it doesn't stick

17 Dec 2012 02:21 pm
a move down to 16-15 area is in the cards next, even a bounce from their not likely to stick, 19-19.50 minor resistance on bounce

17 Dec 2012 02:35 pm
strange action but this should turn back down from around 19 if we are going back down again. 17.50 minor support before the low at 16.75

17 Dec 2012 02:37 pm
18.75 was sold twice, just under 19 resistance, should give another push down if 17.50 broken and not quickly reversed

17 Dec 2012 02:43 pm
17.50 needs to be broken through to start more downside it appears, or get over 19 to rally.I need to be away for 10-15 minutes, apologies

17 Dec 2012 02:56 pm
market hasn't done much since turning up from 16.75, a slow move higher up just 2 points over 30+ minutes. Hard to decided for her but looks

17 Dec 2012 02:58 pm
looks like there is still a good bid on pullbacks and unless 18 broken and not turned back up, this could try for 20-20.50, but not hold

17 Dec 2012 03:05 pm
just missed 20.00-20.50 so far, should be hard to clear and hold, need to stay above 18.75 to keep this stair stepping higher

17 Dec 2012 03:11 pm
made it into the 20-20.50 area, should be sold of bit higher up,stays in an uptrend unless 19.50 is broken for now

17 Dec 2012 03:13 pm
another pop up should be sold into, for at least a pullback. In 19.50 broken we may not get another bounce until lower-levels

17 Dec 2012 03:16 pm
needs to hold here to get one more move to the upside, it will likely be sold into around 21, if 19.50 broken then uptrend broken

17 Dec 2012 03:20 pm
that should be it for outside for a while,good sellers just above, but likely still a good bid on a decent pullback

17 Dec 2012 03:25 pm
market at a decision point it appears, they break under 19.50 could start some selling. A pop over 20.50 could give a bit more of a boost

17 Dec 2012 03:26 pm
the likely will have a hard time staying over 21. That's about it for the last 30 minutes or so. 19.50 should be pivotal.

17 Dec 2012 03:28 pm
have a good rest of your day and I will see you tomorrow morning. I will be a little later than usual, closer to 9:45 AM or so. Take care

 

 

Thursday December 13, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

13 Dec 2012 09:22 am
roll over to March 2003 futures today. The symbol for the ES is ES H3, and H3 after the root symbol for the other Stock index futures

13 Dec 2012 09:24 am
the new contract basically six points below the December contract. You can still trade the December futures if you like yet today,

13 Dec 2012 09:25 am
but the numbers given will be the new contract.

13 Dec 2012 09:27 am
March 2013, not March 2003. Should get 2 sided action today with some volatility.

13 Dec 2012 09:38 am
market has a good bid to start,but stalling out, needs to hold /bounce from 22 area to stay strong, over 20.50 to avoid reversal

13 Dec 2012 09:42 am
on its way to take out yesterday's low,next bounce should be sold into

13 Dec 2012 09:44 am
22.25-22.75 will need to be cleared/held to begin getting out trouble. 18.50-17.50 important support

13 Dec 2012 09:47 am
20 needs held in order to have a chance of getting back to 22.25-22.75

13 Dec 2012 09:50 am
pullback held 20.25 and turned back up, if going lower should reject 22.25-22.75

13 Dec 2012 09:55 am
bounce from 20.25 reached 22.25 so far,needs to bounce from 21 if a pullback here,needs to get over 22.50-22.75 and not turn right back down

13 Dec 2012 09:59 am
needs a hold over 22.75

13 Dec 2012 10:01 am
pressure can be on if 22.00-21.50 broken and not turned up, could be another push higher but probably not if broken

13 Dec 2012 10:11 am
a bit of a stair step higher and should be good support at 22 now, next resistance around 25.50

13 Dec 2012 10:13 am
24.50-25.50 area should see some reaction /pullback, but not too far, hold around 23-22.50 at lowest, then back up

13 Dec 2012 10:22 am
a steady grind higher and just missed 25.50 but pullback should hold 24.25 to keep strong uptrend, 23.00 key area

13 Dec 2012 10:26 am
pullback to 24.00 and stalling there, much lower and a height will be confirmed

13 Dec 2012 10:30 am
23.50-23.00 area should be pivotal, the high made about 5 minutes in, breakout level also. Need to stay over that to keep up trend going

13 Dec 2012 10:32 am
be careful of a lower high or test of the high and then turn back down, would be negative pattern

13 Dec 2012 10:39 am
the way this is acting at the moment, another move higher should come but get sold into. Watch 24.50-25.00 for potential reversal

13 Dec 2012 10:51 am
23.00-23.50 area would need to be pushed above and held, or have a good bounce from around 20 to turn positive. only a millisecond under 20

13 Dec 2012 11:03 am
stalling out at 21.50,steady downtrend after reaching 25.00-25.50 resistance can be broken if 23 exceeded. More downside if not, 20.25-19.50

13 Dec 2012 11:10 am
20.25 low so far, a bounce will be sold into, would need a move over 22 and hold to turn the trend for just a bit. but not stick, 18.50-17.50

13 Dec 2012 11:13 am
a statement coming from Washington within the hour, bounce off of 19.50 support, can bounce here but most likely not for before another drop

13 Dec 2012 11:18 am
17.50 reached, that needs to hold or going towards 14.50. I need to be away 20 minutes or so, my apologies

13 Dec 2012 11:33 am
19.50-20.25 area should act as resistance on a bounce from down here

13 Dec 2012 11:37 am
20.25 is reached, needs to hold 19 area on a dip to get another push higher

13 Dec 2012 11:51 am
no sign of a turn at 19 and that turned into Resistance on a bounce, needs to be bid right back up from 17.50-16.75, but not hold

13 Dec 2012 11:53 am
if this market was bullish, this would be a base and a good rally with some gusto would begin. So far just tepid buying, not much conviction

13 Dec 2012 12:06 pm
tepid bounce up to 19.00 was sold, pressure stays on unless 19 is cleared/held also around 2663 on the NQ

13 Dec 2012 12:13 pm
stalled out just under 19 and back down again,basically turned down day with all bounces being sold after the earlier rally,stay with shorts

13 Dec 2012 12:16 pm
double bottom attempt but if 16.50 broken then small support around 14.50 but the key support around 13.00-12.50

13 Dec 2012 12:20 pm
should at least see 14.50 but if no sign of a turn there then 13-12

13 Dec 2012 12:22 pm
16.75-17.25 area should be sold into if persistent downtrend is going to stay in gear. Could be a better bounce if one more low reversed

13 Dec 2012 12:34 pm
16.75 was touched and then back down again to 14.25, so 14.50 target area reached,I don't have ALL the other numbers at the moment, but

13 Dec 2012 12:35 pm
12.25-11.50 area equivalent to what was 18.25-17.50 area on December, that area key on another push lower

13 Dec 2012 12:48 pm
12.50 reached but no bounce with gusto, 15.50 shouldnt be exceeded, or pressure may be off for a bit.

13 Dec 2012 12:55 pm
15.50-16.00 is about as far as a bounce should go,if they get there and stall out its another shorting opportunity with pretty tight stop

13 Dec 2012 01:13 pm
thus all at 14.50 lead to breaking 13.50 bringing in more selling down to 11.75, that is at a key area, still trend down under 13.50-14

13 Dec 2012 01:28 pm
should have a low in place for awhile, 13.50 area should hold on a pullback to keep this up trend intact

13 Dec 2012 01:40 pm
13.25 pullback low so far, must be defended or quickly reversed if broken to extend uptrend 15.50 then 19.50 good resistance if holds

13 Dec 2012 01:46 pm
not liking this pattern, need to get back above 14 and hold, that could give a squeeze to 15.50 or a bit higher. but test 12.50 or low

13 Dec 2012 02:00 pm
bounce from token lower low area, just above what was good support around on the old contract

13 Dec 2012 02:03 pm
if there's going to be another pullback then this bounce should not take out 1414.00-1414.58 area. Should actually turn from 13.50 if going back to the lows

13 Dec 2012 02:08 pm
around 10-09 is clone to the 1405.50-1405.00 area that was a start of a good rally last week. But trend down day, 3.50 pt bounces sold

13 Dec 2012 02:12 pm
both the 60 EMA and the 20 EMA(day session only chart) have marked bounce highs all day, currently at 13.25 then 17.00. Sell against those

13 Dec 2012 02:15 pm
to change trend down dynamics there needs to be a bounce of >3.50 pts and above 20 EMA on 5-minute chart.

13 Dec 2012 02:33 pm
if theres going to be another pullback then should come from this area, but it looks like a low may be in place, unless 11.50-11.00 broken

13 Dec 2012 02:40 pm
3.50 pt bounce,pulling back again but if 11.50--11.00 is bid back up,could make it up to 15.00, if a bounce from that area has some gusto or

13 Dec 2012 02:43 pm
so far support holding,if that area breaks without turning right back up again, then another test/break of the low then bounce attempt

13 Dec 2012 02:57 pm
11.50 was able to hold and another test of the 13 level, need to get above 13.50, or stay above 12.00-11.50 to keep bounce going

13 Dec 2012 03:00 pm
back in 10 min

13 Dec 2012 03:09 pm
the other 3.50 point bounces were immediately sold, but this one has gone sideways and should go back down to teststhe low

13 Dec 2012 03:12 pm
this will stay under pressure unless there is a move back above 13.25 and not quickly turned back down.if 10 isn't held then 08.50-07.50

13 Dec 2012 03:34 pm
this needs to stay above 1411.50-1411.00 area on a dip, then push 13.75-14.00 to have a last 30 minute rally.

13 Dec 2012 03:37 pm
11.50 was quickly bid back up, still needs follow through and break/hold 13.75 area and stay there, gathering momentum

13 Dec 2012 03:44 pm
13.75 was cut right through, a good rally up to 17.00 so far. If thats exceeded, 19.50-20.25 key area. 14.50 area should hold to continue

13 Dec 2012 03:46 pm
a stall here so if 14.50 area doesn't give a bounce, 13-12.50 key support end of the day

13 Dec 2012 03:48 pm
have a good rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow around the open. If you don't hear from me early, follow nightly update

 

 

Monday December 10, 2012

(time stamps are EST)


10 Dec 2012 10:09 am
18.75 rejected three times, need a move above and hold to avoid decent pullback from that level, 16 needs held or back to 14

10 Dec 2012 10:13 am
right back to the 18.75, for now as long as buyers hold the 17 level this uptrend stays intact, only if broken we get some downside

10 Dec 2012 10:16 am
that should be an early high especially if 17 broken, get short on another pop-up 18-19area.

10 Dec 2012 10:23 am
a "prairie dog" top, should be lots of supply in 18-19 area hold this down if there is going to be an early high, or pullback towards 15

 

** A "Prairie Dog ", is a trade set-up found in Mike's e-book:

"Read the Greed-Take the Money" **

10 Dec 2012 10:34 am
makt still catching a bid on pullbacks, should be selling in here, but to turn things would need a move down with gusto. break/hold under 17

10 Dec 2012 10:39 am
very slow and should turn down from here and take out 17 with a bit of momentum if there's going to be reversal

10 Dec 2012 10:47 am
this is as far as bounce is going to go or they are going to stay under the high and take out 17.that range should give directional move

10 Dec 2012 10:57 am
the NQ much stronger and lead this breakout on the ES,on its way to test 22 area,a pullback should hold 19-18.50
pullback to 19.25, needs to push higher with some gusto or this could break down a bit from up here before another bounce attempt

10 Dec 2012 11:23 am
slow motion, but old Resistance new support holding. if 19.50-19.00 reached needs to turn up instantly or a high in place for a while.

10 Dec 2012 11:32 am
18.25 bid right back up. Keeps upside intact to potentially test 22-23. The NQ losing its relative strength, needs a move back above 2658

10 Dec 2012 11:34 am
to help the ES move higher also, it has minor support to hold 2655-2654 area. It doesn't like it around 2680 so far

10 Dec 2012 11:37 am
even though holding support looks like a some pressure on the low 20.50-21 area, for move down to 18-17.50

10 Dec 2012 11:49 am
4 bounce attempts from 19.25-19.00, must hold, 22.25-23.00 could be in the cards

10 Dec 2012 11:52 am
this is going to have difficulty staying at higher prices, unless some person buying spurt comes in for some reason, buyers have been burned

10 Dec 2012 11:54 am
up in that area three times, new buyers backing away up there and longs wanting to lock in profits

10 Dec 2012 11:54 am
should be sold if another pop-up, and under pressure on break up 19-18.50

10 Dec 2012 12:04 pm
bounce from 18.50, not much gusto but still not much damage done. NQ acting copy/top.can get back to 2653-2654, look for resistance.

10 Dec 2012 12:11 pm
market on edge up here, buyers that 18.50 resistance turned support, but hasn't wanted to stay above 20 very long. Need break/hold over 20

10 Dec 2012 12:12 pm
for the market to get short squeeze going, and the NQ looks to have topped out, ES could make new high while NQ a lower high IF 20 on ES

10 Dec 2012 12:17 pm
is pushed above on this leg up.it has,19.25 shouldn't be broken on a pullback now or 22.25-23.00 probably not the cards

10 Dec 2012 12:24 pm
double top in place, upside appears limited even though buying coming in on pullbacks, another push higher will at least need to clear

10 Dec 2012 12:29 pm
20.25, and not turn right back down,otherwise a high in place. NQ top at 2653-2654 bounced resistance. 18.50 area on pullback or 17-16.50

10 Dec 2012 12:38 pm
19.25-18.50 was rejected 4-5 times, after breaking out thats been support. upside not going to stick, rollover is broken quick 15 min break

10 Dec 2012 12:52 pm
at 18.50 in a small bid back up, should be a bit more to go on the downside and possibly 17.58 for a bounce attempt

10 Dec 2012 01:02 pm
he areas, 18.50 ES, 2644.50 NQ, 13,180 cash S, 20.50 ES, 2649 NQ, 13,191 on Tao cash, NQ better trade vehicle leaving lower

10 Dec 2012 01:05 pm
that's the "DOW cash" sorry about that. A 2.50 point range on the ES for two hours

10 Dec 2012 01:18 pm
the 60 EMA on 5-minute chart held as support late Friday and early this morning and was just touched that 18.00, 16.50 next if broken

10 Dec 2012 01:22 pm
the bounce was about half of the range it up here, for now staying under 19 will keep pressure on and 16.50 is the next to go for,

10 Dec 2012 01:24 pm
especially if there is a very under the 60 EMA on 5 minute chart that doesn't turn right back up

10 Dec 2012 01:32 pm
should it least go through 18 by a few ticks , 17.50 would be perfect, then turn back up. That could slingshot move to the upside, or 16.50

10 Dec 2012 01:43 pm
17.50 was reached in now that must hold as a low, and ES get back above 18.50 to take some pressure off and possibly bounce towards 19.50-20

10 Dec 2012 01:57 pm
bounces not sticking,back down to 17.50 and there doesn't seem to be a good reason to be a buyer up here, on the other pop-up should be sold

10 Dec 2012 02:09 pm
bounce from 17.50 up to 18.50, will need to get above 19 on ES and 2648 on the NQ to attempt upside going otherwise choppy stuff continues

10 Dec 2012 02:30 pm
market just spinning its wheels unless breakout over 18.75-19 able to be exceeded/held or the same with 17.75-17.50

10 Dec 2012 02:32 pm
17.50-18.00 area resistance now

10 Dec 2012 02:43 pm
the bounce stopped at 17.25 before the last rollover to 15.75, not too far from the low may see thattested/broken. 17.25-17.75 area

10 Dec 2012 02:43 pm
should be good resistance if they can push back above 16.75

10 Dec 2012 02:56 pm
back to 17.50, and should pull back about 1 point and then attempt another push higher to keep up trend and not turn back now, 17 area

10 Dec 2012 02:59 pm
17.25 the low on the mini pullback, should pull back from 19 area, but still okay unless 17 area broken

10 Dec 2012 03:15 pm
pullback held at 17.75 for almost 10 minutes, this movie shouldn't get back above1419.50-1420

10 Dec 2012 03:17 pm
that 19.50-20 area along with 2649-2650 on the NQ, posts need to be exceeded. There may be a chance if 1775 holds as low

10 Dec 2012 03:22 pm
that is just under the top side of this trading range between basically 1422 on top and 1397 on the bottom. need some good buying late day

10 Dec 2012 03:25 pm
to get a breakout on the upside let alone getting above 19.50-20 and holding.

10 Dec 2012 03:32 pm
17.50 is key support and a day, 18.25 a minor support,not certain about new highs taking,but damage only done if 17.50 broken and last 30 min

10 Dec 2012 03:37 pm
a pullback from 19.50, but as long as 18.25 holds this will have a chance to pop up towards 20.50-21,that would need to hold far more upside

10 Dec 2012 03:44 pm
a failure from just under 20, with 18.50 thousand turned this right back up then it is 17.50 area next, which should hold unless the market is getting weak

10 Dec 2012 03:44 pm
have a nice rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow near the opening

10 Dec 2012 04:00 pm
overnight look for shorting opportunity around 19.50-20.50 if it's reached, that will be hard to break/hold, holding under 17 press on early

 

 

Thursday December 06, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

06 Dec 2012 09:24 am
overnight and this morning on Globex the 1409.50-1410.50 resistance was sold twice, good if you trade overnight. 1404 3 times, must hold

06 Dec 2012 09:28 am
1404 held on 3 tests and probably key to hold up early here

06 Dec 2012 09:33 am
pressure on below 1408 for now, keep one eye on the NQ today. Much weaker already, at yesterday's low

06 Dec 2012 09:34 am
must be quite a few shorts caught below, so next pullback reverses from above 1405-1404 there should be a run up or market in trouble

06 Dec 2012 09:39 am
pullback from 1409.50-1410.50 needs to hold 1407.50 area

06 Dec 2012 09:43 am
sellers at resistance, 1407.50 needs to hold to have the chance to push higher

06 Dec 2012 09:45 am
if short look for cover 1406.50 or better and/or trailing stop on the rest

06 Dec 2012 09:51 am
test of a low held,

06 Dec 2012 09:53 am
back away from resistance again must hold around 1407.75-1407.00

06 Dec 2012 09:57 am
should come off from resistance again, 1407.50 on the ES and around 2638 on the NQ could be pivotal

06 Dec 2012 10:05 am
so far really good selling at 1409.50-1410.50 resistance zone, 1405.50-1405 support. NQ strong, the Dow weak, opposite of yesterday

06 Dec 2012 10:08 am
one of them should play catch up or catch down. NQ needs to get above 2646 with gusto to get the ES to follow, not fail again

06 Dec 2012 10:17 am
fourth test of 1405.50-1405, and numerous tests of 1409.50-1410.50 fix resistance. Breakdown unless 1408 exceeded/held, NQneeds clear 2644

06 Dec 2012 10:29 am
chopping around between 1405 and 1410, next dip needs to turn right up from around 1406

06 Dec 2012 10:31 am
if they hold 1406 and push above 1408, that could get something going on the up side, otherwise chop around more

06 Dec 2012 10:33 am
stop right at 1408, need to get above that level and hold up thereto get upside to test resistance at the least, still vulnerable otherwise

06 Dec 2012 10:38 am
NQ leading this up, ES should stay over 1408 to keep pushing higher, not sure resistance gets rejected on this trip so easily

06 Dec 2012 10:40 am
can sell down to 1408.50-1408, but should hold there if going to push higher

06 Dec 2012 10:49 am
pullback held at 1409, that is important support now to hold on a dip. Should be a reaction around 12, if not then test of 14.50-15.00

06 Dec 2012 10:53 am
small reaction from 1412.50, could come down to test 10.50, if that area holds they can make another push higher.

06 Dec 2012 10:57 am
10.75 held and gave a pop up, up here time to look at the short side if another push higher for some pullback,but that should hold 1409

06 Dec 2012 11:03 am
not much of a pullback only to 10.75 so far as 10.50-09.50holding and support, uptrend unless broken

06 Dec 2012 11:04 am
wellthat reaction off of 12 being quickly rejected it's a short with a tight stop at the moment down to 10.50 maybe lower

06 Dec 2012 11:05 am
not 10.50 but 1409.50 the key area possibly to 1408

06 Dec 2012 11:12 am
1410.25-1409.75 area a last trapped at prior resistance, needs to hold or head back down towards 1408.50 area before bounce attempt.

06 Dec 2012 11:23 am
the ES has traded between 1410.00 and 1412.50 for about 35 minutes, a break lower could see 1408.50 area. Move higher can go to 14-15.

06 Dec 2012 11:24 am
trends and momentum both to the upside, stays and uptrend holding 10

06 Dec 2012 11:26 am
if 12.50 is rejected, pullback support should be around 11.25 and bounce right back to avoidpotential double top

06 Dec 2012 11:34 am
11.25 gave a bounce but only to 12.25 and that was sold into, although not aggressively. 10.25 is as far as dip should go to keep uptrend

06 Dec 2012 11:39 am
NQ keeps pushing higher propping the ES. 14.50-15.00 likely tested/exceeded as long as pullback holds 12 area now, otherwise next pop sold

06 Dec 2012 11:45 am
ES up 8.50 points from its low, the NQ up almost 39 points from its low, and still leading the way up. 2663 kind of important there,

06 Dec 2012 11:46 am
ES is being sold into last two pop-ups, could be a lunchtime high being made for some sort of pullback

06 Dec 2012 11:53 am
trend up day after reversal from just under 1405, not likely to last all day without some sort of pullback. Careful around 12.50-13 for dip

06 Dec 2012 11:59 am
somehow gave wrong R for NQ, 2663 was a low area coming into yesterday,rallied to that after yesterday destruction/failed as did 12.50 on ES

06 Dec 2012 12:02 pm
should be noon time high in place and a break of 1410 will break trend up action, if bounce here and then fail under at/12.50

06 Dec 2012 12:09 pm
this can selloff to 1409.75, but would need to turn up from there to avoid potential breakdown. Currently some pressure on under 1412

06 Dec 2012 12:16 pm
a bit of a falling wedge pattern, a move above 11.50 SHOULD bring in buying, if not then reversal back down can a bit under 1410

06 Dec 2012 12:18 pm
this is about to break down, buyers backing off and if no good bounce from 10.50-09.75 zone trend is broken and bounce that follows sold

06 Dec 2012 12:25 pm
NQ rallied back to its breakdown level, lows on 11/6, gap down from there and hard sell off to 2492 on 11/16. Any bounce a short if not already

06 Dec 2012 12:31 pm
1408 is a small support,then down at 1405 area again,if theres pop up should see selling 1409-1410

06 Dec 2012 12:34 pm
1410-1410.50 should not be broken/held on a bounce if going lower, 1407.75-1407.50 area transition on upside after coming off 1404.75, if

06 Dec 2012 12:36 pm
that area reached on this pullback and not turned right back up, then can retest the lows. Trading range week still going on, upside limited

06 Dec 2012 12:39 pm
I'll update in about 20 minutes, need a short break. can be bid up to 10.50 area but likely reverse there

06 Dec 2012 12:57 pm
1407.75 was tested, attempting to get some footing.needa move back above 1410 area to take some pressure off

06 Dec 2012 01:03 pm
another bounce to be sold into, this stays bearish unless 1410 on the ES and 2652 on the NQ are exceeded. Should be sold away this acts

06 Dec 2012 01:11 pm
Popup sold but refusing to break that 1407.50 transition level from earlier so far.can start another bounce towards 10-10.50 Maybe higher

06 Dec 2012 01:19 pm
trading range with a good uptrend and decent pullback off of the high, bounce reached 10.50, if 1409 holds there can be another push higher

06 Dec 2012 01:22 pm
watch 1409.50 if reached on pullback from 1411 for one another bounce if this is going to continue working higher

06 Dec 2012 01:42 pm
the pullback held at 1409.75, gave a pop up to 1411.25 then pulled right back. The NQ also made small double top just under 2656. Those

06 Dec 2012 01:45 pm
those little double tops need to be pushed through soon and not turned right back down to avoid another drop/pullback towards 1409.50

06 Dec 2012 01:49 pm
the ES and NQ both tested double tops, could pullback but okay as long as 1410 holes on the ES and around 2650 on NQ

06 Dec 2012 01:54 pm
buyers backing off at the moment, but if 10.50 isn't broken there could be another push higher, otherwise could roll over from up here

06 Dec 2012 02:04 pm
that's probably a bounce high for a while, buyers are backing off up in these areas, then coming in on deeper pullback like 1407.50

06 Dec 2012 02:05 pm
to keep grinding higher, would need a quick reversal up from around 1410.25-1409.50 at the lowest

06 Dec 2012 02:18 pm
has traded between 1409.50 and 1412.00 for about 45 minutes, don't be forcing any trades just to be trading. another pullback holds 1410

06 Dec 2012 02:18 pm
if that doesn't than could rollover towards 1407.50 again

06 Dec 2012 02:21 pm
not much else to do unless sell against top of range with tight stop, or riskier at the moment buy near bottom of range with tight stop

06 Dec 2012 02:29 pm
10.25 was touch and turn right back up, as long as thats held the market always trouble. That's about it, a breakout could give spurt but

06 Dec 2012 02:31 pm
a run-up should have a hard time getting back above 1413 and holding. 1414.50-1415 could get tested, but not stick

06 Dec 2012 02:32 pm
previous post meant to say as long as 1410 holds the market stays away from trouble

06 Dec 2012 02:35 pm
pullback should be bid right back up, especially around 11.75-11.25, for this to happen a shot to make new high, not double top

06 Dec 2012 02:42 pm
11.25 was turned right back up, but not able to make a break back through 1413 and looking like potential double top, NQ acting toppy

06 Dec 2012 02:44 pm
another push higher should be sold into, not gather momentum, market out of gas on the upside. If 1410 doesn't give a bounce down towards 07

06 Dec 2012 02:57 pm
small bounce from 10.25 up to 11.50, probably have seen a high unless theres yet another quick turn up from 1410. If not they see 1407 or so

06 Dec 2012 03:11 pm
another bounce from 1410 with no follow-through,a break under 1410 not quickly reversed could start slide similar to yesterday

06 Dec 2012 03:15 pm
spike down to 1409.25, some short covering could pop this up, but another failure under 11-11.50 and 2653 on NQ starts another pullback

06 Dec 2012 03:32 pm
this market can't close soon enough, unless 1410.50 is cleared on a pop up and able to hold 1410, this can go out on an up note

06 Dec 2012 03:39 pm
pullback held 1410.25 in rally mode over 11.50. Have a good rest of your day and I'll catch you tomorrow some wire around the open

 

 

Tuesday- December 04, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

04 Dec 2012 09:24 am
shorts are in profit position, wanting to lock-in profits on early weakness. Overnight high just under 10.50, important if early move up

04 Dec 2012 09:31 am
1408 is last trapped from pre-open, needs to get above that to take some pressure off

04 Dec 2012 09:45 am
10.50 area sold, a break under 08.50 trend support -must hold around there were back towards 1405.50

04 Dec 2012 09:46 am
first resistance tested and being sold into. 1409-1408.50 first support, 1405.50 key support this morning

04 Dec 2012 09:55 am
ES backed off from 10.75 to 8.25, NQ made double bottom 2663. Those are important support early. Can go for the low if broken n no reversal

04 Dec 2012 10:05 am
the ES didn't like it around 10.50, NQ at 2671. could bounce from lower levels but should see a move for 1400 if no bounce from 1405.50

04 Dec 2012 10:06 am
1408.50-1409 area should be sold if going lower to break under 1405.50

04 Dec 2012 10:11 am
market caught good bid off of 1406, market could be turning the corner, the next dip should be bid back up, 1408.50 looks pivotal

04 Dec 2012 10:15 am
12.50-13 area almost reached and should give some reaction , a pullback should hold 1409.75-1409 area to keep the uptrend

04 Dec 2012 10:23 am
if this doesn't turn up quickly from 1409 with some gusto, then further retreat towards 1407.75-1407, or break the low

04 Dec 2012 10:29 am
market was close to turning the corner and start a rally mode, but 12-13 key resistance turned it back. in danger under that, NQ Weicker

04 Dec 2012 10:35 am
that was supposed to say "NQ weaker" pre-open and on the open 4 tests of 1405.50 gave bounces, and 1406.25 to a high,must break that

04 Dec 2012 10:40 am
Dow is up on the day, the Nasdaq 100 down 16 points, ES caught in between. weaker NQ better for shorts, ES for any longs. 08.50 pivotal R

04 Dec 2012 10:43 am
two-sided action normal after a trend day,another pop up will be sold into. A drop down to the 1402-1400 likely bought

04 Dec 2012 10:52 am
feeble bounce off 1405.25 which was tested 5-6 times, staying under 1407.50 each pressure on

04 Dec 2012 11:01 am
ES base out just above 1404.50, and NQ low at the 2654.00-2652.50 support so good spot for bounce attempt, likely fails near 1408

04 Dec 2012 11:05 am
bounces very feeble, even from important support that's been holding for roughly 30 minutes, down towards 1400 possible if broken

04 Dec 2012 11:05 am
or by simply holding under 1407

04 Dec 2012 11:14 am
ES trying to hold as the Dow testing yesterdays last hour low and opening low.should see bounce attempt but eventually fail again

04 Dec 2012 11:25 am
bounce failed at 1405.50 which was a support pre-open and at they open while Dow rollover also. Still can go for 1401-1402

04 Dec 2012 11:30 am
staying under 1405.50 keeps pressure on for move to 1401-1400.. A break on Dow cash can pull lower

04 Dec 2012 11:35 am
push and pull between NQ finally firming up and the Dow cash trying to bottom around yesterdays last hour low.Next pullback should be bought

04 Dec 2012 11:37 am
lunchtime bounce, a move back above 1405.50 will need to stick, and 2661 area on NQ. currently Resistance for pullback

04 Dec 2012 11:41 am
1405.25 is the bounce high so far, pull back held the 1404 so far and turned up, needs to hold 1404.25 to get one more push higher

04 Dec 2012 11:46 am
quickly bid back up holding 1404.25 on the pullback, pull that needs to bounce from 1405.52 keep upside intact

04 Dec 2012 11:47 am
first good bounce resistance at 1408-1408.50, pull back from there needs to stay over 1405.50-1405.00, or bounce may be over

04 Dec 2012 11:59 am
1405.75 held so far on pullback, that should hold it going to attempt push above 1408, and not roll over

04 Dec 2012 12:03 pm
this bounce is over, a short on bounces down to test the low or go to 1401-1400

04 Dec 2012 12:06 pm
1405.50 should be bounce resistance if there is one,1408 area shouldn't be exceeded/held.could bounce from 1403, but just hunting shorts

04 Dec 2012 12:10 pm
bounce from Globex low,markets still acting poorly and the bounces are shorting opportunities as soon as upside stalls out. ~1405.50 R

04 Dec 2012 12:15 pm
I need to be leave in five minutes, gone for about an hour. Any decent bounce is going to be sold, market weak under 1405.50, 1408

04 Dec 2012 12:16 pm
its going to take a rally over 1408, and stick, to break down sloping 60 EMA on 5 minute chart and attempt turning intraday trends

04 Dec 2012 12:17 pm
I will be back in about an hour

04 Dec 2012 01:03 pm
bounces have been feeble, no sign of a decent rally to come, instead should be breaking down the way this is acting

04 Dec 2012 01:09 pm
Spike down to 1401.50, just over 1401-1400 key support, was bid back up. But bounces still being sold into. A test or lower low should be

04 Dec 2012 01:10 pm
bid right back up to avoid drop under the 1400 area. 1404 Resistance needs cleared/held

04 Dec 2012 01:24 pm
bounce stopped at 1403.75, but some buyers on a test of the lows. A pop up shouldn't get above 1405.50 at best to continue lower

04 Dec 2012 01:39 pm
a bounce stopped just under 1405.50 and dropped down to 1403.50. a test of 1403 needs bid right back up, its best chance to have a bounce

04 Dec 2012 01:44 pm
decent move up from 1403.50, these have all been sold into and pull right back down. If pullback bounces from 1404 could push higher,

04 Dec 2012 01:50 pm
1404.25 held on the dip, as long as that holds this can continue higher towards 1408

04 Dec 2012 01:55 pm
the best bounce all week, can pull back from 1408 area, but not break 1405 on a pullback to keep up trend

04 Dec 2012 01:57 pm
1408 may be a high for a bit, a pullback should hold 1405.50 at the lowest to keep good uptrend intact and not top out

04 Dec 2012 02:03 pm
the ES touched 1408.25 and sitting here, a break back under 1405.50 can put this back into a downtrend

04 Dec 2012 02:07 pm
buyers around 1406.25, holding that will keep the uptrend intact, if 1408 cleared and not quickly reversed, then squeeze up to 11-12 area,

04 Dec 2012 02:09 pm
but if that 1406.25 is broken then high will be in in go down towards 1403.50 or lower

04 Dec 2012 02:25 pm
1406.25 was broken but the pullback held 1405.50, if that is broken it would open the door to drop towards 1404-1403.50. 1408 still key R

04 Dec 2012 02:37 pm
buyers backing off again, there must be short trapped below around 1404-1403.50 and should get a bounce in that area tested, else 1402-01

04 Dec 2012 02:51 pm
the quick pop ups have been quickly sold into, no follow-through.but that's changing this afternoon, if 1405.50 holds then 1408 possible

04 Dec 2012 02:55 pm
that failure could mean some trouble, 1405.50 break's then 1404-1403.50 could be in the cards

04 Dec 2012 03:04 pm
drop to 1405.25 was turned right back up, would be just second time in 2 days if it were toget momentum and run up, 1408 if it does

04 Dec 2012 03:08 pm
1408 reached and could continue to hire as long as they don't pull back under 1406.50

04 Dec 2012 03:21 pm
1408.50 Resistance rejected two times and should pullback to a little under 1407 before bouncing back. If no turn up, 1405-1404.50 key S

04 Dec 2012 03:24 pm
opposite of what had been happening, a quick drop didn't stick and was turned right back up. Now must have follow through above 1408.50

04 Dec 2012 03:25 pm
if there's going to be a change in direction and have a short-term low in place

04 Dec 2012 03:28 pm
otherwise, looks like a failure and a break back under 1405.50 would need to happen to keep the market in a weak position

04 Dec 2012 03:32 pm
1408.50 area rejected 3 times and should be taken out in order to end the day on a good note , still somewhat vulnerable under that

04 Dec 2012 03:34 pm
have a good rest of your day, I will catch you shortly after the market opens, follow nightly update early

 

 

Monday- December 03, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

03 Dec 2012 09:19 am
Good morning. I'm going to only be able to give sporadic updates until after 11 AM this morning. A gap up in 21.50-22.50 R. 22.50 will need

03 Dec 2012 09:21 am
to be cleared and held to avoid pulling back to what should be new support around 18.50-17.50. Should hold around that to have a strong day

03 Dec 2012 09:26 am
this looks to be pressure on to the upside as long as 20 is held. Careful fading Monday gaps, could be "gap and go" early on

03 Dec 2012 09:29 am
watch 22.50, if a pop up there and reverse, that could start a pullback. Otherwise would need a break of 20

03 Dec 2012 09:34 am
22.50 was sold down, a move under 20.50-20.00 would to put some pressure on.

03 Dec 2012 09:37 am
the NQ needs to pull back from 2698-2699 area to get the ES to turn down. It stalled after rejecting 22.50

03 Dec 2012 09:41 am
top of resistance sold two times, breaking through 20.50-20.00, they head towards 18.50-17.50 before bounce attempt

03 Dec 2012 09:47 am
can bounce from 18.50-17.50, but for nowpressure stays on unless 21.25 area exceeded/then only small dip

03 Dec 2012 09:51 am
22.50 sewing to be a top, and this a fake out breakout if 18.50-17.50 broken and not able to turn back up with some gusto.

03 Dec 2012 09:54 am
18.50-17.50 based by to cover part of any shorts, saying under 20 keeps pressure on for now. 2695 NQ

03 Dec 2012 09:59 am
Econ data top of the hour, holding 18.50 but Needs to get over 20 and stick on the news

03 Dec 2012 10:01 am
18.50-19.50 area strong support that needs cleared/held, top is in for a bit other wise. A break of 14 they go to that 11-10 area again

03 Dec 2012 10:08 am
there was a double bottom around 14 on Globex, another test makes triple bottom. 18-19 shouldn't be exceeded if going lower

03 Dec 2012 10:15 am
14 key support with triple bottom there, 18.50-19.00 shouldn't be exceeded/held if going to have another pullback.

03 Dec 2012 10:24 am
18.50-19.00 area being tested, should be pushed above soon if its going to. 17.25-16.75 pivotal support on pullback

03 Dec 2012 10:29 am
bounce from triple bottom that 14.75-14 area up to 18.75 that middle of 18.50-19.00 resistance. Still vulnerable under 19 for now

03 Dec 2012 10:35 am
even if a bounce from 14, it should fail as we have highs at two resistance areas so far this morning

03 Dec 2012 10:38 am
this is the fourth test of 14.75-14.25, should be at least test 12.50. A bounce will fail around 17 at the highest to break down through 14

03 Dec 2012 10:48 am
just a tepid bounce to 16.25 stalled and should go to test 12.50 if 14.50-14.00 broken on the fifth test of that area. 16.50-17 R IF pop-up

03 Dec 2012 10:51 am
the 14.75-14.25 area has been chipped away at on last 2 tests, but no upside follow through, should break to 12.50 unless a move above 16.50

03 Dec 2012 10:54 am
12.50 is a minor area than the 11-10 area from all day Friday, that area should be tested

03 Dec 2012 10:58 am
12.50 low so far, 14.25-14.75 area Resistance on this bounce,and fail there if going to continue lower. Its a gap day turning trend day

03 Dec 2012 11:16 am
stalled out at 12.75-12.25 for about 10 minutes, so far back to 14.25. trend resistance 14.50-14.75 area, needs cleared or still trend dn

03 Dec 2012 11:25 am
14.50 rejected,still trend down. One more break down toward 11-10 and that is major area today

03 Dec 2012 11:27 am
could get some short covering off of 12.50, but staying under 14.50 keeps downtrend day in gear.

03 Dec 2012 11:37 am
next pullback should be bought, if 13.50 holds on a dip and moves up quickly than 16-16.50 area possible before dropping again, 16.50 pivotal

03 Dec 2012 11:42 am
13.50 pop up failed so far, the Dow cash tested its last hour low from Friday just under 12,900. 1412 and 12,900 on the Dow cash key support

03 Dec 2012 11:52 am
16.50 is the resistance on this bounce, need a push about that and not come right back down. 14.50-14.00 shouldn't be broken

03 Dec 2012 12:08 pm
the ES backed off from 16.25 down to 15.00, it's still under pressure for pullback under 16.50, especially breaking 15-14.50

03 Dec 2012 12:15 pm
10.75 pt range w/ a high just above 1422.25 R to just under the new S at 12.50 after 2 hours into trading. counter-trend bounce stalling

03 Dec 2012 12:17 pm
and just now broke. Back towards 13.50 lower on this move

03 Dec 2012 12:26 pm
13.50 likely not tested , 15 to keep this new uptrend,

03 Dec 2012 12:35 pm
there has been a pretty good bid on pullbacks, but this stall out under 16.50 needs to be pushed above soon, NQ perk up also, else dn to 14

03 Dec 2012 12:39 pm
should roll over, take out 15 and head towards 14-13.53 soon if there's another pullback coming and this is just midday counter trend move

03 Dec 2012 12:42 pm
NQ can push this lower, or at least leave the way, it's beginning to turn weak and is only average still up on the day

03 Dec 2012 12:48 pm
14.00-13.50 area reached, this bounce should fail under 16 on the ES and 2685 on the NQ

03 Dec 2012 12:57 pm
the pop off of 13.50 sold into in fairly then action, that's characteristic today, selling bounces as they are not able to stick

03 Dec 2012 01:01 pm
11-10 likely to get a test, could be seeing the 1407.50-1407 area if this action continues, this bounce should fail also

03 Dec 2012 01:04 pm
12.00 Fridays 4 PM low, double bottom there earlier today, and this is the fourth test, like at 14 earlier should break

03 Dec 2012 01:06 pm
broken, 11-10 area is the key support, and breaking that puts a dent in the bigger picture trend. Market action has been poor, that area key

03 Dec 2012 01:10 pm
a gap day it is often times a trend day, its been trending down with 1 interruption so far. 10.50-09.75 a target/support, then 07.50

03 Dec 2012 01:25 pm
this should break down soon as long as it stays under 13

03 Dec 2012 01:28 pm
unlike on the way up to the high today, bounces don't have any gusto. A bounces are feeble and stall then go lower. No powerful run-up. also

03 Dec 2012 01:30 pm
there was a failed breakout above the 17.75-18.50 resistance. A rally back to that level would take a change of character, low odds today

03 Dec 2012 01:35 pm
10.50-09.75 will need strong reversal back over 11.50 at the least to dent downside 1407.50 next if no reversal. Slow grind lower,

03 Dec 2012 01:40 pm
resistance around 10.75-11.50 area, that should be sold if going down to 1407.50 area may be lower

03 Dec 2012 01:54 pm
low at 1408.75,and a feeble rebound back to 10.50, old support area so far. 10.50-11.50 needs clear/hold to attempt turnaround, trend down

03 Dec 2012 01:58 pm
day continues unless that area taken out, hold as support on a pullback, and run up above 13 with some momentum, not inch higher slowly

03 Dec 2012 02:14 pm
the bounce into noon was 4.25 pts, symmetry would be 1413.00, also last trap buyers before break to low. Should it be exceeded to continue

03 Dec 2012 02:16 pm
that area needs to be exceeded, not rejected on this bounce, to change things. Still trend day down otherwise

03 Dec 2012 02:17 pm
a break back under 10.50 would put pressure on. Back after 10 minute break

03 Dec 2012 02:31 pm
another pop up to 12.50-13.00 would be a good short, pressure stays on unless that taken out, 2680-2681 on the NQ.

03 Dec 2012 02:37 pm
short covering when unable to break under 10.25 on last moved down, at 2676 on NQ. didn't bring in buying. Still sellers just above

03 Dec 2012 02:42 pm
double bottom possible at 1408.75, but need a push over 10.50-11.00 to take some pressure off work could go right back down

03 Dec 2012 02:59 pm
attempt to double bottom, another feeble bounce from the low. Needs to get back above 12 to attempt giving out of trouble.

03 Dec 2012 03:00 pm
news from Washington sparking rally,

03 Dec 2012 03:02 pm
pullback from 13, that's a key area to get above/hold. 10 area must hold on pullback reversal of pop up a negative

03 Dec 2012 03:08 pm
euphoria over after just a 3 point Pop 13, pullback to 10 area gave bounce but not going to stick most likely. Today's low at 4 PM

03 Dec 2012 03:10 pm
one comment about a gap day being a trend day, often times the low will be made around the same number of minutes before its close

03 Dec 2012 03:10 pm
As the high was made after its open. Todays high was made in the first 5 minutes, its possible for low and lasted 5 minutes.

03 Dec 2012 03:10 pm
No guarantees. But possible if double bottom broken and also no good bounce from 1407 area

03 Dec 2012 03:27 pm
1407.50-1406.75+ barely broken and turn it right back up, could be a low but not if another failure around 1409.50, 1410.75 at the highest

03 Dec 2012 03:28 pm
staying under 1409.50 keeps pressure on to break that low on the ES. Two bounces today both 4.25 points before dropping again

03 Dec 2012 03:31 pm
it has been trend down to just under 1407.50-1406.75 so far today. Wouldn't trust long side,could selloff into the close

03 Dec 2012 03:32 pm
if no push back above 1409.50,or especially 10.75. Hope you had a good day. I will see you tomorrow shortly after the open

 

 

Thursday November 29, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

29 Nov 2012 09:21 am
I sure was wrong on not going much higher, the 16-17 area was tested and sold up there. That's as far as this move should go

29 Nov 2012 09:26 am
the next resistance would be roughly 1421-22 area. The 12.25-11.25 area was resistance, needs to hold as support. 14O8.75 to fill the gap

29 Nov 2012 09:29 am
should see buyers back it up here and wait for a pullback to buy into. Only ones on the hook r those who are short

29 Nov 2012 09:33 am
there won't be any break down/topping pattern unless 12.25-11.25 doesn't hold on a pullback from up here. 16-17 can be tested again

29 Nov 2012 09:38 am
nailed Resistance and turn down, 15-14.50 area needs to hold on a pullback to stay strong and have a chance to bounce back up

29 Nov 2012 09:43 am
so far 1414.75 pullback low, so still strong,now need to pushed through resistance. A break of 14.50 would likely mean early high in

29 Nov 2012 09:46 am
buyers should back off again, but need to defend 16-15.50 more top could be in for a bit

29 Nov 2012 09:48 am
that's it for the upside for now, any bounce from here will be sold into, test of 12.25-11.25 will need to hold

29 Nov 2012 09:54 am
another pop from 14.50 news support, should not clear 17-17.50 and stick

29 Nov 2012 09:58 am
14.50 has been holding, so for now the trend stays up unless broken, just expect selling to come as soon as upside stalls out,

29 Nov 2012 10:01 am
pending home sales number was a good one, 16.75 area should hold to keep uptrend intact now,

29 Nov 2012 10:04 am
16.75 a pullback low, should see bids thin out at a new high and pull back, then buying come in on small pullback to keep upside

29 Nov 2012 10:05 am
the next bounce will be sold into, must hold 16 or it's gone too far and turning vulnerable

29 Nov 2012 10:07 am
that should be it for the upside, even if there is a bounce it's not going to stick. sizable pullback possible

29 Nov 2012 10:11 am
12.25-11.25 likely not going to hold either, resistance around 15.25-16 area at the highest, 1408.75 downside

29 Nov 2012 10:22 am
14.50 earlier support being tested as Resistance, 13.00 was the opening low and needs to hold to avoid test of 08.75 area

29 Nov 2012 10:25 am
13 holding so they push over 14.50 that can stick could give a run to 16.75, but probably no higher

29 Nov 2012 10:31 am
the ES made it up to 15.75, promptly sold off. Bounces should have trouble holding, pullbacks bought at 13 but upside limited, short side

29 Nov 2012 10:33 am
better odds on the pop-ups, a breakdown towards 1408.75 area likely the way this pattern is shaping up

29 Nov 2012 10:42 am
based at 1412.25 but needs a push above 1414.50, not a reversal back down from there, or market still vulnerable

29 Nov 2012 10:51 am
bounce took out 14.50, could try for 16.75 area on this push higher, but buyers should back off for a modest pullback

29 Nov 2012 10:56 am
15.75 the bounce high so far, still okay to have 14.50 can hold it here at the moment for potentially one more push higher

29 Nov 2012 10:57 am
if broken then 12.75 area should be important support

29 Nov 2012 10:58 am
20 EMA on 5 min chart mostly held on all pullbacks since early afternoon yesterday, it was tested at 12.50. Thats also 13,000 on Dow cash.

29 Nov 2012 10:58 am
A break under those areas would break the up trend and start a deeper pullback. Upside limited but safe above those areas at the moment

29 Nov 2012 11:04 am
14.50 is holding and that is a pivotal level, this continues to inch higher as long as that' s not broken. 16.75 a minor R could be sold

29 Nov 2012 11:20 am
16.75 was sold down to 15.25 so far, that should be strong area.needs to hold 14.50 or will be breaking a cluster of support at that area

29 Nov 2012 11:24 am
I need to be away for about 15 minutes, a top of some sort made at the 16.75 level given, need break/hold under 14.50 to put pressure on

29 Nov 2012 11:42 am
more fiscal cliff talk from Capitol Hill causing a sharp drop, that gap filled, but from here any bounce will be sold into

29 Nov 2012 11:49 am
A test of the low will likely be bought,if not then down to 1404.75 area. Should be Resistance around 1411 that needs broken to avoid drop

29 Nov 2012 11:52 am
there was a quick spike down to 1408, and then real fast turn up. Must be shorts trapped down there, should be strong support

29 Nov 2012 11:58 am
pullback off of 12.50 on the ES but the NQ needs to roll over also to get more pressure on to potentially test the lows

29 Nov 2012 12:00 pm
2672 on the NQ and 1409 on the ES will need to be broken/held to put some pressure back on

29 Nov 2012 12:02 pm
those should be the key supports to get another push higher.next update will be in about 15 minutes, apologies.

29 Nov 2012 12:12 pm
pullback to 1408.75 that turned right back up, it must be short strap below holding this up. Another push higher 14.50 area R

29 Nov 2012 12:15 pm
the pop-up reach 14.75, rejection, 1412.00-1411.25 area support on a pullback, that area needs held to avoid potential breakdown.

29 Nov 2012 12:25 pm
1412was held above, this can test 15.50-16 but probably not much further before some pullback. could start from 14.50 here

29 Nov 2012 12:40 pm
pullbacks held at 13.25, staying above important area around 12.50 for now. If going to push higher, need to stay over 13 clear, 14.50 again

29 Nov 2012 12:41 pm
if 12.50 area isn't held, then down to 11.25-10.50 area can occur before a bounce

29 Nov 2012 12:42 pm
15 minute lunch break, looks like12.50 could get a test, NQ bears watching 2676 needs held for breaking

29 Nov 2012 01:03 pm
pullback to 12.50 was held again, if a pullback in hold 13.50-13.25, then a push above 14.50 resistance is possible.

29 Nov 2012 01:06 pm
13.25 was a bid to right back up and 14.50 test it again. Lunchtime range between 12.50 and 14.50, need a breakout with some momentum

29 Nov 2012 01:24 pm
there is still a good bid on the pullbacks to the 1411.25-1412.25 previous R area, market comfortable holding that area,only a break/hold

29 Nov 2012 01:26 pm
under that area will put a dent in the upside. Its bullish above that area for a move back up towards that 16.75 level that was sold earlier

29 Nov 2012 01:28 pm
the 1411.25-1412.25 area who was resistance coming in, acting as good support most of the day since cleared. A break needed to turn this

29 Nov 2012 01:29 pm
back down. Otherwise can run up to test 16.75 resistance that was sold earlier. A pullback could occur up there

29 Nov 2012 01:33 pm
a pullback to 14.50-14.00 should hold now if this is going to continue pushing higher.

29 Nov 2012 01:47 pm
run up fell just shy of the 16.75 resistance, but uptrend only breaks if 15.00-14.50 area isnt held on small pullback. If thats taken out

29 Nov 2012 01:48 pm
as long as that 15-14.50 is held, this could go back to test the high. There is a chance of getting to 19.75

29 Nov 2012 01:54 pm
16.75 reached so far, it's still going to push higher as long as 16-15.50 up here.

29 Nov 2012 02:00 pm
that maybe it for this move before some pullback if 16.00-15.50 area broken and not quickly turned back up.that would break trend

29 Nov 2012 02:07 pm
15.50 held on the pullback so far, that needs held to get another push higher and avoid potential rolling over

29 Nov 2012 02:20 pm
theres a double top of sorts at 17.25-17.50, as the spike up to 18.50 was only there for a millisecond. Needs push through, or vulnerable

29 Nov 2012 02:28 pm
14.50 area support,that would need broken on this. If so then dn to 12.50-12.00 if it begins to drop. If that's not held 10.50 possible

29 Nov 2012 02:35 pm
pullback held at 15.00, so no breakdown by holding 14.50. buyers still in charge unless broken.

29 Nov 2012 02:37 pm
if broken, then a quick move should hold around 12.50 if going to snap back. 10.50 area if that's not held

29 Nov 2012 02:47 pm
there is a good cluster of resistance at 1417-18, that was rejected today. Would say that's a high, but market has been bullish acting

29 Nov 2012 02:48 pm
the ES has been holding the 1415 level for more than 30 minutes, and lately these have led to rallies. So no breakdown unless broken
29 Nov 2012 02:53 pm
took off as soon as that was sent. 17 was rejected again, market has been holding support but another pop to 17-18 likely sold,

29 Nov 2012 03:01 pm
if no bounce off of 15, then rolling over. Right now pressure on under 16.25

29 Nov 2012 03:07 pm
17-18 sold four times today, a late day drop toward 12 area or lower, would need to bounce from that spot

29 Nov 2012 03:18 pm
1412.50-1412.00 just missed so far, could bounce from there but should stop around 15.50 at the highest if there is more pullback to come.

29 Nov 2012 03:19 pm
if 12.50-12 area not held, then a drop towards 10.50 should be in the cards before potential bounce attempt

29 Nov 2012 03:27 pm
didn't quite get down to 10.50, but downtrend will stay intact as long as the bounce fails around 13.50, shouldn't go much further

29 Nov 2012 03:40 pm
13.50 was taken out by a couple of ticks, more coming from Capitol Hill not long from now. upside limited to 17-18, else 19.75 then 21-22

29 Nov 2012 03:41 pm
downside probably limited to 1408.75-1407.00 zone if there's a break lower

29 Nov 2012 03:44 pm
17 area tested four times today and rejected, not traded over for more than a few seconds, and the 18 area also cluster of resistance. That

29 Nov 2012 03:47 pm
needs to be pushed above and not turn right back down. 14.50-14.00 area pullback support to hold to in the day on a firm note

29 Nov 2012 03:48 pm
have a good rest of the day. I will catch you tomorrow shortly after the open unless things in the nightly update have changed

 

 

Wednesday November 28, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

28 Nov 2012 09:42 am
first bounce should be sold, pressure stays on under 92-93

28 Nov 2012 09:47 am
should go for 87.25-86.50 area, or get footing here and take out 90 area, that's needed to take some pressure off

28 Nov 2012 09:51 am
87.25 low at support so far, but trend resistance at 89-89.50, will stay under pressure unless that's taken out.

28 Nov 2012 09:55 am
bounce starting from 1387.25-1386.50 support, but still under pressure unless 89-89.50 is pushed through/held

28 Nov 2012 09:59 am
new home sales number top of the hour, could have a low in at support if 89 pushed through, but if S broken could go towards 83-82

28 Nov 2012 10:03 am
89 is now key resistance on a bounce attempt, can drop to 83-82 or lower,

28 Nov 2012 10:04 am
83.25 reached so far,but still not out of trouble, 86.75 area should be bounced resistance now,

28 Nov 2012 10:09 am
not much buying interest. 86.50-87.25 area resistance if there is a bounce , if not then 81.50 is the next. then 78.50-77.50.

28 Nov 2012 10:15 am
they were sold down to 83-82 per earlier update, that can be a low for a bit if 86.50-87.25 not rejected. That's first resistance

28 Nov 2012 10:22 am
bounce to 86.75 so far, at bounce resistance, should punch through it holds over 85.50, that needs to hold or they head back down

28 Nov 2012 10:26 am
the breakout above 86.75 triggered some short covering/buying. 92 area Resistance,pullback should hold 89-88.50 push higher

28 Nov 2012 10:34 am
88.75 support gave a bounce, needs to get above 91-92 or still vulnerable.95-96 if exceeded. If 88.75 is broken, back down towards 87

28 Nov 2012 10:38 am
this can get to the 95.50-96.50 area on this move and if they stall out there we should get some pullback but buyers in control over 91

28 Nov 2012 10:43 am
the gap on the daily chart just got filled, the 60 EMA at 96.50. Pullback from here should hold 92.50.area To keep up trend.

28 Nov 2012 10:53 am
86.50 will probably be a high for a while, pullback needs to bounce from 92.50-91.75 area if there's going to be another bounce

28 Nov 2012 11:04 am
moved out of gas, 93 key S needs bid right back up. If broken they can go back towards 91-90.50, possibly to 88.75

28 Nov 2012 11:12 am
I have a quick appointment in a few minutes. but here at my office, will be away for about 30 minutes. Will update as soon as I return.

28 Nov 2012 11:43 am
the ES made it back to99.50, and that is still a key area. It's a short if they pop up and stall around 98-99

28 Nov 2012 11:50 am
Key levels to hold are at 95.50 on the ES and 2638 on the NQ. Both should be pivotal, if broken the trends would turn and go for 93 or 90.50

28 Nov 2012 11:53 am
sideways action has led to quick pushes higher, so a break down from sideways action would change character. Liking short side, tight stops

28 Nov 2012 11:55 am
95.50 and 2638 on the NQ need to be broken and not turn right back up to get any down side momentum. Especially the NQ

28 Nov 2012 11:59 am
the way this is acting, 98 area should act as barrier or breakout level, same with 2644 on NQ.another pullback to 95.50 and 2638 should hold

28 Nov 2012 12:03 pm
break to the downside a short, should stay under 97 and 2642, 93 and then 90.50 supports/targets

28 Nov 2012 12:07 pm
92.75 reached so far, a bounce back to 95.50-96 area should be sold if going lower

28 Nov 2012 12:12 pm
95.25 was sold down to 93.50, quickly bid back up. 95.50-36 still resistance and shouldn't be cleared if going lower, 2638 on the NQ pivotal

28 Nov 2012 12:16 pm
resistance was blown right through, but 98 R sold. 95.75-95.50 S. we still have the beige book release at 2 PM, so more volatility to come.

28 Nov 2012 12:19 pm
96 pullback low. the market has been bought on all of the pullbacks so use another pullback to get long. 1402 area next, 98 good S now

28 Nov 2012 12:26 pm
a bounce off of 99 and right at a resistance, should see pullback of some sort off of 1402

28 Nov 2012 12:26 pm
1401.75-1402.50 was strong resistance after coming off 1407 yesterday. That needs push through/held for this can come back towards 98-97

28 Nov 2012 12:38 pm
dynamic support on the way up use one minute chart 9 and 18 EMA. Should pullback from those breakdown area from yesterday, but hold 1401.25

28 Nov 2012 12:41 pm
at the lowest.1402.50-1401.75 needs to act as support also, it aligns with uptrend support on 1 minute chart

28 Nov 2012 12:43 pm
if no bounce off of that support than a bounce that follows should be sold into. Upside of bit extended,pullback likely even if small one

28 Nov 2012 12:47 pm
1402.50 held on a small dip so far, if broken then a pullback towards 1400-1399.50 in the cards before a bounce. Getting toppy, pullback

28 Nov 2012 12:58 pm
1401.75 support still able to hold the market up, the next key area would be the 1407 zone and after a rally this for, getting through that

28 Nov 2012 01:00 pm
it is possible, but will need to avoid another rejection or that could start a decent pullback. Hard to believe they get there easily.

28 Nov 2012 01:02 pm
tests of the highest rejected, so 1401.75 needs held or quickly reversed if broken. Otherwise deeper pullback in gear

28 Nov 2012 01:05 pm
1402.50 should be sold or held under to go for 99.50, and possibly lower

28 Nov 2012 01:18 pm
Hmm, 99.50 was held only tiny bounce and staying under 1402.50. Market acting a bit timid, needs push above 1402 at least

28 Nov 2012 01:27 pm
1400 bid backup, but only a small and sold into. not much more upside from here. Unless beige book sparks something

28 Nov 2012 01:33 pm
1402.50 was slightly exceeded, and sold back down. Should bounce from 1401.50 if going back up to test/break a high. Stays bullish over 1400

28 Nov 2012 01:42 pm
1401.75 held on a pullback, the run up to test 1405 showed rejection, pullback needs to bounce from 1402.50 area to continue uptrend

28 Nov 2012 01:43 pm
it's been trend up basically with the exception of one decent pullback.still have beige book in 20 minutes. pullback should hold 1403

28 Nov 2012 01:56 pm
1402.75 gave a bounce, but unable to stick. 1405 is probably a high for a while and go down to tests 1401.15 area, possibly 1400

28 Nov 2012 02:02 pm
strength up here being sold, all pull backs have been bid back up so this needs to turn up from 1402-1401.50 quickly to avoid topping

28 Nov 2012 02:05 pm
this pattern normally results with a decent sized pullback. But no way the market is acting, a sharp plunge not likely, a bounce off of 1400

28 Nov 2012 02:06 pm
can occur but look for selling into any bounce from here,

28 Nov 2012 02:18 pm
really choppy and in a fairly narrow range, up here suited for scalping. need to bounce from 1400, but Another pop likely sold into

28 Nov 2012 02:25 pm
this might be the start of a decent pullback especially if no bounce from 1400, 2645 on NQ. Resistance 1402.50-1403, 2654 on NQ

28 Nov 2012 02:30 pm
a choppy drift down to 1400.50, needs to catch a bid and move up from there, otherwise a break/old should mean going under 99.50-99

28 Nov 2012 02:34 pm
almost on cue, ES pops up from 1400.75 which has been a low for more than 10 minutes. Market stays out of trouble unless broken/held

28 Nov 2012 02:40 pm
1403.75 was sold several times before pulling back, should be important area to push through if going back to 1405

28 Nov 2012 02:46 pm
got one tick above and backed away, a pullback should hold 1402.50 to keep up trend. else 1400.50 possible

28 Nov 2012 02:52 pm
thats the third time 04.25-04.75 area rejected, the market has acted well all day and will need to hold 1402-1401.50 or could break lower

28 Nov 2012 03:02 pm
1402 was held for a few minutes and bid back up. That should be an important area if another pullback from 1404 area. If 04.50-05 cleared

28 Nov 2012 03:05 pm
and not turn right back down, could be a test of 1407 but that area would probably not cleared and held.

28 Nov 2012 03:15 pm
selling on the test of 1404.75 high, to keep this going higher a pullback shouldn't go any further than 1402.25 or symmetry broken

28 Nov 2012 03:23 pm
drop to 1403.00 turn right back up. Having lots of trouble getting through 1404.75, but has a good shot as long as 1403 not broken.

28 Nov 2012 03:28 pm
this is still an entry in the mode, but would expect some reaction at the 1407 area. If that is pushed through instead,1411-12 tomorrow

28 Nov 2012 03:31 pm
1407 tested,watch 1405-1404.50 area for support on a pullback, should hold there to keep this good uptrend intact

28 Nov 2012 03:33 pm
1407.25-1408.00 area reached and a small reaction so far, no damage done as long as 1406 is held

28 Nov 2012 03:43 pm
reaction off of key resistance giving pullback to 1406.25, holding 1406 keeps an uptrend. If broken things in a change and go back to 1404

28 Nov 2012 03:45 pm
have a great rest of the day. I will catch you tomorrow shortly after they open. Or before if something from nightly update changes

28 Nov 2012 04:06 pm
this will be sold in the morning, especially if there would be a move up to the 1410-1412 zone. Look for that overnight, next decent move

28 Nov 2012 04:07 pm
should be to the downside. a drop back to 1400 area would be the key support. Anything more than that, 93 area could be in the picture again

28 Nov 2012 04:09 pm
on the other side of the coin, if selloff overnight to 1401-1400 area or a bit above, that would be a buying opportunity with tight stop.

 

 

Tuesday November 27, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

27 Nov 2012 09:18 am
the ES topped at the 1407.25-1408.00zone last night several times, and appears will test 1400-1399 area again. upside very limited unless

27 Nov 2012 09:21 am
Bernanke spouts something that the market takes as very bullish,or a consumer confidence number thats really good.

27 Nov 2012 09:26 am
so they need to have a good rally just to get back to that 07.25-08.00 resistance zone, and 1405 last bounce high before going to 1401

27 Nov 2012 09:28 am
I will update after stocks have been open for about 15 minutes or so.

27 Nov 2012 09:36 am
1402.50 initial support turned resistance, 1402.50 needs cleared/held to get bounce attempt in gear

27 Nov 2012 09:42 am
must bounce from 1401.50 at lowest it appears or sell off before top of the hour Econ data

27 Nov 2012 09:50 am
headed to a 7.25-08 .00 area,pullback will need to get bid right back up at 03.00-02.50 at the lowest

27 Nov 2012 09:53 am
04.75-04.25 needs held to get another push higher to 1407-1408

27 Nov 2012 09:54 am
otherwise these could be the early highs and pullback to 1401-1400 area again, key now

27 Nov 2012 10:02 am
good number but but no strong bullish reaction, a short

27 Nov 2012 10:06 am
NQ the weaker index, 1401.75-1401 support on the ES

27 Nov 2012 10:06 am
1404.75 Resistance on a bounce

27 Nov 2012 10:11 am
there could be a decent bounce from lower levels but this is a double top as long as 1407.25-1408 not cleared/held

27 Nov 2012 10:22 am
can bounce from 99.50-99.00 support, but 1402-1402.50 resistance on a bounce again should be sold into

27 Nov 2012 10:23 am
a short from earlier be sure to cover part around 99.50-99.00, trail a stop on remainder

27 Nov 2012 10:26 am
trend down resistance at 1401area. Bounces just retracements in a new downtrend for now

27 Nov 2012 10:37 am
bounce from just above 97.50, that was pivotal yesterday. If that's broken/held, pressure would really be on. But should get bid up before

27 Nov 2012 10:39 am
another pullback to test or break 97.50 area. the NQ led this down, keep an eye on that its moving better than ES

27 Nov 2012 11:01 am
the bounce reached 1401, the early lower area, and backed away. Needs to break/hold over that. 99.50 support, pressure on if broken

27 Nov 2012 11:04 am
should stay under 1402-1402.50 is heading back down again

27 Nov 2012 11:21 am
1402 was touched but not much of a reaction, this could creep higher as long as 1401 not broken.if broken 99.50 would need to hold

27 Nov 2012 11:23 am
this should be a short against 1402.50 and 2648 on the NQ, need a push above those are grind higher stops and decent pullback

27 Nov 2012 11:26 am
decent pullback possible to 1401 is broken. NQ tiny double top at 2648, 1402.50 is prior support and 50% retrace from high to low

27 Nov 2012 11:29 am
NOTE: I will be away today from around 12:20 PM until 1:10 PM. Apologies ahead of time. To avoid breaking down, 1401 needs held.

27 Nov 2012 11:36 am
an attempt to get a push above 02.50 was sold to 1401.00, must hold that level to avoid another push down.

27 Nov 2012 11:41 am
back up to 1405 area, should pull back, 1403.25-1402.75 shouldn't be broken if going higher

27 Nov 2012 11:53 am
small dip held 1404, can continue higher as long as that's held possibly 1407.25-1408

27 Nov 2012 12:01 pm
ES made a token higher high, could go before 1407.25-1408 on this push as long as 1405.50 area is held

27 Nov 2012 12:03 pm
should see some pullback from 1407-1408 but 1405.50 is trend up support and that area needs held on a pullback or the uptrend will reverse

27 Nov 2012 12:09 pm
pullback from 1407.00 to 1405.50 so far. next bounce will be sold if there is a move under 1405.50-1405.00,

27 Nov 2012 12:13 pm
that should be a top and pull back that breaks 1404 could pick up steam back toward 1402.50

27 Nov 2012 12:15 pm
I will be away for about 50 minutes or thereabouts. If something changes I'll let you know ASAP

27 Nov 2012 01:04 pm
bounces are failing, even the stronger NQ was turned away at a resistance area. 1406 and 2658.50 shouldn't be exceeded/held

27 Nov 2012 01:21 pm
pullback needs to bounce from 1404 at the lowest if there's going to be another test of 1405.50-1406

27 Nov 2012 01:22 pm
for now I rather trade the short side at/under 1405.50-1406. A scalper's market unless 1402.50 broken and not turned right back up

27 Nov 2012 01:30 pm
02.50 barely broken, turning up. Couldn't get to 1404-1404.50 but no further if heading lower

27 Nov 2012 01:42 pm
last update should have said "could get up to 1404-1404.50" - apologies for that typo. But that was tested, and easily back to 1402.50

27 Nov 2012 01:43 pm
and this stays under pressure unless 1404.58 seeded/held on a pullback. That could give retest of 1407, doesn't appear likely

27 Nov 2012 01:50 pm
I may be proved wrong on that. double bottom at 02.50,a push above 1404.59 quickly turned it down could give a push back to 1405.50-1406.

27 Nov 2012 01:52 pm
1404.50 is key resistance here and 1402.50 is key support in here. A break/hold up either side should give a couple more points that way

27 Nov 2012 02:11 pm
a dip to 1402.00,and a pop to 1404.00. 5 swings of 2 points while going sideways since 1:26 PM. just a scalper market until break of range

27 Nov 2012 02:18 pm
pushed above 1404.50, could get to 1405.50-1406 but not stick. A move under 1404 needs to be turned to right back up or bounce high in

27 Nov 2012 02:23 pm
that sent a message, could bounce from 1401-1400 but it will fail the short under 1404-1405 area

27 Nov 2012 02:28 pm
this bounce should fail under 1402.50, and push towards the early low or lower before any sort of bounce back. One won't stick

27 Nov 2012 02:31 pm
this shouldn't turn around and rally back so easily today. Sellers are waiting above to get out before this gets worse. Use strength to sell

27 Nov 2012 02:34 pm
holding under 1400 is a negative and keeps pressure on for a move down to 95 or lower

27 Nov 2012 02:38 pm
Tokyo lower low was bought, couldn't stop the bleeding for a bit and get a move to test 1400-1401. Shouldn't go much further or low maybe in

27 Nov 2012 02:48 pm
last update was supposed to say "token lower low..." sorry, voice software making too many errors. Anyhow bounce stopped at 99.75 and

27 Nov 2012 02:50 pm
staying under 1400-1401 keeps the pressure on to go to 95 before bounce attempt. Although 80 3 PM low is possible

27 Nov 2012 02:53 pm
most likely shorts covering off of 96, look for a bounce on a retest of 96-95 area.. A move above 1400-1401 to take pressure off a bit

27 Nov 2012 03:00 pm
1400-1401 need to be cleared/held to avoid one more push lower, although they didn't stay under 97 very long

27 Nov 2012 03:00 pm
break under 1399 to trigger any selling

27 Nov 2012 03:03 pm
1401 stopped the bounce so far, they break under 99 should give more push to the downside from here

27 Nov 2012 03:14 pm
pullback from 1401.25 turned up from 98.75, that 1402.25 area should be pivotal in the last 40 minutes as resistance/support if it exceeded

27 Nov 2012 03:16 pm
buyers have come in on every decent pullback lately, and turned up pretty well from 96. Unlike rest of the week, this one heavy under 1402

27 Nov 2012 03:20 pm
1402.25 was a high just after 11 AM pre-breakout to 1407, then a pullback low around 1:25 PM and 2 PM. Bounce high at 3:10 PM. pivotal R

27 Nov 2012 03:24 pm
need to a few minutes early today. This market appears to be safe from further decline as long as 99 holes

27 Nov 2012 03:25 pm
at least keeps the door open for a test of 1402-1402.50.

27 Nov 2012 03:25 pm
there could be selling comment at that area. Have a good rest of your day. I will catch you in the morning
 

 

Monday November 26, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

26 Nov 2012 09:28 am
1397.50-1396.75 pivotal support held on Goblex, key on further dropped from here. First decent bounce will be sold for last night's update

26 Nov 2012 09:30 am
should have a top in place short-term and begin decent selloff from Friday highs

26 Nov 2012 09:42 am
97.50-96.25 was touched and turned up, a move above 1401 needed to get to take some pressure off, 02.25-02.75 area would be pivotal if seen

26 Nov 2012 09:47 am
pullback should hold 99.50 and quickly push higher if going to get through 1401 and try for 02.25-02.75

26 Nov 2012 09:50 am
1401 rejected so far, 99.50 need to quick bounce back up through 1401, or they can breaks small uptrend off low and retest 97.50-96.75

26 Nov 2012 10:01 am
1401 rejected 3 times. pullback then to 99.50 bid right back up. A bit more upside should be sold into. 99.50 key support now, must hold

26 Nov 2012 10:09 am
strength sold at 1402.00, just under some resistance at 02.25-02.75.trends support 1400, must hold or next pop easily sold into

26 Nov 2012 10:16 am
trying to hold 99.50 but market is under pressure unless they can push back above 1401 and also 2637 area a on NQ

26 Nov 2012 10:24 am
1401 cleared by just 1 tick and turned back down. this ledge type pattern Barrish and less hold over 1401, 2636 on NQ

26 Nov 2012 10:34 am
narrow range, touch and go to the upside from 97.50 support but good selling at 1402.00. On downside 99 needs broken/held. 1401 on upside

26 Nov 2012 10:43 am
00.75 was sold, and after depth to 1400, 1401.00 tested and sold. Bottom side will break if no push over 1401 soon, 2636 on NQ

26 Nov 2012 10:51 am
tug-of-war between the blue chips/Dow and the Nasdaq at the moment. Dow finally rolling over with 12,950 resistance.NQ strengthening.

26 Nov 2012 10:54 am
should even out pretty soon. A break under 12,930 on the Dow cash can get downside going. At the moment a short under 1401

26 Nov 2012 10:58 am
97.50-96.75 can be seen on this and possibly lower,as long as they hold under 99.50-1400

26 Nov 2012 11:08 am
97.50-98.50 zones shouldn't be broken on a bounce, and instead be new resistance area, for downside to keep control.93 area next key support

26 Nov 2012 11:17 am
97.50 was sold on the initial bounce, then retest of 96.00. should still stay under 97.50-98.50 on bounce to keep pressure on

26 Nov 2012 11:24 am
96.25-96.00 area tested 3 times,will break as long as 97.59 exceeded/held on a dip. Pressure stays on to 93.75-93.00

26 Nov 2012 11:30 am
not a very aggressive bid like the market had last week, this should also fail and give a pullback, 97.00-97.50 would need exceeded/held

26 Nov 2012 11:34 am
if they have enough strength to get over 97-97.50/hold, a squeeze up to 99-99.50 should be as far as any bounce goes or a low could be in

26 Nov 2012 11:50 am
for now this can reach 99-99.50 before turning back down as long as 97.50 can hold. Would expect good resistance there if reached

26 Nov 2012 11:53 am
need to be a way for 15 minutes. Look for sellers around 99-99.50 -97.50 pivotal and must hold to avoid another reversal

26 Nov 2012 12:16 pm
ran out of steam as 99.00-99.50 being tested. be sure with tight stop, need a break under 98-97.50 for proof of reversal of uptrend

26 Nov 2012 12:17 pm
will just be scalp trades as this is two-sided action, 97.50 area still pivotal, has support

26 Nov 2012 12:23 pm
quick reversal up from 98.25, to top of 99.00-99.50 resistance zone. need to hold 98.50 on a dip needed to keep upside intact. topping otherwise

26 Nov 2012 12:27 pm
that should be it for this bounce, another pop should be sold. resistance on the ES, NQ retest of early high rejected. If I'm wrong on that

26 Nov 2012 12:29 pm
and they push through 99.50 resistance then 1401.00-1401.50 area next resistance

26 Nov 2012 12:37 pm
double top on NQ, and downturn off of 99-99.50 area keeps the market range bound. 97.50-98.00 areas still should be pivotal inside the range

26 Nov 2012 12:42 pm
choppy with a good bid on pullbacks. it is the Dow cash that is dictating price action. Market okay as long as 12,900 not broken/held. But

26 Nov 2012 12:44 pm
upside should be limited, with good resistance on another push higher towards 1402 area. Another dip that holds 98.50-98 should be bid

26 Nov 2012 12:56 pm
just messing 1402 so far in turning back a bit.99.50 needs held to keep the uptrend intact.The NQ me a new high and 2638 important S there

26 Nov 2012 01:10 pm
upside flattening out, pullback on NQ held just over 2638 and bounce, that and 99.50 need held or a high likely in up here

26 Nov 2012 01:15 pm
2638.50 held again on the NQ,along with 99.50 on the ES. but if broken then a bounce that follows should be sold. Stays bullish above those

26 Nov 2012 01:26 pm
could be double top if 1400.50 area isn't turned right back up. 99.50 on the ES and 2638 on the NQ are the keys support or trend reversal

26 Nov 2012 01:28 pm
today's action has been kind of strange, not so sure these prices can hold all day. Should have another shakeout at some point,but no

26 Nov 2012 01:31 pm
damage done to the up trend unless 99.50 on the ES and 2638 on the NQ are broken. could still push to or above 1402 before pulling back

26 Nov 2012 01:31 pm
next update in about 15 minutes or so

26 Nov 2012 01:43 pm
there could be another pop up from 1400-1399.50, but it's so it will be sold into. Downturn should be starting now

26 Nov 2012 01:52 pm
any bounce from here will be sold into, if this can spring back from 98.75 we get another push higher but fail to make new high and hold

26 Nov 2012 01:59 pm
action will likely stay slow and thinly traded with periodic spurts both ways, should be sellers waiting near 1401, buyers around 98.25

26 Nov 2012 02:04 pm
the NQ made a 1-2-3 type of top, held 2638 support so far but should have resistance around 2641-2642. 1400-1400.50 should be sold on the ES

26 Nov 2012 02:20 pm
1400.50 was exceeded, and the NQ also better bounce than anticipated. But no follow-through push to the upside. Another drop must hold

26 Nov 2012 02:22 pm
the 98.75 level on the ES and around 2638 or higher on the NQ to keep the good bid on dips alive and possibly punch to higher high

26 Nov 2012 02:25 pm
just a choppy market with two-sided action, upside bias but without much upside potential from here. another shakeout likely at some point

26 Nov 2012 02:32 pm
needs to break under 98.75 on the ES and 2638 on the NQ and not turned right back up for this to change character. Need move over 1401

26 Nov 2012 02:39 pm
neat move over 1401.25-1401.75 on the ES and 2644 on NQ than not turn right back down to get squeeze higher. tiny range this is stuck in

26 Nov 2012 02:52 pm
2 hours ES traded in 2.75 point range, 1401.75 down to 1399.00, almost to top of the range. pullback should hold 1400.5 area now to continue strong

26 Nov 2012 02:55 pm
should be resistance and sellers around 1403.50 area,that should be important if 1407.50 high on Friday is a top

26 Nov 2012 03:06 pm
pullback held 1401.00, no damage done yet unless 1400.50 is not bid right back up. One more pop higher to 1403.50 or a bit higher possible,

26 Nov 2012 03:08 pm
Dow and ES still slightly lower on the day, NQ up 13 points. That strength needs to continue to keep this moving higher. 2645-2644 S there

26 Nov 2012 03:16 pm
that should be it for the upside, if not then another pop up will be sold into. A moved back under 1400.50 should mean lower prices in the cards

26 Nov 2012 03:20 pm
1400.50 held so far, but expect another pop up to be sold into.a move up there should not stick

26 Nov 2012 03:25 pm
shouldn't stick up here, but has been a choppy stair step higher and that doesn't break unless 1400.50 on the ES along with 2644 NQ broken

26 Nov 2012 03:33 pm
the ES failed to make a higher high, 1400.50 broken so the patterns have changed, another pop up could occur but should fail.

26 Nov 2012 03:35 pm
have a good rest of your day. Use the nightly update for the early going tomorrow, I will update after the open unless something changes

 

 

Tuesday November 20, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

20 Nov 2012 09:27 am
Good morning. Quick note then update after first 15 minutes or so. Last night I wrote that a higher open would be a gift short

20 Nov 2012 09:28 am
That might be, but to begin breaking down the 80-78 area needs broken. Would be just a pullback unless 78 broken then held under 80

20 Nov 2012 09:29 am
if 78 breaks and then they bounce stops at or under 80, things turning over

20 Nov 2012 09:34 am
82.50 on the open down to 79.75 so far, lower to go, 82-82.50 resistance now

20 Nov 2012 09:42 am
bounce failed under 82, that is a key resistanceand 78.50-78 key support here early

20 Nov 2012 09:42 am
78.50-78 cluster of support early, 60 EMA on 5 minute chart an overnight low, thanks changing if broken/held

20 Nov 2012 09:48 am
78.25 right in support zone and key area this morning. 82 area still good resistance, should be selling around that area

20 Nov 2012 10:01 am
first bounce to 81.75 sold, but not aggressively and held at 80. 81 needs held to keep uptrend. 83.00-83.50 R should be sold

20 Nov 2012 10:08 am
the open was sold and 4 point drop to low at 78.25 updated support area, 4 point rally to 82.75. Sold from just under 83

20 Nov 2012 10:09 am
pressure off under 82-82.50 especially if 80.59 defended

20 Nov 2012 10:18 am
80.50 defended on pullback, buyers in charge until a bit higher up or unless 80.50 broken. 82.25 support above that

20 Nov 2012 10:24 am
a pullback should go no further than 82.50 or a high can be put in. Trends up to tests 86.25-87 unless that's broken

20 Nov 2012 10:27 am
84.75 is yesterdays high, if 83 broken can leave double top of their

20 Nov 2012 10:33 am
83.25 for pullback low so far, and still get to 86.25 cluster of resistance

20 Nov 2012 10:34 am
but not if 83 broken, would make this a top. Also watch 2590-2588 area on the NQ for trends support must hold also

20 Nov 2012 10:50 am
just a small pullback but watch 86.25-87.00 on the ES and 2594.50-2595.50 on NQ for strong resistance early, should be key

20 Nov 2012 10:54 am
that should be good resistance to sell against as a top should be in for now, if 83 not held they could go back towards 80.50

20 Nov 2012 11:09 am
80.50 still in the cards and maybe lower as long as 83 is held under, thats looking like miniature pivot level

20 Nov 2012 11:12 am
two-sided action so far this morning, from 78.50-78 dynamic support up to 1 tick under fixed resistance 86.25 on the ES and at 2594.50 on NQ

20 Nov 2012 11:14 am
Pullback to 81.50 so far, but this pattern bearish. Another run-up a short as soon as the move stalls out, 84-84.50 IF 83 exceeded

20 Nov 2012 11:30 am
tests of the high being sold, but not aggressively yet, but could be a token higher high, 84 will need to hold or will be another reversal

20 Nov 2012 11:44 am
a double top on the Dow cash and pretty close on the ES, 83.50 pivotal support needs held to make token higher high

20 Nov 2012 11:52 am
the market has been catching a bid on relatively small pullback so 83.50 should hold or things changing

20 Nov 2012 11:56 am
84 was as far as the small pullback went before pushing into 86.25-87 area, 86-85.25 support now should hold if going to continue higher

20 Nov 2012 11:57 am
just a heads up, I will be away from around 12:15 PM until a little bit after 1 PM today. will update ASAP after that.

20 Nov 2012 12:03 pm
Bernanke speaks pretty soon and shorts are getting squeezed along with new buying on the deeper pullbacks. This was/is important resistance

20 Nov 2012 12:09 pm
92-93 area is the next key area above that this could try for but would need a break/hold over 87-87.50 for that. 85.25 area must give Pop

20 Nov 2012 12:11 pm
back up core and head back towards 84-83.50, that needs held to keep clean stairstep pattern higher

20 Nov 2012 12:14 pm
need to be away for about an hour, can sell off from up here but buyers and control on dips unless 84 broken. If broken dynamic change

20 Nov 2012 01:03 pm
bounce from the 84-83.50 zone didn't stick in getting a decent pullback again. bounce is not going to stick it short any pop

20 Nov 2012 01:07 pm
81.50 was a prior swing low, attempting to hold that area, a pop-up to 84 area should be sold into. NQ at its low, ES can't break 78 if

20 Nov 2012 01:08 pm
that's the ES CAN break 78 area as long as 83 not exceeded

20 Nov 2012 01:14 pm
1376.75 was a key level, wasn't broken by much, but should snap back a bit but not reach 81.50-82 which is good resistance, next support

20 Nov 2012 01:16 pm
if they pushed under 77 area holds, down at 1372.25-1371.25 what should be strong area and bought back up. Look for 80.50-81 for minor R

20 Nov 2012 01:32 pm
ES couldn't even get to 80.50, stalled out after touching 79.75 for 2-3 minutes then rollover. 74 low so far but 72.50-71.50 can be seen

20 Nov 2012 01:33 pm
if a bounce stays under 77 area especially

20 Nov 2012 01:51 pm
this can could pass 80 area but not much higher, if not cleared and a break of 76 occurs than 72.50-71.50 gets tested. Of pullback holds 76

20 Nov 2012 01:52 pm
then there could be one more push higher that gets sold into and come back down towards 78 area at least

20 Nov 2012 02:01 pm
bounce reached 80, 78 is pivotal on a pullback, that has to hold to keep from testing/breaking 76.50 which could end up going to 72.50 area.

20 Nov 2012 02:04 pm
78 will need to be bid right back up and push through 80, otherwise this can break down a trendline across the bottoms

20 Nov 2012 02:19 pm
81.50 is about as far as this should go if there's going to be another pushed lower to test 78.50-78 area

20 Nov 2012 02:34 pm
this bounce didn't look promising to start, but made it back to the 82 area on a steady grind higher.Running out of steam, 80.50-80 key now

20 Nov 2012 02:36 pm
the move should be over for now in a pullback to 80 area. If not and 82 exceeded then 84-84.50 at sold

20 Nov 2012 02:38 pm
breaking down so vulnerable under 81.50-82.00.

20 Nov 2012 02:41 pm
78.50-78 area should be in the cards as a key support.. A bounce should be sold into around 80.75-81.25 if weak and going lower

20 Nov 2012 02:50 pm
a bounce through 81.25 didn't stick but if eating area can hold this can push a bit higher, if not then a test of 78 for a bounce

20 Nov 2012 03:03 pm
.80 area held on a pullback and back to 82 area for third test, if exceeded 84-84.50. need to get the NQ through at least 2586

20 Nov 2012 03:07 pm
another pullback should above 82-81.50 if going higher, 84-84.50 area should give a reaction of some sort,if for each

20 Nov 2012 03:16 pm
84-84.50 area could cause reversal or pullback towards 82 which should be good support unless going back towards 79-78

20 Nov 2012 03:23 pm
reaction from 83.75, just under 84-84.50 zone, giving pullback to 82 and Rust turn up and take out 84 soon to avoid late day drop towards 78

20 Nov 2012 03:26 pm
upside should be limited as long as the NQ stays weak, a bounce to 84 area rejected once and should be reaction if retested.

20 Nov 2012 03:30 pm
the ES just bounce to the area where the breakdown started getting steam. Need to push through 84 with some gusto to finish strong

20 Nov 2012 03:35 pm
failure at 84 but okay as long as 81.50 isn't broken/held the end of a day. I will see you in the morning. Have a nice rest of your day

 

 

Monday November 19, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

19 Nov 2012 08:57 am
I just e-mailed a link that gives a look at my internal indicators. It shows bigger picture, and then short-term coming out of oversold.
http://www.tradestalker.com/TA111612/

19 Nov 2012 09:01 am
its kind of long, 18 minutes. Anyhow, going to get a big Gap Up open. Normally bullish on Monday when >4 point gap. should not go back to 60

19 Nov 2012 09:09 am
73 resistance should be difficult to stay above if taken out, but, if thats exceeded/held could go to 77 area. 71 minor S, 67.75-66.75 Key

19 Nov 2012 09:13 am
73.25 resistance sold so far,, should be hard to break over/hold. I will update a bit after the open.

19 Nov 2012 09:40 am
should pull back from 76.75-77.75 R, 74.75-74.00 area should be bought on pullback to stay strong

19 Nov 2012 09:49 am
reverse from last listed resistance, pullback held 74.75 so far. 82 area would be next good resistance if 77.75 easily pushed through

19 Nov 2012 09:50 am
housing numbers out top of the hour

19 Nov 2012 09:59 am
ES trading at key area in front of housing members. Resistance was sold, pullback held 2 ticks over 74.75 new support. That is key S

19 Nov 2012 10:02 am
high in just under 80. a break under 77 and not turn right back up needed toprove change trend from up to down,

19 Nov 2012 10:06 am
76.75 pullback low so far, a bounce should fail around 78.50 or lower if going to stay under 80 area

19 Nov 2012 10:08 am
another pop-up should be sold into, there should be some pressure on to break 75 area as long as holes under 77.75 resistance

19 Nov 2012 10:14 am
pullback to 75.25 so far.Should be more pullback possibly towards 71 area which keys this morning before a sustainable bounce attempt

19 Nov 2012 10:26 am
was wrong on being further pullback, the ES stayed right at 75.50 for 3 minutes before popping up to test high, 77 pivotal,

19 Nov 2012 10:29 am
double tops in place on ES and NQ, but need a break of 75.50-75.00 on ES and 2563-2562 on NQ to roll over. A short under double tops

19 Nov 2012 10:36 am
bounce to 77.50 sold, still need a break of 75 area on the ES and not turn right back up to break trend

19 Nov 2012 10:39 am
doesn't act like it's going to stick, would need to push through 80 with some momentum. Absent that, break of 76-75.50 bring in selling

19 Nov 2012 10:45 am
pullback should hold 76 at lowest, 82 possible on a break of 79.25 and hold on small pullback

19 Nov 2012 10:56 am
ES didn't stay over 79 this morning except for about a millisecond 3 times. Must hold 78-77.50 have a chance of pushing through, else topped

19 Nov 2012 11:07 am
pullback reached 77.25,then bounced to 79.00 rejected a 4th time, NQ 2576.50-2577.50 also rejected. vulnerable up here

19 Nov 2012 11:20 am
gap day turning in to a trend up day holding 76 area. Follow the NQ leadership, it has been 1/2 step ahead of the ES.a hold over 79 needed

19 Nov 2012 11:24 am
a hold over 79 to get a squeeze higher towards 82 area otherwise fail again and test 76 or a bit higher if not a top

19 Nov 2012 11:41 am
pullback to 77.25 so far. If another pop to 79 hits turned right back down, market stays vulnerable. Still unable to hold 79 after poke over

19 Nov 2012 11:46 am
very slow sideways action between 77 and 79.25 currently, can scalp longs on small pullback but a poke over 79 should be sold, again,

19 Nov 2012 11:51 am
this push higher could reach 79 in turn down again.

19 Nov 2012 12:05 pm
80.50 small resistance, should be trend up still above 78.50 area and test 82-83 zone.

19 Nov 2012 12:12 pm
profit taking off of token higher high above 80.50to 80.75, this can make a move to 82-83 area if 79.50 area can hold

19 Nov 2012 12:22 pm
ES touch 79.50 and turned back up. Should be on its way to a higher high and maybe to the 82-83 area on this push higher

19 Nov 2012 12:27 pm
pullbacks have been 4.00 points, 3.75 points, 3.00 points, and 2.25 points. So there shouldn't be much of a pullback or symmetry breaks.

19 Nov 2012 12:30 pm
78.00-77.25 area a cluster of support, should be key to keeping choppy grind higher and gear. Currently holding 79.50, transition level

19 Nov 2012 12:32 pm
that 79.50 area was rejected numerous times, since being exceeded has held as support for another push higher. 79.50 Should be pivotal

19 Nov 2012 12:47 pm
PS now having trouble staying over 80.50, now could go to 77.25 at the lowest or dynamics change. Another pop a short down towards that support

19 Nov 2012 01:07 pm
so far just stay 2 point pullback, we still have choppy upside trend day as long as 77.75-77.25 area defended. If broken dynamics change

19 Nov 2012 01:13 pm
we have a lunchtime high in place in any pop-up should be sold into, testing that 77.7577.25 area would be just minimal pullback expected

19 Nov 2012 01:29 pm
pullback to 77.25 defended so far.A bounce back to 79 areas should be sold if this is going lower. must push through that to avoid more drop

19 Nov 2012 01:40 pm
feeble bounce back to 78.75 so far,needs to get above 79 and stick again to attempt anything on the upside. A break of 77.25 could see 75.50

19 Nov 2012 01:47 pm
75.50 still is in the cards if they don't have a good bounce from 77 or pushed above 79 and stick

19 Nov 2012 01:56 pm
very slow action but with double bottom at77 support this should be still in sideways/choppy up trend in good challenge for highs

19 Nov 2012 02:02 pm
with this slow action need to get thru 78.50-79 and only have a tiny pullback before pushing higher again.

19 Nov 2012 02:07 pm
79 rejected, should not go back under 78 to continue higher. Around 2579.50 on NQ

19 Nov 2012 02:28 pm
78.50 needs held on a dip are those bounce attempt fails, 2580.50 on the NQ. If not, can begin a break lower

19 Nov 2012 02:37 pm
it's a short under 79.50 and 2583 on the NQ on a bounce from this pullback. Should be a test/right prior slam lows 77 on ES then bounce

19 Nov 2012 02:37 pm
just a scalp trade and probably better on the NQ

19 Nov 2012 02:42 pm
bounced back to 79 on ES and 2581.25 on the NQ, just a tiny pullback instead of a quick push down, that might be pullback low already

19 Nov 2012 02:45 pm
should not go back to 78 on the ES and 2579 area on the NQ if another pullback. Those should be good lows, 79 should hold on a dip

19 Nov 2012 02:48 pm
82-83 area should get a test as long as eight years held it should

19 Nov 2012 02:55 pm
a pullback from 82-83 will hold 80.00-79.50 area at the lowest to keep the upside going. 2583 pivotal on NQ

19 Nov 2012 03:02 pm
stalling out just under 82-83 resistance, pullback needs to hold 80-79.50 on ES and 2583 area on the NQ to be just a pullback, top otherwise

19 Nov 2012 03:10 pm
the ES reached 79.75 and the NQ 2582 so far, if those lows are broken a bounce that follows should be sold into

19 Nov 2012 03:17 pm
support held and 82-83 can be tested again, market not wanting to hold gains but if they get through 83 then 86.25 area.a short at that zone

19 Nov 2012 03:18 pm
better odds for some pullback. 80.50 should hold it going higher. 79.50 shouldn't be seen, or could have late drop .

19 Nov 2012 03:19 pm
need to leave early so have a good rest of your day, so you tomorrow after the open

 

 

Friday November 16, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

16 Nov 2012 09:28 am
Good morning. The market very oversold coming into today. Just not sure why own stocks over the weekend went ugly all week.

16 Nov 2012 09:28 am
early strength in a short

16 Nov 2012 09:39 am
NQ bounced off of 2712 support while ES stayed 2 points above its 46-45.50 support. 48 on ES Key early to avoid yesterday lows

16 Nov 2012 09:43 am
A move over 52.50-53.25 area, and hold, above that to get out of trouble for a bit. Yesterdays last hour high area

16 Nov 2012 09:43 am
a short under that

16 Nov 2012 09:54 am
pressure on below 50. a drop to 46.00-45.25 on ES, 12,500 area on Dow cash, should get turn right up or else market further breaking down

16 Nov 2012 09:59 am
bounce is not going to stick the way it is looking - must be a turn back up from 45-44 area on ES, 12,500 on the Dow cash. A buy on reversal

16 Nov 2012 10:01 am
1346.00-1345.25 on the ES and the Dow held just over 12,500. 1349 needs cleared with some gusto or could break lower

16 Nov 2012 10:02 am
they move over 49 and stick needed to get a reversal of some sort, at least arrested downside momentum for a bit.

16 Nov 2012 10:10 am
45.50-46.25 resistance, 38.50-37.50 area still possible if that got cleared/held and also 12,500 area on our cash

16 Nov 2012 10:13 am
45.75 bounce high so far in right at 12,500 on the Dow - should be pivotal in the early going

16 Nov 2012 10:21 am
resistance pushed through and now needs to hold 45 on a pullback and push higher to stay out of trouble

16 Nov 2012 10:31 am
48.50-49.25 is where selling picked up steam on the way down to 42, could be "last trapped" resistance, needs pushed through to stay bullish

16 Nov 2012 10:34 am
should sell off from under 48.50 is going to have another push lower, upside stalling out

16 Nov 2012 10:35 am
IF 48.50 is pushed through that a pullback that follows should hold and turn back up

16 Nov 2012 10:43 am
48 area should act as support on a pullback now,very slow thin trading so far, if 48 broken and not turn right up a rollover possible

16 Nov 2012 10:45 am
47.75 pullback low so far, no energy behind this move higher so must stayover that level or can roll over

16 Nov 2012 10:58 am
much slower action than most of this week. resistance at 48-48.50, support 46-45.75. Need breakout of that range likely lower

16 Nov 2012 11:07 am
was wrong on that, the break to the downside didn't pick up any momentum. bounces should stick, but a decent size pullback bought

16 Nov 2012 11:13 am
45 broken and NQ near its low, a bounce is not going to stick so look to short a bounce that stops under 48

16 Nov 2012 11:23 am
45.25 still resistance and bounces should fail, 38.50-37.50 in the cards have no bounce from test of a low, or bounce and fail under that

16 Nov 2012 11:27 am
its bearish under 45.50 down to 38.50 area. Needs to get back above that area and hold on a dip to change trend down action

16 Nov 2012 11:32 am
bounce high at 49.50 1 tick above "last trapped" and roll over, test of 40, staying under 42.50-43.25 keeps pressure on

16 Nov 2012 11:41 am
bounce shouldn't take out 44.75-45.25 if still week, or could continue higher towards 47.50. looks like 42.50 break could start pushed lower

16 Nov 2012 11:45 am
good short squeeze on news, next pullback should get it right back up, especially 47.50-46.25 zone

16 Nov 2012 11:46 am
2506-2505 area on NQ is pullback support must hold that area along with 47.50-46.25 area on ES to get another push higher

16 Nov 2012 11:51 am
46.25 pullbacks low and a push back up to test 52.50-53.50 high of day/rejection area. it's okay as long as pullback just 5 points

16 Nov 2012 11:54 am
combine a grossly oversold market with some good news when it means that pullbacks should hold and give a decent bounce, pullback to 50 area

16 Nov 2012 12:05 pm
steady trend up move after pulling back to dynamic support pullback should come from 57.50-58.50 area if going to get one. 51.50support

16 Nov 2012 12:14 pm
he pulled back from 57 down to 53, ample for opportunity on both sides. 53. Key support now on another drop from 57-58 area, then 51

16 Nov 2012 12:14 pm
back after 15 minute break

16 Nov 2012 12:43 pm
57.25-56.75 area is currently a support area on a pullback. If not held than 53 area, should hold that first area to continue strong

16 Nov 2012 12:48 pm
what a bit further than it should so this bounce could fail under 59 and head back towards 55.50 area or a bit lower

16 Nov 2012 12:53 pm
that pop up was quickly rejected 57.75 and a drop to 55 area, can go further to the 53 area are lower. But that pop should be also sold

16 Nov 2012 01:03 pm
bounces are able to stick but can bounce from 53.75-52.75 if it's going to avoid deeper pullback

16 Nov 2012 01:06 pm
if they do bounce off of 53.75-52.75 area, don't expect that to stick. Another bounce back to 56.50-57.50 should be sold into

16 Nov 2012 01:14 pm
54.25 the pullback low, and caught a small bid for a 2 point bounce to 56.25 sold, that needs exceeded with gusto otherwise 51 next on downside

16 Nov 2012 01:24 pm
pullbacks held 52, the early high this morning and last hour high yesterday at that area, 54.50-55.25 area resistance on a pop

16 Nov 2012 01:28 pm
if this bounce doesn't take out 54.50-55.25 and stick, instead of turning right back down, then a break under 52 causes a breakdown

16 Nov 2012 01:39 pm
bounce stopped at 55.00, in the 54.50-55.25 zone and pulled back to 52.75 so far, there are lots of swings of 2+ points to scalp, both sides

16 Nov 2012 01:39 pm
if they cannot get above 55.25 then a break of 52 is eminent

16 Nov 2012 01:41 pm
if that occurs they could push down to the 49.50 area or thereabouts before another bounce attempt that fails. IF exceeded then 57 possible

16 Nov 2012 01:55 pm
ES is trading in a range between 52 on bottom and 56.25 area for the most part after coming off of 59 high, these pop-ups should be sold

16 Nov 2012 01:58 pm
and pullbacks that can stall out and bounce from above 52 ok for a scalp on the long side. The internals did a 180° turn, no longer oversold

16 Nov 2012 02:03 pm
57 rejected, if no bounce from 54.50 area then that could be bounced high,

16 Nov 2012 02:07 pm
the easiest way to trade this at the moment is to wait for a run up to show some rejection or stall out on a pop up,

16 Nov 2012 02:10 pm
or buy a dip of 2.00-2.50 points off of a high that spells out. if there is a bigger pullback and 52 is broken, could see a drop under 50

16 Nov 2012 02:12 pm
consider just being short something on a bounce this shouldn't take out the high, a break of 52 not quickly reversed could go to 48-46.

16 Nov 2012 02:14 pm
54.25-55.25 area should be bounced resistance. Really weakening if that's not reached.next update in about 10-15 minutes.

16 Nov 2012 02:27 pm
bounce from 52.00 up to 53.50 was sold than 52 broken, which opens the door for 48 area and maybe lower. Cover part of short @48.75

16 Nov 2012 02:35 pm
48 area met. Could bounce but 52 area now resistance that should be sold into

16 Nov 2012 02:37 pm
trail a stop on remainder of shorts down to 43-42 if they break 48 and don't turn right back up. 53.50 highest this could bounce

16 Nov 2012 02:42 pm
lost power on other PC so I am "one eye blind" looking at my charts at the moment, 52 should be rejected if going to have a breakdown

16 Nov 2012 02:45 pm
if 52 is pushed through, there could be move up to 53.50, shouldn't go through 55.15 though unless stronger than it looks

16 Nov 2012 02:55 pm
48.75 was the spot to cover part of any short position,53.50 area needs to be reverse to have another breakdown. 51.50 needs broken

16 Nov 2012 03:00 pm
52 level held, that is pivotal it appears. Just as it was earlier. If not defended, 50.50 can be seen at the least. 54.50 small R, 2530 on NQ

16 Nov 2012 03:16 pm
options expire could cause goofy action end of day, the trend will stay up unless 52-51.50 breaks. 56 area should be rejected unless strong

16 Nov 2012 03:19 pm
52-51.50, then 48 area is the key area end of day on the downside. 56 and then up at 58 key on the upside. Should stay inside that range or

16 Nov 2012 03:25 pm
they breakout temporarily at least.should get momentum, but if not and a breakout stalls/reverses then quick move back down.53.75 is new S

16 Nov 2012 03:27 pm
56 soldnow needs break under 53.75 to be a valid top, otherwise can continue

16 Nov 2012 03:31 pm
the ES needs to close back above the 1358 level that was the key support coming into the week, otherwise market not yet out of trouble.

16 Nov 2012 03:33 pm
that could happen the way this is going, but if they get there hand are rejected that would be bearish. a pullback should only be 2 points

16 Nov 2012 03:36 pm
to keep this run up going, 58.25 reached and sold but 56.25 area should hold if going to push through or try to

16 Nov 2012 03:40 pm
2 point pullback from 58.25 to 56.25, back up to 58.50 so far. Trend still stays up unless 56 broken.

16 Nov 2012 03:41 pm
have a great rest of the day and a great weekend. A short week but should be plenty volatile next week. I will see you Monday morning.

16 Nov 2012 03:52 pm
if there is a retest of the high somehow in the last 10 minutes or so, consider buying a few put options. should be bounce high or close

 

 

Thursday November 15, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

15 Nov 2012 09:22 am
follow nightly update for the first 15 min and update then

15 Nov 2012 09:52 am
58 area so and can go under 50

15 Nov 2012 09:56 am
If 52 is broken and not quickly reverse 49.50 or lower fee for another bounce attempt. Philly Fed top of hour

15 Nov 2012 09:57 am
55-55.50 is resistance and could be pivotal, would need to get above and hold to dent down side momentum

15 Nov 2012 10:05 am
bounce from 48.50 initial support, could be a low, but some pressure still on unless 53.50-54.45 area cleared

15 Nov 2012 10:15 am
we had a high at initial resistance and low at initial support, and 53.50 exceeded/held 54.25 area support

15 Nov 2012 10:25 am
initial resistance cause another reaction from 57.50 to 54.75, just over no support. The initial resistance needs to be cleared and held

15 Nov 2012 10:35 am
after first push from 48.50 stall a few minutes, 2nd wave of buying came in at 52 area. Pullback to 53.25 so far, need to hold or trouble

15 Nov 2012 10:41 am
market struggling under 56, should go back towards low if that's not exceeded

15 Nov 2012 10:44 am
even if bid up from 53-52 area here, need a push above 56 stick. otherwise there's still pressure on,initial resistance key above

15 Nov 2012 10:56 am
they tried to bounce from 51.75 but no go and this should go back down to test or break the low, follow NQ as it's been leading on downside

15 Nov 2012 10:59 am
feeble bounce from 50.50how should fail under 53 to continue lower and test/break the initial support

15 Nov 2012 11:04 am
the ES has spent very little time under 1350, both yesterday afternoon and this morning and just on a test of 50. Another push under 50

15 Nov 2012 11:06 am
well need to be turned up immediately, otherwise back to 48 and maybe quickly down to 44-42 zone

15 Nov 2012 11:08 am
still under pressure under 52 area now and 2526 on the NQ. Both of those would need taken out on the upside, otherwise it's breaking

15 Nov 2012 11:16 am
still not holding under 50 for a long, but not much gusto on bounce from important support, 52 area needs exceeded/held now to have bounce

15 Nov 2012 11:18 am
stay with shorts unless 52 exceeded/held as this could be headed to the 44-42 area.

15 Nov 2012 11:23 am
staying under 50 should keep pressure on, a bounce back to 50-51 area that stalls/ turns down should give another push lower, 50-51 pivotal

15 Nov 2012 11:31 am
50.50 was sold, needs to push over that area and stick to put a dent and downside momentum and potentially turn trend. 44-42 zone next S

15 Nov 2012 11:42 am
50-51 area sold into, that needs to be exceeded/held on a pullback to try getting a decent bounce going, test of low or lower otherwise

15 Nov 2012 11:48 am
43.50-42.50 is the next target/support on the downside and should be seen unless a decent bounce takes out 49.25 or higher

15 Nov 2012 12:15 pm
her little double bottom at 45.25 started a bounce to 48.25, 48.50-49.25 now resistance to stay under to keep downtrend going towards 44-42

15 Nov 2012 12:21 pm
48.50 is first resistance and then 50-51 more important area above. trend down day action, stay with selling bounces down to 43.50-42.50

15 Nov 2012 12:21 pm
next update in about 10 minutes or so

15 Nov 2012 12:37 pm
they bounce up to test 48.50 resistance, there is a double bottom at 45.25 and that must hold to keep the market from 43.50-42.50. 47.50 S

15 Nov 2012 12:41 pm
48.50-48 now support - should hold the keys to this moving higher.. If it doesn't 46.50 is as far as a pullback should go

15 Nov 2012 12:49 pm
today's internals can put my internal gauges and a very oversold condition. Only thing missing is a high Trin. A low made today or tomorrow

15 Nov 2012 12:52 pm
46.50 held on the pullback, a break under that area could bring another drop down to 45 may be lower. selling bounces that stall stillbetter

15 Nov 2012 12:53 pm
until there's another washout possibly towards 38 area if low not made today

15 Nov 2012 01:11 pm
so far today there has been good buying coming in on these pullbacks at 46-45 area, another pullback that holds around right there should be bought

15 Nov 2012 01:16 pm
we are giving two-sided action since whoa made just before noon.50-51 resistance and 46-45 support. 48 minor, must punch higher from there

15 Nov 2012 01:27 pm
pull back held at 48 and a decent bounce like this morning, this one should be able to stick and continue higher if a pullback holds 50-49

15 Nov 2012 01:32 pm
pullback held 50.50 and reached 52.25 so far, next pullback needs to hold 50.75 or could be make a little top here for a deeper pullback

15 Nov 2012 01:42 pm
53.50-54 area is a resistance, but pullback should hold 51 area to keep upside going.

15 Nov 2012 01:53 pm
52.75 was as far as a pullback went before getting another run up. As long as that level on the ES and 2528 on NQ hold rally stays in gear

15 Nov 2012 02:04 pm
that should be for the upside for a while, could bounce from 52 but on able to stay above 54 is a negative and 49 area next

15 Nov 2012 02:08 pm
if unable to get over 54 it could be going back to 50-49 before the bounce attempt

15 Nov 2012 02:10 pm
should bounce from 50-49 area, and if that happens and they test 54 bits should set up another pullback after that

15 Nov 2012 02:20 pm
the bounce stopped at 52.75, back down to 50-49 area, step back from here but will be sold into. If 49 broken, rallied off and 46-45 tests

15 Nov 2012 02:31 pm
ES holding 50-49 area, needs to push through 52 which is turning into resistance could be pivotal. Not trusting rally until tomorrow

15 Nov 2012 02:36 pm
51.75 was a bounce high before pulling back to 49.25, that level needs to hold or there can be another push lower to test 46.75-46.25

15 Nov 2012 02:45 pm
bounce from 49.25 not able to stick, unless this can get above at least 52 and stick on this move, it's feeble going to break lower

15 Nov 2012 02:58 pm
so far the bounce stopped right at 52, this pullback should break 49 if going to break lower end of day

15 Nov 2012 03:03 pm
back down to 49.25 but stays and sell the bounce mode under 52 area, tests of low may be lower should be in the cards on break of 49

15 Nov 2012 03:11 pm
must reverse from 45 area more continues on down to test 43.50-42.50. 50 area bounced resistance should be sold, 52 key resistance end of day

15 Nov 2012 03:27 pm
49-50 area now has turned into resistance again,if pushed through then 52 area possible. Should be sold there if not at 49-50

15 Nov 2012 03:28 pm
if the ES can drop down to either 1338 or a bit lower and then reverse back up tomorrow, then load could be in place. This is still bearish

15 Nov 2012 03:29 pm
and would wait until tomorrow or possibly Monday before everything comes together for a good rally to begin

15 Nov 2012 03:31 pm
still a short until then or until some proof of strength that will stick.could still see 43.50-42.50 if this lets loose in the last 30 min

15 Nov 2012 03:31 pm
have a good rest of your day, should be some good trading action again tomorrow.

 

 

Wednesday November 14, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

14 Nov 2012 09:30 am
update in 20 min, follow nightly update early

14 Nov 2012 09:53 am
Can bounce from 73 but Pressure on below the 75.50 area. 78 and 2577 on NQ key Resistance, market under pressure unless cleared/held

14 Nov 2012 10:03 am
71 a minor support, 74 area needs cleared to take some pressure off or could revisit low

14 Nov 2012 10:14 am
for still the area to clear otherwise that keeps the pressure on

14 Nov 2012 10:16 am
that is "74 is still the level that needs cleared to take the pressure off" going to break towards yesterday's low if not cleared

14 Nov 2012 10:24 am
71.50-72 now resistance needs cleared to take some pressure off, should take out 67 area before turning up if that's not cleared

14 Nov 2012 10:27 am
ES and NQ trying to hold around initial support, but needs a push through 72 before pressure off, 1366.50-1365.50 possible on the lower

14 Nov 2012 10:37 am
dropped down to 66.25 support and a small bounce back to 68.25 didn't stick. 69 is resistance now that needs exceeded or pressure still on

14 Nov 2012 10:39 am
the next support isn't until 63-62, the big area around 58 could be in the cards today if this stays under 68 trend to Resistance

14 Nov 2012 10:51 am
66 area is now the trend down resistance, pressure off temporarily if cleared and not turn right back down. 62 in the cards otherwise

14 Nov 2012 10:58 am
all the way down to 62.50-62.00 with no sign of a reversal. Needs to get above 65 at least, and not turn right back down from this support

14 Nov 2012 11:07 am
one minute chart 9 and 18 Floand so it was a web bug or a liar was herrida law

14 Nov 2012 11:09 am
I don't know where that came from. Anyhow, 62 can be a low for a while. A pullback should hold 65-64.50 or higher to push higher

14 Nov 2012 11:18 am
pullback held at 65.25, 68 area should be good Resistance if reached in the move stalls out they should come back down to 66.50 at least

14 Nov 2012 11:31 am
pullback held above 65, 68 area key. if cleared a push up to 70 possible but that should be pretty good Resistance. 68 looks to be key

14 Nov 2012 11:37 am
shouldn't bounce back to 66 but if so should be sold, the 68 area is key resistance now. That needs broken to get into neutral, test 70-71

14 Nov 2012 11:44 am
66 pushed through, could get to 70 area if 66 holds

14 Nov 2012 11:45 am
68 still key, if going to get back to the 70 area can dip should hold over 66 and then pushed higher again

14 Nov 2012 11:53 am
67 area now needs to hold or may not get to the 70-71 area.a drop back to 65.50 possible if broken and not turn right back up

14 Nov 2012 11:53 am
NOTE: just a heads up that I will be away today from around 12:20 PM until 1:10 PM. An update in between possible that cannot commit.

14 Nov 2012 12:05 pm
upside stalled out and shouldn't but pullback still holding 67. If that's broken a drop to 65.50 area

14 Nov 2012 12:11 pm
should head down to 65.50 saying under the 68 area, will either bounce there or picked up steam on the downside.

14 Nov 2012 12:14 pm
65.50 was cut right through and stopped at a last little swing low at 64.25. We made a bottom at 62 support and bounced, not sticking so

14 Nov 2012 12:16 pm
could retest 62 area on a break under 64. if tested in not held, then 58 area in the cards. I will be back around 1:10 PM

14 Nov 2012 12:59 pm
this area has been tested too many times and should be broken soon following the NQ

14 Nov 2012 01:10 pm
must be shorts antsy to lock-in profit by covering at 63-62, but pressure stays on towards 58 area unless 65 exceeded/held

14 Nov 2012 01:21 pm
63.50-63 area held for about 30 minutes, the pop-up to 65.75 shouldn't stick unless 64.25 holds on a dip and turns right up from there

14 Nov 2012 01:30 pm
65 broken and held, that shouldn't be broken and a test of 68-69 area should be sold into. If 65 broken a bounce that follows gets sold

14 Nov 2012 01:35 pm
another failed bounce, even at these low levels, another run-up possible in front of the Fed minutes released in about 25 minutes

14 Nov 2012 01:42 pm
a 3.75 point run up in three minutes and then a 3-point drop in 2 minutes, 68 still Resistance, 70-71 if exceeded. Should be sold.

14 Nov 2012 01:45 pm
would be careful on the long side, this is still a "heavy" with bounces unable to stick, lots of buyers from earlier anxious to get out

14 Nov 2012 01:59 pm
Fed minutes released at 2 PM. 64-63 has been a base of sorts on pullbacks, needs to hold or reverse from there to avoid any trouble, good S

14 Nov 2012 02:07 pm
This must take out 68 and 2559 on NQ. 65 turning into pivotal support and they hold under that goes to 63 area again

14 Nov 2012 02:13 pm
headed towards the low and maybe 58 area if no quick reversal back up. Selling bounces from here on out under 68.50 and 2559 NQ

14 Nov 2012 02:20 pm
64.25 area would need to be exceeded and not turned right back down to avoid testing 58 area. Could be snap back rally from there

14 Nov 2012 02:25 pm
63.50-64.25 should be bounced Resistance if going to break down to test 58 area before a bounce. Could see 66 if broken through

14 Nov 2012 02:33 pm
the ES reached 64.75 before pulling back. need a push over that with some momentum or still going for 58 area

14 Nov 2012 02:46 pm
1 more push lower under 60 that then reverses back up should set up for a bounced attempt at least. 63 area could be pivotal, as R right now

14 Nov 2012 02:47 pm
if that's exceeded and then holds on a pullback we could have a low and place for a bit

14 Nov 2012 02:56 pm
theres a chance for a late day rally IF this can get a push over 64-65 area thats not turned right back down. Thats key R

14 Nov 2012 02:56 pm
otherwise they are going to likely test 58 before any bounce attempt

14 Nov 2012 03:03 pm
59.50 reach and turned up, but pressure stays on under 62.50-63.50 area. 58 or lower still likely

14 Nov 2012 03:08 pm
58 area met but need to get over 60.59 and not turn right back down just to take some pressure off. Could go quite a bit lower

14 Nov 2012 03:10 pm
if they cannot hold 58 on a close. It doesn't look promising. 59.50-60.50 a bounce attempt. 54 next support area

14 Nov 2012 03:17 pm
58 area can now be resistance to continue down to 54 area are lower, there is some so poor around 48 if this gets momentum into the close

14 Nov 2012 03:24 pm
just a feeble bounce from 54.50, 52 level next than 48. would need to get back over 58 to avoid continue dropping into the close

14 Nov 2012 03:34 pm
the bounce failed just under 58, that area should be important resistance and of day. Stays under pressure unless cleared/held

14 Nov 2012 03:38 pm
58-59 area should be rejected if the market is going to stay weak.

14 Nov 2012 03:39 pm
have a good rest of your day, I will see you here tomorrow morning

 

 

Tuesday November 13, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

13 Nov 2012 08:59 am
use any decent bounce for a chance to short if you are trading overnight. 80.50-81.50 area would be sold if reached unless unforeseen news

13 Nov 2012 09:10 am
good morning. market getting hit hard overnight. the ES would need to get above 75-76 just to take some pressure off. Working towards 1358

13 Nov 2012 09:26 am
could bounce early but we have more to go on downside, a gap down open this morning the initial resistance should be 73-74 area. likely sold

13 Nov 2012 09:37 am
should pull back from 71.50, 69.50 should give another bounce if going to get to 73-74

13 Nov 2012 09:40 am
70.50 area now support and 73-74 should get a test

13 Nov 2012 09:49 am
gap filled usually, 72 is now key support, must hold that level to avoid another drop.

13 Nov 2012 09:50 am
76 should be hard to get through and hold, 74 area trend support on a dip

13 Nov 2012 10:00 am
almost back to unchanged, not too far from 80 area but a pullback from 78 possible here no reversal unless 74 breaks

13 Nov 2012 10:07 am
77.75 high and a pullback to just above 74 support. If that's broken a bounce that follows should fail. 72 support under that

13 Nov 2012 10:10 am
74.25 was bid on the second pullback. Building an important support there, needs to stay over that to stay strong

13 Nov 2012 10:19 am
popped over 80 and couldn't stick, a move under 77.50-77 needs to snap right back or begins to break trend

13 Nov 2012 10:24 am
pullback held at 78, not wanting to break down yet. 77.75-77.00 area needs to get bid right back up on a dip or could it be rolling over

13 Nov 2012 10:27 am
a good bid all the way up just held 77.50 on dip, but cannot stay over 80 and should have deeper pullback unless 80 exceeded/held soon

13 Nov 2012 10:30 am
a short under 81 high ,NQ under 2580 for now

13 Nov 2012 10:32 am
76.50-76 a small support where a bounce could come from, if not then down towards 74 before a bounce

13 Nov 2012 10:40 am
76.75 held and gave a push back above 80. Can come back down but 78 area will hold if going to keep pushing higher

13 Nov 2012 10:47 am
double top in place just above the 80, 77 area has held on dips but a break and start a pullback towards 75 maybe 73.50

13 Nov 2012 10:52 am
another pullback should hold 77, so it should set up a quick trade on the long side on another pullback.if a hold over 80, 84 possible today

13 Nov 2012 10:55 am
should get to 84 area before a pullback or reaction of some sort. 80 area should hold on a dip

13 Nov 2012 11:00 am
gap days are often times trend days and it's been a trend up move since they opened.pretty big move already so this may not last all day

13 Nov 2012 11:04 am
pushed through 84.50, a pullback should hold 82.50 to keep up trend going. 88 area is next resistance to go for

13 Nov 2012 11:06 am
84.50 was pushed through, a pullback should stay above 83-82.50 at worst to keep grinding higher towards 88 area

13 Nov 2012 11:17 am
82.50 is about as far as a pullback should go if this is going to stay bullish in trend up mode.

13 Nov 2012 11:23 am
the ES is holding at/near dynamic support on pullbacks most of the way up. 83.50-82.75 zone on the ES, 2580-2578 on the NQ pullback support

13 Nov 2012 11:31 am
pullback held at 83.00, need a push up through 85 and stick to get upside push going again. NQ 2580 area also holding can go higher

13 Nov 2012 11:39 am
the upside ran out of gas in the pullback finally broke some support. Watch 81-80.50 that area needs to hold or could slide down to 78

13 Nov 2012 11:44 am
so far just an orderly pullback, buyers backing off or locking in profits.if 81-80.50 is held they can test the high. If broken could see 78

13 Nov 2012 11:51 am
already 19+ point move on ES, about 33 points on NQ. Good upside momentum, but extended ad eating a rest, a decent pullback should be bought

13 Nov 2012 11:52 am
going to take a 15 minute break. Lunch time pullback could be underway, but should be buyers at lower levels

13 Nov 2012 12:19 pm
84.00-84.50 turned into resistance again, but pullback was bought. 81.50-80.50 prior resistance now support that needs held.

13 Nov 2012 12:29 pm
a slinky type pattern and drop into 81.50-80.50 area. Another bounce back to 82.50 should be sold to keep new downtrend

13 Nov 2012 12:32 pm
could test 77 area on this leg down, around 2571 on the NQ some support but a bounce likely not going to stick

13 Nov 2012 12:34 pm
81.50 area is resistance again, that should be a transition area. To begin getting out of trouble 81.50 needs cleared/held

13 Nov 2012 12:49 pm
this can be a pullback low, just missed getting to 78 and turned up. The NQ held just above 2571 support area and that is key there

13 Nov 2012 12:52 pm
the ES bounced from just above the 78 support area, NQ from just over 2571 support. Both are key areas that need to hold

13 Nov 2012 12:59 pm
81.50 turn the mkt back, but if this can bounce from79.50 or above it can hold together and make another bounce attempt. If not, breaks down

13 Nov 2012 01:07 pm
double bottom on both ES and NQ for a scalp long, but not to overstay as this looks vulnerable. 78.50 and 2572 on NQ must hold

13 Nov 2012 01:17 pm
the ES got a second push after holding the 80 area, this could go a bit further but wouldn't overstay as this can come back to 80

13 Nov 2012 01:23 pm
the market has acted very well today, now to avoid any trouble 78.50 area on the ES and 2572 area on the NQ need to hold if deeper pullback

13 Nov 2012 01:24 pm
need to be away for about 15 minutes. A bounce from 81 should occur if they're going to make another push higher and not test 78.50

13 Nov 2012 01:44 pm
tricky action with selling around 82-83, buying at 79.50-78.50. As long as that support hold market stays bullish in a nutshell

13 Nov 2012 01:54 pm
this can go back up 84.50 area but probably get sold in that area. 80.50 should it be broken to keep this going

13 Nov 2012 02:00 pm
81 area is acting pivotal so as long as a pullback holds there this can push higher 84-84.50 the R

13 Nov 2012 02:04 pm
to keep a choppy trend higher going this needs to bounce from 81.50 probably at the lowest. 81 has been pivotal

13 Nov 2012 02:10 pm
good bounce off of 81.25. 81 area still pivotal and bullish above that, test of 79-78.50 possible if broken but doesn't look likely

13 Nov 2012 02:11 pm
at the moment. Would need to break under 81 and not snap right back up. Next update in about 10 minutes

13 Nov 2012 02:18 pm
another bounce off of 81.25, 84-84.50 should have a hard time breaking/holding. But stay with buying dips as long as 81 not broken

13 Nov 2012 02:27 pm
needs to continue to hold 81 area. If broken and not turn right back up, things could be changing late day. 78.50 then the key support.

13 Nov 2012 02:39 pm
tricky market this afternoon, should be pressure o under 81.50 now

13 Nov 2012 02:50 pm
thus 77.75 level on ES and 2571.75 on the NQ were quickly turned up, must be some shorts caught just below. A test should be bought. 81 R

13 Nov 2012 02:57 pm
81 almost reached, pullbackshould stay over 79 if going to avoid breaking down again. Should be buyers on a retest

13 Nov 2012 03:07 pm
has to get over 81 again and hold or can retest 77.75. Should spring up on a retest or the 75 area could be seen. in

13 Nov 2012 03:15 pm
no sign of a bounce off of 77.75, could see 75.50-75 area before a bounce attempt. Don't expect it to stick,

13 Nov 2012 03:16 pm
it's a short on a bounce back to 79 area, or around there as long as it stays under 81. Could crumble towards 72.50 if no bounce

13 Nov 2012 03:20 pm
bounce attempt off of 75.50-75 area but a feeble one and shouldn't go any further than 78.50-79 area. A break of 75 goes to 72.50-72

13 Nov 2012 03:22 pm
this can go to 72 area, pressure on under 75.50

13 Nov 2012 03:28 pm
72.50-72.00 was just messed but could still be seen if this turns down from 75.50-76 area, that should be pivotal area in last 30 minutes

13 Nov 2012 03:31 pm
there is room to go back towards this mornings low or lower before a bottom is in. have a good rest of your day. catch you in the morning

13 Nov 2012 03:58 pm
earnings could affect NQ after the close. Overnight look for a bounce to be sold. vix make close up, could give some sell signals

 

 

Monday November 12, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

12 Nov 2012 09:20 am
good morning. decent overnight bounce 81.50 important to get above and hold in the early going. 78 minor support, area needs held early

12 Nov 2012 09:26 am
this is a semi-holiday for the market, bonds are closed and not all of the players will be at their desks. Could be slow session after noon

12 Nov 2012 09:35 am
78 was quickly reversed, this bounce should be sold into,a break that's not turned right back up puts pressure on.

12 Nov 2012 09:41 am
buyers in charge above 78for now, a push to 81.58 area first test of strength/weakness. If rejected then decent pullback

12 Nov 2012 09:50 am
two pokes under 78 reverse back up, and a poke over 81.50 could do the same.79 needs reversed a broken

12 Nov 2012 09:54 am
early high in place, might be a high for more than just early if 78 area not defended on another push lower, that's key. It's a short

12 Nov 2012 09:57 am
81.50 is the first fix resistance and that area sold twice on Globex and once after stocks open so far. Should be under pressure under 81

12 Nov 2012 10:08 am
78 area able to hold so far, but staying under 80 also. 81.50 first Resistance was just missed and rejected a short under that

12 Nov 2012 10:22 am
resistance at 77.75-78.50 now.Unless that is broken and held above, there can beanother push lower and 75-74 must hold to avoid bigger break

12 Nov 2012 10:26 am
pop up to 77.50 was sold, that area needs push through/held along with 2587.50-2588.50 on the NQ.

12 Nov 2012 10:42 am
bounced to 78.25 so far,2587.25 on NQ. if exceeded and not turned right back down, then trends hood turn up

12 Nov 2012 10:44 am
new Resistance sold, still a short and a break of 75-74 would put pressure on, bigger break down

12 Nov 2012 10:49 am
75.50 reached so far, if short from earlier or on the last bounce to updated resistance tighten up stop for sure,could see 72 if 74 not held

12 Nov 2012 10:51 am
would cover part at that support and keep the rest in case downside gathers momentum. 78.50 key resistance

12 Nov 2012 10:57 am
74.50 low so far, 74.50-74.00 key area, 70 2A minor support but 70-69 area should be tested

12 Nov 2012 11:04 am
73.50 was bid up a bit with some short covering from over the weekend holders, trend resistance at 75 now,

12 Nov 2012 11:06 am
pressure stays on as long as 75-75.50 gets rejected on another feeble bounce attempt.needs broken through to change things for a bit

12 Nov 2012 11:15 am
pop up to 75 rejected, so pressure stays on to test or break low, a break of 69 needed to avoid having "inside day"

12 Nov 2012 11:28 am
keep an eye on the NQ 2577 resistance along with 75 area on the ES, both head good bid at lows, should hold for a bit if resistance cleared

12 Nov 2012 11:39 am
NQ reached 2577.50 and turned down, the ES is trying to push through 75.50 while NQ pulls back.ES should give here if going lower

12 Nov 2012 11:47 am
trying to make a lunchtime blow, there has been lower highs and lower lows since topping in the first 20 minutes, need a break/hold over R

12 Nov 2012 11:52 am
need to clear 75.50 and 2577.50 on the NQ, which is acting worse than the ES,to attempt making a midday low, otherwise headed lower under 73

12 Nov 2012 12:06 pm
until this can prove itself strong, would stay with selling bounces that stall out.bounces feeble, 75.50 needs pushed through with gusto

12 Nov 2012 12:17 pm
if still in a short from earlier, which cover at 73.75 or better, at worst have stop no higher than 75.50. slowing down

12 Nov 2012 12:21 pm
lunch time bounce and some short covering already starting from test of low. could go to 76.25 if they push it above 75.50 can stick

12 Nov 2012 12:27 pm
75.58 seeded but not held, support around 74.75-74.50 areas needs hold to keep uptrend, make another push higher.

12 Nov 2012 12:29 pm
75 area holding, and can push higher as long as that doesn't break. 76.25 small resistance then 77.50-78.00 more important area.

12 Nov 2012 12:32 pm
back after about 15-20 minute break. Lunchtime bounce should not take out 78 area, unless turning very strong

12 Nov 2012 12:43 pm
77.50-78 area reached, trend up can continue as long as 76.50 is held. Next resistance around 79, then the 81-81.50 area for total reversal

12 Nov 2012 12:48 pm
78 is a strong barrier to clear and hold, needs to have a good bounce from above 76.50. If that's broken and not turned right back up,rolling

12 Nov 2012 01:04 pm
pullbacks held 77, a nice come back after getting to 73.50 then punching over 75 and holding.77.75 is pullback support that should hold

12 Nov 2012 01:06 pm
78.50-77.75 should not be broken now that the high has been tested. the 80 area should have trouble holding if pulling back to support

12 Nov 2012 01:09 pm
pullback held 78.75 so far, that area can be pivotal. if held in push over 80 not reverse there could be tests of 81.50 before pulling back

12 Nov 2012 01:16 pm
no sign of a reversal unless 79 is broken. 81.25 sold, but okay if hold 80 on pullback

12 Nov 2012 01:27 pm
so far 80 held on the pullback, needs to push higher from there.possibly reach 82.50 area. If 80 is broken then back to the 78 area likely.

12 Nov 2012 01:30 pm
81.50 was rejected in pulling back, if 80 is broken than a high should be in place for a bit. Another pop-up likely sold

12 Nov 2012 01:33 pm
the NQ could lay this down but the ES should be headed to 79 and possibly lower than for a bounce attempt

12 Nov 2012 01:37 pm
79.25 pullback low,resistance is around 80.50 around on ES and 2590-2591 on the NQ, should be sold if reached, could see 77 if not

12 Nov 2012 01:44 pm
the 79 support/reversal area held so far but if this holds under 80 then heading lower towards 78 at least. 77 should be important, 75 key S

12 Nov 2012 01:56 pm
ES holdings under 80 and almost reached the 78 level, was expecting the break to cause roll over towards 77, but could bounce from 79 and

12 Nov 2012 01:59 pm
bounce from 79 already started, needs to stay over 79.50 if going to try for 81-82 area again where there should be sellers

12 Nov 2012 02:05 pm
we have a rollover now, would need to hold over 80 to turn bullish.This can go to 77 and possibly 75.50-75.00 area which should be key

12 Nov 2012 02:15 pm
bounce off of 78 needs to get through 80, and then hold that area on a pullback. If so,can poke into 81-82 area again.if not 77 still possible

12 Nov 2012 02:18 pm
a two-sided day with a good drop and a good rally, too close to high to be aggressive long, better buying opportunity lower. Better short

12 Nov 2012 02:24 pm
better short on another pop up towards 81-82 that shows rejection or stalls out. 79.50-79 would need to turn right back up to keep up trend.

12 Nov 2012 02:28 pm
buyers backing off around 80-80.50 and a short up there, pullback must have a good bounce from 78 at the lowest or going towards 77,or 75.50

12 Nov 2012 02:44 pm
the ES fell to 77, bounce should fail as there is good selling up there just above 80. If 78.59 exceeded/held still can go to 55 area

12 Nov 2012 02:54 pm
stalled outat 76.50, so if theres any energy left on the upside it should come from here.a failure to clear 78.50-79.00 keeps pressure on

12 Nov 2012 02:58 pm
looks like another pullback will get bid up, but likely not stick above 80. A push over 78 needs to stick to get going

12 Nov 2012 03:05 pm
a push over 78, but not much gusto. A pullback should hold 77.50 on ES and 2580 area on the NQ to keep bounce going, avoid breakdown

12 Nov 2012 03:14 pm
the ES unable to put together a decent bounce even though NQ is holding 2580. A break under that and 76.50 could accelerate

12 Nov 2012 03:15 pm
this is going to make another round trip and tests 73 or maybe lower if there is not a bounce from 75.5-75.00.Even then a bounce should fail

12 Nov 2012 03:17 pm
the VIX is down almost 9% today, thats not bullish for the bigger picture, just look for shorts end of day. A bounce will be sold

12 Nov 2012 03:27 pm
as long as 75.50-75.00 on the ES is held in the last 30 minutes, the market will avoid trouble but not though too far.

12 Nov 2012 03:28 pm
if that area happens to be broken instead, then could retest 73 area but not go much further on that side either

12 Nov 2012 03:28 pm
have a good rest of your day. I will catch you in the morning

 

 

Friday November 09, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

09 Nov 2012 09:29 am
overnight weakness down to 1363 area, another trip down there or lower to 1358 MUST hold or we are in a meltdown

09 Nov 2012 09:32 am
72.50 days reached to fill the gap from yesterday's low, the first area to get through if there's going to be a bounce. I'll update a while

09 Nov 2012 09:41 am
needs to say over 72.50 to hold up

09 Nov 2012 09:45 am
72.50 area should be pivotal now this morning, 2574 on the NQ. If there's going to be a turn down it should come from 7550 area

09 Nov 2012 09:49 am
75 close enough, 75-75.50 is now key resistance to clear/hold to attempt getting out of trouble or can drop to 69.00 low or lower

09 Nov 2012 09:56 am
likely short covering bounce Econ data any minute

09 Nov 2012 09:57 am
it stays bearish unless 75-75.50 is broken and able to hold on a bounce

09 Nov 2012 10:05 am
stall at 76.50 sold, for pullback at least. 73.75-73.00 should hold on a dip or high possibly in

09 Nov 2012 10:10 am
pullback held at 74.50, 74.50-73.75 should not be broken, or the move would roll over. Otherwise79.50-80.50 key area up here early

09 Nov 2012 10:15 am
75.00-74.50 area is a transition area now and that needs to hold on weakness or odds are a high would be in place. 79 should give reaction

09 Nov 2012 10:25 am
pullback from 79 held at 76.00, just above new support, and another pop higher to the 79.25-79.75 areabut uptrend intact as long as 76 holds

09 Nov 2012 10:27 am
this is the spot that should be most important early this morning on top. The ES has Tuesday over 1380.50 to bullish on bigger trend

09 Nov 2012 10:30 am
should be hard to get through and hold that area, good selling on the first try.a break of 77 and start a drop back towards 75 maybe lower

09 Nov 2012 10:34 am
for those with my e-book note 60 EMA on 5 minute chart as dynamic resistance on bigger picture timeframe.pullback to the 75 area must bounce

09 Nov 2012 10:39 am
there has been buyers on the dips, but not held long above 80. still key area to break/hold. otherwise retest 75.50 maybe back down to 70

09 Nov 2012 10:47 am
all of the pullbacks being bought, 80 pushed through and now pullback should hold 79.75-79.25 area to avoid pullback and continue to 84

09 Nov 2012 10:49 am
should be some selling come in on a break of that area. It shouldn't be broken if strong, just be another dip and push higher, else topping out

09 Nov 2012 11:00 am
pullback reached 78.50, dips of 3.00-3.75 pts have been bought, if 78 broken then it change.76.50-76 was held 3 times, stairstep up broken.

09 Nov 2012 11:18 am
pop up to 82.50, after 2-point pullback, bid back up again. needs to stay over 80 area, should be strong/pivotal R around 84 to break

09 Nov 2012 11:22 am
82.50 double top, should be it for a while on the upside, staying under 84 still bearish bigger trend

09 Nov 2012 11:45 am
83.75-84.50 key resistance, but mkt ok as long as 79.75-79.00 area hold on a pullback, at the lowest. Should hold 82-81.50 if pushing thru

09 Nov 2012 11:49 am
the ES was on the verge of a reversal but held on a 3.75 point pullback to 78.75. Strong over 82.

09 Nov 2012 11:53 am
if 84 is rejected, and then a break under 82, that could make for an afternoon top. Tempting to short this zone, but a trend up day, break 1st

09 Nov 2012 11:55 am
just as soon as that was sent the ES headed lower, a bounce from 81 can keep this alive but look potential short on pop that stops under 84

09 Nov 2012 12:02 pm
no stopping this, next pullback should hold 83-82.25 area at the lowest to keep this in trend up mode. Another 3 pt pullback should get bid

09 Nov 2012 12:11 pm
83 held on the pullback, that could be a pivotal level if it's not held. If it is in this takes out 85, 88 possible before some pullback

09 Nov 2012 12:21 pm
almost to 88 resistance but many fall shy, if NQ reverses from 2602 R. A pullback should hold 84.50

09 Nov 2012 12:31 pm
almost to 88.00-80.75 area, staying over 86 keeps this in a really strong up trend. 84.50-84.00 key support must hold or high in for a while

09 Nov 2012 12:42 pm
a high at 88..00 so far, a break of 85 that's not quickly reversed up should mean afternoon high in place, and could go back towards 80

09 Nov 2012 12:45 pm
a number of 2.50-3.75 pt pullbacks on the way up, but no further than that before bid right back up. That coincides with 84.50-84.00, key

09 Nov 2012 12:55 pm
pullback held at 85.50 and turn right up, bounce sold into. A drop to 84 area likely to 88 not taken soon. Need to be away 15 minutes or so.

09 Nov 2012 01:12 pm
test of 80 and possibly 78 or lower in the cards now that the market has broken

09 Nov 2012 01:15 pm
80.25 reached,if they bounce back to 84.50 area, it should be sold. May not get that far is headed to 78 or lower

09 Nov 2012 01:20 pm
a test of 80 on a pullback will need to hold now. A push above 84.50 area will need to stick to get a test of the highor thereabouts

09 Nov 2012 01:24 pm
84.50 on the ES and just under 2600 on the NQ stopped the bounce, NQ testing its last low, ES needs to turn up from 81.50 or breaks 80

09 Nov 2012 01:27 pm
could go to 78.75-78.00, and then attempt to rebound back.but if no sign of turn from there then down to 75, possibly through 72

09 Nov 2012 01:35 pm
we have a high for the day and place at 88 and that should not be seen again today. 75 was early high, and good buying on dips from there,

09 Nov 2012 01:37 pm
we can bounce from there but resistance around 79.50-80.50 should be sold into if going lower. Stay with selling rallies under 88,

09 Nov 2012 01:42 pm
the market is back in some trouble it appears the rest of the afternoon, and could cave in and take out the morning lows. If that happens

09 Nov 2012 01:45 pm
first the 72 area will need to be broken through. there will be some support around 1366, and if that breaks then 63 area. 78.50 then 80 R

09 Nov 2012 01:47 pm
I need to be away for about 15 minutes and will update after that. if theres a stronger rally then 82.00-82.50 good resistance

09 Nov 2012 02:14 pm
the bounce off of 74.50 stop that 79.75 and again at 79.50 and strong resistance that needs cleared. 76.50 key/pivotal in between it looks

09 Nov 2012 02:32 pm
the move off of 76.50 pullback from 80.50 resistance, but now 79 area is support and that is key to stay above or 76.50 could be broken

09 Nov 2012 02:36 pm
good volatility today, 80.50 is now support. If 84 area push through, could challenge 88 high before pulling back again

09 Nov 2012 02:45 pm
84 area sold, 80.50 area still important support it appears for this can be more than just a pullback. 79 then 75-74.58 major area end a day

09 Nov 2012 02:50 pm
bounce from 80.25 lasted about one minute and then broke lower to 79.25, prior pullback low area. Could bounce from 79, but not stick

09 Nov 2012 02:56 pm
this is a bearish pattern, any bounce from down here will be sold, especially if somehow run to 82-83 and stall. Otherwise 75-74.50

09 Nov 2012 03:07 pm
good reactions that resistance numbers today, but finding good dynamic support-aside from 75 area for support-not easy.the short something

09 Nov 2012 03:07 pm
has there should be lower prices in the cards. A bounce back to 84 area or lower should be an ideal set up should occur

09 Nov 2012 03:14 pm
holding that 76.50 gives this a shot for another run up to test 82-83, if they run up and stall under 84 should get sold off again

09 Nov 2012 03:19 pm
saying under 80 should keep some pressure on. If that's taken out, a run to 83 still possible. It's weak under 80 and headed to 75 or lower

09 Nov 2012 03:35 pm
this can selloff and one day if unable to get back above 80. Would avoid long until possibly Monday,

09 Nov 2012 03:36 pm
this could end up breaking through 75 and pushing much lower and make it scary coming into Monday

09 Nov 2012 03:44 pm
holding 75 Able to keep market from crumbling late day, need a push over 80 stick to get squeeze higher.

09 Nov 2012 03:49 pm
need to bounce off of 79.25-78.50 area to continue higher. a wild week. Should be good action next week. Have a great weekend

 

 

Thursday November 08, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

08 Nov 2012 09:24 am
we should get a good dose of volatility today. A drop to 1389 settlement from yesterday will need bid back up quickly or test 84

08 Nov 2012 09:27 am
as long as this early pop higher rejects 94-94.50 area, more pullback coming. I will be away for the first 20 minutes.

08 Nov 2012 09:40 am
this could fizzle out at higher pricesbut as long as 93-92.50 area holds the market will avoid trouble. 96 important early resistance

08 Nov 2012 09:44 am
1398.75-1399.50 should be rejected if this is going to have a decent pullback. If nothing stops it then 1402-03. 94.25 area now support

08 Nov 2012 09:52 am
97.50 sold, need to hold around 95-94.50 and turn back up to avoid deeper pullback possibly sharp one or to 92 area at least

08 Nov 2012 09:56 am
95 bought, but this amounts feeble and shouldn't take out the high

08 Nov 2012 10:05 am
the NQ acting a bit different, if it breaks 2615 and doesn't turn right back up it can pull the ES lower with it

08 Nov 2012 10:06 am
back down to 1392, 95 area needs cleared and held on a pullback to get a rally attempt that has a chance to hold.

08 Nov 2012 10:15 am
not an aggressive buy up from 91.25 pullback low, that tested yesterdays late low but bounce gets sold into. 94.50 pivotal

08 Nov 2012 10:21 am
this has the feel of the market wanting to let go on the downside and probably test or break 84, resistance93. 50-94.50 area

08 Nov 2012 10:24 am
1388.00-1387.50 last support in the way of yesterdays lows

08 Nov 2012 10:27 am
feeble bounce from 88,92-93 area resistance on a bounce, shouldn't take that out if going to say and steady downtrend and break 84

08 Nov 2012 10:33 am
88.00-87.50 could be a low for the morning. However,just a 15-20 minute rally, then trend down since. 92-93 trend R needs cleared/held

08 Nov 2012 10:44 am
a bounce to 1392.00 was sold, a lower low made, bounces are not going to stick until there's better washout, or 92 cleared/held

08 Nov 2012 10:50 am
theme today is going to be volatility. We already had a number of 4-5 point swings on the ES. bounces not sticking, lower low bought

08 Nov 2012 11:08 am
new lows are being bought, but not sticking and falling back from 90.50 area, key R. Another lower low near 84 should spring right back

08 Nov 2012 11:11 am
a break above 90.50 that doesn't turn right back down should start a good short squeeze. Otherwise, if theres a test of the low hit should

08 Nov 2012 11:12 am
bounce back immediately, or else could break down under 84, and possibly go for low 80s, 76 still not impossible but a ways away

08 Nov 2012 11:21 am
may not snap back so easily this time, but if it does still need a move over 90.50 to get upside going

08 Nov 2012 11:31 am
token lower low at 85.50was quickly turned back up, like all of the other lows it gave a quick snap back. This one has a chance to stick

08 Nov 2012 11:33 am
86.75 should hold or give a bounce if there is going to avoid another test/break of the low. That could be near 84, another snap back likely

08 Nov 2012 11:36 am
can bounce, but that should also fail until it works its waydown to 84 and possibly a breakdown towards 76 before end of day

08 Nov 2012 11:41 am
84.50 low so far, downside beginning to lose some momentum, but still choppy trend down day unless break/hold over 89.75-90.50 area.

08 Nov 2012 11:50 am
should stay under 88.25 and breakdown soon if downside going to keep dominance and not break out to the upside

08 Nov 2012 11:51 am
just a heads up, I will be away for roughly an hour this afternoon from around 12:10 PM until 1:10 PM. suspect the market to stay volatile

08 Nov 2012 12:07 pm
the ES reached 1388.75, didn't stick, should try to either double bottom around 84, or looking less likely but still possible,drop to 76

08 Nov 2012 12:10 pm
89.75-90.50 area still looks like he resistance if a decent bounce, but even though market bid up at new low, can get momentum if 84 broken

08 Nov 2012 12:11 pm
watch resistance for selling, and a reversal from lower levels for a snap back bounce. Just be sure there's a turn up.Bears still in control

08 Nov 2012 12:11 pm
back in about an hour or the next update

08 Nov 2012 01:09 pm
the ESmade a lower low just under 82.50, the bottom of that84-82.50 zone. Market not acting well, just sell the next bounce if not short

08 Nov 2012 01:10 pm
the 20 EMA on the 5-minute chart (day session only) acting as dynamic resistance on all bounces since breaking down under 93.25

08 Nov 2012 01:25 pm
I'm beginning to think that reaching 1376 is going to be in the cards, and that's going to be major where the market must bounce or get

08 Nov 2012 01:25 pm
panic selling, possibly fall to low 70s, or even into the 1360s

08 Nov 2012 01:26 pm
let's see how the market reacts off of 76, also watched 1380 on the S&P 500 cash, 200 day average. 81 resistance now

08 Nov 2012 01:36 pm
so far the 76 level was just missed, but does it mean a bottom is in the way this is acting.a push over 82.50 into dent downside momentum

08 Nov 2012 01:40 pm
break back under 80should start a test of the low or lower. This bounce just ran out of steam like the others, if no rollover things may change

08 Nov 2012 01:51 pm
watch 82.50-83.54 resistance on this move, that is breakdown area and 20 EMA on 5 minute chart which has been a good trend guide. 79.50 S

08 Nov 2012 01:59 pm
82.50-83.50 area reached, a pullback needs to stay over 1381

08 Nov 2012 02:02 pm
84.50 should be high and see a pullback to 82-81 or maybe lower if the market is going to collapse again. If that's held instead 1 more pop

08 Nov 2012 02:07 pm
holding just above 81, came bounce here. But if so beware because next pop should be sold intoand head back down

08 Nov 2012 02:19 pm
pullback held at 81.25, but the bounce failed so far and should lead to a breakdown unless 84 prior support exceeded/held

08 Nov 2012 02:20 pm
staying under the 84 area keeps the market under pressure and in a very bearish position, so market still a short under that area

08 Nov 2012 02:34 pm
should be within a day or so of making a trading bottom of some sort. Just for a snap back rally. But today still is "sell bounces" at least

08 Nov 2012 02:35 pm
as long as 1384 area not exceeded and held on a pullback.could retest and maybe break the lows

08 Nov 2012 02:35 pm
next update in about 15 minutes or so

08 Nov 2012 02:51 pm
this move shouldn't run up and take out 84-84.50, if it does then it potential for a low. That area key resistance in the last hour.

08 Nov 2012 02:58 pm
80.50 could be pivotal late in the day. If broken and not quickly reversed up, then there would be pressure on. Still bearish under 84 area

08 Nov 2012 03:02 pm
pop-ups just cannot stick or get any buying interest other than what looks like short covering at new lows,very bearish action, 84 key R

08 Nov 2012 03:08 pm
there are no signs of a turnaround to the upside, could continue selling off to a new low possibly around 3:30 PM, then possible bounce

08 Nov 2012 03:16 pm
80.50 area has been bid up on last 3 pullbacks, 82.25 82.50 sold on 4 popups. 80.50 breaks without quick reversal, 77-76 possible. If a

08 Nov 2012 03:17 pm
push above 82.50, then watch 1384-1384.50 area for key resistance on a bounce. Should be rejected to stay in a very bearish position

08 Nov 2012 03:19 pm
better opportunities on Friday. Indicators could be at extreme oversold condition and set up decent bounce, but need to see confirmation.

08 Nov 2012 03:20 pm
have a good rest of your day, I will catch you tomorrow morning. Should be a good trading day in front of semi-holiday weekend. Take care

08 Nov 2012 04:00 pm
collapsing into the close, overnight would need to bounce over 1380 and stick just to attempt a bounce. 72 area next

 

 

Wednesday November 07, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

07 Nov 2012 11:19 am
this can go to 1388 area or lower as long as 1395 isn't broken/held. would need to bounce from there.trend down day short bounces

07 Nov 2012 11:27 am
staying under 92.50-93.00 keeps pressure on, 1388 might give a bounce but careful picking bottoms. I will leave the pun alone. ;)

07 Nov 2012 11:31 am
if you bought some put options yesterday, they might be a keeper for a collapsed towards 84.00-82.50 area. Under that, 1378 on the cash

07 Nov 2012 11:34 am
84.00-82.50did give a bounce, a test of that area that reverses back up can give a scalp on the long side. Otherwise, bounce should fail

07 Nov 2012 11:35 am
at higher prices to sell into again

07 Nov 2012 11:39 am
the NQ could be the better trade on the long side if it can retest/turn up from 2600-2598 area. 84.00-82.50 zone might mark the low

07 Nov 2012 11:41 am
next update in about 20 minutes, lunch time low should be in place. If not, then we get a late day plunge towards 76 on S&P 500 cash

07 Nov 2012 12:01 pm
so far a bounce to 92.50-93.00 resistance. A pullback should hold 90.50-89.00 area, otherwise breaking down again by breaking new uptrend

07 Nov 2012 12:03 pm
if that92.50-93 is exceeded/ held they could run up to 95.50-96.50 area before pulling back

07 Nov 2012 12:12 pm
a short hundred 93 as they have run out of gas on this bounce and should pull back, the NQ could lead. if get over 93, low me be in

07 Nov 2012 12:18 pm
the market has been catching a bid on all of the dips after bouncing from the 84.00-82.50 zone and now as long as 91 is held up trend intact

07 Nov 2012 12:22 pm
and could pop up to 95, possibly up to 97-98 area if this gets some momentum and can break/hold 95 area with a bit of gusto. 1402-1403 very strong

07 Nov 2012 12:55 pm
95 was tested but not able to push through that level, if there is a drop back under 1391 then the downtrend continues and could

07 Nov 2012 12:56 pm
possibly retest the 84.00-82.50 zone and possibly lower.that would be the last leg down before a good bounce the way this appears

07 Nov 2012 01:04 pm
still a good bid on the dips, and just a 2.25 point pullback. There still needs to be a break under 92.50 not quickly reversed back up

07 Nov 2012 01:07 pm
a pullback to 94 area should hold now, 97.58 resistance but likely going to test 1402 area if 94 area holds

07 Nov 2012 01:20 pm
as long as the ES can hold aroun 94.50 area, a chance to snap back a bit

07 Nov 2012 01:30 pm
95 area was a resistance, now acting as support. Must stay over that or go to 92 area again. Possibly retest low or lower

07 Nov 2012 01:34 pm
pullback held at 95.50, I think that staying under 1398 area on the ES and around 2622 on the NQ will keep pressure on

07 Nov 2012 01:36 pm
they have held around 95 on the pull back, but to really begin proving some strength and turning momentum around,need to push through those

07 Nov 2012 01:37 pm
areas and stick, pick up some momentum in a run to 1402 area. If that happens odds better of a low in-place for the move down

07 Nov 2012 01:45 pm
a bit of a double top at 98.25-98.50, now must hold 95 area to avoid another leg down. if 95 not held, 92-91.50 next support. 1402 next R

07 Nov 2012 02:05 pm
95 has been holding after being rejected from 98.50-98.25 area several times. if going to avoid a late drop 95 needs breakout/hold over 98

07 Nov 2012 02:15 pm
a pop up one tick above the prior 98.25-98.50 double top instantly sold, needs to have a strong push through that, or else ranged break

07 Nov 2012 02:16 pm
will come on the downside for a switch under 95, and if not quickly turned back up good return to 92-91.50 and maybe back towards 84 area

07 Nov 2012 02:18 pm
and possibly down to a major area around 1376 (cash and futures) before a bottom will be put in. If that occurs over next day or 2,

07 Nov 2012 02:20 pm
internal gauges could also be in buy position for a strong rally. Pull back to 95.50 so far and trying to hold, key "cigar pattern" support

07 Nov 2012 02:33 pm
traded sideways since around 1 PM. under 95 breaking down, next bounce should fail under 98 and we should at least test 92 area,

07 Nov 2012 02:49 pm
so far the pullback reached 92.75,the 92-91.50 area is a small "last trapped" if thats the scan head back towards the 84 low today/tomorrow

07 Nov 2012 02:52 pm
that should say "and if thats broken can headback towards 84". Trying to improve this voice software. pressure on under 95, pivotal area

07 Nov 2012 03:06 pm
they bounced from above and 92, that 92 area key end of the day. Theres a breakdown if broken not quickly reversed. Bounces still shorted

07 Nov 2012 03:07 pm
an ideal set up for a bottom would be late selloff that carries over into Thursday morning, reaches 1380 on the S&P 500 cash and 1376 on ES

07 Nov 2012 03:07 pm
That would be that an important price area, while internal gauges get stretched on oversold side, should give 20 or so point bounce from there

07 Nov 2012 03:11 pm
there has been buying from 93.50-92.75, a break under that area in the last hour needed push this down and have a poor close.

07 Nov 2012 03:29 pm
support area around 93.50-92.75 should not be broken at the end of the day or the market opens lower tomorrow morning. At the moment 1402

07 Nov 2012 03:30 pm
area could be in the cards if it can get over 1400 again and not come right back down. 1400 should be important

07 Nov 2012 03:31 pm
97 area small support on pullback to keep up trend going, 95.50 area also small support

07 Nov 2012 03:33 pm
would be careful jumping for a late run up, could evaporate in a hurry. Staying under 1400 should keep some pressure on.

07 Nov 2012 03:33 pm
have a good rest of your day. I will catch you around the open tomorrow morning,

 

 

Tuesday- November 06, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

06 Nov 2012 09:01 am
so far just another small pullback, but must hold 1410 now to avoid a late day drop. have a good rest of your day.

06 Nov 2012 09:24 am
the ES held 10-09.50 in overnight trading, and is not far from 19-20 area which should be very strong. There should be pullback from here

06 Nov 2012 09:29 am
1415.50 was a resistance, if not held as supportHowe them a test of 13-12 would need to hold or could retest 1410 key support no today

06 Nov 2012 09:40 am
a pretty good pop from 15 to 19-20. Shouldn't hold over that, or 22.50 Should have volatility today, 15 area key support early

06 Nov 2012 09:44 am
the NQ hasn't taken out yesterday's high, ES sold at 19-20 zone, but has support at 17 that needs to break,hold under.

06 Nov 2012 09:45 am
a short around 19 should have a tight stop, the high should be in that there is going to be a decent pullback.

06 Nov 2012 09:50 am
16.25-15.50 prior resistance now support, need a break/hold under that zone before any damage done

06 Nov 2012 09:51 am
caught in range between resistance and support, sell resistance with tight stop or by near support if that stalls out. Still favor pullback

06 Nov 2012 10:01 am
a quick drop to 16.50 was bid right back up to 19.50. A dip should hold 18 at worst to keep upside momentum,

06 Nov 2012 10:05 am
pullback bounce off of 18, that should be a key level now. Momentum can turn if that's not held.

06 Nov 2012 10:07 am
scaling into shorts up here for some pullback to test 16.25-15.50 area, the NQ weaker and three tops around 2672-73

06 Nov 2012 10:17 am
pullback to 17.00 so far, buyers are backing off and longs hitting exit at 19-20. Would need pushed through along with 2668 on NQ

06 Nov 2012 10:22 am
so far pullback held just over 16.25-15.50, - that area needs held to keep a rally going

06 Nov 2012 10:29 am
16.25 support tested, 13-12 area a key support on further pullback. bounce gets sold into, a deeper pullback should catch a bid near 13-12

06 Nov 2012 10:36 am
a test of 13-12 would need to stall out, or quickly get bid right back up, for it to be a decent low.

06 Nov 2012 10:44 am
staying over 15 needed to keep the market from going back into yesterdays trading range. As long as held, no damage done to uptrend, however

06 Nov 2012 10:47 am
a push through 19-20 needs to stick. If it does 22.50 should be seen. Otherwise pullback 18-17.50 should hold to keep uptrend going

06 Nov 2012 10:57 am
1420 was touched but no follow-through, pullback to 17.75, needs a bounce quickly for a top is in. likely have anyhow, if not 22.50 possible

06 Nov 2012 11:15 am
hold 17.50 held, but should be sellers @19-20. but no damage done as long as 17.50 is held

06 Nov 2012 11:21 am
Would need a hold over 20, and NQ over 2672, or could be topping up here

06 Nov 2012 11:30 am
the ES has been trading sideways between 20.00 and 17.50 for over 40 minutes, Pop over 20 would need to stick. 17.50 trend support

06 Nov 2012 11:39 am
24.25 should be a top for a pullback, 21.75 area support, then 20-19.50 strong area could be trend up a at least until Noon

06 Nov 2012 11:44 am
I will need to be away for about 30-40 minutes this afternoon, probably around 12:10 PM. if this can hold at 22.50 area on a dip

06 Nov 2012 11:45 am
then we could see 1428 area tested on this move up, don't they did this

06 Nov 2012 11:56 am
after going sideways between 20.00 10 to 17.54 almost an hour, the breakout put a squeeze on shorts. 20-19 is no key support, and 15 major

06 Nov 2012 12:02 pm
1427.50-1428.50 the last listed resistance and looks like it can be tested, if so then pullback should hold 25.50

06 Nov 2012 12:09 pm
that's going to be a high if theres no bounce from 27 area, 2685 on the NQ. a bounce there though could give another pop.

06 Nov 2012 12:12 pm
pullback held 27 so far, this area needs to hold or there is going to be a decent pullback

06 Nov 2012 12:20 pm
the 26.75 level reached on a dip, so far just 1 pt bounce from there. Buyers stepping back 24.75 support next

06 Nov 2012 12:30 pm
I will be away for a while. A noon high in place, the pop from 26.75 didn't stick, but still holding. 25.75 a key area to keep dips buyable

06 Nov 2012 12:58 pm
when 25.75 was broken, quick drop to 24.25, buyers from above feeling trapped and a bit nervous it appears. the high just 3 ticks over 28.50

06 Nov 2012 01:01 pm
and it wasn't held above for long. For now, market vulnerable unless 25.75 exceeded/held on a dip. 20 area key support now

06 Nov 2012 01:12 pm
pop up sold into, pullbacks have been well contained but as long as the stays under 27.50-28.50 it's vulnerable, 24 and then 20 support

06 Nov 2012 01:20 pm
they could get bid up from 24 area, but should be sold into. if a break of 24 should go to 22.50, possibly back to 1420 area

06 Nov 2012 01:28 pm
this has been hugging the 20 EMA on a 5-minute chart around 24.50, should be sold around 28, if not then could test high

06 Nov 2012 01:49 pm
the ES almost made it to 28, but was turned down a bit. but long as 26.50-26 isn't broken little uptrend continues

06 Nov 2012 02:01 pm
just a small pullback, but from the 27.50-28.50 resistance area which has been a lid on the market all day. another pullback to 24.50-24.00

06 Nov 2012 02:02 pm
could be tested and that would need to give a quick bounce if going to avoid potential rollover towards 20 area

06 Nov 2012 02:12 pm
almost to the 24.50-24.00 support area, needs to bounce there or 22.50 can be in the cards. a decent bounce likely sold into. Double top on

06 Nov 2012 02:15 pm
the Dow cash, and the ES around 28.50 area. I'm feeling a bit under the weather this afternoon, going to take a 30 minute break

06 Nov 2012 03:04 pm
ES pulled back to the 60 EMA on the 5 -minute chart,but still has the 27.50-28.50 zone to get through to end the day strong, 20 area next

06 Nov 2012 03:18 pm
if this stays under 25.50, its open to a late day push back towards 20 before a bounce back occurs. If thats taken out instead, 27.50-28.50

06 Nov 2012 03:20 pm
get tested again. Wouldnt hold overnight unless it happens to be a small position in some put options or volatility spread

06 Nov 2012 03:21 pm
Thats about it. I will see you here tomorrow sometime around noon, hopefully not long after that but we'll see. Have a nice day

 

 

Monday- November 05, 2012

(time stamps are EST)

 

05 Nov 2012 09:22 am
the ES traded up to 09.50, just under the 10-11 trend down resistance,back down to 1403 pre-open. Another drop to 1403-02 holds or trouble

05 Nov 2012 09:23 am
I will update in about 15 minutes. We get some Econ data top of the hour

05 Nov 2012 09:32 am
probably will go down in test 1403-1402 area and see if market is going to cave in or rally back as long as holds under 1407

05 Nov 2012 09:34 am
if that's pushed through instead, then short covering up to 1410-1411 area possible before coming back down again. 1407-1407.57 pivotal early

05 Nov 2012 09:37 am
can go back under 05 if they don't clear 1407.75 and stay up there

05 Nov 2012 09:42 am
NQ the stronger average,needs to get above 2660. need to get the Dow cash back above 13100 to get the blue chips turned up, still vulnerable

05 Nov 2012 09:47 am
buyers backing away but can get short covering bounce from 1403-1402, if no sign of a bounce there then 1397 possible. 1406 resistance

05 Nov 2012 09:53 am
a bounce from 1403.50, 2647 on the NQ a transition area there. Staying under 1406 should keep some pressure on to break those lows

05 Nov 2012 09:57 am
economic data top of the hour, 1403 low so far but still vulnerable unless 1406 exceeded/held, not just pop over and turn down again

05 Nov 2012 10:06 am
bounce failed at 1406.00, turned up from 1403.75, back to 1406.00, pressure and less exceeded/held. to 1403-1402 or lower

05 Nov 2012 10:11 am
trying to hold 1403, can bounce here but still need to push over 1406 with some g